Hi all,

Where is time going? Almost a third of summer done.

So far June has an average temperature of 15.6°C which makes it the joint-second warmest June I’ve recorded with records back to June 2013. June 2023 was the warmest at 17.3°C. This is mostly down to some warm and muggy nights, and we have some more of these to come this week.

Thursday: A band of rain to start which will turn showery towards lunchtime. Generally turning brighter and drier into the afternoon but also fresher and windier. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 30mph

Friday: There will be a new weather-front close by to our northwest on Friday. Parts of the region close to this front could well see some light rain with most places cloudy. Some bright spells in the southeast are possible. Starting to turn quite humid and windy again. Warm night. Max 22°C Min 17°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: The thermometer rises into Sunday.

Saturday: Some early rain should move on quite quickly and then a breezy day with sunny spells and mostly dry conditions. Becoming very warm. Max 24°C Min 16°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Some stubborn cloud to clear and very warm to hot with sunny spells developing. Not as windy as recently. Max 25°C Min 16°C

Outlook: Monday will be another hot one with plenty of sunny spells. Fresher air will arrive on Tuesday with a few showers blown in on a northwesterly wind. After that becomes a little bit more uncertain, but a ridge of high pressure nudging up from the Azores is currently the favourable outcome. So we do see some hot weather as we enter next week but it will be short-lived and shouldn’t reach the heatwave threshold.

Thanks for stopping by to read. Follow @ChadWeather on X or Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 25th of June 2025 at 5pm

Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com & http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

Spring was a belter, very dry and with some really warm days, but summer hasn’t got off to the best of starts. That said, we are about to experience our first heatwave of the season.

There is a certain threshold for it to be classed as a heatwave and no matter how long it lasts, there is no such thing as a “mini-heatwave”.

So far this year the warmest temperature I’ve recorded, came in April (30th) with a high of 25.9°C. That will certainly get beaten over the next few days. There’s an outside chance that somewhere could see 30°C. As we head into the weekend there will be a bit of a welcome breeze picking up and eventually cooler air and also the risk of a thunderstorm or two.

Hot days and warm nights ahead but how long will the heatwave last?

Thursday: A southerly airflow and plenty of hazy sunshine, making it feel toasty from mid-morning onwards as temperatures rocket. With light winds the heat will build and it will be hot into the afternoon. Overnight, expect a warm one but a bit breezier. Max 29°C Min 17°C

Friday: Another hot day but at least a wind will have picked up, helping those who hate the heat. Plenty of sunny spells and there’s a chance that some cloud could bubble up and set off an isolated shower towards evening but the risk is low. An uncomfortable night for sleeping. Max 28°C Min 18°C

💡 Heatwave safety tip: Keep pets cool and drink plenty of fluids with your BBQ 😉.

Weekend: Change into Sunday. Thunderstorms possible.

Saturday: Starting to feel more humid and after a morning of sunny spells, cloud is expected to bubble up and there will be a few scattered thundery downpours into the afternoon/evening and also overnight. Again it will be breezy and a switch to a westerly wind later into the night. Max 29°C Min 16°C

Sunday: Winds are now expected from a westerly direction, so this will have an impact on the temperature knocking it back down several degrees. Another reasonable day ahead with sunny spells but it will be breezy and there is a slight chance of an afternoon or evening shower which could be thundery. Max 23°C Min 15°C

Outlook: A mixed bag into next week with bright spells and a few showers. Temperatures returning to 19-20°C for a few days and then becoming a little bit warmer towards the end of the week and hopefully high pressure will build again. But at this stage what pans out after midweek next week is uncertain. So stay tuned to my social media accounts for updates.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of June 2025 at 6:16pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & BBC Weather

Hi all,

My weekly blog is back after a few weeks off and a cracking holiday in Zante and whilst I was away it pretty much rained every day back home and the very dry conditions have eased with more rain in the last 2-3 weeks than there has been in the previous few months.

Today, Wednesday, we have picked up a southeasterly feed which is dragging in much warmer and humid air. You will have noticed that it’s turned out on Wednesday to be a very warm day but the question is how long are these conditions set to last?

It’s going to remain humid for a couple of days, but we aren’t going to be seeing wall-to-wall sunshine. Weather-fronts will be moving in from the west and the southwest during Thursday and Friday so we are expecting some rain which could be thundery at times. It’ll be fresher by the weekend.

Thursday: It’ll be a warm and humid start with some sunny spells, but cloud will soon increase from the southwest. As we head towards the afternoon, a band of thundery rain is expected to arrive lasting a few hours and it will turn windy. Later in the day and heading towards late-evening it should become drier but it’ll still remain muggy leading to a uncomfortable night for sleeping. Max 23°C Min 15°C Max Gusts 30mph

Friday: Friday will be another humid day with some sunny spells, but cloud will bubble up later into the afternoon and there will be some isolated thundery showers breaking out which will be hit-and-miss. Once these move through, especially overnight away to the north of the region, slightly fresher air will arrive behind them. Max 24°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: Not too bad at all.

Saturday: Sunny spells after any overnight rain pushes away to the north. I can’t rule out a dry day with a few showers breaking out into the afternoon, again these could be thunderstorms. Otherwise not too bad and feeling fresher. Windy at times. Max 20°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: It looks like a decent day with conditions perfect as the humidity has now moved on. Sunny spells, dry and a little bit windy. Max 19°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: As we head into next week, high pressure will initially ridge up from the Azores but for the first few days we will get some cloud coming round the high pressure from the northwest, but is it expected to stay mostly dry. Later in the week the high pressure will centre itself across the UK and we can expect the week to be dry with plenty of sunny spells and because of the wind direction, temperatures are expected to be around normal with no heatwave or high humidity expected. Beyond this is uncertain so make the most of next week and enjoy some pleasant temperatures.

Follow @ChadWeather on X or Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued on Wednesday 11th of June 2025 at 6:50pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & meteoblue.

Hi all,

The “rainless” May goes on here. Yes I know we had some rainfall early one morning but it didn’t register, so the total for May still stands at 0mm.

We (UK) are on course for the driest and sunniest spring ever recorded. It’s simply been an incredible season but places are getting desperate for rain now.

The local reservoir levels are at 56% compared to 83% this time last year.

So when will it rain? Not for at least another week. There are signs however of low pressure replacing high pressure as we head towards the Bank Holiday weekend, typical, but it still remains to be seen if the low will be strong enough to oust the stubborn high.

Before that, plenty more of the same. Sunny skies, warm, dry and breezy at times. No sign of a heatwave for now, as the positioning of the high means we won’t be tapping into any hot air from the south.

UV levels are now HIGH 11AM TO 2PM.

Thursday: Similar to Wednesday, there is a chance that we start the day with some low-cloud that has drifted in from the northeast. This will be a little stubborn to clear but it will burn off leading to another glorious day with plenty of sunshine. Winds a little gusty. Warmest in the west. Cool overnight where winds fall lighter.  Max 18-20°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: Temperatures rising a touch. Still windy though, more so into the afternoon. Dry and sunny. Max 22°C Min 7°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: If you’ve not had a BBQ yet then what are you waiting for? Little change.

Saturday & Sunday: Might as well group these days together as they will be very similar. Plenty of sunshine, most likely wall-to-wall sunshine. Dry and again a breezy northeasterly. Max 22°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: It’s quite a simple outlook for most of the week as high pressure continues to stay in charge, bringing sunny skies and dry conditions. Temperatures sitting around 20°C. It’s later in the week, where the forecast gets a little bit tricky from this far out, but there are signs, which I’ve been hinting at for a few days now, that high pressure will slip away and low pressure will start to bring weather-fronts in from the west. We will finally see some rain and this could mean the final week of May brings unsettled conditions. One to watch for now and look out for updates on social media. The petrichor smell will be epic.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 14th of May 2025 at 7:20pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

It’s turning out to be an amazing Spring with plenty of settled weather, also meaning it’s been very dry. It’s no surprise that we’ve had the sunniest March and April on record across the UK.

I’ve said it for a few weeks now. We need some rain. We are well below-average for Spring, sitting at 23% of the average rainfall, And yet again there is no sign of any significant rainfall amounts over the next 2 weeks.

High pressure, that has been in control of our weather this week, has been in a position to bring some cloud in from the North Sea, making it cooler at times. This cloud moves around the high so sunny spells have been coming and going.

Towards the end of the week, this high will slip away to the northeast and introduce a drier and warmer south-to-southeasterly airflow. Temperatures will respond. This will then be replaced by another high pressure that will slip in from the west as we head into next week bringing further dry weather and pleasant sunny spells.

It was a cold start to Tuesday this week, with a ground frost in many places and some places recording an air frost but this is not unusual for early-May, especially under the influence of high pressure, clear skies and light winds. A couple of chilly nights to come this week but from Friday the risk, for frost, for now has passed.

Thursday: Still variable amounts of cloud throughout the day so sunny spells one minute and then thicker cloud the next. Dry and with that high pressure starting to slip away there will be a keen breeze. Warmest in sheltered western parts. Max 18°C Min 5°C

Friday: Feeling much warmer with more in the way of sunshine and lighter winds. Very pleasant indeed. Max 20°C Min 6°C

Don’t forget your sun cream if you’re out and about in the sun for a lengthy period of time. UV levels are now up to HIGH around lunchtime and MEDIUM for most of the morning and the afternoon.

Weekend: Decent. One hand on the BBQ, one hand watering the garden .

Saturday: Some early mist and another great day, warm with sunny spells. Max 22°C Min 7°C

Sunday: With southerly winds in place and plenty of sunshine temperatures will lift and it will really feel like summer again. Some cloud could well bubble up enough later in the day/evening to produce an isolated shower or thunderstorm as the air gets a little bit of instability from a low pressure to the south of the UK. Max 22°C Min 9°C

Outlook: There is an outside chance, later on Sunday and into Monday, of an isolated shower. Otherwise, the week will be dominated again by high pressure slipping in from the west, bringing plenty of sunshine and temperatures close or into the 20s °C. With us only having a quarter of our rainfall during March and April, we will now be 2 weeks into May without any significant rain.

If this continues, we could well start to hear the words drought or hosepipe ban mentioned in the news. It’s got to change at some point and I’m not complaining about the lovely weather, but we are definitely in need of some rain.

Thanks for stopping by to read. For more forecasts and warnings please follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th of May 2025 at 6:06pm.

Images: The Met Office & http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com & BBC Weather.

Hi all,

We’ve had more decent weather this week. It really has been a good spring so far and very dry. We are well-below average rainfall since the start of February.

The last day of April saw my warmest April day on record. My data goes back to 2013. The max was 25.9°C recorded at 4:49pm.

Humidity levels have been low too. Perfect drying weather.

For the NW of England it’s been the driest Feb-Apr period since 1938. Thanks to @kevirlam on X for this stat.

Thursday: Hot, with sunny spells and feeling more humid. It will be the last summer-like temperatures of this week as temperatures will cool off as a weakening cold-front comes down from the northwest. There will also be another weather-front to the south of the UK. So, the air will be a little bit more unstable on Thursday and with the heat there is just a chance (15%) that we see some isolated showers breaking out which could be locally heavy and thundery. Currently this is more likely to happen to the south of our region. Max 26°C Min 8°C

Friday: It looks like we’ll be in the middle of decaying weather-fronts, so a dry day is expected with plenty of sunny spells. Cooler than recently which some of you will be thankful for and dry. Cool overnight. Max 20°C Min 6°C

Long Weekend: Question marks over the bank holiday.

Saturday: Looks like a decent day with bright spells, dry and light winds. Temperatures still above average so feeling pleasant out there but a cool wind developing later. Cold night. Max 19°C Min 4°C

Sunday: Some uncertainty but it looks like a pool of colder air will drift in from the north/northeast with some thicker cloud making it feel chilly. Western areas could well hang on to some sunshine and temperatures warmer here. Winds will be gusty. Max 12-16°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 25mph

Bank Holiday Monday: Looks chilly with cloud dragged in on a cold wind from the northeast. Should remain dry. Warmer to the sheltered west/southwest. Cold night. Max 13°C Min 3°C

Outlook: A lot of dry weather and temperatures slowly recovering. Days of bright or sunny spells. The wait for unsettled weather with plenty of rain goes on.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 30th of April 2025 at 8:35pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

We’ve had some welcome rain this week, 4.2mm on Easter Monday. Typical that it rains on a Bank Holiday but Easter Sunday was a cracker. It wasn’t exactly cracking the flags, only 16°C, but plenty of sunshine was on offer and it felt warm.

It’s been a very dry 2025 and spring so far. So far in 2025 we’ve had only 58% of the average rainfall. These stats below show how dry it’s been with 44% of that rainfall falling on just 4 days.

Thursday: Not a bad day. Bright or sunny spells and very pleasant in the sun. Cloud will bubble up enough to produce a localised shower or two but most will stay dry. With inland convection going on this means west will be best with more sunshine along the coast. Cloud thickening overnight. Max 17°C Min 7°C

Friday: A bright start but clouding over from the west with some patchy rain arriving later in the day. Cooler with a slight breeze picking up. Max 15°C Min 8°C

Weekend: Improving into Sunday.

Saturday: Cloudy with morning rain, albeit patchy and light. Drier later with sunny spells. Max 15°C Min 7°C

Sunday: Sunny spells developing and temperatures responding nicely. Feeling warmer but a stiff southwesterly wind at times. Max 19°C Min 8°C

Outlook: The first half of next week looks good. Warm with sunny spells and the potential for some very warm temperatures. 21°C or more possible. If the weather patterns go to the forecast we could see 23°C easily. Dry throughout the week with sunny spells. The warmth might just trigger some home-grown showers later in the week. There is some uncertainty on how long the warmer-than-average spell lasts next week so look out for social media updates. At this stage it looks like it will cool off/break from the Friday.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 23rd of April 2025 at 5:40pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

Our amazing first half of April is over and we’ve finally measured some rainfall this month. It is going to be a bit more unsettled over the next week or so. Pinning down how wet it’s going to be will be tricky as there will be weather-fronts close by, especially to the west, which is likely to see the wettest weather over the next few days.

If you’re looking for the best day of the week then Thursday and Saturday look the best.

Thursday: A much better day with plenty of sunny spells and breezy. Dry for most if not all. Just the low risk of an isolated shower breaking out. Feeling warm in the sunshine. UV levels moderate. Max 15°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: Temperatures still quite respectable on Friday. But any early brightness will fade as cloud will thicken from the west and southwest. There is a bit of uncertainty on where rain will fall on Friday, but any rain is expected to be mostly to the west with eastern areas remaining dry but cloudy. Max 16°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Hopeful but changes possible so look out for updates on social media.

Saturday: The forecast for the weekend over the last couple of days has flipped and flopped. One minute showery rain the next dry with sunny spells. At the moment the latter is favourable for Saturday with the UK surrounded by low pressure, we should be sitting pretty in between with sunny spells. Dry but windy, a keen northeasterly developing, taking the edge off the temperature. Max 14°C Min 3°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: The northeasterly airflow is likely to start to drag some cloud in off the North Sea. So after a bright start it will cloud over but it should remain dry. Any brightness into the afternoon is likely to be the further west you are. Feeling chilly in a gusty wind. Max 14°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: A reasonably active Jet Stream next week will mean we will see the occasional unsettled spell, so expect days with a few bright spells but equally some showers or showery rain at times. A bit of a mix. Anyone missing those endless days of blue skies yet?

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 16th of April 2025 at 9:18am.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & BBC Weather & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

What a spell of weather we’re currently experiencing. It’s been immense. There’s no better weather than a crisp morning with overnight frost melting and then the warmth of the rising sun leading to a day of blue clear skies. Bliss. Of course, I’m referring to this week as opposed to last week, which had a strong and gusty wind with a biting edge to it. Also, it’s not been massively warm but it will be at the back end of this week.

So change is coming. What change can we expect? After a very long dry spell, where we’ve only had 14 days of rain out of the last 58 days, and with high pressure that’s been around or close by for what seems like weeks now, it is eventually going to be replaced with more unsettled west or southwesterly winds. We will then have a low pressure anchored out in the Atlantic which is likely to throw bands of showers our way.

Change is not expected until Sunday or even Monday. At this stage, with it being 4-5 days away, there is a bit of uncertainty on how unsettled it gets. The most likely scenario at the moment is obviously we see the return of cloudier skies and the risk of showers breaking out. This looks like it might last a few days before a ridge of high pressure starts to nudge in from the Azores which will improve conditions once again, but the days of unbroken sunshine will certainly be coming to an end later this weekend. There is certainly no sign of any snow or a significantly cold snap which the media keeps “promising”.

Thursday: High pressure is now sitting on top of the UK. So with light winds we can expect another chilly start with a touch of ground-frost. Another cracking day follows, dry with wall-to-wall sunshine. Just perhaps a little hazy at times. Feeling very pleasant indeed. Temperatures up a notch too. Max 18°C Min 3°C

Friday: Very little change. Blue skies and plenty of warm sunshine after a cool start. Don’t be surprised locally to see somewhere reach 20°C. Not as cold overnight. Max 20°C Min 6°C

Weekend: Cooler & cloudier on Sunday.

Saturday: The final day of this fantastic weather, so make the most of it. Very warm for the time of year, likely the warmest day so far, with plenty of sunshine, but some cloud could bubble up later on. Winds still remaining light and dry. Max 21°C Min 7°C

Sunday: A keen westerly wind will bring much cooler conditions throughout. We will also see more in the way of cloud but also a few bright or sunny spells. Most places should be dry but we can’t rule out some scattered showers as the weather begins to break. Max 14°C Min 5°C

Outlook: An area of low pressure will establish itself out west in the Atlantic. This will bring us brisk southwesterly winds and occasional bands of showers for the first few days of next week. Temperatures back to normal. Later in the week, a ridge of high pressure from the Azores should nudge in to bring drier conditions and some sunny spells, but nothing like the days of blue skies that we’ve seen over the last 2 weeks. No sign of anything significantly cold nor warm on the horizon. Rain-wise, as mentioned previously, there will be some showers around but rainfall amounts are still expected to be quite low.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always for stopping by to read.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Tuesday the 8th of April 2025 at 8:32pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

As forecasts go, this looks pretty much straightforward this week with high pressure in charge. It can be tricky sometimes to forecast the weather when high pressure is in charge, especially this time of the year with still relatively cool mornings and depending on the wind direction, cloud can get trapped under a high and be really stubborn to clear. But with the setup this week and also a breeze/strong wind to break any cloud up, plus humidity levels relatively low, it looks like this high pressure is going to deliver a lot of sunshine.

This sunshine is now quite strong, but still only bringing medium UV levels for a few hours around lunchtime, but the sun is now as strong as early-September.

Monday was disappointing this week but that wasn’t due to cloud getting stuck under a high pressure, that was due to a weather-front to our northwest being further southeast than expected, and the cloud was thick enough, so it didn’t slowly thin until later in the day.

Rain. When will it rain next? The answer to that is, it looks like it could well be close to a couple of weeks before we see the return to unsettled conditions and spells of wind and rain.

The high pressure that’s over us at the moment will slip away but only to be replaced by another one and that high is expected to hang around into next week and our weather will have an omega block, which means, as per diagram below, a very stubborn pattern to shift. Now if you have this block with a cloudy-high, you then end up with anticyclonic gloom which can lead to very dank and boring weather days. But this time the forecast suggests that it will be days of sunshine instead.

The high pressure also means settled weather which means dry weather. It’s pretty much getting to the time now, after a dry February, and the driest March for 60 years across parts of the UK, where we need to water the gardens. This dry start to spring is not unusual, but if we have a relatively dry remainder of spring then we only need a dry and hot at times, summer to lead to really dry conditions across the UK and possibly a drought. But it is the UK after all. So it’s more likely to become wetter-than-average once again. What late-spring and summer brings? Nobody knows.

Has the risk of frost passed? Not quite. With clear skies and, at times, winds easing overnight, there will be some pockets of frost, mostly a ground-frost with surface temperatures down to -1°C. So water the gardens in the morning if you can.

Thursday: One of the warmest days of the week, especially the further west you are. Plenty of sunshine after a cool start but it will be very windy at times, especially gusty on the western side of the Pennines. Max 19°C Min 3°C Max Gusts 35mph

Friday: More of the same. Sunny and warm but feeling it more so if you’re sheltered from the gusty wind. High diurnal values. Max 20°C Min 2°C Wind Gusts 30mph

Weekend: Cooler but still plenty of sunshine.

Saturday: Slightly cooler air from the northeast but still a great day with wall-to-wall sunshine expected. Feeling cool in the neverending breeze. Ground-frost for most overnight. Max 15°C Min 0°C Wind Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Sunny and pleasant if you can find some shelter. Hopefully the wind will begin to ease a little. Dry and warm at times. Cold overnight. Max 16°C Min 1°C Wind Gusts 20mph

Outlook: It looks like high pressure stays in charge and winds will not be as strong as this week so feeling warmer as temperatures recover to the late-teens again. Plenty of sunshine and dry conditions. Cool nights with still some ground-frosts. Perfect. UV levels up to 4.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 2nd of April 2025 at 5:11pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.netweather.tv