Colder but short-lived – Thursday 19th November 2020 – Sunday 22nd November 2020

Hi all,

Winter is fast approaching and we will certainly feel the nip in the air for a short while this week. As the winds drag some colder conditions down from the North, expect some blue sunnier skies but it doesn’t last long as rain and milder temperatures return.

Thursday: A cold and windy start with showers moving south-east. With colder air in place these could be wintry on the Pennines, but they won’t hang around for long. The day will turn dry with plenty of sunny spells. Feeling much colder especially in the wind. Patchy frost for the first half of the night. Max 7°C

A brief plunge of colder air from the North for Thursday

Friday: Thicker cloud now covers the region with rain returning from the West quickly and feeling chilly. Becoming milder by evening. It will turn breezy. Max 11°C

Weekend: Improving slowly.

Saturday: The cloudy picture continues with rain at times adjusting to showers later. Windy and mild. Max 12°C

Sunday: A better day with sunny spells and the odd shower. Breezy and feeling cooler. Max 10°C

Outlook: Disappointing really. A lot of cloud with some patchy rain at times. Often breezy and temperatures around normal, 8-11°C. Hints of something brighter but colder towards the end of the week.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and up to date information on any severe weather.

Thanks for reading.
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of November 2020 at 16:40.
Image: http://www.netweather.tv

Several Severe Weather Warnings in force – Thursday 29th October 2020 – Sunday 1st November 2020

Hi all,

We’ve had typical autumnal weather this week with breezy conditions and rain at times and it’s not going to get any better in the short-term. If anything, worse.

**3 Severe Weather warnings in place** – Thursday 9am, pretty much all the way through to Sunday 23:59.

Thu/Fri: Met Office warning for heavy rain affecting the region. Further warnings on Twitter, @ChadWeather.

Thursday: You might be lucky to start dry but rain, heavy at times will arrive from the southwest. It will be breezy at times and with this airflow comes not only a lot moisture but milder air. Max 14°C

A wet Thursday with the highest totals on the hills

Friday: Rain continuing on and off for the day as pulses arrive from the southwest. A very mild day and remaining breezy. Max 15°C

Weekend: Very windy with further showers.

Saturday: Cloudy with rain spreading east during the day followed by showers. Winds increasing with gale-force gusts likely. Mild once again. Max 15°C

Sunday: Yep you’ve guessed it, another area of rain from the west swings through but this time quickly with bright spells and showers following. Turning cooler and very windy with 35-40mph gusts. Max 12°C

Around 2 inches of rain, locally more, between now and Monday.

Outlook: Wet and windy to start but high pressure has the chance to build to our southwest from midweek turning the weather more settled, calmer and drier. We’ll certainly need it after a week of rain with localised flooding possible.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 28th of October 2020 at 5:20pm.

Images: Met Office and http://www.wxcharts.com.

Mostly Cloudy and Quiet… for now – Thursday 15th October 2020 – Sunday 18th October 2020

Hi all,

After a few weeks of unsettled weather, and quite a bit of rainfall, the weather is going to settle down for a while. Unfortunately a lot of cloud to come and a cool-feel to boot.

Thursday: High pressure close by will mean plenty of dry weather with some bright spells. A fresh north-easterly wind. Chance of an isolated shower early and then late-afternoon/evening. Max 11°C

Friday: Little change, if anything more cloud feeding in from the east but generally dry once more after a cold start. Any breaks in the cloud overnight allowing temperatures to drop away. Max 11°C

Weekend: Mainly Overcast.

Saturday: A generally cloudy day, some low-cloud on the hills which could produce the odd pocket of drizzle. Otherwise quiet with little going on. Max 12°C

Sunday: No change. Feeling cool at times under a lot of cloud. Max 11°C

Outlook: Not much difference for most of Monday but as the wind swings more to the south, or southwest it will be slightly milder with rain lurking out west. Turning wet after that, especially midweek onwards and then cooler later in the week.

As we approach mid-October here are some of the latest stats for the month.

Max. Temp: 14.8°C
Min. Temp: 3.1°C
Total Rainfall: 94.2mm

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 14th of October at 6:20pm

Improvements by the Weekend – Thursday 8th October 2020 – Sunday 11th October 2020

Hi all,

I’m back for my usual weekly blog. No time last week but I’m here with the standard four-day outlook to help plan your weekend. Also, the stats for September are out.

Thursday: Cloudy with rain for the first part of the morning which will creep away southeastwards before lunch. Bright spells eventually following on behind. Max 13°C

Friday: Perhaps a dry start but brief as more rain arrives from the west hanging around for most of the day. Slightly drier towards evening and turning colder. Max 11°C

Weekend: Chilly but better.

Saturday: Breezy with a cold north to northwesterly wind which will bring the odd shower, especially in the west. Otherwise bright spells and a chilly night with a touch of ground-frost. Max 11°C

Sunday: Sunny spells but still a fresh steady breeze. Max 11°C

Outlook: Some rain expected on Monday then a few days of drier conditions with sunny spells. Looks likely to be unsettled again by the time we reach the weekend. Temperatures a little below normal with a cool breeze.

September 2020 Stats

Max 26.8°C (15th)
Min 2.5°C (28th)
Av. 13.0°C
Av. Dew Pt 9.5°C
Wettest 15.8mm (30th)
Av. Humidity 81%
Av. Barometer 1017.5 hPa
Max Gust 27.6 mph (25th)
Av. Wind Direction W
Rain 49.2mm
Rain Registered Days 14
Dry Days 16

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts and if you want to keep up with the live weather conditions then follow @OldhamWxStats.

Thanks for reading.
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th of October 2020 at 4:50pm.

Heatwave to end – Thursday 13th August 2020 – Sunday 16th August 2020

Hi all,

August didn’t start well but it certainly heated up and felt a lot more like summer even with the localised thundery downpours. Most people to the southeast of the Midlands, have been having a heatwave for over a week now. We only hit heatwave status on Monday as we touched the 25°C threshold and remained in that for the two days that followed, but it is now coming to an end. It’s been far too humid for my liking (head is pounding) and even though it will be getting cooler, it will still be quite muggy.

**Don’t forget your sun-cream – UV levels still high**

Thursday: It’s looking a slightly cloudy start, especially in the east, with sunny spells developing during the day. Less hot and a nice breeze developing. It’s looking mostly dry with the risk of thunderstorms quite low, but never say never. Max 25°C

Friday: Cloud will spill in from the east but will slowly break up during the day. Bright or sunny spells best in the west. Again, a small risk of a thunderstorm but it’s looking mostly dry. Humid and a little cooler. Max 23°C

Weekend: Scattered showers and a touch humid.

Saturday: A lot of cloud-cover but a few bright spells will sneak through. Generally a drier picture but isolated showers can’t be ruled out. Max 21°C

Sunday: Sunshine and showers, again some thundery, with the chance of showers more likely than yesterday. Max 20°C

Outlook: Bright or sunny spells and with mostly light winds the showers will be slow-moving. Temperatures back to average (18-20°C).

July 2020 Stats

Max 31.6°C (31st)
Min 7.2°C (12th)
Av. 14.1°C
Av. Dew Pt 10.9°C
Wettest 18.4mm (27th)
Av. Humidity 82%
Av. Barometer 1016 hPa
Max Gust 34.5 mph (5th)
Av. Wind Direction W
Rain 103.8mm (130% of average)
Rain Registered Days 24
Dry Days 7

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 12th of August 2020 at 4:35pm

Unsettled then improving next week – Thursday 2nd July 2020 – Sunday 5th July 2020

Hi all,

Meh. June might have had a brief ‘heatwave’ and reached 30°C but it delivered a lot of rain, 170% of the monthly average, mostly coming from thundery downpours, and overall was disappointing. Here’s July and although it’s a new month, there’s little change in our weather for now…..

As always at this time of the year when sunny – HIGH UV LEVELS – Wear sun-cream.

Thursday: Rain to start, pushing away to the south and turning showery. Bright spells later and drier towards evening. Max 18°C

Friday: Cloud thickening throughout the day with rain slowly spreading in, with some heavy bursts. Becoming windy with extensive hill-fog. Max 16°C

Weekend: Still unsettled.

Low pressure drives the weekend weather

Saturday: A band of rain moving southeast to be replaced by a few showers and the odd bright spell. Breezy. Max 17°C

Sunday: A windy day with scattered showers and some bright or sunny spells in between. Max 18°C

Outlook: It looks like high pressure will slowly edge in from the southwest (just) settling the weather down. So drier and brighter with sunny spells breaking out as the week progresses. Temperatures a little disappointing at first but then recovering to around 20°C towards the end of the week. With areas of rain to the northwest we might see some breezy days but we will live with that after recent conditions.

June 2020 Stats

Max 30.0°C (25th)
Min 6.3°C (5th)
Av. 14.6°C
Av. Dew Pt 10.3°C
Wettest 39.8mm (16th)
Av. Humidity 77%
Av. Barometer 1012.7 hPa
Max Gust 39.1mph
Av. Wind Direction WSW
Rain 132.6mm
Rain Registered Days 19
Dry Days 11

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up with the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 1st of July 2020 at 7:40pm
Image: https://www.wxcharts.com/

Thunderstorms easing and turning fresher – Thursday 18th June 2020 – Sunday 21st June 2020

Hi all,

Well that was a lively few days as isolated thunderstorms delivered record-breaking rainfall and flash-flooding. We’ve certainly made up for a dry few months but that said, not everywhere saw these storms and remain desperate for some rain.

Record-breaking yesterday as the afternoon storm dropped 23.2mm in 53 minutes – the highest rainfall total in any 1-hour period (4:06pm-4:59pm). I have records since August 2012. 14.8mm of that fell in just 17 mins (4:07pm-4:24pm). Then the evening’s storm (total 13mm) at its peak, dropped 8mm in 8 mins!!

Lightning in Chadderton during Tuesday evening’s storm

Thursday: A band of rain will move northwest across the region, arriving early-morning. This will hang around for most of the day. Perhaps the odd rumble of thunder but this is a more general area of rain, rather than isolated developing thunderstorms. Still humid. Max 18°C

Friday: A better day all round, plenty of sunny spells on offer, but still some isolated showers for the afternoon, which again could be thundery and beefy. Warm. Max 20°C

Weekend: Turning fresher.

Saturday: Sunny spells becoming bright spells as cloud thickens from the west. Rain will arrive later but not expected until overnight. Becoming breezy. Max 20°C

A cold front will bring rain overnight on Saturday and introduce fresher air for Sunday

Sunday: Early rain moves on then sunny spells developing. Still warm but we will have lost the humid air so feeling fresher. Windy. Max 19°C

Outlook: Looks to settle down as long as high pressure can build from the south-west. Plenty of warm sunny spells, perhaps becoming very warm for a day or so midweek. Overall drier.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 17th of June 2020 at 1:45pm
Image: https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/

Becoming humid – Thursday 11th June 2020 – Sunday 14th June 2020

Hi all,

It’s been a bit of an unsettled week, something we haven’t been used to since lockdown began but at least we’ve had some welcome rain (27.2mm this month). Warmer air is on its way back.

Thursday: A cloudy morning with some showers pushing in from the east. It will tend to be a drier and brighter afternoon but rain back late-evening. Feeling warmer despite it being particularly windy with 35mph gusts. Max 17°C

Friday: Remaining windy with some morning showers pushing away. Bright spells follow and it will start to feel a little humid. Max 19°C

Weekend: Muggy and warm with winds easing. Risk of a storm.

Saturday: Any early heavy rain moves away to the north then warm sunny spells develop and not as windy as recently. Winds will start to shift southeasterly and it will become humid and with this muggy air, a few hefty showers or even thunderstorms could arrive for the evening or even late-afternoon. Max 21°C

Dew points on the rise meaning it will feel muggy and humid this weekend

Sunday: Overall a drier day for most with just a scattering of showers. Still warm and humid (perhaps not as much as Saturday) with some sunny spells. Most likely to be the best day of the weekend. Max 22°C

Outlook: Mostly settled at first with warm bright spells and the odd shower. Temperatures around 20°C. General thinking after that is, warm, a little humid at times with a risk of downpours/thunderstorms.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 10th of June at 6:25pm
Image: https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/

More Wind & Rain – Thursday 20th February 2020 – Sunday 23rd February 2020

Hi all,

OK, I’ve had enough. It’s cold, it’s miserable and the forecast doesn’t get any better. I’m ready for Spring now. Who remembers late-February last year? We enjoyed warm sunshine. What I would give for those conditions right now (I’d be on the golf course!). Meanwhile the risk of localised flooding continues.

Thursday: The morning sees an active band of squally rain move southeast. Initially quite mild but much colder air will arrive by lunchtime after the rain has moved through. Some sleet or snow on the back edge can’t be ruled out, especially above 200M. Sunny spells and scattered wintry showers for the afternoon with hail and thunder & lightning. Feeling cold in a gusty west-to-northwesterly wind. Max 8°C (in the morning)

Friday: Milder with strong southwesterly winds, gusting to 40mph. Cloudy with rain at times but initially most of the rain is likely to fall in the hills and on exposed southwest-facing areas. Therefore the rain-shadow might come into play again keeping it ‘drier’ around Manchester/west of Oldham. The rain will move on through overnight giving a spell of heavy rain for all. Max 10°C

Weekend: Windy with more rain.

Saturday: Some rain to start. Staying mostly cloudy, odd bright spell during the day with a few showers. Very windy with 45mph gusts. Max 9°C

Sunday: Windy with periods of rain but winds not as strong. Max 9°C

Outlook: Bright spells and showers, come wintry midweek. Remaining breezy. No sign of colder, snowy weather, nor warmer and settled.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks for reading.
Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 19th of February 2020 at 3:50pm

The Calm Before Storm Ciara – Thursday 6th February 2020 – Sunday 9th February 2020

Hi all,

WOW – that’s January done with already and the stats are in. It was a month delivering below average rainfall (yes you heard that correctly) but much milder conditions than the norm. Now we have a few days of high pressure, literally bringing the ‘calm before the storm’, or will that be storms?

Thursday: High pressure in charge, so a chilly start with some patchy frost and fog. Some sunny spells developing during the day. Dry with light winds. Max 7°C

Friday: The high will start to drift away to the east. We will get through daylight hours dry with bright or sunny spells. Less in the way of fog or mist to start as the southeasterly wind picks up making it feel cold. Rain overnight. Max 6°C

Weekend: The Jet Stream is starting up its engines and there is a big change on the way.

Saturday: There could be a band of rain to start but this will ease away quickly to leave a reasonable day with some sunny spells. The wind will start to swing to a southwesterly and will increase in strength as the day progresses. 40mph gusts possible by evening as it turns cloudy with rain arriving. Max 9°C

Storm Ciara, named by the UK Met Office, arrives Saturday night into Sunday

Sunday: Very windy with heavy rain, followed by frequently blustery showers. It will be very mild early on but turning colder into the evening. Details for Storm Ciara will firm up nearer the time. Currently we are in for gusts of up to 55-70mph with some structural damage possible; but this could downgrade slightly if the position of the low changes. As colder air digs in overnight, the showers will turn wintry, with an increasing risk of snow on the hills. Max 11°C

Outlook: It will remain windy on Monday/Tuesday with wintry showers, so expect rain, hail, sleet, snow and some thunder and lightning. Gusts of 40-50mph still likely during the showers. During the week, there is the potential for another storm to develop, Storm Dennis, so keep your eyes peeled on my updates. Later in the week it looks less cold but unsettled with further spells of rain.

January 2020 Stats

Max 12.3°C (7th)
Min -2.7°C (19th)
Av. 6.0°C
Av. Dew Pt 4.3°C
Wettest 17.4mm (11th)
Av. Humidity 89%
Av. Barometer 1017.2 hPa
Max Gust 41.4mph (13th)
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 72.8mm (Av. is 100mm)
Rain Registered Days 24
Dry Days 7
Air Frosts 2

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and details on any severe weather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 5th of February 2020 at 4:05pm