Snow on the way – Thursday 6th January 2022 – Sunday 9th January 2022

Hi all,

Happy New Year to everyone. All the best for 2022 and hopefully a better year all round for us all.

After a cold start to December we ended it very mild with temperatures locally up to 15°C. It was the 5th mildest December in the last 10 years so nothing extreme either way.

Stats for the whole year vs. previous years coming soon…

A widespread harsh frost to start Thursday.

Thursday: A cold start with a widespread frost. Sunny spells for a time then cloud thickening. Rain, sleet and hill-snow will move east from around lunchtime. Snow amounts small but a couple of cms above 250M possible before it turns to rain and it turns slightly milder. Warning in place for the hills/Pennines. Max 5°C

A wedge of less cold air on Thursday afternoon.

Overnight Thursday into Friday: Turning colder again with showers becoming frequent and turning increasingly wintry. Warning in place.

Warning for Snow: Overnight Thursday into Friday morning.

Friday: Potential for some hefty snow showers for some during the morning. Some of the wintry showers falling as hail and sleet. The afternoon will tend to dry up as showers ease. Breezy and feeling sub-zero. Max 4°C

Snow showers expected on Friday morning. Accumulations of several cms possible; more on the hills.

Weekend: Rain returns.

Saturday: Cloudy with pulses of heavy rain arriving from the west. Perhaps some brief sleet/wet-snow for the hills. All this will turn more showery into the evening. Breezy and turning milder. Max 7°C

Periods of heavy rain pushing in on Saturday, as less cold air returns once again.

Sunday: Any morning showers easing and a drier day but mostly cloudy. Windy. Patchy rain arriving towards evening. Max 6°C

Outlook: Very mild for a time on Monday with temperatures into double-figures again. High pressure looks set to build this week, so plenty of dry weather. A lot of cloud though so frosts limited and temperatures above normal, 7-9°C.

High pressure eventually builds in next week.

December 2021 Stats

Max 13.3°C (30th)
Min -0.7°C (19th)
Av. 5.6°C
Wettest 25.2mm (8th)
Av. Humidity 90%
Av. Barometer 1011.7 hPa
Max Gust 34.5mph (7th)
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 128mm (102% of average)
Rain Registered Days 25
Dry Days 6
Snow Falling Days 5

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 5th of January 2022 at 7:05pm.

Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Storm Barra fades, milder and drier conditions ahead – Thursday 9th December 2021 – Sunday 12th December 2021

Hi all,

Another eventful week with plenty of rain, wind and some hill-snow. The second named-storm of the season, Storm Barra, brought ferocious winds to parts of Ireland and gale-force gusts to our region followed by a lot of rainfall, 22mm alone today.

We have certainly missed the worst of these storms and typically this is weather we are used to in winter. Storm Barra filled (lost intensity) quickly on Wednesday but its position meant we were subject to bouts of rain, hail, sleet and hill-snow on a strong WNW wind. Any dry days ahead? We certainly need some as it’s rained or snowed the last 10 out of 11 days.

Thursday: Cloudy with any showers easing then bright spells. Much-improved on Wednesday but some rain returning towards evening. Chilly. Max 6°C

Friday: A cool NW’ly airflow with some scattered wintry showers and bright spells. Max 6°C

Weekend: Some rain as temperatures rise.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy but dry to start. Patchy rain spreading across the region later in the morning and into the afternoon. Max 7°C

Sunday: Another cloudy day with some patchy light rain or drizzle. Much milder than recently as we return to double-figure temperatures for the first time in 3 weeks (20th November). Max 13°C

Outlook: Further patchy rain on Monday and mild but thereafter high pressure looks set to build, settling the week down to mostly cloudy skies, dry weather with a cool breeze. Temperatures dropping back to normal. No sign of a cold snap before Christmas.

Just for Fun: I’ll take a punt that Christmas will be milder-than-average, cloudy and mostly dry. Still 17 days to go so plenty of time to change

Follow @ChadWeather for local weather forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 8th of December 2021 at 6:40pm
Image: http://www.wxcharts.com

Remaining chilly to start Winter – Thursday 2nd December 2021 – Sunday 5th December 2021

Hi all,

Well what a week of weather that was. The first named-storm of the season, Storm Arwen, arrived (Friday night) bringing locally severe gale-force gusts, an inch of rain, then much colder, Arctic air followed with a surprising snow event on the Sunday.

We certainly escaped the extreme winds that Arwen delivered. These were felt to our NE and SW with some local amateur weather stations in exposed elevated locations recording over 100mph. From Oldham council’s collection of weather stations, the highest gust was on Windy Hill at 58.4mph. We got off lightly.

As I wrote my blog a week ago and even a day before the weekend, it was looking like Sunday would be the calm after the storm with plenty of blue skies and sunshine but the day’s forecast changed quickly. A small feature developed during Saturday, to the NW of Scotland, with a possible SE’ly track which meant sleet or snow was now in the forecast for Sunday.

Even going into Saturday night it was unclear how much precipation would fall and what the actual track would be. Some computer models, notably the one the Met Office use, did not have this on their radar for us. Sunday dawned and a few computer models forecast the system very well and the wintry feature tracked SE.

By Sunday morning it was clear that we were in for several hours of snow (sleet and rain if you were much further W). It snowed quite heavily at times and between 11am and 3:30pm, with a total of 5cm accumulating here in Chadderton. Not bad considering the models, that did forecast the event, were suggesting 1-3cm. And all this still in Autumn.

In fact Sunday, November the 28th, was the coldest November day I have ever recorded with a maximum of +0.1C, almost an ice day. What followed for the evening was light winds, clear skies and plummeting temperatures, aided by the snow-cover. It then turned out to be the coldest November night I have ever recorded too, at -6.3C; values that will take some beating in winter itself.

My walk down Rochdale canal started dry but ended snowy – Sunday (28/11)
A snowy Chadderton Hall Park – Sunday (28/11)
Time to take the sledge out – Sunday (28/11)
It was a bitter Monday morning (29/11) with temperatures down to -7°C widely and -10°C in parts of Lancashire
Ashton-under-Lyne in the snow on Monday morning (29/11)

Thursday: Arctic air is back in place with a widespread frost to start and icy patches. Plenty of sunny spells on offer with a keen wind. Cloud arriving later in the day with a spell of rain overnight (perhaps a little sleet or wet-snow on the tops briefly). Milder overnight. Max 4°C Min 1°C

Friday: Rain moves away to be replaced by mostly cloudy conditions and although most will be dry, some patchy light rain/drizzle will be around. Max 8°C Min 4°C

Weekend: Colder again.

Saturday: Early rain replaced by bright spells and frequent wintry showers, falling as snow on the hills. Feeling cold in a gusty NW’ly. Max 6°C Min 0°C

Sunday: Windy but dry with sunny spells. That N’ly breeze making it feel cold once again. Frosty after dark. Max 5°C Min -2°C

Outlook: Favourable to stay on the cold side with showers at times, which will be wintry in places, more so on the hills. Some models hint at a day (maybe Tuesday) of very windy weather followed by a respite then more rain/hill-snow. Certainly an unsettled and changeable week.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and weather warnings.

Thanks for reading as always,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 1st of December 2021 at 8:55pm

Featured Photo: Chadderton Hall Park on Sunday (28/11)

Risk of snow and strong winds as an early taste of winter bites – Thursday 25th November 2021 – Sunday 28th November 2021

Hi all,

All eyes on the weather this weekend as it turns colder, windier and in places wintry. Although we will escape the worst of the elements, it’s still a taster of the change of seasons. Will we see some snow? I’m expecting some to fall but more so on the hills where it could settle for a short period. With the ground still ‘warm’ at this time of year, settling snow doesn’t normal hang around long in areas away from elevation.

Thursday: A lovely day with plenty of sunshine after a frosty start. Feeling cold in the breeze. Cloud, wind and rain arriving later (overnight). Max 6°C

Friday: A deep area of low pressure will be swinging down from the NW which will bring the early rain. Colder air will dig in and the rain will turn showery. These showers will turn increasingly wintry especially over the hills (>300M), falling as sleet and snow. Hail is also expected with perhaps a rumble of thunder. Windy especially during the showers. A spell of rain and hill-snow possible overnight. Max 7°C

Weekend: Cold with a biting wind.

Saturday: During the early hours rain with some hill-snow (watch Twitter for updates) will move in, quickly clearing to plenty of sunny spells during the morning. A scattering of wintry showers for the afternoon. Most notable will be the bitter, sub-zero wind-chill. There is a weather warning in place for strong and gusty winds; 40mph widely but 55mph can’t be ruled out in exposed places. Raw day. Max 5°C

Sunday: Despite the breeze the day will start frosty with some icy patches. A mostly dry day with plenty of sunshine but very cold. Max 4°C

Outlook: Turning milder into Monday with rain, preceded by hill-snow. Tuesday should see us back up to double-figure temperatures with further rain. Colder later in the week with wintry showers returning.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 24 of November 2021 at 8:15pm.

Colder next week? – Thursday 11th November 2021 – Sunday 14th November 2021

Hi all,

November is turning out to be a mild month despite a couple of frosty mornings and a chilly start. This mild theme will continue but there were some hints at something colder, perhaps from the Arctic, into the latter part of the month but latest computer models suggest the Atlantic pattern will win out and we stick to relatively mild southwesterly winds.

Thursday: A brief ridge of high pressure so dry with bright spells for the morning. Cloud thickening later in the day with a few showers out west. Max 12°C

Friday: Low pressure out to the west will move in, so becoming breezy with patchy rain here and there. A little milder. Max 13°C

Weekend: Generally settled.

Saturday: Cloudy with limited brightness but it should remain dry. A light northerly breeze. Max 12°C

Sunday: Little change. Mostly overcast with some brightness, especially west-facing areas as the wind turns easterly but remains light. Max 12°C

Outlook: Generally a lot of cloud but mostly dry as high pressure centres over mainland Europe. As the week progresses the weather will become wetter and windier as the Atlantic influence returns. Temperatures around average. No sign of the snowfall some of the media keep ‘predicting’ and even frosts will be lacking.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 10th of November 2021 at 10:05pm

Turning milder and cloudier after a frosty start – Thursday 4th November 2021 – Sunday 7th November 2021

Hi all,

A new month and a change to conditions more accustomed to the time of year as we saw temperatures fall away after what was a mild October. The month started very wet on Monday with most places seeing over an inch of rain leading to some localised flooding.

Since the deluge we’ve seen drier and calmer conditions with just a few isolated showers around. The settled theme will continue but after some recent sunny spells we will be slipping back into a cloudier and milder weather pattern.

I took advantage of the sunny morning on Wednesday with a walk around Greenbooth and its reservoirs.

There is certainly no sign of any snow yet and definitely no exact date of when it will arrive 😂. That is just more media clickbait.

Thursday: First frost of the season to start your day with a coating of white and some lovely blue skies. Sunny spells the order of the day and remaining dry. A slight northerly breeze. Turning cold quickly after dark with a frost again for the first part of the night before it turns cloudier from the northwest. Max 9°C Min 1°C

Friday: High pressure will be slipping into our southwest but with it a lot of cloud toppling in from the west to northwest with some localised light rain or drizzle. Winds picking up and milder air will arrive. Max 12°C Min 8°C

Weekend: Some patchy rain later on Saturday.

Saturday: Cloudy with a fresh breeze. Cloud thick enough later for some sporadic rain towards evening. Max 12°C Min 8°C

Sunday: Looking at another cloudy day but there might be a bit of brightness here and there. Mostly dry and similar temperatures. Max 11°C Min 7°C

Outlook: Little change with plenty of cloud. Rain or drizzle towards midweek then showery. Temperatures 10-12°C with no frosts on the cards.

📊 October 2021 Stats

Max 18.7°C (8th)
Min 3.3°C (21st)
Av. 11.2°C
Wettest 10.8mm (20th)
Av. Humidity 86%
Av. Barometer 1012.8 hPa
Max Gust 34.5mph (31st)
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 102.4mm (86% of average)
Rain Registered Days 23
Dry Days 8

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 3rd of November 2021 at 6:40pm.

First Autumn Chill – Thursday 21st October 2021 – Sunday 24th October 2021

Hi all,

October can be a funny month, delivering Autumn chills or in fact Indian Summers late in the month. This week we have experienced some warm days despite the rain but it’s the colder air that arrives to start off the forecast.

Thursday: Much colder air moves in across the region. Plenty of sunny skies with just the chance of a shower but isolated. Windy making it feel even colder. Max 11°C

Much colder air arrives for Thursday but it won’t last long as westerly winds return

Friday: A ridge of high pressure cuts off the northerly airflow so not as cold. Some showers feeding in off the Irish Sea. Breezy with some sunny spells mixed in. Still feeling fresh. Max 11°C

Weekend: Becoming less settled and milder.

Saturday: A dry and bright morning but cloud increasing and rain arriving later in the day; most likely towards evening or overnight. Max 13°C

We should escape with a dry Saturday during daylight hours with rain not arriving until late-evening

Sunday: Early rain replaced by bright spells and a few showers. Breezy but milder. Max 14°C

Outlook: The Jet Stream will control our weather so unsettled with spells of rain/showers coming in off the Atlantic and temperatures around normal for the time of year. No sign of any early snow or frosts; just a typical autumnal week.

Our British weather is ever-changing so follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 20th of October 2021 at 6pm
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Some rain but quite warm – Thursday 16th September 2021 – Sunday 19th September 2021

Hi all,

There’s a bit of a battle-ground continuing across the UK. Low pressure is trying to get in from the Atlantic over the next few days but high pressure to the northeast continues to weaken the weather fronts as they arrive.

Thursday: Any early mist or fog will lift into low-cloud which will break to allow some sunny spells to develop. Feeling pleasantly warm. Max 19°C

Friday: A weather front will be moving in from the west but weakening as the day progresses. So after a dry start there will be some sunny spells. Cloud will thicken towards late-afternoon and some patchy rain is possible overnight. Breeze picking up. Warm. Max 20°C

Weekend: Some rain.

Saturday: Early cloud and a few showers will move away and hopefully the cloud will break to allow for some bright spells, but then more showers are likely to develop. Max 19°C

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a few showers. Max 19°C

Outlook: Low pressure to the northwest of the UK will try to send bands of rain or showers southeast across the region. With high pressure to the northeast and southwest of the UK, this will act as a barrier, attempting to keep the fronts at bay and if any fronts do make it southeast across the region, the high will help to weaken them and turn any rain light and patchy. In between all of this, sunny spells and maximum temperatures remaining around average, 17-18°C. No sign of the first Autumn frost just yet or an Indian Summer.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and weather warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of September 2021 at 10pm.

Thundery breakdown – Thursday 9th September 2021 – Sunday 12th September 2021

Hi all,

August, these days, turns out to be a poor month and 2021 was no exception with below average temperatures and a real lack of sunshine. That said, the rainfall amounts were below normal as the month ended with 10 dry days. But how did our Summer compare to recent Summers. I have data, for complete Summers, since 2013; so I’ll try and do some stats on this for next week’s blog.

Thursday: After two hot and humid days the weather breaks with low pressure drifting in bringing thundery showers with some localised downpours (warning in place). Early morning showers clear to a drier spell with some bright spells. Heavy thundery showers form during the afternoon. Cooler temperatures but still feeling muggy. Max 21°C

Thundery showers developing on Thursday afternoon

Friday: Mostly cloudy with some bright spells but showers developing as the day progresses, again heavy with the chance of hail and thunder and lightning. Max 19°C

Low pressure remains in control on Friday leading to further downpours

Weekend: A quieter weekend ahead.

Saturday: Light winds and although there will be plenty of cloud there will be some bright spells. Chance of a rogue shower in the hills. Max 19°C

Sunday: Little change albeit cooler. Mostly dry with some brightness. Max 17°C

Outlook: Ex-hurricane Larry will be mixing in with the Jet Stream so throws some uncertainty into our forecast. Latest model outputs suggests the low pressure swings to our NW allowing pressure to build. So a few days of settled weather with sunny spells, before a return to showery conditions with temperatures around normal. 

August 2021 Stats

Max 21.4°C (2nd)
Min 0.0°C (22nd)
Av. 15.0°C
Wettest 22.6mm (8th)
Av. Humidity 82%
Av. Barometer 1017.4 hPa
Max Gust 27.6mph (8th)
Av. Wind Direction W
Rain 70.6mm
Rain Registered Days 16
Dry Days 15

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings. 

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 8th of September 2021 at 9:05pm.
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

No Heatwave on the cards – Thursday 12th August 2021 – Sunday 15th August 2021

Hi all,

August. The final summer month and so far so… poor, with only a couple of days in the 20s and half-a-month’s worth of rain falling in just 3 days. It can only get better, right?

August so far

Thursday: Sunny spells for the morning. Cloud arriving from the southwest during the day but it is expected to remain dry but a breezy with 20-25mph gusts. Max 21°C

Friday: Windy with some bright spells. Most places dry but the odd shower can’t be ruled out. Cooler. Max 19°C

Weekend: Wet Saturday.

Saturday: An area of rain was set to move across Southern England but latest models suggest it comes right across NW England, so a cloudy day with rain at times. Max 18°C

Rain predicted further north that originally thought for Saturday

Sunday: Sunny spells and a fresh northwesterly breeze which will blow in some showers for the afternoon. Max 18°C

Outlook: Breezy on Monday with bright spells and the odd shower, especially in the East. As the week goes on high pressure will try and build and move in from the southwest/west but this isn’t certain. The week looks mostly bright and dry but amounts of warm sunshine will increase if the high builds.

High pressure out West next week trying to move in
No heatwave on the cards – Max temps at midday on Thursday the 19th of August

Thanks for reading and you can follow me for forecasts on Twitter, @ChadWeather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 11th of August 2021 at 8:25pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com; http://www.weatheronline.co.uk