A day of heat then perhaps out with a bang before cooling off with further showers – Thursday 23rd June 2022 – Sunday 26th June 2022

Hi all,

It’s been a lovely working week so far. Just how I like it. Plenty of summer sunshine and temperatures only peaking into the early-20s. We now need rain. We’ve only had 19mm this month and our gardens and my golf course are desperate. Things are about to change and it involves some rain, albeit tricky to pin down the forecast.

Thursday: A hot day with plenty of sunshine during the morning. Cloud will bubble up later in the day with the risk of an isolated thunderstorm or two drifting up from the south. This risk continues into the night. A muggy night ahead with temperatures only slipping under 20°C before midnight. Max 27°C

The heat breaks later on Thursday with thunderstorms moving up from the south. How far north these get, keeping their intensity, is the question.

Friday: A cloudier day and cooler after a humid start. Any early thundery showers easing then a day of occasional bright spells with scattered showers developing again into the afternoon, perhaps thundery. Max 21°C

Weekend: Hard to forecast showers.

Saturday: Bright spells for the morning. Showers could pop up for the afternoon but this is tricky to forecast at this stage. With the low pressure out west we could well get away with a reasonable day. Breezy and cooler than recently but pleasantly warm in any sunshine. Max 19°C

Saturday not as bad as first feared?

Sunday: Quite unsettled with frequent showers developing into the afternoon with possible hail and thunder. Windy. Max 18°C

Showery Sunday on the cards.

Outlook: Temperatures around average with sunny spells and frequent hefty showers. Risk of thunderstorms. Hints of it warming up again later in the week but the risk of showers remains.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 22nd of June 2022 at 9:40pm.
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Brief Burst of Heat then Cool – Thursday 16th June 2022 – Sunday 19th June 2022

Hi all,

The first heatwave of the summer has arrived in parts of the UK, something I hinted at in my blog on the 18th of May.

It was forecast a few days prior and could well see temperatures of 35°C being recorded before a thundery breakdown, threatening the UK June record.

These plumes of hot air tend to happen a few times during the summer months and more often than not drift east and miss the UK altogether, so hard to predict.

They are also usually short-lived, and for us, it will literally be one day of ‘heatwave’ temperatures, so not officially a heatwave across the region.

Thursday: A generally cloudy but warm and increasingly humid day with some sunny spells especially during the morning. Mostly light southerly winds. A warm night. Max 23°C Min 15°C

Friday: More in the way of sunshine after a cloudy start and it looks likely that we will be in the northwestern area of a hot plume of air from the south, originating from Spain. The heat and humidity could well trigger a sharp shower into the afternoon but very isolated. Cloud increasing overnight. Depending on how far northwest the airmass gets will mean a range of temperatures. Max 25-29°C Min 13°C

Weekend: Up to 12°C cooler!

Saturday: A cold-front will move southeast during the morning pushing away the hot and humid air. Some rain is possible to start the day but patchy. Slowly it will become drier but remain mostly cloudy. Much cooler. Max 16°C Min 10°C

There is some uncertainty to the following 24 hours as the heatwave breaks. Low pressure forming to the south means a band of persistent rain is going to form but where this sits across England and Wales remains to be seen. Locally over an inch of rain could be on the cards. Currently this band is set to sit just to the south of us, but a shift north isn’t out of the question. One to watch.

Sunday: A brisk, cool and gusty north-to-northwesterly wind bringing a few showers and mostly cloudy skies – unless the rain-band moves from its forecasted position. Max 16°C Min 9°C

Outlook: Temperatures slightly below average, 16-18°C, next week with a fresh and steady, westerly wind. Sunny spells and occasional showers can’t be ruled out but with high pressure trying to push in from the southwest it could well be drier, slightly warmer and with sunny spells to end the week.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 15th of June 2022 at 6:45pm.

Ex-Tropical Storm Alex to bring a breezy but reasonable weekend – Thursday 9th June 2022 – Sunday 12th June 2022

Hi all,

I’m back with the weekly blogs after a 2-week rest sunning myself in Rhodes.

It’s been a disappointing start to the meteorological summer with plenty of showers and breezy conditions. Temperatures still haven’t reached 20°C as we pass the first week of June.

Thursday: Early cloud and any rain clearing to sunny spells. Cloudier during the afternoon as some patchy showery rain pushes in towards evening. Breezy and quite warm. Max 18°C

Friday: Windy but warm with plenty of sunny spells. Unlucky to see a shower so mostly dry. Max 20°C

Weekend: Breezy, quite warm to start, and mostly dry but can’t rule out rogue showers.

Saturday: Windy once more with 30mph gusts. Sunny spells developing and it should stay dry. Just the chance of a shower on the hills. Max 18°C

Sunday: Cooler temperatures expected but similar weather with bright or sunny spells and generally dry conditions. More in the way of cloud compared to yesterday. Max 16°C

Outlook: No sign of a summer yet (maybe warming up for the last 10 days of June). Next week looks to be disappointing on the thermometer with temperatures between 15-17°C. Plenty of cloud around with a strong westerly breeze at times. Occasional showers throughout the week too. Take me back to Rhodes!

Below-average temperatures to start next week.

May 2022 Stats

Max 21.9°C (14th)
Min 5.6°C (28th)
Av. 12.1°C
Wettest 14mm (16th)
Av. Humidity 78%
Av. Barometer 1017.9 hPa
Max Gust 28mph
Av. Wind Direction WSW
Rain 51.2mm (below average)
Rain Registered Days 24 (grim)
Dry Days 7

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks for reading. I hope you find these weekly blogs useful and any feedback is always welcome.

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 8th June 2022 at 10:15pm
Image: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com