Foggy & Very Limited Rainfall for the Foreseeable – Thursday 13th January 2022 – Sunday 16th January 2022

Hi all,

What we need now is dry weather and a good spell of it, after recent bouts of rain, sleet and snow. It’s time to give our gardens and sport pitches a breather! And I have welcome news!

High pressure is set to dominate the weather for the foreseeable, so although to a weatherman the outlook is quite uneventful, we will need to look out for a few hazards. Some areas saw sunshine this week but now it seems the cloud and dense fog will take over.

Thursday: A misty or foggy start and where any clear skies have developed it will also be a frosty start. Sunny spells developing in places, but not for all, as some unlucky few stay stuck under fog or low-cloud all day. Max 5°C but more like 1°C where it stays foggy.

Friday: Very little change, if anything the fog could well be more widespread, therefore sunshine limited and feeling chilly. But importantly, dry with light winds. Max 4°C

Weekend: Dry and misty.

Very little to no rainfall to come over the next 7 days

Saturday: Cold but perhaps a bit more of a breeze as this high pressure slips away. Still the risk of fog and a dry and mostly cloudy day. If we can increase the breeze a bit then hopefully the cloud breaks and some brightness sneaks through, but this doesn’t seem likely. Max 4°C

Sunday: It looks like another high pressure will build in from the west to replace the one slipping away. With it, more of a westerly flow, so not as cold and hopefully less in the way of fog. More dry weather though so we can’t grumble although a nearby weakening weather-front could pop-up a shower. Max 7°C

Outlook: Very boring with a lot of settled weather. High pressure looks set to be around for the whole week, so the dry conditions continue, mostly cloudy skies with a bit of brightness. Any breaks overnight allowing for some frost/fog. Very little fluctuation in daytime (6°C) and night-time temperatures (2°C). Hints of something a little colder from the North later in the week.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 12th of January 2022 at 8:50pm

A cold and windy Christmas Day – Thursday 23rd December 2021 – Boxing Day 26th December 2021

Hi all,

Finally the Christmas week blog. If you follow weather on social media, you will have seen the debates, and flip-flop model outputs, of a mild Christmas vs. a cold potentially snowy Christmas for days and days now. For snow-lovers; close but no cigar.

If you were hoping for a sledge or snowball fight on Christmas Day then look away now. Save those thoughts for the New Year! A standard UK winter lies ahead over the festive period.

Thursday: Cloudy and a milder day across the region after two quite cold days. Bands of patchy rain and drizzle moving north-east during the day. Max 10°C

Christmas Eve: Remaining mild for the time of year and again generally cloudy. Some rain arriving later in the day and overnight. Winds increasing. Max 8°C

Weekend: Colder but not the snowy Christmas we (some) wanted.

Christmas Day: A cold easterly wind which will be quite strong and gusty. Overcast with rain, patchy at times, easing. Another band of rain later. Winds gusting to 30mph and making it feel close to 0°C. High up, on the Pennines for example, there could well be the odd flake of wet-snow mixed in. Remember, only one flake makes it a White Christmas. Max 5°C

850 hPa temps (1.5km above sea-level) – Not quite in the cold air for Christmas Day

Boxing Day: Little change expected; cloudy with some light rain. The battle of cold air to the north-east and milder air to the south-west remains locked. It will feel chilly but we’re not exactly in the colder airmass. Max 6°C

Outlook: It looks like the milder air will eventually win out and it will become unsettled with spells of rain and wind. Temperatures slipping into double-figures to end 2021.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts and warnings.

I would like to wish you all a very Merry Christmas and all the best for 2022!

Thanks for all your tweets, photos and kind words this year.

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 22nd of December 2021 at 4:20pm.
Image: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Finally, a dry spell, but sunshine a rarity, as it slowly becomes colder – Thursday 16th December 2021 – Sunday 19th December 2021

Hi all,

What a poor start to December with 77.4mm of rain already fallen here at HQ (higher in the hills) – that’s 127% of the average for the first 15 days of the month. We desperately need dry weather and that is certainly what the outlook brings.

High pressure is now going to take charge of our weather and hold off our normal Atlantic-influenced weather that brings rain and wind-storms. The high pressure is set to become strong and very stubborn to shift and looks set to hang around for a good while, even up to Christmas Day. High pressure can bring plenty of dry weather as we know, but also a lot of sunny skies in summer, when the sun is strong enough to burn through any persistent cloud. Unfortunately we’re at that time of the year when the sun’s strength is at its lowest. Coupled with this, is the position of the expanding high pressure, meaning that we will start to import a lot of cloud from the North Sea on a easterly, occasionally veering north-easterly or south-easterly wind. A ‘cloud-high’ awaits, also known as anticyclonic gloom, or as I call it boring weather!

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with any brightness favouring the east. Mild for the time of year. 11°C

Friday: Cloudy with a misty start in places. Dry but a little cooler than recently with any brightness in the west. Max 8°C

Weekend: Widespread cloud-cover with misty conditions.

High pressure taking charge of the weather

Saturday: Remaining cloudy and dull with more mist or fog expected, which could linger in a few spots all day. Max 7°C

Sunday: Temperatures beginning to fall away with yet more overcast skies and misty conditions. Max 6°C

Monday: Starting to feel quite cold now with an easterly airflow. Little change is expected in the conditions, overcast and misty. Max 5°C

Outlook: The stagnant pattern is set to continue. Depending on the location of the high, we could see it become colder with temperatures only a few degrees above freezing. Any breaks in the cloud would allow for daytime brightness and frosts overnight. The general theme is dry but cloud could be thick enough for localised drizzle or snow flurries.

Christmas Day: Currently looking dry, mostly overcast and cold. Any breaks in the cloud will allow for a frosty start. Temperatures close to 4°C as a maximum; whether it is cloudy and cold enough for those snow flurries is still debatable but this would be enough for a White Christmas. No sign of a ‘snow bomb’ just yet 😉 but even colder air is lurking to our E/NE which we could eventually tap into. All to play for if you’re a proper-cold lover.

The days between Christmas and New Year look interesting as the Atlantic tries to comeback into play, bringing areas of low pressure and the normal pattern we are used to. But, with cold air in place, and perhaps the stubborn high still around, a battleground could commence with snow possible on any weather-fronts making inroads, even if it’s temporary, before the rain and wind return. Certainly one to watch, which us weather folk are already talking about.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather warnings and forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of December 2021 at 5:25pm
Image: http://www.netweather.tv

Colder Weather ahead – Thursday 18th November 2021 – Sunday 21st November 2021

Hi all,

Autumn is drawing to a close and with winter approaching everyone’s daily weather chat turns to when will it snow; especially after the annual media articles begin to circulate about snowfall and plummeting temperatures. Truth be had, it is very hard to predict snowfall accurately in the UK, more than 5 days ahead, even 3 days in some cases. Our complex weather set-up can see the potential for snow and cold in the coming days, but, like the butterfly effect, a minor shift in the weather systems can mean a cold plunge from the Arctic, gets shifted into mainland Europe. You will be surprised how often this happens in winter and our hopes of some snowy scenes are dashed as milder Atlantic air takes hold. With winter a couple of weeks away, it is looking like the end of November will see it turn much colder and perhaps wintry, but this is subject to change for the very reasons mentioned above.

Thursday: Cloudy, very mild and breezy. The cloud might be thick enough for some local drizzle/light rain during the morning and low-cloud on the hills. Max 14°C

Friday: Still very mild with a south-westerly airflow feeding in around a high pressure. This high means it will be mostly dry but cloudy with some bright spells. Max 14°C

Weekend: Eventually colder and sunnier.

Saturday: Another mostly cloudy day with some brightness. Light rain is expected late-evening and overnight as a weather-front moves in. Max 12°C

Sunday: A cold-front will have moved through the region introducing colder air from the north-northwest but plenty of sunny spells after a ground-frost to start. Odd shower can’t be ruled out, which could be wintry on the highest hills. Max 7°C

Monday: A dry day with plenty of sunny or bright spells on offer. The day is likely to have started with a touch of frost and some isolated mist or fog patches. Max 8°C

Outlook: A lot of dry weather with high pressure close by to our west. Cloudy spells at times but equally some sunny spells. Cold nights with some frost where clear spells last the longest. Towards the end of the week it looks like low pressure will arrive disrupting the settled conditions. The position of the low, i.e. what wind direction we encounter, is uncertain. Just favourable is a cold air-mass, so we would be likely to see bright spells and wintry showers. So, just as we near winter, some sleet or snow showers, especially on the higher ground, becomes a possibility. No sign of the -11°C and widespread snowfall that those media articles promote though – just a standard late-Autumn/early-Winter cold-snap.

For daily weather forecasts and updates follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks for reading.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 17th of November 2021 at 5:25pm

Gradual trend to colder conditions – Thursday 28th October 2021 – Sunday 31st October 2021

Hi all,

Not long left of October now and has been milder than average with mostly cloudy conditions. As we enter November, there are signs that occasionally, high pressure will be out to our west, and low pressure to the east, meaning a chilly northerly to north-westerly airflow will affect the UK at times.

Colder feel next week as we end up on the north side of the Jet Stream

Thursday: A cloudy morning with some patchy rain. The band of heavy and persistent rain that has brought flooding to parts of Cumbria and the Lake District will eventually move southeast across the region so expect some heavy rain into the evening and overnight. Mild and windy. Max 16°C

Friday: Morning rain eventually becoming showery. Cooler with winds easing. Max 14°C

Weekend: Further rain or showers to come.

Saturday: Low pressure close by. A day of bright spells and showers, some heavy. Cooler. Max 12°C

Sunday: There is a chance that low pressure could form to our southwest and bring a spell of prolonged rain either side of showers during the morning and evening. So an unsettled day, breezy and cool. Max 11°C

Outlook: Looking colder but nothing drastic with maximum temperatures around 9-11°C. Some chilly nights with ground-frosts where skies remain clear. As for the weather pattern, bright spells and showers.

Nothing majorly cold next week but nowhere near as mild as we have been used to as winds come from the N or NW.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 27th of October 2021 at 2:45pm.
Images: http://www.netweather.tv

Unsettled Outlook – Thursday 14th October 2021 – Sunday 17th October 2021

Hi all,

It’s been a quiet week but frustratingly cloudy and damp at times, although rainfall amounts remain low and temperatures nothing notably cold or warm.

High pressure has been in charge of our weather, but cloud has been dragged around the top edge and down across the region on a northwesterly breeze hence the lack of sunny skies. With high pressure in control we have cut off the Jet Stream, which normally brings spells of wet and windy weather, and it will continue like that for a little longer but change is on the way next week.

The final third of October is likely to see increasing amounts of rainfall and some windy spells.

Thursday: Another mostly cloudy day with pockets of spit-spot rain or drizzle. Breezy. Max 15°C

Friday: Cloudy with patchy rain moving south initially, followed by colder air but lovely blue skies and sunny spells. A fresh feel with a northerly breeze. Cold for the first part of the night with a ground-frost forming before cloud increases from the southwest again. Max 12°C

Colder air spreads down from the North during Friday

Weekend: Cloudy conditions return.

Saturday: Cloud thickening from the southwest with some rain later in the day. Doesn’t look particularly heavy. Becoming milder again. Max 14°C

Sunday: A cloudy and quite warm day for the time of year with some bright spells. Max 16°C

Outlook: The Jet Stream looks set to return to influence our week with periods of rain or showers. Some brighter and drier slots in between and quite breezy at times. Temperatures mild to very mild at first but signs of cooler or colder conditions later in the week.

The Jet Stream is back controlling our weather next week

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 13th of October 2021 at 5:50pm.
Images: http://www.netweather.tv

Short-lived Warmth then Much Cooler but Mostly Dry – Thursday 7th October 2021 – Sunday 10th October 2021

September ended on a very wet note but overall it was another drier-than-average month which contained some hot days early on; in fact hotter than anything we experienced in August. 

Ex-hurricane Sam will disturb the Jet Stream and head between Iceland and the UK this week, allowing for some very warm air to come across the region for a couple of days. After that it’s looking settled, as we keep most of the weather fronts away to the west but I am expecting a lot of cloud and a few misty or foggy mornings.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with some patchy rain or drizzle in a few sports prone to the south-westerly airflow. On the plus side, it will be warm for the time of year, with temperatures around 5 degrees above average. Max 20°C

Friday: Early cloud, perhaps some patchy rain again, especially the further west you are. Brighter spells for the afternoon and feeling warm despite the breeze. Max 19°C

Weekend: We lose the warmth eventually.

Saturday: Patchy rain moving slowly southeast displacing the warm air late-in-the-day. Some areas staying dry. Max 18°C

Sunday: Drier with plenty of cloud. Some brightness but notably cooler with a north-westerly airflow. Max 15°C

Outlook: Originally it looked like it would be turning warmer again as next week progressed but it’s looking pretty cool at times with a risk of a ground-frost midweek depending on cloud-cover. A lot of dry weather as high pressure builds, which could well turn out to be a ‘cloudy high’ or anticyclonic gloom. Pockets of drizzle where low-cloud sits.

High pressure builds next week but it will be cooler with the air from the NW
Some chilly nights inland next week, especially if cloud breaks

September 2021 Stats

Max 27.9°C (7th)
Min 6.7°C (30th)
Av. 15.2°C
Wettest 32mm (30th)
Av. Humidity 82%
Av. Barometer 1018.3 hPa
Max Gust 26.5mph (30th)
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 65.4mm (71% of average)
Rain Registered Days 13
Dry Days 17

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for your latest weather forecast. 

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 6th of October 2021 at 5:05pm
Image: https://wxcharts.com & https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/

Well and truly Autumnal. Will we see Storm Arwen? – Thursday 30th September 2021 – Sunday 3rd October 2021

Hi all,

The weekly blog returns, after I spent last week on the annual 4-day golfing holiday, this time to Cumbria and north Lancashire. Apart from the odd spit-spot in the wind we managed the whole trip without rain. I’m just glad we went last week and not this. At least next year, fingers crossed, I’ll be back in the Spanish warmth.

So, last week’s warm and mostly settled spell has come to an abrupt end this week, as rain and showers have piled in since Monday.

The last 10 days of temperatures and rainfall.

Thursday: Heavy rain for the morning and windy too. The afternoon sees the rain turn more showery and the winds will eventually ease. Cool. Max 14°C Min 11°C

Friday: Another band of rain for the early hours and this will clear during the morning. Plenty of sunny spells expected after this but still some isolated showers. Windy and feeling fresh. Max 13°C Min 7°C

Weekend: More rain and wind on the way. How windy it gets is uncertain at this stage but the potential is there for our first named-storm of the season.

Saturday afternoon looking particularly windy and wet

Saturday: A bright start with a few showers then wind and rain will spread ENE for the afternoon and evening. Potential for gales (gusts 35-45mph). Max 15°C Min 8°C

Sunday: Sunshine and showers. Some of these heavy and possibly thundery with hail. Windy with a risk of gales, 40-45mph gusts, during the morning. Max 13°C Min 7°C

*** How windy it is depends on how deep the low pressure becomes and its track. So keep an eye on Twitter for updates and possible warnings. ***

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with further rain or showers. With hurricane Sam affecting the Jet Stream there is a chance of high pressure building later in the week, bringing sunshine and a respite from the rain, but don’t hold your breath, as this could be short-lived and restricted to southern parts of the UK.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 29th September 2021 at 8:10pm
Image: http://www.wxcharts.eu

Summer Ends Well – Thursday 26th August 2021 – Bank Holiday Monday 30th August 2021

Hi all,

Finally August is delivering some settled weather. OK it’s a bit cloudy at times, as some cloud feeds in from the North Sea, but the warm sunny spells are welcome after the first two-thirds of the month were so poor.

The sun might only be as strong as mid-April but the UV is still high enough for sun-cream to be needed, mostly between 11am-3pm, on sunny days.

Thursday & Friday: Some sunny spells, especially in the west, with some troublesome cloud at times further east. Feeling warm in any sunshine. Max 18-20°C

No measurable rainfall over the next 10 days.

Weekend: Hopefully more in the way of sunshine.

Saturday: Any morning cloud burning off to a warm day with plenty of sunny spells. Max 20°C

Sunday: More of the same. Warm with sunny spells and dry. Some areas of frustrating cloud at times. Max 20°C

Bank Holiday Monday: It will be dry with bright or sunny spells. Cloud amounts hard to predict but likely to be a cloudy start again. Max 19°C

The Jet Stream, which brings unsettled conditions, is set to avoid the UK for the next 10 days at least.

Outlook: It looks like high pressure will continue to dominate the weather for a few more days, perhaps most of next week. So, more of the same, pleasant temperatures, variable cloud and sunny spells at times.

Thanks for reading.
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 25th of August 2021 at 8:50pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.meteociel.fr/

Will the Final Weeks of Summer Deliver? – Thursday 19th August 2021 – Sunday 22nd August 2021

Hi all,

What a dreadful month August is turning out to be. The average maximum temperature for August is 19.5°C. Currently we are sitting at 18.2°C, so much cooler than normal and with limited sunshine. Rainfall is above average so far too but with a drier end to the month looking likely, this figure could well level itself out. Before that, yet more rain to come.

Thursday – A cloudy start with some drizzle/rain. A spell of drier, and hopefully a little brighter for a time, weather either side of lunchtime before showery rain returns into the afternoon. Poor temperatures again. Max 18°C

Friday: A few showers possible early on then a mostly cloudy day once more, with a few bright spells. Temperatures still disappointing for August but signs of it warming up a touch. Max 21°C

Weekend: Becoming unsettled and wet.

Turning wet Saturday evening with rain; followed by thundery showers on Sunday.

Saturday: We should get away with a mostly dry morning with some warm bright spells as temperatures begin to lift under the influence of a southerly/southeasterly airflow. However, the afternoon looks set to go downhill as showers arrive, some heavy followed by more persistent rain later. Warm and humid. Max 22°C

Warm and humid for a time on Saturday with some heat dragged in from the continent for southeastern parts of the UK. It’s this that we need to tap into, for a heatwave and that isn’t on the horizon.

Sunday: An unsettled day is likely with low pressure in charge. Showers, perhaps thundery with some hail or even longer spells of rain. Slightly cooler but a muggy feel overall. Max 19°C

Outlook: Some rain at first, then, this has been trying to happen for a few days/weeks now, high pressure builds in from the northwest and settles our weather down. However, with the air coming in from the northeast/east, temperatures are expected to remain around average with quite a lot of cloud at times. We only need the high to position itself favourably and introduce a south-to-southeasterly airflow to lift temperatures. That would be the only chance of a heatwave, which for now, is just wishful thinking.

High pressure looks favourable to build giving us a drier and more settled end to August. How warm it is, or hot, all depends on its location.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks for reading,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of August 2021 at 5:30pm
Images: https://www.meteociel.fr/ & https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/