Some rain but quite warm – Thursday 16th September 2021 – Sunday 19th September 2021

Hi all,

There’s a bit of a battle-ground continuing across the UK. Low pressure is trying to get in from the Atlantic over the next few days but high pressure to the northeast continues to weaken the weather fronts as they arrive.

Thursday: Any early mist or fog will lift into low-cloud which will break to allow some sunny spells to develop. Feeling pleasantly warm. Max 19°C

Friday: A weather front will be moving in from the west but weakening as the day progresses. So after a dry start there will be some sunny spells. Cloud will thicken towards late-afternoon and some patchy rain is possible overnight. Breeze picking up. Warm. Max 20°C

Weekend: Some rain.

Saturday: Early cloud and a few showers will move away and hopefully the cloud will break to allow for some bright spells, but then more showers are likely to develop. Max 19°C

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a few showers. Max 19°C

Outlook: Low pressure to the northwest of the UK will try to send bands of rain or showers southeast across the region. With high pressure to the northeast and southwest of the UK, this will act as a barrier, attempting to keep the fronts at bay and if any fronts do make it southeast across the region, the high will help to weaken them and turn any rain light and patchy. In between all of this, sunny spells and maximum temperatures remaining around average, 17-18°C. No sign of the first Autumn frost just yet or an Indian Summer.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and weather warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of September 2021 at 10pm.

Thundery breakdown – Thursday 9th September 2021 – Sunday 12th September 2021

Hi all,

August, these days, turns out to be a poor month and 2021 was no exception with below average temperatures and a real lack of sunshine. That said, the rainfall amounts were below normal as the month ended with 10 dry days. But how did our Summer compare to recent Summers. I have data, for complete Summers, since 2013; so I’ll try and do some stats on this for next week’s blog.

Thursday: After two hot and humid days the weather breaks with low pressure drifting in bringing thundery showers with some localised downpours (warning in place). Early morning showers clear to a drier spell with some bright spells. Heavy thundery showers form during the afternoon. Cooler temperatures but still feeling muggy. Max 21°C

Thundery showers developing on Thursday afternoon

Friday: Mostly cloudy with some bright spells but showers developing as the day progresses, again heavy with the chance of hail and thunder and lightning. Max 19°C

Low pressure remains in control on Friday leading to further downpours

Weekend: A quieter weekend ahead.

Saturday: Light winds and although there will be plenty of cloud there will be some bright spells. Chance of a rogue shower in the hills. Max 19°C

Sunday: Little change albeit cooler. Mostly dry with some brightness. Max 17°C

Outlook: Ex-hurricane Larry will be mixing in with the Jet Stream so throws some uncertainty into our forecast. Latest model outputs suggests the low pressure swings to our NW allowing pressure to build. So a few days of settled weather with sunny spells, before a return to showery conditions with temperatures around normal. 

August 2021 Stats

Max 21.4°C (2nd)
Min 0.0°C (22nd)
Av. 15.0°C
Wettest 22.6mm (8th)
Av. Humidity 82%
Av. Barometer 1017.4 hPa
Max Gust 27.6mph (8th)
Av. Wind Direction W
Rain 70.6mm
Rain Registered Days 16
Dry Days 15

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings. 

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 8th of September 2021 at 9:05pm.
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Summer Ends Well – Thursday 26th August 2021 – Bank Holiday Monday 30th August 2021

Hi all,

Finally August is delivering some settled weather. OK it’s a bit cloudy at times, as some cloud feeds in from the North Sea, but the warm sunny spells are welcome after the first two-thirds of the month were so poor.

The sun might only be as strong as mid-April but the UV is still high enough for sun-cream to be needed, mostly between 11am-3pm, on sunny days.

Thursday & Friday: Some sunny spells, especially in the west, with some troublesome cloud at times further east. Feeling warm in any sunshine. Max 18-20°C

No measurable rainfall over the next 10 days.

Weekend: Hopefully more in the way of sunshine.

Saturday: Any morning cloud burning off to a warm day with plenty of sunny spells. Max 20°C

Sunday: More of the same. Warm with sunny spells and dry. Some areas of frustrating cloud at times. Max 20°C

Bank Holiday Monday: It will be dry with bright or sunny spells. Cloud amounts hard to predict but likely to be a cloudy start again. Max 19°C

The Jet Stream, which brings unsettled conditions, is set to avoid the UK for the next 10 days at least.

Outlook: It looks like high pressure will continue to dominate the weather for a few more days, perhaps most of next week. So, more of the same, pleasant temperatures, variable cloud and sunny spells at times.

Thanks for reading.
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 25th of August 2021 at 8:50pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.meteociel.fr/

Will the Final Weeks of Summer Deliver? – Thursday 19th August 2021 – Sunday 22nd August 2021

Hi all,

What a dreadful month August is turning out to be. The average maximum temperature for August is 19.5°C. Currently we are sitting at 18.2°C, so much cooler than normal and with limited sunshine. Rainfall is above average so far too but with a drier end to the month looking likely, this figure could well level itself out. Before that, yet more rain to come.

Thursday – A cloudy start with some drizzle/rain. A spell of drier, and hopefully a little brighter for a time, weather either side of lunchtime before showery rain returns into the afternoon. Poor temperatures again. Max 18°C

Friday: A few showers possible early on then a mostly cloudy day once more, with a few bright spells. Temperatures still disappointing for August but signs of it warming up a touch. Max 21°C

Weekend: Becoming unsettled and wet.

Turning wet Saturday evening with rain; followed by thundery showers on Sunday.

Saturday: We should get away with a mostly dry morning with some warm bright spells as temperatures begin to lift under the influence of a southerly/southeasterly airflow. However, the afternoon looks set to go downhill as showers arrive, some heavy followed by more persistent rain later. Warm and humid. Max 22°C

Warm and humid for a time on Saturday with some heat dragged in from the continent for southeastern parts of the UK. It’s this that we need to tap into, for a heatwave and that isn’t on the horizon.

Sunday: An unsettled day is likely with low pressure in charge. Showers, perhaps thundery with some hail or even longer spells of rain. Slightly cooler but a muggy feel overall. Max 19°C

Outlook: Some rain at first, then, this has been trying to happen for a few days/weeks now, high pressure builds in from the northwest and settles our weather down. However, with the air coming in from the northeast/east, temperatures are expected to remain around average with quite a lot of cloud at times. We only need the high to position itself favourably and introduce a south-to-southeasterly airflow to lift temperatures. That would be the only chance of a heatwave, which for now, is just wishful thinking.

High pressure looks favourable to build giving us a drier and more settled end to August. How warm it is, or hot, all depends on its location.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks for reading,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of August 2021 at 5:30pm
Images: https://www.meteociel.fr/ & https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/

Plenty of rain – Thursday 5th August 2021 – Sunday 8th August 2021

Hi all,

The final month of Summer is here and to be fair it’s been a mixed bag so far with some warm sunshine and isolated downpours or thunderstorms. If you’ve been lucky enough to miss the showers then your time has come.

Thursday: Low pressure comes in from the Atlantic. After a dry start it will become breezy and bands of showers or slightly longer spells of rain will move north-eastwards from late-morning. Some of this could be heavy and thundery. More showers follow later in the day with bright spells in between. Max 19°C

Low pressure rules the roost over the next 5 days

Friday: Very unsettled for the time of year. Frequent showers, merging at times, with perhaps hail and thunder and lightning (warning in place). Max 18°C

Weekend: Slowly improving

Saturday: I’m golfing early; so hopeful of a dry start but it isn’t expected to last as further bands of showers come in on a fresh breeze. Again, some heavy and thundery. Max 18°C

Sunday: Sunny spells and showers still around, but fewer are expected, so a bit of an improvement. Max 18°C

A lot of rain expected over the next 10 days

Outlook: Little change early on with sunny spells and showers. Midweek looks improved with a couple of better days before low pressure returns with its showers or periods of rain in time for the weekend. Meh.

July 2021 Stats

Max 30.0°C (22nd)
Min 10.8°C (28th)
Av. 17.2°C
Av. Dew Pt 13.2°C
Wettest 32.4mm (4th)
Av. Humidity 79%
Av. Barometer 1015.1 hPa
Max Gust 20.7mph (29th)
Av. Wind Direction WNW
Rain 89.4mm
Rain Registered Days 12
Dry Days 19

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks for reading,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 4th of August 2021 at 9pm
Images: https://wxcharts.com/

Reasonable weekend but a poor outlook – Thursday 29th July 2021 – Sunday 1st August 2021

Hi all,

After the heatwave came the thunderstorms and now much cooler and unsettled conditions are in charge; all thanks to low pressure. Some media report the heat to return soon, but we all know that is guesswork. Nothing on the horizon at this stage to suggest sunnier, summery and hot weather returns.

Thursday: Any morning showers easing to some bright spells and a drier slot. Showers or patchy rain developing into the afternoon, especially to the north but not as lively as Wednesday with thunderstorms unlikely. Feeling cool & windy with 30mph gusts. Max 17°C

Temperatures much cooler than what we have been used to over the last few weeks

Friday: Some unusual weather for the time of year, strong to gale-force winds and heavy rain, will affect southern parts of the UK but we escape that. Otherwise it’s a day of scattered showers, some heavy and perhaps thundery. Some bright spells in between and a little less cool. Max 19°C

Weekend: Showers slowly decreasing in numbers but not disappearing.

Showers still around this weekend but the heaviest and thundery ones confined to the S & E of the UK

Saturday: Cloudy with a few bright spells. Showers are on the decline but I’m sure we will still catch a few today. Breezy but reasonably warm in any sunshine. Max 20°C

Sunday: A little cooler but a similar day. Plenty of cloud, some brightness at times and still the chance of a shower, especially towards the hills. Max 18°C

Outlook: A slight ridge of high pressure will mean Monday should be dry with pleasant sunny spells. Tuesday mostly cloudy but rain later and then the remainder of the week doesn’t look very summer-like at all, with the weather turning unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain. Temperatures remaining cool at times and the potential for a wet and windy weekend.

Early indications show it’s wet and windy next weekend

As always, look out for updates on Twitter, @ChadWeather.

Thanks for reading,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 28th of July 2021 at 8:45pm
Images: http://www.weatheronline.co.uk; https://www.netweather.tv/

Heatwave Departs – Thursday 22nd July 2021 – Sunday 25th July 2021

Hi all,

Yep, I know it’s too hot. 27-28°C wouldn’t be too bad if it wasn’t so humid and muggy and with dew points up around 17-18°C it’s been too much for me. So I’m happy to know it’s coming to an end but as always, with the British Weather, I’ll be moaning about how poor it is within days. Standard.

HEATWAVE: Here are the maximum temperatures I have recorded so far during this hot spell with the overnight lows too.

17th July 27.2°C : 15.0°C
18th July 26.7°C : 15.4°C
19th July 26.7°C : 15.7°C
20th July 27.0°C : 16.7°C
21st July 27.6°C : 16.4°C

Thursday: Hot with plenty of sunshine, perhaps a little hazy at times. Light winds and muggy. Low risk of an isolated thunderstorm. Looks set to be the hottest day of the heatwave. Max 30°C

Friday: Very warm to hot with sunny spells, but temperatures will be lower. There will also be a noticeable, and welcome breeze from the east. Max 26°C

Weekend: Turning unsettled & less hot.

Low pressure returns to influence our weather, especially on Sunday

Saturday: Cloudy with showery rain slowly pushing up from the south. Some of these showers could be thundery later in the day. Still quite humid but much lower temperatures. Max 20°C

Sunday: Quite muggy with bright spells and beefy showers developing, with some strong thunderstorms possible (look out for warnings). Welcome rain after the baking of last week. Max 21°C

Temperatures back to normal this weekend and these are the maximums we can expect for most of next week

Outlook: Our weather will return to what we are used to in a British Summer. Unsettled with showers at times and temperatures back to average, hovering around the 20°C mark. Odd thundery downpour possible too.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts. If you like reading my weekly blog then give the tweet a RT and hopefully this 4-day outlook can help others plan their day.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 21st of July 2021 at 7:05pm.
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com and http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Heatwave time – Thursday 14th July 2021 – Sunday 17th July 2021

Hi all,

Our best weather of the summer is on the way, if you like it hot that is. High pressure is building in from the Azores and will dominate our weather for the coming week. So, the forecast doesn’t get much easier than this.

Don’t forget your sun-cream throughout. Be protected. UV levels are high (7) and you will catch the sun easily, especially so between 11-3.

Thursday: A cloudy morning with some brightness. Sunny spells developing during the day as cloud thins and breaks. Warmer than Wednesday. Max 24°C

Friday: Some early mist then a very warm day with sunny spells. Max 25°C

Weekend: BBQs, paddling pools, ice-pops and beers!

Saturday: Feeling hot with plenty of sunshine. Max 26°C

Sunday: Another cracking day with sunny skies and hot temperatures. Max 27°C (locally 29°C can’t be ruled out)

Outlook: Monday to Wednesday will remain sunny, dry and very warm but possibly a couple of degrees coming off the temperature. Signs are there that the weather will break later in the week, but at this stage details are uncertain so look out for updates on Twitter.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecast.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 14th of July 2021 at 9:40pm.

Changeable until next week – Thursday 24th June 2021 – Sunday 27th June 2021

Hi,

We need rain. There is some on the way but it won’t amount to much and little on the horizon.

Thursday: Cloudy with some drizzle to start. Cloud eventually thinning into the afternoon with some sunny spells around for the late-afternoon and evening. Warm and muggy. Max 20°C

Friday: A cloudy day with showery bursts of rain. It will tend to dry up in some places towards evening. Max 18°C

Low pressure brings a cooler and showery day on Friday

Weekend: Improving

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and the odd shower can’t be ruled out. A bit cool with some bright spells later. Max 18°C

Sunday: Warmer with plenty of cloud around. Sunny spells breaking through into the afternoon and feeling pleasant. Max 20°C

Outlook: High pressure looks set to keep the Jet Stream at bay. So a decent week with sunny spells, plenty of dry weather and the temperature sneaking to the mid-20s.

High pressure in charge next week with low pressure close to the southern parts of the UK

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 23rd of June 2021 at 10:40pm
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Cooler with change ahead – Thursday 17th June 2021 – Sunday 20th June 2021

Hi all,

June has been a decent month and almost any weather would have been an improvement from the month of May. But we’re only halfway through and a change to more unsettled weather looks set to arrive next week.

Thursday: Earlier in the week we looked to be under a risk of intense thunderstorms but these look set to stay away towards the east of the Pennines and southeast of the Peak District. That said don’t rule out a thundery shower clipping parts of the region (to the E/SE) during the day. Most areas should be cloudy with any early localised showers fading. Brighter spells towards evening. What you will notice is we’ve lost the humidity and it will feel fresher and cooler with north to northwesterly winds. Max 18°C

Intense thunderstorms for the SE of the UK Wednesday night
We could catch a thunderstorm or hefty shower on Thursday morning but the main focus is away to our E/SE

Friday: A cool northeasterly breeze but a dry day is expected with sunny spells. Max 18°C

Weekend: Saturday is best

Saturday: Quite similar to yesterday with variable amounts of cloud and some sunny spells. Most areas dry but the odd afternoon-shower can’t be ruled out. Max 18°C

Thundery rain moves north on Sunday

Sunday: Change on the way by the looks of it. Rain will push up from the south which could well be heavy with a few rumbles of thunder. A fresh breeze too making it feel cooler. Max 16°C

Outlook: The recent good weather comes to an end with areas of low pressure coming in from the west or southwest. Spells of rain or showers the order of the week but a sign that high pressure builds for the final days of June.

Looking much more unsettled next week with low pressure in charge

The longest day of the year will be on Monday and after that we…..well let’s not depress ourselves just yet. Plenty more of Summer to come.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks for reading.
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 16th of June 2021 at 5:15pm
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com