Beefy showers with a thundery mix and quite humid at times – Thursday 4th May 2023 – Bank Holiday Monday 8th May 2023

Hi all,

That’s two months of Spring done and it’s not exactly been a warm one. Disappointing to be fair and you would think by now we would have had, or due imminently, a spell of maximum temperatures into the 20s, but nope, nothing on the horizon. April did come out with below-average rainfall though.

The next 10 days look set to be dominated by mostly west or south-westerly winds, so moist air, a bit humid at times and spells of rain or showers. With the sun having some strength at this time of the year, unstable air means convection and showers brew which could be thundery with hail.

Thursday: Windy, gusting 30mph, with some pleasant sunny spells at times. UV levels medium. Cloud increasing into the evening with showery rain arriving from the south-west signalling a change to more unsettled weather. Max 16°C

Looking at quite a bit of rain, over the next 7 days. Total amounts will vary due to localised downpours.

Friday: An unsettled day with hefty showers breaking out just about anywhere. These will be thundery with a risk of hail and also slow-moving with less of a breeze. Low risk of localised flooding in any downpours. Max 15°C

Downpours on Friday. Chance of thunder & lightning with hail.

Weekend: Sunday likely to be the driest or should I say least wet.

Saturday: A dry start but mostly cloudy. Showers arriving late-morning, if not then into the afternoon, again possibly thundery and hanging around for most of the day. A little humid. Max 16°C

Sunday: Showers are expected for the morning but hopefully it will tend to become drier into the afternoon but stay mostly cloudy. Pleasant in any bright spells. Max 16°C

Bank Holiday Monday: A generally cloudy and dry morning with some brightness. Showery rain expected again as the day progresses. Max 17°C

Outlook: Little change. If anything it might stay on the cool side with temperatures struggling to the mid-teens. Still no sign of our first 20°C. It really has been a poor Spring on the thermometer.

Wet days ahead and disappointing temperatures.

April 2023 Stats

Max 17.3°C (29th)
Min 0.0°C (25th)
Av. 8.2°C
Wettest 9.2mm (10th)
Av. Humidity 77%
Av. Barometer 1017.1 hPa
Max Gust 38mph
Av. Wind Direction SE
Rain 56mm (89% of average)
Rain Registered Days 14
Dry Days 16

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 3rd of May 2023 at 5:50pm

Becoming milder but sunshine lacking – Thursday 27th April 2023 – Bank Holiday Monday 1st May 2023

Hi all,

It’s not been the best April when it comes to warmth with temperatures below-average. It’s the 4th coolest April looking back through the last 11 years of my data. We haven’t risen above 15°C yet.

At least the last week or so hasn’t been as wet as earlier in the month. Rainfall amounts are currently coming in at 86% of average.

The second half of April hasn’t been as wet as the first.

Thursday: A fresh start in places with sunny spells. Cloud thickening into the afternoon with rain eventually arriving into the evening, with some heavy bursts. Temperatures up a notch on recent days. Max 13°C

A wet Thursday evening is on the cards.

Friday: Early rain will fizzle away but it will remain cloudy. Hopefully some late-in-the-day sunshine to come. Milder. Max 15°C

Weekend: Feeling a little warmer but lacking in sunshine.

Saturday: A mostly cloudy day as we sit in a slack airflow in between weather systems. This means light winds hence the stubborn cloud. A few bright spells later will help to lift the temperatures but could spark isolated showers. Max 16°C

Sunday: Showers are expected to be more frequent in between mostly cloudy skies. Light winds mean any showers will be slow-moving. Max 15°C

Bank Holiday Monday: Occasional bright spells and showers. Bit more of a breeze. Max 14°C

Outlook: A tricky set up. A weak area of high pressure will be close by but not strong enough to bring dry and sunny conditions every day. More like variable cloud for most of the week, so brightness at a premium and some showers brewing up. Temperatures around average.

High pressure next week but it’s weak.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 26th of April 2023 at 5:30pm.

Unsettled at first then much-improved and temperatures rise for a promising week – Thursday 13th April 2023 – Sunday 16th April 2023

Hi all,

As predicted we had a settled Easter and also much more sunshine than I thought. It wasn’t that warm on the thermometer but it was perfect during the day and the sun felt so warm. The sun is now as strong as late-August and suncream is needed if you don’t want to burn and are in the sun between 11am-3pm.

Our weather has now turned poor once again and it’s been a wet and windy week as well as being cooler as the Jet Stream drives weather systems across from the Atlantic.

But, good news, we have another settled spell on the way and with any luck temperatures could get close to 20°C. Only downside might be a nagging south-easterly or even easterly wind. Before this what do the next four days hold…..

Thursday: The low pressure of recent days, Storm Noa, is still affecting our weather. Feeling chilly with a brisk westerly wind and frequent showers. Windy with 30-35mph gusts especially in downpours. Chance of hail, and thunder and lightning. Max 9°C

The set-up on Thursday favours a very showery day.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a few showers. Not as cold and not as windy. Risk of some evening rain which will clear overnight. Max 11°C

Weekend: Getting milder and drier.

Saturday: Sunny spells to start then cloud building. It is likely to stay dry. Temperatures edging up. Max 13°C

Sunday: A mostly cloudy day with some bright spells later. A southerly wind lifting temperatures, a sign of things to come. Max 16°C

Outlook: High pressure to our north-east introducing a, gusty at times, breeze from the south-east. Sunny spells and a lot of dry weather for most of the week with temperatures lifting to 17-19°C, depending on the wind direction/position of the high pressure. If winds turn easterly then the west will be the warmest place to be. With clear spells at night it will be chilly at times.

I’m hopeful this decent weather will still be around for next weekend. First BBQ of the season?

Above average temperatures favourable next week.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday 12th April 2023 at 8:20pm.

A decent Sunday then more high pressure but will it turn colder? – Thursday 2nd February 2023 – Sunday 5th February 2023

Hi all,

The third and final month of winter is here. It’s a month that can bring mild and moist weather with temperatures into double-digits but also bitterly cold, snowy weather from eastern Europe. We could well see both scenarios in the coming weeks but for now we remain above-average on the thermometer and I’m not mentioning those 4 words yet!

Thursday: A mostly cloudy day with the chance of some hill-drizzle. Breezy with temperatures above average. Max 11°C

Friday: Another mild day with further cloudy skies. Perhaps some brightness developing into the afternoon which will help to lift the temperatures. Breezy again. Max 12°C – perhaps 14°C in some local spots sheltered in the east.

Weekend: Becoming colder but brighter.

Saturday: Any bright start fading as cloud builds from the north-west and a weather-front moves south-east bringing some patchy rain into the evening. Patchy frost later in the night as skies clear. Max 11°C

Sunday: That weather-front is a cold-front so Sunday will be cooler but with it much brighter skies and with high pressure building we should see a good amount of sunshine. Some frost overnight. Max 8°C

Outlook: High pressure that builds over the UK on Sunday will slip away into the continent as the week goes on but still control our weather. It all depends where this high pressure sits, with what weather we see next. If it moves over Scandinavia then we could import some easterly winds meaning that it will turn much colder with the risk of snow flurries. If the high pressure slips further south we will be in a milder south to south-westerly airflow. Literally at the moment the outcome is uncertain but it’s probably favouring the milder weather 60:40. One thing to note is the week looks mostly dry with sunny spells and some overnight frosts. Updates on Twitter.

January 2023 Stats

Max 11.9°C (4th)
Min -2.5°C (17th)
Av. 4.9°C
Wettest 24.8mm (10th)
Av. Humidity 88%
Av. Barometer 1012.9 hPa
Max Gust 35.7mph
Av. Wind Direction WSW
Rain 132.4mm (119% of average)
Rain Registered Days 22
Dry Days 9

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 1st of February 2023 at 9:16pm.

Slowly milder, quieter & most importantly, drier – Thursday 19th January 2023 – Sunday 22nd January 2023

Hi all,

Rainfall record: We went 32 days running with measurable rainfall. The record to beat was/is 33 days from Oct-Nov 2013. Now here’s where it gets interesting. Yesterday, day 33, it snowed and due to being cold the snow didn’t melt so the “rainfall” amount was 0mm. Today snowmelt occurred leading to measurable “rainfall”, 0.4mm to be precise. It also snowed during the early hours of today, Wednesday. So, although we didn’t have a rainfall measurement on Tuesday we technically still haven’t had a dry day since December 15th. It looks like Friday will certainly be our first dry day for over a month.

Hope you all enjoyed the snowfall (a few of my snaps below). Certainly made everywhere pretty but the colder air is on its way out, eventually, and after days and days of rain, there is a drier spell on the way, and boy do we need it.

Greenbooth Reservoir – 3cm fell here – Wednesday 18/01/2023
Greenbooth Reservoir – Wednesday 18/01/2023 – this featured as a backdrop on the national BBC weather forecast later that morning 🙂
Greenbooth Reservoir – Wednesday 18/01/2023
Greenbooth Reservoir – Wednesday 18/01/2023

Thursday: We start the day with a weather warning in place for snow and ice thanks to wintry showers. These showers are likely to fall as snow inland but will soon decay away leaving a cloudy morning. Sunny spells will develop into the afternoon leaving a dry day and then a cold and frosty night ahead. Max 3°C Min -2°C

Friday: Mist or fog patches to start which will lift into low cloud and then sunny spells developing quite widely which could be a little hazy. Max 4°C Min -3°C

Weekend: Eventually less cold and not as sunny.

Saturday: Milder air is pushing in hard from the west but it will take another day to reach us. Sunny spells developing after a frosty morning. Cloud increasing into the evening meaning a frost isn’t likely. Cold. Max 4°C Min 2°C

Sunday: The change is here. Southerly winds in place and this will drag in a lot of cloud. Cold to start but very slowly milder as the day wears on. Some patchy drizzle here and there. Max 7°C Min 5°C

Outlook: High pressure will begin to dominate so a lot of dry weather but it looks to be a cloudy-high. So a lot of dull days with misty/foggy conditions developing overnight. The cloud might be thick enough for pockets of drizzle but the majority will be dry and this relief from relentless rain looks set to last for the rest of January.

High pressure builds next week and will anchor across the UK – Dry, often cloudy with localised fog

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of January 2023 at 8:07pm

Drier for a time and exceptionally mild – Thursday 10th November 2022 – Sunday 13th November 2022

Hi all,

After a wet October it’s been quite a wet start to November too. We’re in for some mainly dry days now but it will be very windy too, and, as mentioned, very mild. Signs of it turning a bit cooler next week and with it the possibility of severe gales in places and yet more rain.

Thursday: After a very mild night the day will continue on the warmer-than-average front with moist southwesterly winds. These winds will be gusty, 30-35mph and will bring plenty of cloud. Risk of some drizzle, especially on the hills. Max 16°C

Thursday night’s minimum temperatures could well be record-breaking for November across parts of the UK, especially sheltered from the wind and in favourable locations.

Temperatures still around the mid-teens during the early hours of Friday morning

Friday: Another very mild and cloudy day with gusty winds. It should be dry for most and hopefully some bright spells later in the day as cloud breaks from the south. Max 16°C

Weekend: Sunnier Saturday.

Saturday: A southeasterly wind will bring in slightly cooler air and also drier air leading to a dry day with plenty of sunny spells developing. Sounds like a day in the garden to get it ready for winter. Max 13°C

Sunday: Bright morning but cloud increasing as the day wears on. Fresh breeze. Max 13°C

Outlook: Becoming increasingly unsettled with low pressures coming in off the Atlantic. These will need monitoring as there is a risk of them becoming deep and bringing spells of heavy rain and gales or even severe gales. After a mild start it looks set to become cooler or even colder with max temperatures around 9-11°C.

The potential for some deep areas of low pressure later next week

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 9th of October 2022 at 5:35pm

Chilly with a better end to the working week before turning unsettled again – Thursday 3rd November 2022 – Sunday 6th November 2022

Hi all,

October turned into a wet month with rainfall totals above average. It was the wettest month since February with 115.6mm of rain. It was also notably very mild to warm at times. We didn’t reach the dizzy heights of temperatures into the 20s like they did down south but plenty of days saw the mid-teens and night temperatures also staying into double-figures.

November has started off on a windy and cooler note with temperatures more around normal. There isn’t any sign of significantly colder weather on the way despite media reports.

Thursday: A fresh start with plenty of sunny spells and perhaps a rogue shower. Clouds will increase and a scattering of showers will develop. Feeling chilly. Breezy but not as windy as yesterday. Max 11°C

Friday: A decent day with sunny spells. Cloudier at times later, with the chance of a few showers off the Irish Sea, but skies clearing again overnight and becoming cold with the risk of a ground-frost in rural and sheltered spots. Lighter winds. Max 11°C

Weekend: Turning more unsettled again.

Saturday: After a dry start, cloud will thicken from the west and the winds will increase. Rain will spread east as the day progresses, heavy at times then turning patchy towards evening. Apart from a few showers I’m hopeful that it could be mainly dry in time for the bonfires and fireworks. Max 12°C

Sunday: Windy with bright spells and showers developing. Max 12°C

Outlook: It’s looking wet with rain or showers on Monday and Tuesday but with the strong and gusty wind coming from the south or south-west it will become milder again, 14-15°C. Later in the week there’s a chance high pressure will build as the Jet Stream buckles. So fingers crossed for something drier and more settled but remaining milder-than-average for now.

High pressure building second half of next week?

October 2022 Stats

Max 16.7°C (29th)
Min 5.6°C (18th)
Av. 11.8°C
Wettest 24.8mm (5th)
Av. Humidity 86%
Av. Barometer 1012.7 hPa
Max Gust 31.1mph
Av. Wind Direction SSW
Rain 115.6mm (above average)
Rain Registered Days 26
Dry Days 5

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Until next week. Thanks for reading.

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 2nd of November 2022 at 8:30pm.

A decent Thursday but rain will return – Thursday 13th October 2022 – Sunday 16th October 2022

Hi all,

Autumnal conditions continue with more rain today, albeit patchy. It’s certainly been a wet start to October, with the monthly total already up to 35mm. There’s little in the way of anything settled and sunny for a prolonged period on the horizon, so you’ll have to make the most of some sunshine on Thursday.

Thursday: A decent day as we avoid weather systems. Sunny spells, light winds and feeling pleasant. Max 15°C

Friday: Strong and blustery westerly winds bringing a few showers/showery rain at times. Hopefully some sunny spells and drier conditions to end the day. Max 13°C

Weekend: Jet Stream back in charge. Unsettled and feeling cool at times.

Saturday: Windy with showers continuing as clouds bubble up during the day. Again, some of these showers could be heavy and thundery and winds will be gusty when they arrive. Max 13°C

Low pressure in charge brings showers aplenty on Saturday

Sunday: Little change. If anything a little less windy and showers perhaps more scattered, especially later. Cool. More general rain overnight and into Monday morning.  Max 12°C

Outlook: Hard to see anything but limited bright spells and showers as low pressure stays out to our west/south-west and in control of our weather. Nights are now looking mild as we keep a south-westerly airflow. Temperatures back up into the mid-teens early on but overall we will tend to see around average maximum temperatures for the time of year.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks for reading as always.

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 12th of October 2022 at 4:10pm

Plenty of dry weather but turning cooler with the chance of a ground-frost – Thursday 15th September 2022 – Sunday 18th September 2022

Hi all,

So far in September (up to the 14th) we’ve had 50mm of rain, so already passing the previous 3 months of summer’s individual monthly totals. Autumn is making up for that decent summer but we now enter a dry spell once again, which could last over a week and it will start to feel chilly.

**UV levels are now down to MEDIUM (4) between 12pm-2pm**

After some sunny spells earlier this week, cloudier conditions and cooler air is set to arrive.

Thursday: Fresh start then a dry day with a north-westerly breeze and sunny spells. Cloud bubbling up during the day. Max 16°C Min 7°C

Friday: High pressure out to our west, so plenty of dry weather with variable cloud feeding down from the north-west on a cool and gusty breeze with sunny spells. Cool but pleasant enough in the sunshine and sheltered from the wind. Cold night ahead with the chance of ground-frost in rural spots. Max 15°C Min 4°C

Colder air from the north arrives during Friday.

Weekend: Cloudier second-half.

Saturday: The fresh north-westerly airflow continues and cloud will increase after a bright morning. Dry. More in the way of cloud overnight so not as cold. Max 15°C Min 8°C

Sunday: The high pressure will have drifted a little bit further east, so the wind should not be as strong. Cloudy day expected with some breaks here and there. Feeling cooler with less in the way of brightness. Max 14°C Min 7°C

Outlook: High pressure to hang around for a few more days, so little change. It will then drift away later in the week, allowing for a steady south-westerly breeze to pick up, dragging in cloud with the odd patch of rain but most will stay dry. Temperatures will recover a little but no sign of a late summer-burst on the horizon!

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Note: There will be no blog next week as I’m off to Spain for a golfing holiday. Forecast tweets will continue and maybe the odd Spanish photo or two ;).


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 14th of September at 5:35pm.

Start of Autumn to bring rain, thunderstorms and wind – Thursday 1st September 2022 – Sunday 4th September 2022

Hi all,

I think it’s safe to say that Summer 2022 was decent. Plenty of dry weather with very warm sunny spells and a lot of settled conditions. Most notable was the record-breaking July heatwave (36.6°C) and the well below-average rainfall. We also had much more warmer evenings than usual and even a nice August (normally a bad month). With it being settled we did lack in thunderstorm activity but we could well see some action over the coming week.

Summer 2022 delivered only 39% of the average rainfall.

June 2022 31.6mm (av. 79mm)
July 2022 35mm (av. 92mm)
August 2022 38mm (av. 95mm)

Meteorological autumn starts on Thursday and we’ll squeeze in another decent day but then it’s all about low pressure and an unsettled theme. Exact timings and the finer details of the coming days will change, so always look out for updates on Twitter.

As is the nature of showers, some areas will see more rain than others but the general overall thinking is; 40-50mm of rainfall is likely in the first 10 days of autumn. These totals could be higher in some spots if we see some torrential thundery showers develop.

Up to 2 inches (50mm) of rain expected during the first 10 days of September. That’s about half of what we received throughout the whole 3 months of summer.

Maximum UV levels are now down to medium between 10am-3pm.

Thursday: Low pressure is beginning to develop to the west of the UK but it won’t influence us just yet. So another mostly dry day with warm sunny spells. Outside chance of a shower later, especially over the hills. Winds still quite breezy. Max 22°C

Friday: The low will creep closer and a squeeze in the isobars will mean another breezy or even windy day. Sunny spells and feeling warm but isolated beefy showers are expected later in the day. Max 21°C

Weekend: Turning more unsettled.

Saturday: A showery day, some likely to be thundery as the atmosphere becomes more unstable. There could well be a band of more persistent rain strewn across the region but the location of this at this stage is uncertain. Breezy. Max 20°C

Sunday: Bright spells, especially to start, then heavy and again possibly thundery showers will develop and becoming widespread. These showers could well be more focused to the south and west. Still feeling quite warm in any sunshine but like previous days it will be windy. Max 20°C

Over the weekend and into early next week low pressure to our southwest will be pushing bands of heavy showers north-eastwards across the region

Outlook: Low pressure remaining pretty much in charge with spells of bright spells and showers, some beefy with thunder and lightning. It will tend to become a little cooler as the week goes on with maximum temperatures back into the teens.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 31st of August 2022 at 1:15pm