Wintry then yet more rain – Thursday 27th February 2020 – Sunday 1st March 2020

Hi all,

The final blog of this winter as meteorological Spring arrives on Sunday. February turned out to be the wettest month I’ve ever recorded and we’re not done yet. Rumours have started of ‘summer’ arriving, which means some sun, warmer and drier conditions but is there actually any sign of this? First, some snow.

Thursday: The morning will start with a spell of rain, sleet and snow (warning in place). This will quickly clear away to the southeast to be replaced by sunny spells and the odd wintry shower. Still feeling cold. Max 6°C

Friday: Dry and bright start but cloud soon thickening to bring rain (some hill-snow possible at first). Breezy and eventually milder later via a warm sector. Warning in place for the rain. Max 8°C

Weekend: Yet more rain/showers then colder again.

Saturday: Heavy rain for the morning, will sweep east to be followed by sunshine and showers, some beefy with hail and thunder. These turning wintry on the hills later as it turns colder again. Windy. Max 8°C

Sunday: Sunny spells and showers. Some wintry and again we can’t rule out hail and the odd rumble of thunder. Windy. Max 6°C

Outlook: Remaining chilly with temperatures below average. Still showery but signs of it settling down after next weekend. No sign yet of any significantly warmer weather.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.



Forecast Issued: Wednesday 26th of February 2020 at 7:45pm

More Wind & Rain – Thursday 20th February 2020 – Sunday 23rd February 2020

Hi all,

OK, I’ve had enough. It’s cold, it’s miserable and the forecast doesn’t get any better. I’m ready for Spring now. Who remembers late-February last year? We enjoyed warm sunshine. What I would give for those conditions right now (I’d be on the golf course!). Meanwhile the risk of localised flooding continues.

Thursday: The morning sees an active band of squally rain move southeast. Initially quite mild but much colder air will arrive by lunchtime after the rain has moved through. Some sleet or snow on the back edge can’t be ruled out, especially above 200M. Sunny spells and scattered wintry showers for the afternoon with hail and thunder & lightning. Feeling cold in a gusty west-to-northwesterly wind. Max 8°C (in the morning)

Friday: Milder with strong southwesterly winds, gusting to 40mph. Cloudy with rain at times but initially most of the rain is likely to fall in the hills and on exposed southwest-facing areas. Therefore the rain-shadow might come into play again keeping it ‘drier’ around Manchester/west of Oldham. The rain will move on through overnight giving a spell of heavy rain for all. Max 10°C

Weekend: Windy with more rain.

Saturday: Some rain to start. Staying mostly cloudy, odd bright spell during the day with a few showers. Very windy with 45mph gusts. Max 9°C

Sunday: Windy with periods of rain but winds not as strong. Max 9°C

Outlook: Bright spells and showers, come wintry midweek. Remaining breezy. No sign of colder, snowy weather, nor warmer and settled.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks for reading.

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 19th of February 2020 at 3:50pm

Storm Dennis this Weekend – Thursday 13th February 2020 – Sunday 16th February 2020

Hi all,

Winter hasn’t really delivered much this time around but we made up for that with Storm Ciara and some hail, sleet and snow showers this week. Storm Ciara delivered 2 inches of rain (54.8mm here), localised flooding and widely local wind speeds of 60mph (my highest was 52mph). The highest official gust was recorded at Manchester airport, 86mph, as a squall-line went through around 11am on Sunday. Colder air followed hence the wintry showers and the winds remained strong for a couple of days. Will the stormy conditions continue?

Thursday: Rain and some hill-snow, will have moved on from overnight to be replaced by bright spells and the odd shower. Breezy and feeling cold. Max 7°C

Friday: Milder with strong southwesterly winds. Bright spells for most of the morning with more rain arriving later. Windy. Max 10°C

Weekend: More rain and wind – Storm Dennis

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and dry to start but the weather will go downhill quickly. Winds increasing as another weather system arrives from the Atlantic. Heavy rain expected to continue late-afternoon and evening. Winds gusting to 45-50mph, with a warning in place. Expect quite a bit of rain, some localised flooding possible. Max 11°C

Sunday: Sunshine and showers. Some heavy with hail and thunder. Continuing very windy with 50-55mph gusts leading to some damage with perhaps some 60mph+ gusts for a time overnight. Max 10°C

Outlook: Monday will be a bright day with sunshine and some wintry showers. We will still be feeling the effects of Storm Dennis, so gales or severe gales with 50-55mph gusts, especially in the showers. Less windy during the week but still on the mild side with a few showers.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks for reading.

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 12th of February 2020 at 6pm

The Calm Before Storm Ciara – Thursday 6th February 2020 – Sunday 9th February 2020

Hi all,

WOW – that’s January done with already and the stats are in. It was a month delivering below average rainfall (yes you heard that correctly) but much milder conditions than the norm. Now we have a few days of high pressure, literally bringing the ‘calm before the storm’, or will that be storms?

Thursday: High pressure in charge, so a chilly start with some patchy frost and fog. Some sunny spells developing during the day. Dry with light winds. Max 7°C

Friday: The high will start to drift away to the east. We will get through daylight hours dry with bright or sunny spells. Less in the way of fog or mist to start as the southeasterly wind picks up making it feel cold. Rain overnight. Max 6°C

Weekend: The Jet Stream is starting up its engines and there is a big change on the way.

Saturday: There could be a band of rain to start but this will ease away quickly to leave a reasonable day with some sunny spells. The wind will start to swing to a southwesterly and will increase in strength as the day progresses. 40mph gusts possible by evening as it turns cloudy with rain arriving. Max 9°C

Storm Ciara, named by the UK Met Office, arrives Saturday night into Sunday

Sunday: Very windy with heavy rain, followed by frequently blustery showers. It will be very mild early on but turning colder into the evening. Details for Storm Ciara will firm up nearer the time. Currently we are in for gusts of up to 55-70mph with some structural damage possible; but this could downgrade slightly if the position of the low changes. As colder air digs in overnight, the showers will turn wintry, with an increasing risk of snow on the hills. Max 11°C

Outlook: It will remain windy on Monday/Tuesday with wintry showers, so expect rain, hail, sleet, snow and some thunder and lightning. Gusts of 40-50mph still likely during the showers. During the week, there is the potential for another storm to develop, Storm Dennis, so keep your eyes peeled on my updates. Later in the week it looks less cold but unsettled with further spells of rain.

January 2020 Stats

Max 12.3°C (7th)
Min -2.7°C (19th)
Av. 6.0°C
Av. Dew Pt 4.3°C
Wettest 17.4mm (11th)
Av. Humidity 89%
Av. Barometer 1017.2 hPa
Max Gust 41.4mph (13th)
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 72.8mm (Av. is 100mm)
Rain Registered Days 24
Dry Days 7
Air Frosts 2

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and details on any severe weather.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 5th of February 2020 at 4:05pm