Some rain but quite warm – Thursday 16th September 2021 – Sunday 19th September 2021

Hi all,

There’s a bit of a battle-ground continuing across the UK. Low pressure is trying to get in from the Atlantic over the next few days but high pressure to the northeast continues to weaken the weather fronts as they arrive.

Thursday: Any early mist or fog will lift into low-cloud which will break to allow some sunny spells to develop. Feeling pleasantly warm. Max 19°C

Friday: A weather front will be moving in from the west but weakening as the day progresses. So after a dry start there will be some sunny spells. Cloud will thicken towards late-afternoon and some patchy rain is possible overnight. Breeze picking up. Warm. Max 20°C

Weekend: Some rain.

Saturday: Early cloud and a few showers will move away and hopefully the cloud will break to allow for some bright spells, but then more showers are likely to develop. Max 19°C

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a few showers. Max 19°C

Outlook: Low pressure to the northwest of the UK will try to send bands of rain or showers southeast across the region. With high pressure to the northeast and southwest of the UK, this will act as a barrier, attempting to keep the fronts at bay and if any fronts do make it southeast across the region, the high will help to weaken them and turn any rain light and patchy. In between all of this, sunny spells and maximum temperatures remaining around average, 17-18°C. No sign of the first Autumn frost just yet or an Indian Summer.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and weather warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of September 2021 at 10pm.

Thundery breakdown – Thursday 9th September 2021 – Sunday 12th September 2021

Hi all,

August, these days, turns out to be a poor month and 2021 was no exception with below average temperatures and a real lack of sunshine. That said, the rainfall amounts were below normal as the month ended with 10 dry days. But how did our Summer compare to recent Summers. I have data, for complete Summers, since 2013; so I’ll try and do some stats on this for next week’s blog.

Thursday: After two hot and humid days the weather breaks with low pressure drifting in bringing thundery showers with some localised downpours (warning in place). Early morning showers clear to a drier spell with some bright spells. Heavy thundery showers form during the afternoon. Cooler temperatures but still feeling muggy. Max 21°C

Thundery showers developing on Thursday afternoon

Friday: Mostly cloudy with some bright spells but showers developing as the day progresses, again heavy with the chance of hail and thunder and lightning. Max 19°C

Low pressure remains in control on Friday leading to further downpours

Weekend: A quieter weekend ahead.

Saturday: Light winds and although there will be plenty of cloud there will be some bright spells. Chance of a rogue shower in the hills. Max 19°C

Sunday: Little change albeit cooler. Mostly dry with some brightness. Max 17°C

Outlook: Ex-hurricane Larry will be mixing in with the Jet Stream so throws some uncertainty into our forecast. Latest model outputs suggests the low pressure swings to our NW allowing pressure to build. So a few days of settled weather with sunny spells, before a return to showery conditions with temperatures around normal. 

August 2021 Stats

Max 21.4°C (2nd)
Min 0.0°C (22nd)
Av. 15.0°C
Wettest 22.6mm (8th)
Av. Humidity 82%
Av. Barometer 1017.4 hPa
Max Gust 27.6mph (8th)
Av. Wind Direction W
Rain 70.6mm
Rain Registered Days 16
Dry Days 15

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings. 

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 8th of September 2021 at 9:05pm.
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

No Heatwave on the cards – Thursday 12th August 2021 – Sunday 15th August 2021

Hi all,

August. The final summer month and so far so… poor, with only a couple of days in the 20s and half-a-month’s worth of rain falling in just 3 days. It can only get better, right?

August so far

Thursday: Sunny spells for the morning. Cloud arriving from the southwest during the day but it is expected to remain dry but a breezy with 20-25mph gusts. Max 21°C

Friday: Windy with some bright spells. Most places dry but the odd shower can’t be ruled out. Cooler. Max 19°C

Weekend: Wet Saturday.

Saturday: An area of rain was set to move across Southern England but latest models suggest it comes right across NW England, so a cloudy day with rain at times. Max 18°C

Rain predicted further north that originally thought for Saturday

Sunday: Sunny spells and a fresh northwesterly breeze which will blow in some showers for the afternoon. Max 18°C

Outlook: Breezy on Monday with bright spells and the odd shower, especially in the East. As the week goes on high pressure will try and build and move in from the southwest/west but this isn’t certain. The week looks mostly bright and dry but amounts of warm sunshine will increase if the high builds.

High pressure out West next week trying to move in
No heatwave on the cards – Max temps at midday on Thursday the 19th of August

Thanks for reading and you can follow me for forecasts on Twitter, @ChadWeather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 11th of August 2021 at 8:25pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com; http://www.weatheronline.co.uk

Summer on the horizon? – Thursday 8th July 2021 – Sunday 11th July 2021

Hi all,

It’s been a wet and muggy start to July after a very dry June. Plenty of rain this week was welcome for the gardens and golf courses but what we really want is some summer-warmth and sunshine to return – I need my BBQ fix.

Moody skies from my walk above Hanging Lees Reservoir on Wednesday morning

****Don’t forget UV levels are still high when the sun is shining.****

Thursday: A ridge of high pressure will begin to build from the southwest improving the weather. Dry with sunny spells. Chance of a shower in southern parts. Max 20°C

Friday: Similar day. Plenty of dry weather, bright or sunny spells during the morning with cloud bubbling as the day progresses. Low risk of a shower, more so the further east you are. Max 21°C

Weekend: Showers to return.

Saturday: A dry morning is expected with sunny spells and the odd rogue shower. Further showers brewing from lunchtime, locally heavy but these should be well-scattered and tend to ease towards evening. Not everyone catching one. Still warm with light winds. Max 21°C

Showers return this weekend after a drier couple of days

Sunday: Sunny spells for the morning. Any sunshine becoming hazy as the afternoon turns mostly cloudy with patchy, showery rain coming in from the west. Quite humid with light winds. Max 21°C

Outlook: After an unsettled few days, with showers continuing, it looks like high pressure will attempt to move in from midweek; well at least build in from the southwest with the ideal of taking hold. Sunny spells increasing and temperatures rising quickly, perhaps the mid-20s by the second half of next week. Fingers crossed. As always, with long-range forecasts they are not set in stone, so keep up-to-date on Twitter.

Temperatures set to rise later next week
High pressure tries to build in later next week but it could take its time

June 2021 Stats:

Max 24.1°C (2nd)
Min 6.8°C (22nd)
Av. 15.2°C
Av. Dew Pt 10.2°C
Wettest 3.8mm (25th)
Av. Humidity 73%
Av. Barometer 1019.8 hPa
Max Gust 27.6mph (3rd)
Av. Wind Direction NNW
Rain 9.8mm
Rain Registered Days 5
Dry Days 25

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th of July 2021 at 16:35
Images: http://www.netweather.tv and http://www.meteociel.fr

Warm but rain returns – Thursday 1st July 2021 – Sunday 4th July 2021

Hi all,

June is coming to an end. It’s been a very dry month and overall we can be satisfied with the first month of summer, especially after a poor May. So, a new month, does that mean a change in our weather? Certainly looks that way come the weekend.

Thursday: A decent day with sunny spells and feeling very warm. Cloud will develop in some parts during the day but it will stay dry. Max 22°C

Friday: Cloud will increase from the northeast with the chance of a shower or two. Most of us staying dry. Some sunny spells returning later. Warm. Max 21°C

Weekend: Becoming showery.

Saturday: Sunny spells for the morning but clouds will bubble up and isolated showers are expected to break out into the afternoon and evening, some locally heavy. Max 21°C

Sunday: Bright spells and hefty, slow-moving showers developing. Chance of the odd thunderstorm breaking out too. Some welcome rain for the gardens. Max 20°C

Rainfall totals Wed PM to Sun PM – most delivered via showers over the weekend

Outlook: The week looks generally cloudy with showers at times. No sign of a summer heatwave yet. Temperatures remaining on the warm side (around 18-20°C) and at times it will be muggy.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks for reading,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 30th of June 2021 at 7:40pm
Image: http://www.wxcharts.com

Cold with some snow – Thursday 3rd December 2020 – Sunday 6th December 2020

Hi all,

Winter’s only just arrived and we have our first chance of some snowfall, albeit on the Pennines and surrounding hills but it’s a start. No repeat of December 2010 at this point!

Thursday: A cloudy and cold day with bits and pieces of rain or showers. Some of this falling as sleet or wet-snow above 350M and on the Pennines but it’s not expected to amount to much. Max 5°C

Friday: A day to keep an eye on if you’re travelling on the tops. Rain looks set to come in from the east during the day and with cold air in place this is likely to turn to snow. The snow will be mostly confined to above 250M but don’t be surprised to see some sleet and wet-snow to lower-levels at times. Slightly less cold air towards evening will mean the snow-level will rise. Max 4°C

Weekend: Remaining mostly cloudy and slowly drier. Below average temperatures.

Saturday: Any early rain, sleet and Pennine-snow soon fading away. Staying generally cloudy with limited brightness. Cold and a patchy frost likely overnight. Raw breeze. Max 5°C

Sunday: Drier with bright or sunny spells developing. Odd shower. Lighter winds. Max 5°C

Outlook: Slowly it will become less cold with temperatures returning to a maximum of 8°C. A lot of cloud about with some patchy rain/showers. No sign of conditions cold enough to bring a snow-risk.

November 2020 Stats

Max 16.2°C (1st)
Min 1.6°C (23rd)
Av. 8.3°C
Av. Dew Pt 6.3°C
Wettest 13.4mm (15th)
Av. Humidity 88%
Av. Barometer 1016.9 hPa
Max Gust 33.4 mph (1st)
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 82.2mm
Rain Registered Days 23
Dry Days 7

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 2nd of December 2020 at 8:40pm

Colder with some Frost and Fog – Thursday 26th November 2020 – Sunday 29th November 2020

Hi all,

Change on the way to colder weather this week and then high pressure takes control to bring some late-Autumn frosts and fog. Almost winter and the talk of significant snow next week according to the social media jokers but I can confirm no sign of that within the next 7 days for sure.

Thursday: Colder air has now reached all parts of the UK feeding down from the NW so we start the day with a frost and even patchy fog. Sunny spells should break through eventually for all leading to a decent day apart from a few showers out to the West. Max 8°C

Friday: High pressure in charge now so light winds means another morning of mist and fog, some of it dense and a frost. The foggy conditions look set to stay for most, even if it lifts into low-cloud it will remain cold and dank. Max 5°C

Weekend: High pressure drifts into Scandinavia leading to a chilly breeze.

Saturday: Likely to start misty and frosty again. Mostly cloudy as the mist lifts but hopefully some bright spells coming through into the afternoon as the south-easterly breeze picks up. Still cold. Max 6°C

Sunday: Patchy frost to start then bright spells. Cloud thickening into the afternoon but it should remain dry. A little less cold. Max 7°C

Outlook: High pressure builds in again from the West so mostly settled and cloudy with a few bright spells. Milder for a time too with the frosty nights disappearing. Towards the back end of the week it could turn colder from the NW with wintry showers.

Thanks for reading.
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 25th of November 2020 at 10am.

Colder but short-lived – Thursday 19th November 2020 – Sunday 22nd November 2020

Hi all,

Winter is fast approaching and we will certainly feel the nip in the air for a short while this week. As the winds drag some colder conditions down from the North, expect some blue sunnier skies but it doesn’t last long as rain and milder temperatures return.

Thursday: A cold and windy start with showers moving south-east. With colder air in place these could be wintry on the Pennines, but they won’t hang around for long. The day will turn dry with plenty of sunny spells. Feeling much colder especially in the wind. Patchy frost for the first half of the night. Max 7°C

A brief plunge of colder air from the North for Thursday

Friday: Thicker cloud now covers the region with rain returning from the West quickly and feeling chilly. Becoming milder by evening. It will turn breezy. Max 11°C

Weekend: Improving slowly.

Saturday: The cloudy picture continues with rain at times adjusting to showers later. Windy and mild. Max 12°C

Sunday: A better day with sunny spells and the odd shower. Breezy and feeling cooler. Max 10°C

Outlook: Disappointing really. A lot of cloud with some patchy rain at times. Often breezy and temperatures around normal, 8-11°C. Hints of something brighter but colder towards the end of the week.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and up to date information on any severe weather.

Thanks for reading.
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of November 2020 at 16:40.
Image: http://www.netweather.tv

Several Severe Weather Warnings in force – Thursday 29th October 2020 – Sunday 1st November 2020

Hi all,

We’ve had typical autumnal weather this week with breezy conditions and rain at times and it’s not going to get any better in the short-term. If anything, worse.

**3 Severe Weather warnings in place** – Thursday 9am, pretty much all the way through to Sunday 23:59.

Thu/Fri: Met Office warning for heavy rain affecting the region. Further warnings on Twitter, @ChadWeather.

Thursday: You might be lucky to start dry but rain, heavy at times will arrive from the southwest. It will be breezy at times and with this airflow comes not only a lot moisture but milder air. Max 14°C

A wet Thursday with the highest totals on the hills

Friday: Rain continuing on and off for the day as pulses arrive from the southwest. A very mild day and remaining breezy. Max 15°C

Weekend: Very windy with further showers.

Saturday: Cloudy with rain spreading east during the day followed by showers. Winds increasing with gale-force gusts likely. Mild once again. Max 15°C

Sunday: Yep you’ve guessed it, another area of rain from the west swings through but this time quickly with bright spells and showers following. Turning cooler and very windy with 35-40mph gusts. Max 12°C

Around 2 inches of rain, locally more, between now and Monday.

Outlook: Wet and windy to start but high pressure has the chance to build to our southwest from midweek turning the weather more settled, calmer and drier. We’ll certainly need it after a week of rain with localised flooding possible.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 28th of October 2020 at 5:20pm.

Images: Met Office and http://www.wxcharts.com.

Mostly Cloudy and Quiet… for now – Thursday 15th October 2020 – Sunday 18th October 2020

Hi all,

After a few weeks of unsettled weather, and quite a bit of rainfall, the weather is going to settle down for a while. Unfortunately a lot of cloud to come and a cool-feel to boot.

Thursday: High pressure close by will mean plenty of dry weather with some bright spells. A fresh north-easterly wind. Chance of an isolated shower early and then late-afternoon/evening. Max 11°C

Friday: Little change, if anything more cloud feeding in from the east but generally dry once more after a cold start. Any breaks in the cloud overnight allowing temperatures to drop away. Max 11°C

Weekend: Mainly Overcast.

Saturday: A generally cloudy day, some low-cloud on the hills which could produce the odd pocket of drizzle. Otherwise quiet with little going on. Max 12°C

Sunday: No change. Feeling cool at times under a lot of cloud. Max 11°C

Outlook: Not much difference for most of Monday but as the wind swings more to the south, or southwest it will be slightly milder with rain lurking out west. Turning wet after that, especially midweek onwards and then cooler later in the week.

As we approach mid-October here are some of the latest stats for the month.

Max. Temp: 14.8°C
Min. Temp: 3.1°C
Total Rainfall: 94.2mm

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 14th of October at 6:20pm