Better for the Weekend – Thursday 6th October 2022 – Sunday 9th October 2022

Hi all,

September’s stats are in and finally a month where the total rainfall was not below-average. September is definitely a month of change and it’s feeling a lot more autumnal now and we have more rain to come after a wet start to October.

Thursday: Sunny spells for the morning but cloudier for the afternoon as an area of showers moves in. Drier into the evening. Windy. Max 15°C

Friday: A band of rain will move south-east followed by bright spells and showers. Breezy. Max 14°C

Weekend: Drier with a ridge of high pressure.

Saturday: Overall not a bad day. Dry with bright or sunny spells. Not as windy as recently. Max 15°C

Sunday: Bright start with cloud increasing. Patchy rain arriving during the evening. Max 14°C

Outlook: Drier start to the working week with another ridge of high pressure but limited amounts of sunshine. More unsettled during the week as bands of showery rain return. Temperatures above-average and windy at times.

September 2022 Stats

Max 22.5°C (5th)
Min 2.9°C (28th)
Av. 13.5°C
Wettest 25mm (30th)
Av. Humidity 82%
Av. Barometer 1014.0 hPa
Max Gust 27.6mph
Av. Wind Direction W
Rain 94.2mm (average)
Rain Registered Days 17
Dry Days 13

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks for reading as always.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 6th of October at 5:30pm.

Turning wet and windy – Thursday 29th September 2022 – Sunday 2nd October 2022

Hi all,

The weekly blog is back this week and with it news of unsettled weather as the Jet Stream returns across the UK. September is definitely the month of change and another grass-frost this morning, signalling the trend to much cooler weather compared to only a few weeks ago. That said, milder air is on the way but plenty of rain and wind to go with it.

Thursday: A fresh start with sunny spells but cloud will soon increase. Breezy but warmer than recently. Bright spells continue into the afternoon with the chance of a fleeting shower. Chilly night. Max 16°C

Friday: A large area of low pressure will anchor to the northwest of the UK and dominate the weather. Cloud thickening quickly, and any brightness fading as heavy rain sweeps in from the west during the morning. Winds increasing later to gust locally to 40mph. The rain will turn showery into the evening. Max 14°C

A lively low brings heavy rain and gusty winds on Friday, especially into the afternoon and evening.

Weekend: Autumnal but improvements.

Saturday: Windy with frequent showers which could be thundery with hail. Bright spells in between. Feeling fresh and gusty during showers. Max 13°C

Sunday: Showers continuing for most of the morning but these will ease and become more scattered into the afternoon. Still windy. Max 14°C

Outlook: Maximum temperatures staying in the mid-teens. Mixed conditions with bright spells and showers. Nothing significantly cold or warm. Ground-frosts unlikely.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 28th of September 2022 at 5:10pm
Image: www

Plenty of dry weather but turning cooler with the chance of a ground-frost – Thursday 15th September 2022 – Sunday 18th September 2022

Hi all,

So far in September (up to the 14th) we’ve had 50mm of rain, so already passing the previous 3 months of summer’s individual monthly totals. Autumn is making up for that decent summer but we now enter a dry spell once again, which could last over a week and it will start to feel chilly.

**UV levels are now down to MEDIUM (4) between 12pm-2pm**

After some sunny spells earlier this week, cloudier conditions and cooler air is set to arrive.

Thursday: Fresh start then a dry day with a north-westerly breeze and sunny spells. Cloud bubbling up during the day. Max 16°C Min 7°C

Friday: High pressure out to our west, so plenty of dry weather with variable cloud feeding down from the north-west on a cool and gusty breeze with sunny spells. Cool but pleasant enough in the sunshine and sheltered from the wind. Cold night ahead with the chance of ground-frost in rural spots. Max 15°C Min 4°C

Colder air from the north arrives during Friday.

Weekend: Cloudier second-half.

Saturday: The fresh north-westerly airflow continues and cloud will increase after a bright morning. Dry. More in the way of cloud overnight so not as cold. Max 15°C Min 8°C

Sunday: The high pressure will have drifted a little bit further east, so the wind should not be as strong. Cloudy day expected with some breaks here and there. Feeling cooler with less in the way of brightness. Max 14°C Min 7°C

Outlook: High pressure to hang around for a few more days, so little change. It will then drift away later in the week, allowing for a steady south-westerly breeze to pick up, dragging in cloud with the odd patch of rain but most will stay dry. Temperatures will recover a little but no sign of a late summer-burst on the horizon!

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Note: There will be no blog next week as I’m off to Spain for a golfing holiday. Forecast tweets will continue and maybe the odd Spanish photo or two ;).


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 14th of September at 5:35pm.

Drier and More Settled Weekend before ex-Hurricane Danielle – Thursday 8th September 2022 – Sunday 11th September 2022

Hi all,

Remember, for the latest forecasts and warnings, follow @ChadWeather on Twitter. When our weather is unsettled forecasting is tricky, so always keep an eye on Twitter for any updates.

Thundery showers have passed through the region this week.

Thursday: After a bright start with some sunny spells clouds will bubble up and with low pressure close by, heavy thundery showers will break out again. Risk of hail. Max 20°C

Friday: Cloudier and the area of low pressure that has dominated the UK’s weather since the start of the week will slip east and start to fill slightly. As it does so, there will be a fresh north to north-easterly wind and showers will develop again. Max 19°C

Weekend: Low pressure moves into Europe allowing a brief ridge of high pressure to slip in.

Saturday: Lighter winds and drier with bright or sunny spells. With more brightness around it will feel warmer. Chance of an isolated shower towards evening but most dry. Max 19°C

Sunday: The ridge of high pressure will be squeezed away as the remnants of ex-Hurricane Danielle will drift towards the UK. So a cloudier day with winds increasing from the south-east and becoming quite gusty. Showery rain for the latter half of the day or more likely, overnight. Humidity increasing. Max 20°C

Outlook: Little change. Showers or bands of rain, perhaps thundery at times and temperatures around normal. Bright spells too. So far, Autumn is making up for that decent summer.

August 2022 Stats

Max 30.4°C (12th)
Min 8.5°C (6th)
Av. 17.6°C
Wettest 13.6mm (2nd)
Av. Humidity 73%
Av. Barometer 1019.0 hPa
Max Gust 27.6mph
Av. Wind Direction W
Rain 38mm (well below-average)
Rain Registered Days 10
Dry Days 21


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th of September 2022 at 7:20pm

Start of Autumn to bring rain, thunderstorms and wind – Thursday 1st September 2022 – Sunday 4th September 2022

Hi all,

I think it’s safe to say that Summer 2022 was decent. Plenty of dry weather with very warm sunny spells and a lot of settled conditions. Most notable was the record-breaking July heatwave (36.6°C) and the well below-average rainfall. We also had much more warmer evenings than usual and even a nice August (normally a bad month). With it being settled we did lack in thunderstorm activity but we could well see some action over the coming week.

Summer 2022 delivered only 39% of the average rainfall.

June 2022 31.6mm (av. 79mm)
July 2022 35mm (av. 92mm)
August 2022 38mm (av. 95mm)

Meteorological autumn starts on Thursday and we’ll squeeze in another decent day but then it’s all about low pressure and an unsettled theme. Exact timings and the finer details of the coming days will change, so always look out for updates on Twitter.

As is the nature of showers, some areas will see more rain than others but the general overall thinking is; 40-50mm of rainfall is likely in the first 10 days of autumn. These totals could be higher in some spots if we see some torrential thundery showers develop.

Up to 2 inches (50mm) of rain expected during the first 10 days of September. That’s about half of what we received throughout the whole 3 months of summer.

Maximum UV levels are now down to medium between 10am-3pm.

Thursday: Low pressure is beginning to develop to the west of the UK but it won’t influence us just yet. So another mostly dry day with warm sunny spells. Outside chance of a shower later, especially over the hills. Winds still quite breezy. Max 22°C

Friday: The low will creep closer and a squeeze in the isobars will mean another breezy or even windy day. Sunny spells and feeling warm but isolated beefy showers are expected later in the day. Max 21°C

Weekend: Turning more unsettled.

Saturday: A showery day, some likely to be thundery as the atmosphere becomes more unstable. There could well be a band of more persistent rain strewn across the region but the location of this at this stage is uncertain. Breezy. Max 20°C

Sunday: Bright spells, especially to start, then heavy and again possibly thundery showers will develop and becoming widespread. These showers could well be more focused to the south and west. Still feeling quite warm in any sunshine but like previous days it will be windy. Max 20°C

Over the weekend and into early next week low pressure to our southwest will be pushing bands of heavy showers north-eastwards across the region

Outlook: Low pressure remaining pretty much in charge with spells of bright spells and showers, some beefy with thunder and lightning. It will tend to become a little cooler as the week goes on with maximum temperatures back into the teens.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 31st of August 2022 at 1:15pm

Sunny spells, mostly dry and warm but no heatwave expected – Thursday 25th August 2022 – Bank Holiday Monday 29th August 2022

Hi all,

Apologies for no weekly blog last week. I had some family-time away in the Cotswolds. Back this week with some good news as high pressure brings us a settled period of weather, perfect timing for a Bank Holiday weekend. Temperatures will be pleasant and still feeling very warm in the sunshine.

UV levels are no longer HIGH, but MEDIUM, which is still strong enough for you to get sunburnt easily without sun-cream between 11am and 2pm.

Thursday: Fresher air has arrived so we lose the muggy and humid conditions that we’ve had this week. Early cloud will eventually break to a dry day with sunny spells. Max 21°C

Friday: Sunny spells for the morning. A band of cloud will arrive into the afternoon which just might be thick enough to give some patchy rain to the west, but the main thinking is most will stay dry. Max 20°C

Weekend: High pressure takes charge and temperatures rising a touch. Depending on the location of the high pressure we might sneak into the mid-20s for Bank Holiday Monday.

Saturday: Sunny spells and pleasant with warmer temperatures. A bit of cloud will bubble up here and there meaning we have the low risk of an isolated shower, especially towards the hills. Max 22°C

Isolated showers possible this weekend but a lot of dry weather with hazy sunny spells.

Sunday: Very similar to Saturday. Perhaps the sunshine turning hazy. Max 23°C

Bank Holiday Monday: A slight northeasterly breeze but plenty of dry weather and warm sunny spells once more. Even though the high pressure has drifted away a little it is still in charge. Max 23-25°C

Outlook: It seems that the high pressure will hold for most of the week but with a northeasterly airflow temperatures will range from 19-22°C. Plenty of dry weather, local shower possible. Again, a shift in wind direction could easily lift temperatures. More unsettled by the weekend looks on the cards but it could be short-lived with another high pressure following .

More unsettled for the opening weekend of September?

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 24th of August 2022 at 7:05pm.

Images: &

7-day heatwave to end early next week with a risk of thunderstorms – Thursday 11th August 2022 – Monday 15th August 2022

Hi all,

Well well well. Another heatwave. August normally disappoints, and OK there is still time left for August to be wet and miserable for the latter part of the month, but the next 5 days are set to be hot and increasingly humid after maximum temperatures reached 25°C on Tuesday and have risen since. Temperatures will make it into the 30s but it will not be as hot as the heatwave of July.

An amber weather warning for extreme heat is in force for Thursday to Sunday – issued by the Met Office

**UV levels are still HIGH (6/7) mostly between 12pm-2pm**

Nights will be warm and a little uncomfortable for sleeping but with relatively low dew points and humidity (until later in the weekend) it could have been a lot worse.

Thursday: The heatwave is in control now, as is high pressure, slam bang across the country bringing a hot day with plenty of sunshine. If you do head to the coast there will be some sea breezes. Max 30°C Min 17°C

Friday: Little change. Hot and sunny with a slight breeze from the east to north-east. Max 31°C Min 18°C

Weekend: More heatwave conditions.

Saturday: Yep, you guessed it another hot and sunny day with a breeze picking up. Max 31°C Min 17°C

Sunday: Sunny spells with cloud bubbling up during the day; the sign of change. This will be the first signs of a breakdown to the current heatwave as low pressure drifts up from the south. Chance of some thundery showers breaking out later in the day but very isolated. Muggy. Max 31°C Min 18°C

Monday: A cooling theme with scattered thundery showers breaking out. Sunny spells in between. More bearable temperatures but it will be humid as fresher air will slowly arrive on Tuesday. Max 25°C

Outlook: A cooling trend as the weather turns showery with the high slipping away to the east and low pressure coming up from the south or south-west. Locally some hefty downpours and finally some relief from what was a prolonged dry and hot spell of weather. Temperatures returning to around normal values, max 20°C, with the Atlantic driving our weather during the latter part of the week.

The heatwave begins to break: Hit-and-miss thundery showers on Monday

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 10th of August 2022 at 3:05pm
Images: Met Office and

Recent much-needed rain to ease, as August shows hints of warming and drying up once more – Thursday 4th August 2022 – Sunday 7th August 2022

Hi all,

Last month was the driest July in England since 1935 according to the data collated by the Met Office. I mentioned numerous times that we were on for well below-average rainfall and even though we ended the month with 11 consecutive days of measurable rainfall, we only saw 38% of the average. August has started with two days of rain and a total of 16mm already. But, despite a few showers, the main trend now is to much drier conditions once more and warmer temperatures into next week.

Some computer models are certainly hinting at a heatwave returning from the second week of August and perhaps lasting 7-10 days, especially in southern (mostly SE) England. I did post a chart on Twitter the other day to show that a model predicts 40°C again. Of course this is an outlier and very unlikely, or in my own words last time, “will never happen”. My thoughts are again very similar, I can’t see it happening but with temperatures into the 30s looking likely once more, never say never.

It’s been a muggy few days but we are slowly slipping into fresher air now and the next few days will see temperatures below-average but I’ll take that as it will be matched with brighter skies and drier weather. Before today we have seen welcome rainfall deliver 46mm on 13 consecutive days.

Dove Stone reservoir earlier last week in need of rain. Image: @Edwards_TE on Twitter.
Here’s how July 2022 compared to previous years

Thursday: Fresher air under a north-westerly airflow. Morning-showers move through quickly leaving a breezy day with sunny spells and a few scattered showers. Max 19°C

Friday: A similar day. No humid air so pleasant in the sunshine as we see a day of bright spells and isolated showers. Most staying dry. Max 18°C

Weekend: Slowly warmer with high pressure building.

Saturday: Perhaps disappointing cloud amounts at times, limiting the amount of sunshine but dry and bright. Max 18°C

Sunday: Sunny spells and warmer. Slight breeze, again from the north-west so not feeling humid. Max 21°C

Outlook: A lot of dry weather with high pressure in control. The position of the high and the wind-flow will be important and determine how quickly temperatures rise. Temperatures expected to be in the early-20s with the chance of them creeping into the mid-20s later in the week. The warmth could introduce more in the way of humid air and this could set off an isolated home-grown shower, otherwise warm and dry.

Not a lot of rainfall expected over the next 10 days – any rain will now be in the form of showers
Another heatwave on the cards for parts of England & Wales? How far north and west the heat gets is still uncertain but it does look favourable that mid-August will be very warm to hot.

July 2022 Stats

Max 36.6°C (19th)
Min 9.7°C (16th)
Av. 17.0°C
Wettest 10mm (24th)
Av. Humidity 75%
Av. Barometer 1021.2 hPa
Max Gust 21.9mph
Av. Wind Direction W
Rain 35mm (38% of av.)
Rain Registered Days 15
Dry Days 16

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 3rd of August 2022 at 5:50pm

Record-breaking temperatures during historic heatwave – Thursday 21st July 2022 – Sunday 24th July 2022

Hi all,

As a weather enthusiast, that was an exciting few days to witness the hot plume of air bring us the promised boiling but short-lived (thankfully!) heatwave. Records looked set to be smashed and they were, nationally and locally as the UK hit 40°C for the first time ever. When we will see those kind of temperatures again I wonder? The heatwave had all the perfect ingredients to fuel astonishing temperatures. It’ll happen again, and maybe sooner than you think, but for now, that was the Perfect Sauna and personally it wasn’t pleasant.

New National Records

Unbelievable values

NW England Extremes (official) on Tuesday 19th July 2022

NW England Maximum Temperatures (unofficial sites) on Tuesday 19th July 2022

NW England Highest Minimum Temperatures (unofficial sites) on Tuesday 19th July 2022

New Records at Chadderton HQ

Highest Daytime Maximum: 36.6°C (19/07/2022)
Highest Night-time Minimum: 22.6°C (night of 18/07/2022)
Highest Temperature Recorded between 6pm & 6am: 28.5°C (19/07/2022)

For now we’re back to normal values, but we are still experiencing very low rainfall totals (only 5.6mm for July). So far we have had 6 out of the 7 months of 2022 with lower-than-average rainfall. The environment needs rain, clearly highlighted with the amount of wildfires seen this week.

Thursday: Generally cloudy with a chance of some light patchy rain or drizzle. A lucky few will see bright spells into the afternoon but still we can’t rule out a shower. A warm night. Max 20°C

Friday: Cloudy with a weak weather-front across the region. Today was looking promising a few days ago but not now with showers likely, perhaps thundery, so the odd heavy shower but not the widespread rain we need. Max 18°C

Weekend: Low pressure approaching but temperatures rising.

Saturday: A brief ridge of high pressure leading to a dry morning with plenty of sunny spells. Cloud bubbling up into the afternoon and showers will feed in on a warm south-westerly wind, gusty at times. Humid. Max 22°C

Sunday: Bright spells and showers, risk of a thundery one as low pressure takes control. Warm or very warm in any sunshine and muggy but fresher later/overnight as a cold-front moves through. Max 23°C

Outlook: Fresher and still showery on Monday and breezy. High pressure to build, Tuesday to Thursday, so plenty of dry and quite warm weather with sunny spells. Looks like this will slip away for the weekend allowing showery conditions to return. Temperatures just below average or around average.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 20th of July 2022 at 8:47pm
National Records & NW England Extremes:

Heatwave incoming with possible record-breaking temperatures – Thursday 14th July 2022 – Sunday 17th July 2022

Hi all,

It’s going to get hot again, but this time hotter and the lack of notable rain continues. The hottest day I’ve ever recorded is 33.4°C on the 25th of July 2019. This record is under threat; as is the UK’s highest ever recorded temperature, which sits at 38.7°C (July 2019). Not only will daytime records be on the line, but the night-time highest minimum temperatures will be too. Let’s face it. Some of us have to work and we don’t all have a swimming pool in our back garden to cool off in. Three days of grim conditions await.

Weather warning for extreme heat issued by the Met Office.
Details of extreme heat warning.

The heat looks set to break overnight Tuesday into Wednesday with a risk of some localised thunderstorms. The detail on this is still uncertain at this stage.

UV levels are high at this time of the year so it is easy to burn in the sunshine, especially 11am-3pm, regardless of the maximum temperature.

Thursday: We remain in average temperatures for the time of year with some sunny spells and just the chance of a shower, especially in northern parts. Breezy. Max 19°C

Friday: More in the way of cloud as a weakening weather-front brings some scattered showers. Windy at times. Max 18°C

Weekend: Becoming increasingly hot and humid.

Saturday: Sunny spells with cloud bubbling up during the day. Likely to stay dry. Lighter winds and a warm night to follow. Max 24°C Min 15°C

Sunday: Hot and humid with some bright spells of sunshine. An afternoon breeze. A sticky night and starting to become uncomfortable for sleeping. Max 27°C Min 18°C

Normally my daily forecast ends here but I’ll throw a couple more days into the mix.

Monday: The impressive waft of hot air from southern origin continues to spread across the region. More in the way of sunshine is expected and with light winds it will be hard to find some relief to escape the heat. Max 31°C Min 19°C

Tuesday: Hot with sunny periods and temperatures getting close to the local record. Can’t rule out 35°C in a few spots in the east. Of course we are still 6 days away from this date and the heat can easily be downgraded or upgraded (more likely the former) so stayed tuned on social media for updates. Max 33°C Min 19°C

Possible maximum temperatures on Tuesday. Widespread uncomfortable heat.

The hot conditions look set to breakdown overnight Tuesday into Wednesday with thunderstorms looking possible, leaving Wednesday a showery day as cooler air arrives, dropping the temperature back down to a maximum of 23°C

Thundery breakdown into Wednesday looking more likely.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 13th of July 2022 at 6:25pm
Images: & The Met Office