Cooler than recently but milder air will return – Thursday 8th October 2026 – Sunday 11th October 2026

Hi all,

The Weekly Blog is back this week, although it will be a short one as I have, again, had another busy day. Hopefully I can get back on track next week.

Plenty of sunshine around on Wednesday after morning rain but it has turned cooler and fresher and this will be more noticeable overnight where we could see a localised ground-frost. There has been a lot of talk in the media recently about this cold spell, but to be honest it’s literally only lasting a day and slightly milder air will creep back in. It’ll soon be the time for the stupid snow stories.

Thursday: A cold start with a touch of ground-frost in rural spots, then plenty of sunny spells for the morning, but cloud will thicken into the afternoon from the west and then some heavy rain will arrive into the evening and overnight. Max 13°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 25mph

Some heavy rain to come later on Thursday evening

Friday: A wet morning with some heavy rain. This will eventually move away and brighter skies will arrive from the west again. It will be a windy day and milder air will now be back in place. Max 15°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 35mph

Weekend: Improving into Sunday.

Saturday: With a northwesterly airflow we can expect a day of bright spells and some frequent showers coming in on a very gusty wind. Max 13°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 35-40mph

Sunday: A few showers around to start the day but a ridge of high pressure will build in which will kill off the showers. Sunny spells into the afternoon. Cool overnight. Lighter winds. Max 14°C Min 7°C Max Gusts 20mph

A ridge of high pressure will build in on Sunday killing off the morning showers

Outlook: Unsettled at times with bands of showery rain coming in from the west. It will also be breezy at times but with a west or occasionally a southwesterly airflow, temperatures will be on the mild side, so slightly above average.

Next week the Jet Stream will be over the UK, especially northwestern parts

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th Oct 2026 at 8:56pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.netweather.tv

Better weather on the horizon?  – Thursday 17th September 2026 – Sunday 20th of September 2026

Hi,

We are well and truly into autumn now and the rain keeps coming with a few drier slots in between. It has now rained every day in September bar three.

Rainfall is still needed further south in the UK to fill up the reservoirs and we are still below average here in the northwest but it would be nice for the rain to stop and we have a decent spell of weather before September ends. Looking ahead we could well see a short spell of warmer and drier weather with some welcome sunshine.

Thursday: Early rain will clear and then we should see some sunny spells for the rest of the morning and early afternoon. Later in the afternoon showers will feed in from the northwest. They should be reasonably scattered but catch one and it could be heavy. Max 16°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 35mph

Friday: It looks a windy day and there will be some sunny spells to start, but cloud will soon thicken and we can expect rain to arrive into the afternoon and especially so into the evening with some heavy bursts. Mild overnight. Max 16°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 30mph

More rain on Friday afternoon/evening

Weekend: Improvements and a little warmer.

Saturday: We should see the thermometer drop a couple of degrees and there will be some sunshine around, but I do expect it to be quite showery, especially during the morning with these showers slowly becoming less frequent into the afternoon. Windy. Max 19°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: I’m hopeful of there being more in the way of sunshine and any showers will be very well-scattered. Again it will be breezy and temperatures perhaps just back down a degree or so on Saturday. Max 17°C Min 13°C Max 20mph

Outlook: High pressure builds in and we can expect several days of warmer, drier and sunnier weather. How long this lasts is uncertain with the risk of showers returning by the end of the week. Temperatures are expected to be in the early twenties so it will feel very pleasant indeed.

High pressure and warmer air next week

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 16th of September 2026 at 6:35pm

A mixed bag with a brief warmer spell – Thursday 10th September 2026 – Sunday 13th September 2026

Hi all,

The spells of rain keep coming and it’s now rained every day so far in September and rained on the last 14 days out of 15. There is more rain to come but to be fair the outlook isn’t too bad and rainfall amounts won’t be as high as recently.

Rainfall amounts expected between now (Wednesday) and the start of Monday

There were signs of a few days of summer-like warmth returning but for now, any warmer air looks brief, very brief.

A bit warmer on Monday, perhaps lasting into Tuesday

Thursday: A cool start with some hazy bright spells in places. Clouds will soon thicken to bring some patchy rain later in the afternoon and then some heavier rain into the evening becoming breezy. Max 18°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

Rain later on Thursday

Friday: A cloudy start with a few showers to get out of the way first, but late-morning and into the afternoon will turn drier with sunny spells developing. Breezy at times. Clear spells overnight will lead to a chilly one. Max 19°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 20mph

A brief ridge of higher pressure for Friday

Weekend: Sunday looks best.

Saturday: A cloudy and windy day on Saturday but quite warm and muggy. It might start dry but patchy rain will arrive into the morning and pretty much last on and off during the day. Drier as we head towards evening. Max 18°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Mist and fog overnight Saturday, might be slow to clear in a few places as we head into Sunday but once it does, it should be a decent day with sunny spells developing and feeling warmer. Max 20°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: Reasonably warm on Monday but bright spells will fade with a few showers possible later. After that, it looks like we return to slightly unsettled conditions. Windy with spells of showers from the west and some chilly nights inland where skies clear and showers ease. No sign of any summer-like heat returning but maybe more in the way of sunshine as we head towards the weekend.

No heatwave on the way as we look at the max and min temperatures for Manchester over the next two weeks

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 9th of September 2026 at 6:50pm.

Images: http://www.weathermodels.com, http://www.theweatheroutlook.com and http://www.netweather.tv.

Autumn starts with more rain but will it settle down and we see some warmth return by mid-month? – Thursday 3rd September 2026 – Sunday 6th September 2026

Hi all,

Autumn has arrived and after a very dry summer August’s final week ended very wet and overall August saw 83mm of rain (44.2mm in the last 6 days). This was still just below average but it turned out to be the second wettest month of 2026. More rain on the way, and perhaps some unusually windy weather next week, but, surely there’s one more burst of warmth and a few days of sunshine before the nights draw in further and the talk turns to frosts.

2026 Stats
Summer 2026 Stata from the Met Office

Thursday: It’ll be a cloudy morning with some low-cloud and mist on the hilltops and also quite muggy. Any patchy rain should ease away and then it should be a drier day than recently with a few breaks in the cloud here and there. As we head towards evening clouds will thicken once again and rain will return. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: A wet start on Friday, but this cloud and rain should move away to the southeast and then it will be a decent day, especially during the afternoon, with sunny spells and drier conditions. It will be a little bit fresher and this will be most noticeable in the strong and gusty wind. Max 18°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 35mph

Weekend: Not a bad start then warmer with a risk of rain.

Saturday: Sunny spells and mostly dry with just the odd chance of a shower for most of the day and again quite breezy. Cloud will thicken into the afternoon and there is a chance of rain arriving late in the day. Max 18°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: It will be a warmer day and maybe quite muggy later but it will generally be a cloudy picture with some rain which is most likely to be out to the west and northwest. Breezy. Max 23°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 25mph

A brief ridge of higher pressure to start next week?

Outlook: A brief ridge of high pressure will bring a settled day on Monday and this hopefully will last into most of Tuesday. Later on Tuesday and into the midweek there is a lot of uncertainty but it looks like low pressure will come in from the west-southwest or northwest.

Different computer models have different areas of low pressure, with the one from the west-southwest being a deep low pressure which will bring some very windy conditions with gales and rain. As we head towards mid-month there were some signs of it settling down. At the moment this is too far away to confirm as the details are forever-changing, which is often the case when the weather is unsettled, so look out for updates on social media.

Potentially very windy (named storm?) next week but a lot of uncertainty surrounding this forecast
Storm Names for 2026-27 from the Met Office

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 2nd of September 2026 at 12pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & the Met Office.

Thunderstorms warning and further rain expected over the coming days – Thursday 27th August 2026 – Bank Holiday Monday 31st August 2026

Hi all,

It’s fair to say that our weather has now changed and we have had some welcome rain. Parts of England and Wales further south from our region are still in desperate need of some rain but there will be rain arriving over the coming days. Although it will be the type of rain that we don’t need, torrential and falling in a short space of time which will cause flash-flooding, especially where surfaces are rock hard.

Currently we have two thunderstorm warnings in place for today (Wednesday) and Thursday. As is always the case with thunderstorms, a lot of people do moan when they don’t happen and say the warning was not needed. But it’s a bit different if you do end up being under a thunderstorm where you do see surface-water flooding.

Thursday: A cloudy start with perhaps the odd shower but as we head towards lunchtime and around lunchtime there will be an area of thundery rain spreading up from the south. This is expected to last into the evening before clearing away northwards. It will be a humid day despite all the rain. Occasionally breezy. Max 21°C Min 15°C Max Gusts 25mph

Thursday’s thunderstorm warning
An area of heavy thundery rain moving north around Thursday lunchtime. Followed by thundery showers towards evening.

Friday: The low pressure system across the UK will pivot, meaning that heavy thundery showers will move in from the northwest during the morning easing away into the afternoon. Still a little humid and breezy. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

Further hefty showers on Friday morning

BH Weekend: Rain at some point on all days.

Saturday: After a dry start, cloud will thicken from the southwest and an area of rain will move across the region. There might be the odd heavy burst before it turns patchy and showery and drier towards evening. Max 19°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 20mph

Rain moving northeast across the region during Saturday morning turning showery later

Sunday: At this stage it’s a little bit tricky to predict the weather on Sunday, but what I’m expecting is a few showers around which should then ease away but more persistent rain arriving as we head towards evening. A little cooler and breezy. Look out for updates on social media. Max 19°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Bank Holiday Monday: Much fresher and cooler. Sunny spells and showers and pretty windy at times, especially during any downpours. Max 17°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 30mph

Outlook: Looks unsettled with bright spells and heavy showers, sometimes merging together into longer spells of rain. Temperatures around average. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the weather settle down again as we head towards the second week of September and temperatures could well rise in this period. Confidence is low at this stage but I’ll keep my eye out for any developments.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always for following and reading.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 26th of August 2026 at 3:45pm

Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Heat out of the way, what now? Some welcome rain but high pressure and sunny spells to return briefly, but will another heatwave arrive? – Thursday 20th August 2026 – Sunday 23rd August 2026

Hi all,

At the time of writing we have a weather warning coming into force this evening and into Thursday for thunderstorms. This will bring much-needed rain but perhaps too much rain in a short space of time which could lead to some flash-flooding given how hard the ground is. It’s been a prolonged dry spell but we have now recorded rain on the last 4 out of 5 days with a total of 15mm recorded at HQ.

There is a bit more rain on the way but high pressure should start to nudge in towards the weekend and bring a settled spell of weather which should last until early next week. Here’s the forecast for the next 4 days and the outlook in detail.

Thursday: There will be some heavy rain around for the morning which could be thundery and there will be a cool north-to-northeasterly breeze developing. Into the afternoon the heavy rain will break up and become more showery. Breezy and a cold one overnight. Cool. Max 17°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: A chilly start with sunny spells for the morning but cloud will bubble up into the afternoon with a few showers. Still the odd heavy one but nothing like recent days. Clear spells overnight and again another cool one. Autumn is not far away. Max 18°C Min 7°C Max Gusts 15mph

Weekend: High pressure is back.

Some cool nights to come with temperatures below average

Saturday: Mostly dry with sunny spells and light winds. Feeling pleasant in the sunshine and don’t forget that UV levels are still high at around 6. I can’t rule out a shower though. Max 18°C Min 8°C

Sunday: Very similar to Saturday but hopefully all places will be dry with sunny spells and feeling pleasant but still temperatures on the cool side compared to recent weeks but warm in the sun. Max 19°C Min 9°C Max 15mph

High pressure ridges in this weekend but we could still see the odd shower

Outlook: Warm and sunny on Monday but after that the weather slowly goes downhill with cloudy conditions and rain or showers developing, again possibly thundery. No heatwave on the horizon.

Low pressure will eventually return as we progress through next week

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecast and warnings.

Thanks as always, for popping by to read.

Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 19th of August 2026 at 5:30pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Some welcome rain for a time before warmer, possible hot, and drier weather returns – Thursday 6th August 2026 – Sunday 9th August 2026

Hi all,

Thundery showers have been around recently and further showers around today, but some places stayed completely dry, others seeing some welcome downpours after a very dry July.

The Met Office’s charts below are staggering, showing how dry it has been over several months, mostly across England and Wales and it’s clear to see why areas are in drought.

Drought conditions are concerning for parts of England with little rainfall to come here over the coming weeks after the driest July on record.

Thursday: Bright spells and showers especially so for the morning and lunchtime. Tending to become drier for the afternoon with sunnier skies and winds easing eventually, feeling fresh out of any sunshine. Max 18°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 30mph

Some showers around on Thursday, especially in the morning

Friday: Warmer with sunny spells and just the chance of an isolated shower. Still a little breezy. Max 22°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Saturday’s best.

Saturday: Very warm with sunny spells to start but cloud will bubble up and cloudy at times later could bring a localised sharp shower. Windy later. Max 25°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Winds switching westerly so turning less warm again with bright spells and the possibility of showers too. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: High pressure returns into next week and it’s likely that parts of the UK will see another heatwave with 30°C+ down south. Here, plenty of dry weather again, hazy sunny spells and very warm, perhaps hot at times. It’s been some summer! Temperatures should peak on Wednesday then perhaps turning unsettled from the west later bringing thundery showers.

High pressure into next week
England & Wales seeing temperatures well above average next week. Sorry Scotland. Image from X from @Met4CastUK’s.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 5th of August 2026 at 5:22pm.

Images: Met Office & http://www.wxcharts.com, http://www.theweatheroutlook.com and @Met4CastUK.

A decent spell and fresher before rain arrives next week? – Thursday 30th July 2026 – Sunday 2nd August 2026

Hi all,

We are currently “enjoying” another hot and humid spell of weather but unfortunately it’s brought with it a lot of cloud as we are in between low pressure to our northwest and high pressure to our southeast.

I’ve just been away to Stratford-upon-Avon and staying in a lodge in the heat isn’t pleasant when it comes to sleeping. Just left today as it’s set to reach 30°C. Parts of the southeast could see 35°C today.

It’s been declared today that officially half of England are in a drought. July has been exceptionally dry and in some places completely dry. We’re not in a drought but we are in need of some rain. Apart from a few showers, it looks like Monday and Tuesday offer the chance of rain but even this far out that forecast can still change.

Thursday: A cold-front will be moving through during the morning, perhaps will some rain left on it and then we will eventually lose the heat and humidity with fresher air arriving. Once early cloud clears and perhaps a shower then a decent day with sunny spells and breezy conditions. Max 20°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 25mph

Fresher on Thursday with dew points down into a more pleasant and comfortable value

Friday: Little change. Sunny spells, breezy and the chance of a few showers, especially early on and also later in the day. Max 19°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Winds easing and feeling warmer once again.

Saturday: Sunny spells and the chance of a shower, mostly in the north. Elsewhere dry and pleasant. Breezy. Max 21°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: Lighter winds and warm sunny spells but these will turn hazy later as low pressure brings rain from the southwest overnight and into Monday. Feeling humid later and overall a warmer day. Max 23°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 10mph

Outlook: It looks wet on Monday and Tuesday but rain will peter out quickly and it’s likely that high pressure builds in again bringing sunny spells and drier weather.

Very little rain in the forecast until Monday when we could see more organised rain rather than showers

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 29th of July 2026 at 5:53pm

Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com & http://www.wxcharts.com

Some rain coming but no sign of heatwave no. 4 – Thursday 23rd July 2026 – Sunday 26th July 2026

Hi all,

July has been very dry. Our average rainfall for July is 89.1mm. So far we have only had 4mm with the last measurable rainfall being on the 2nd of July (3.8mm). There is plenty of dry weather in the next 10 days but we will see some rainfall this weekend. It certainly won’t be as much as the fire-fighters and local golf clubs will be hoping for.

Some welcome rainfall this weekend but perhaps no more than 4-7mm

Thursday: Similar to recent days. A cloudy start with very warm sunny spells eventually breaking through. Pleasant temperatures. Low risk of a shower towards the hills and turning breezy later in the day. Max 23°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: Little change. Sunny to start but cloud will bubble up but some sunny spells continuing. Dry but with a keen west-to-northwesterly wind picking up later, especially out west and ahead of change. Max 22°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: First unsettled spell for a while.

Saturday: A dry start but cloud thickening and any brightness fading as patchy rain, with some brief heavier bursts, moves southeast through the region from mid-afternoon onwards. The rain and drizzle will continue to come in pulses overnight. Temperatures down but quite muggy especially overnight. Max 20°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: Cloudy with still some patchy rain around for the morning. Bright spells for the afternoon but also with some showers at times. Another windy one at times. If temperatures don’t reach 20°C (rounded) this will be first time this has happened since July the 2nd. By our standards, that’s a decent run. Max 19°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: High pressure to the southwest and low pressure close by to the northwest. This means we will continue to see temperatures around normal with a westerly airflow. Mostly dry with sunny spells but a risk of some rain and windy conditions later in the week. After that it looks like, at this stage, that high pressure will build and the second week of August could be very warm and sunny with an increased chance of seeing heatwave no. 4 but this far out it’s impossible to say.

Early next week remains mostly settled

That’s all for this week. Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 22nd of July 2026 at 6:18pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

The lack of rainfall continues – Thursday 16th July 2026 – Sunday 19th July 2026

Hi all,

A quick blog today. Better than none I suppose :).

The heatwave continues (although some places didn’t reach the heatwave threshold today after a cloudy start) but there have been a few changes over the last few days where we have seen more of an easterly breeze develop, and be gusty. This obviously has not helped the wildfires with smoke spreading widely from east to west.

That breeze is still here but has dropped slightly and has certainly been noticeable in the morning and in the evenings making it feel cooler and less humid. Temperatures however, during the day have still been getting into the mid-20s, for most, and this is set to continue before cooler air arrives for the weekend.

Remember for our area, away from the extreme south, we need three consecutive days of 25°C for it to be a heatwave. If you’re happy to round figures up then we have now had heatwave temperatures for 7 days. There was a cloudier start on Wednesday away from the west and some places in the east will not reach that 25°C, possibly including myself.

A lot of weather chat is about, when will rain return. Some places down south have not had rain for 28 days, up here at my weather station it hasn’t rained since the 2nd of July. At this stage it looks like there will be no rain in the next 7 days.

My golf course, Heaton Park, has very scorched and parched fairways.

Thursday: There could well be some cloud in the east to start but it is not expected to be as widespread as Wednesday. Very little change to the weather we’ve been seeing recently, apart from maybe the wind will be a little bit lighter. Hot sunny spells, hazy at times and dry. Hottest in the west. Max 24-27°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 15mph

Friday: Yep, you’ve guessed it, it’s another dry day with plenty of hazy sunny spells, some fair-weather cloud bubbling up and perhaps, as the winds turn around to a more northerly or northeasterly direction, temperatures down slightly, especially noticeable overnight. Max 23-26°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Heatwave ends.

Saturday: Winds will eventually turn northerly and this will introduce less hot air. A dry day with sunny spells and just some cloud bubbling up. Max 21-22°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 15mph

Sunday: Rinse and repeat. Sunny spells, cloud bubbling up, and just a very low chance of a shower on the Pennines. Not as fresh overnight as recently. Max 22°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: No rain expected next week until the weekend at the earliest and that is not certain either. So dry, with very warm to hot sunny spells and temperatures back up again into the mid-20s. High pressure still in charge.

High pressure to the northwest introducing a cooler airflow this weekend
Very dry outlook

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always, for popping by to read.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of July 2026 at 5:46pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com