Hi all,

High pressure has mostly dominated the weather over the last two weeks. Unfortunately we’ve had an easterly feed dragging in some cloud from the North Sea, which along with some mist and dense fog for a time, has been stubborn to clear. Where we have seen some sunshine it’s been pleasant. It’s been a dry period too with rainfall only measured on one of the last 14 days. So far in November only 0.4mm of rain has fallen.

Plenty of cold, dry and sunny weather to come this week but rain will return next week.

Thursday: A frost to start then a lovely day with blue skies and a brisk northerly wind for a time. Colder air has sunk southwards for our first cold spell of Autumn. Coldest daytime highs since March. Widespread frost overnight as winds fall light. Max 7°C Min -4°C Max Gusts 15mph

Friday: Another great day after a frosty and cold start with sunny spells which could turn hazy later. Remaining cold on the thermometer but there will still be some warmth from that sun. Frost returning after dark but perhaps not as cold as the previous night with some high-cloud. Max 5°C Min -2°C

Weekend: Changes slowly arriving.

Saturday: A frost to start and hazy sunny spells developing. Feeling cold as a southerly wind strengthens, a sign of change. Cloudier overnight meaning any frost becomes patchy and is gone by Sunday morning. Max 6°C Min 1°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: Breezy with mostly cloudy skies. Dry for the morning but a risk of some patchy rain arriving later in the day. Feeling chilly in that wind despite being less cold. Max 8°C Min 3°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: Low pressure and the Jet Stream control (most) of next week’s weather, so becoming milder, windier and wetter. However, this milder spell might be short-lived with cooler/colder temperatures arriving once again.

Some long-term predictions are starting to favour a cold start to December but as always, it’s pretty much impossible to tell what the weather will be like in 3 weeks’ time, but look out for social media updates.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 11th of November 2026 at 3:56pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com, http://www.weathermodels.com & theweatheroutlook.com.

Hi all,

After a couple of weeks of unsettled weather and some heavy and persistent rain and a wet October, our weather has settled down now thanks to high pressure. This high pressure is going to slip away to the east over the next few days and this will allow a slack area of low pressure to develop over the region at the weekend.

Thursday: Quite a breezy day taking the edge off the temperature a little and it should be a day of sunshine and a few fleeting showers from the east. Max 11°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: A cloudier day after any early brightness fades. It should remain dry; however the cloud will now be getting slightly thicker, so I cannot rule out some drizzle on the hilltops. Lighter winds. Max 10°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 15mph

Weekend: A little benign.

Saturday: Low pressure, albeit weak and slack will be across the region, so expect cloudy conditions and some patchy rain can’t be ruled out. Feeling cool with light winds. Max 10°C Min 6°C

Sunday: Again, quiet and cloudy but hopefully any patchy rain moves north and some bright spells break through later in the day. Max 9°C Min 5°C

Outlook: Milder into next week and a keen wind picking up as an area of low pressure swings some bands of rain up from the southwest. Not a significant area so no named-storm or wild conditions expected. After that, there are signs of some colder air from the north as we head into next weekend. Nothing unusual for the time of year but hopefully it will bring some welcome sunshine and some frosty nights.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 4th of November 2026 at 5:34pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com.

Hi all,

Our, the UK’s, first named-storm of the season will arrive Thursday night into Friday with 60-70mph gusts possible in the southwest with the Met Office issuing an Amber warning. For us, we will escape the worst of the conditions but it will be wet and windy for a time. 

Another deep area of low pressure arrives this weekend, this time to the northwest. There is a possibility that this is also named. As it pulls away it could mean later on Saturday and especially Sunday is the windiest spell of the coming days.

There will also be a reasonable amount of rainfall associated with these lows.

Oh, and zero chance or any sign of snow, away from the Scottish Mountains, so ignore the usual media nonsense.

Thursday: A chilly start then a quiet spell before change but that said there will still be some showers around as well as some welcome sunny spells. Rain associated with Storm Austen will arrive overnight with the wind gusty for a time from the east. Max 12°C Min 7°C Max Gusts 30mph (overnight)

Friday: A lively day with rain, heavy at times for the morning and into the afternoon. Once this rain begins to clear and winds switch to a northwesterly direction, winds will increase and locally gust to gale-force. Clear spells into the evening and overnight with winds falling lighter. Max 11°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 35-40mph

Weekend: Going downhill.

Saturday: It should be a nice start on Saturday with sunny spells, but these will soon turn hazy with cloud thickening during the late-morning. At this stage it looks like heavy rain will arrive from the west from around lunchtime onwards, give or take an hour. Southerly winds will increase and again we could see some localised gale-force gusts. Clearer spells overnight with just a few showers but the wind will remain noticeable. Max 14°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 40mph

Sunday: This new area of low pressure will start to push away but it will still be deepening so we can expect a day of sunshine and showers and very windy conditions. Feeling particularly chilly. Max 11°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 35-45mph

Outlook: Next week looks to remain unsettled with perhaps a couple more low pressures before high pressure will hopefully drift up from the south or southwest and settle the weather down towards next weekend.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks for reading.

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 21st of October 2026 at 2:48pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com, Met Office and @Met4CastUK on X.

Hi all,

The Weekly Blog is back this week, although it will be a short one as I have, again, had another busy day. Hopefully I can get back on track next week.

Plenty of sunshine around on Wednesday after morning rain but it has turned cooler and fresher and this will be more noticeable overnight where we could see a localised ground-frost. There has been a lot of talk in the media recently about this cold spell, but to be honest it’s literally only lasting a day and slightly milder air will creep back in. It’ll soon be the time for the stupid snow stories.

Thursday: A cold start with a touch of ground-frost in rural spots, then plenty of sunny spells for the morning, but cloud will thicken into the afternoon from the west and then some heavy rain will arrive into the evening and overnight. Max 13°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: A wet morning with some heavy rain. This will eventually move away and brighter skies will arrive from the west again. It will be a windy day and milder air will now be back in place. Max 15°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 35mph

Weekend: Improving into Sunday.

Saturday: With a northwesterly airflow we can expect a day of bright spells and some frequent showers coming in on a very gusty wind. Max 13°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 35-40mph

Sunday: A few showers around to start the day but a ridge of high pressure will build in which will kill off the showers. Sunny spells into the afternoon. Cool overnight. Lighter winds. Max 14°C Min 7°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: Unsettled at times with bands of showery rain coming in from the west. It will also be breezy at times but with a west or occasionally a southwesterly airflow, temperatures will be on the mild side, so slightly above average.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th Oct 2026 at 8:56pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.netweather.tv

Hi,

We are well and truly into autumn now and the rain keeps coming with a few drier slots in between. It has now rained every day in September bar three.

Rainfall is still needed further south in the UK to fill up the reservoirs and we are still below average here in the northwest but it would be nice for the rain to stop and we have a decent spell of weather before September ends. Looking ahead we could well see a short spell of warmer and drier weather with some welcome sunshine.

Thursday: Early rain will clear and then we should see some sunny spells for the rest of the morning and early afternoon. Later in the afternoon showers will feed in from the northwest. They should be reasonably scattered but catch one and it could be heavy. Max 16°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 35mph

Friday: It looks a windy day and there will be some sunny spells to start, but cloud will soon thicken and we can expect rain to arrive into the afternoon and especially so into the evening with some heavy bursts. Mild overnight. Max 16°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 30mph

Weekend: Improvements and a little warmer.

Saturday: We should see the thermometer drop a couple of degrees and there will be some sunshine around, but I do expect it to be quite showery, especially during the morning with these showers slowly becoming less frequent into the afternoon. Windy. Max 19°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: I’m hopeful of there being more in the way of sunshine and any showers will be very well-scattered. Again it will be breezy and temperatures perhaps just back down a degree or so on Saturday. Max 17°C Min 13°C Max 20mph

Outlook: High pressure builds in and we can expect several days of warmer, drier and sunnier weather. How long this lasts is uncertain with the risk of showers returning by the end of the week. Temperatures are expected to be in the early twenties so it will feel very pleasant indeed.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 16th of September 2026 at 6:35pm

Hi all,

The spells of rain keep coming and it’s now rained every day so far in September and rained on the last 14 days out of 15. There is more rain to come but to be fair the outlook isn’t too bad and rainfall amounts won’t be as high as recently.

There were signs of a few days of summer-like warmth returning but for now, any warmer air looks brief, very brief.

Thursday: A cool start with some hazy bright spells in places. Clouds will soon thicken to bring some patchy rain later in the afternoon and then some heavier rain into the evening becoming breezy. Max 18°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: A cloudy start with a few showers to get out of the way first, but late-morning and into the afternoon will turn drier with sunny spells developing. Breezy at times. Clear spells overnight will lead to a chilly one. Max 19°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Sunday looks best.

Saturday: A cloudy and windy day on Saturday but quite warm and muggy. It might start dry but patchy rain will arrive into the morning and pretty much last on and off during the day. Drier as we head towards evening. Max 18°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Mist and fog overnight Saturday, might be slow to clear in a few places as we head into Sunday but once it does, it should be a decent day with sunny spells developing and feeling warmer. Max 20°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: Reasonably warm on Monday but bright spells will fade with a few showers possible later. After that, it looks like we return to slightly unsettled conditions. Windy with spells of showers from the west and some chilly nights inland where skies clear and showers ease. No sign of any summer-like heat returning but maybe more in the way of sunshine as we head towards the weekend.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 9th of September 2026 at 6:50pm.

Images: http://www.weathermodels.com, http://www.theweatheroutlook.com and http://www.netweather.tv.

Hi all,

Autumn has arrived and after a very dry summer August’s final week ended very wet and overall August saw 83mm of rain (44.2mm in the last 6 days). This was still just below average but it turned out to be the second wettest month of 2026. More rain on the way, and perhaps some unusually windy weather next week, but, surely there’s one more burst of warmth and a few days of sunshine before the nights draw in further and the talk turns to frosts.

Thursday: It’ll be a cloudy morning with some low-cloud and mist on the hilltops and also quite muggy. Any patchy rain should ease away and then it should be a drier day than recently with a few breaks in the cloud here and there. As we head towards evening clouds will thicken once again and rain will return. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: A wet start on Friday, but this cloud and rain should move away to the southeast and then it will be a decent day, especially during the afternoon, with sunny spells and drier conditions. It will be a little bit fresher and this will be most noticeable in the strong and gusty wind. Max 18°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 35mph

Weekend: Not a bad start then warmer with a risk of rain.

Saturday: Sunny spells and mostly dry with just the odd chance of a shower for most of the day and again quite breezy. Cloud will thicken into the afternoon and there is a chance of rain arriving late in the day. Max 18°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: It will be a warmer day and maybe quite muggy later but it will generally be a cloudy picture with some rain which is most likely to be out to the west and northwest. Breezy. Max 23°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: A brief ridge of high pressure will bring a settled day on Monday and this hopefully will last into most of Tuesday. Later on Tuesday and into the midweek there is a lot of uncertainty but it looks like low pressure will come in from the west-southwest or northwest.

Different computer models have different areas of low pressure, with the one from the west-southwest being a deep low pressure which will bring some very windy conditions with gales and rain. As we head towards mid-month there were some signs of it settling down. At the moment this is too far away to confirm as the details are forever-changing, which is often the case when the weather is unsettled, so look out for updates on social media.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 2nd of September 2026 at 12pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & the Met Office.

Hi all,

It’s fair to say that our weather has now changed and we have had some welcome rain. Parts of England and Wales further south from our region are still in desperate need of some rain but there will be rain arriving over the coming days. Although it will be the type of rain that we don’t need, torrential and falling in a short space of time which will cause flash-flooding, especially where surfaces are rock hard.

Currently we have two thunderstorm warnings in place for today (Wednesday) and Thursday. As is always the case with thunderstorms, a lot of people do moan when they don’t happen and say the warning was not needed. But it’s a bit different if you do end up being under a thunderstorm where you do see surface-water flooding.

Thursday: A cloudy start with perhaps the odd shower but as we head towards lunchtime and around lunchtime there will be an area of thundery rain spreading up from the south. This is expected to last into the evening before clearing away northwards. It will be a humid day despite all the rain. Occasionally breezy. Max 21°C Min 15°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: The low pressure system across the UK will pivot, meaning that heavy thundery showers will move in from the northwest during the morning easing away into the afternoon. Still a little humid and breezy. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

BH Weekend: Rain at some point on all days.

Saturday: After a dry start, cloud will thicken from the southwest and an area of rain will move across the region. There might be the odd heavy burst before it turns patchy and showery and drier towards evening. Max 19°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: At this stage it’s a little bit tricky to predict the weather on Sunday, but what I’m expecting is a few showers around which should then ease away but more persistent rain arriving as we head towards evening. A little cooler and breezy. Look out for updates on social media. Max 19°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Bank Holiday Monday: Much fresher and cooler. Sunny spells and showers and pretty windy at times, especially during any downpours. Max 17°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 30mph

Outlook: Looks unsettled with bright spells and heavy showers, sometimes merging together into longer spells of rain. Temperatures around average. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the weather settle down again as we head towards the second week of September and temperatures could well rise in this period. Confidence is low at this stage but I’ll keep my eye out for any developments.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always for following and reading.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 26th of August 2026 at 3:45pm

Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

At the time of writing we have a weather warning coming into force this evening and into Thursday for thunderstorms. This will bring much-needed rain but perhaps too much rain in a short space of time which could lead to some flash-flooding given how hard the ground is. It’s been a prolonged dry spell but we have now recorded rain on the last 4 out of 5 days with a total of 15mm recorded at HQ.

There is a bit more rain on the way but high pressure should start to nudge in towards the weekend and bring a settled spell of weather which should last until early next week. Here’s the forecast for the next 4 days and the outlook in detail.

Thursday: There will be some heavy rain around for the morning which could be thundery and there will be a cool north-to-northeasterly breeze developing. Into the afternoon the heavy rain will break up and become more showery. Breezy and a cold one overnight. Cool. Max 17°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: A chilly start with sunny spells for the morning but cloud will bubble up into the afternoon with a few showers. Still the odd heavy one but nothing like recent days. Clear spells overnight and again another cool one. Autumn is not far away. Max 18°C Min 7°C Max Gusts 15mph

Weekend: High pressure is back.

Saturday: Mostly dry with sunny spells and light winds. Feeling pleasant in the sunshine and don’t forget that UV levels are still high at around 6. I can’t rule out a shower though. Max 18°C Min 8°C

Sunday: Very similar to Saturday but hopefully all places will be dry with sunny spells and feeling pleasant but still temperatures on the cool side compared to recent weeks but warm in the sun. Max 19°C Min 9°C Max 15mph

Outlook: Warm and sunny on Monday but after that the weather slowly goes downhill with cloudy conditions and rain or showers developing, again possibly thundery. No heatwave on the horizon.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecast and warnings.

Thanks as always, for popping by to read.

Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 19th of August 2026 at 5:30pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

Thundery showers have been around recently and further showers around today, but some places stayed completely dry, others seeing some welcome downpours after a very dry July.

The Met Office’s charts below are staggering, showing how dry it has been over several months, mostly across England and Wales and it’s clear to see why areas are in drought.

Thursday: Bright spells and showers especially so for the morning and lunchtime. Tending to become drier for the afternoon with sunnier skies and winds easing eventually, feeling fresh out of any sunshine. Max 18°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 30mph

Friday: Warmer with sunny spells and just the chance of an isolated shower. Still a little breezy. Max 22°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Saturday’s best.

Saturday: Very warm with sunny spells to start but cloud will bubble up and cloudy at times later could bring a localised sharp shower. Windy later. Max 25°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Winds switching westerly so turning less warm again with bright spells and the possibility of showers too. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: High pressure returns into next week and it’s likely that parts of the UK will see another heatwave with 30°C+ down south. Here, plenty of dry weather again, hazy sunny spells and very warm, perhaps hot at times. It’s been some summer! Temperatures should peak on Wednesday then perhaps turning unsettled from the west later bringing thundery showers.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 5th of August 2026 at 5:22pm.

Images: Met Office & http://www.wxcharts.com, http://www.theweatheroutlook.com and @Met4CastUK.