More Wind & Rain – Thursday 20th February 2020 – Sunday 23rd February 2020

Hi all,

OK, I’ve had enough. It’s cold, it’s miserable and the forecast doesn’t get any better. I’m ready for Spring now. Who remembers late-February last year? We enjoyed warm sunshine. What I would give for those conditions right now (I’d be on the golf course!). Meanwhile the risk of localised flooding continues.

Thursday: The morning sees an active band of squally rain move southeast. Initially quite mild but much colder air will arrive by lunchtime after the rain has moved through. Some sleet or snow on the back edge can’t be ruled out, especially above 200M. Sunny spells and scattered wintry showers for the afternoon with hail and thunder & lightning. Feeling cold in a gusty west-to-northwesterly wind. Max 8°C (in the morning)

Friday: Milder with strong southwesterly winds, gusting to 40mph. Cloudy with rain at times but initially most of the rain is likely to fall in the hills and on exposed southwest-facing areas. Therefore the rain-shadow might come into play again keeping it ‘drier’ around Manchester/west of Oldham. The rain will move on through overnight giving a spell of heavy rain for all. Max 10°C

Weekend: Windy with more rain.

Saturday: Some rain to start. Staying mostly cloudy, odd bright spell during the day with a few showers. Very windy with 45mph gusts. Max 9°C

Sunday: Windy with periods of rain but winds not as strong. Max 9°C

Outlook: Bright spells and showers, come wintry midweek. Remaining breezy. No sign of colder, snowy weather, nor warmer and settled.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks for reading.
Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 19th of February 2020 at 3:50pm

Storm Dennis this Weekend – Thursday 13th February 2020 – Sunday 16th February 2020

Hi all,

Winter hasn’t really delivered much this time around but we made up for that with Storm Ciara and some hail, sleet and snow showers this week. Storm Ciara delivered 2 inches of rain (54.8mm here), localised flooding and widely local wind speeds of 60mph (my highest was 52mph). The highest official gust was recorded at Manchester airport, 86mph, as a squall-line went through around 11am on Sunday. Colder air followed hence the wintry showers and the winds remained strong for a couple of days. Will the stormy conditions continue?

Thursday: Rain and some hill-snow, will have moved on from overnight to be replaced by bright spells and the odd shower. Breezy and feeling cold. Max 7°C

Friday: Milder with strong southwesterly winds. Bright spells for most of the morning with more rain arriving later. Windy. Max 10°C

Weekend: More rain and wind – Storm Dennis

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and dry to start but the weather will go downhill quickly. Winds increasing as another weather system arrives from the Atlantic. Heavy rain expected to continue late-afternoon and evening. Winds gusting to 45-50mph, with a warning in place. Expect quite a bit of rain, some localised flooding possible. Max 11°C

Sunday: Sunshine and showers. Some heavy with hail and thunder. Continuing very windy with 50-55mph gusts leading to some damage with perhaps some 60mph+ gusts for a time overnight. Max 10°C

Outlook: Monday will be a bright day with sunshine and some wintry showers. We will still be feeling the effects of Storm Dennis, so gales or severe gales with 50-55mph gusts, especially in the showers. Less windy during the week but still on the mild side with a few showers.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks for reading.
Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 12th of February 2020 at 6pm
Image: https://www.wxcharts.com/

The Calm Before Storm Ciara – Thursday 6th February 2020 – Sunday 9th February 2020

Hi all,

WOW – that’s January done with already and the stats are in. It was a month delivering below average rainfall (yes you heard that correctly) but much milder conditions than the norm. Now we have a few days of high pressure, literally bringing the ‘calm before the storm’, or will that be storms?

Thursday: High pressure in charge, so a chilly start with some patchy frost and fog. Some sunny spells developing during the day. Dry with light winds. Max 7°C

Friday: The high will start to drift away to the east. We will get through daylight hours dry with bright or sunny spells. Less in the way of fog or mist to start as the southeasterly wind picks up making it feel cold. Rain overnight. Max 6°C

Weekend: The Jet Stream is starting up its engines and there is a big change on the way.

Saturday: There could be a band of rain to start but this will ease away quickly to leave a reasonable day with some sunny spells. The wind will start to swing to a southwesterly and will increase in strength as the day progresses. 40mph gusts possible by evening as it turns cloudy with rain arriving. Max 9°C

Storm Ciara, named by the UK Met Office, arrives Saturday night into Sunday

Sunday: Very windy with heavy rain, followed by frequently blustery showers. It will be very mild early on but turning colder into the evening. Details for Storm Ciara will firm up nearer the time. Currently we are in for gusts of up to 55-70mph with some structural damage possible; but this could downgrade slightly if the position of the low changes. As colder air digs in overnight, the showers will turn wintry, with an increasing risk of snow on the hills. Max 11°C

Outlook: It will remain windy on Monday/Tuesday with wintry showers, so expect rain, hail, sleet, snow and some thunder and lightning. Gusts of 40-50mph still likely during the showers. During the week, there is the potential for another storm to develop, Storm Dennis, so keep your eyes peeled on my updates. Later in the week it looks less cold but unsettled with further spells of rain.

January 2020 Stats

Max 12.3°C (7th)
Min -2.7°C (19th)
Av. 6.0°C
Av. Dew Pt 4.3°C
Wettest 17.4mm (11th)
Av. Humidity 89%
Av. Barometer 1017.2 hPa
Max Gust 41.4mph (13th)
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 72.8mm (Av. is 100mm)
Rain Registered Days 24
Dry Days 7
Air Frosts 2

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and details on any severe weather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 5th of February 2020 at 4:05pm

Milder and Windy – Thursday 30th January 2020 – Sunday 2nd February 2020

Hi all,

Not for all of us, but for some of us, snow fell on Tuesday morning. I managed to get up to Dove Stone Reservoir to see my first snowfall of the winter and it’s taken nearly two months to arrive. As this so-called winter has been playing out, the snow was short-lived and most had melted by the time I had walked the 2.8 miles round. The cold spell is over as milder weather returns.

Snow-clouds break after a morning’s snow shower at Dove Stone Reservoir on Tuesday 27/01/2020.
A snowy scene at Dove Stone Reservoir on Tuesday 27/01/2020.
Heavy snow shower at Dove Stone Reservoir on Tuesday 27/01/2020.

Thursday: Breezy with bright spells and just the chance of a shower or two. Feeling mild for the time of year. Max 10°C

Friday: The Atlantic will influence with a cold front pushing a band of rain through followed by showers. Strong southwesterly winds but temperatures into double-figures, so very mild for the time of year. Max 12°C

Weekend: Saturday looks best.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy to start with a few patches of drizzle. Turning drier with a few breaks allowing some sunshine to come through with a few showers, especially in southern parts. Windy and cooler. Max 10°C

Sunday: Wet with rain spreading in, turning showery later. Remaining breezy and relatively mild. Max 10°C

Outlook: Mild and damp at first with some bright spells and showers. Turning chilly midweek with a chance of a northerly wind developing for a time as high pressure builds. This means from midweek; drier, settled conditions with some bright spells by day and a few patches of fog and frost at night.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 29th of January 2020 at 11:45am
Images: Taken by myself

Overcast then some rain – Thursday 23rd January 2020 – Sunday 26th January 2020

Hi all,

A very quiet few days of weather has passed this week, with a new pressure record being set at 1049.75 hPa on Monday, thanks to a huge area of high pressure. Eventually a change later this weekend but still no snow to lower levels in the forecast.

Thursday: Cloudy with limited brightness. Low-cloud on higher ground. Mild for the time of year. Calm winds. Max 9°C

Friday: A weak weather front might slip down from the northwest so perhaps some localised drizzle especially on the hills. Max 8°C

Weekend: Some rain on Sunday.

Saturday: More of the same. Dull start with mostly cloudy skies. It is expected to remain dry but with the breeze picking up later it might allow for the cloud to break and we could see some brightness. Light rain overnight. Max 9°C

Sunday: Patchy rain for the morning, clearing southeastwards with a few showers following on. A little cooler but more in the way of sunshine than recently. Breezy. Max 7°C

Outlook: Heavy rain for Monday and windy too (keeping an eye on this). Temperatures generally 7-9°C with more in the way of showery rain to come during the week. Small chance of the showers being wintry on the Pennines/hills, especially on Tuesday, otherwise no significant cold/snowy weather on the horizon.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest local weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 22nd of January 2020 at 09:45am

Lovely Weekend Ahead – Thursday 16th January 2020 – Sunday 19th January 2020

Hi all,

It’s been a mild, windy and quite wet start to January, so we will be thankful of this weekend’s weather. We are now halfway through winter and I’m still waiting for my snow fix. Surely it’s got to come soon?

Thursday: A bright start with a few sunny spells. Winds increasing and cloud thickening into the afternoon as rain arrives from the west. Milder. Max 10°C

Friday:  The odd bright spell but generally it’s a day of showers moving in from the west/northwest. With this airflow comes cooler temperatures once again. Patchy frost and ice overnight. Max 7°C

Weekend: A refreshing change. Sunny, frosty and dry.

frosty

Frost makes an appearance this weekend

Saturday: High pressure builds so a dry day with sunny spells. Cool in the northwesterly breeze. Frosty overnight. Max 6°C

Sunday: Another dry day with plenty of sunny spells. Perfect winter’s day. Patchy frost to come overnight. Max 7°C

Outlook: Dry with bright spells and more in the way of cloud for Monday-Wednesday as the high pressure slowly slips away. Cloud-cover should prevent a frost at night. From Thursday winds will increase from the west as the Atlantic returns bringing some rain in time for the end of the working week and the weekend. STILL, no sign of any proper winter-cold or snowfall.

Average January Temperatures – highlights how mild this year has been so far

2013: 3.3°C
2014: 5.2°C
2015: 3.9°C
2016: 5.3°C
2017: 4.3°C
2018: 4.4°C
2019: 3.7°C

2020 (up to 14th): 6.5°C

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for your latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of January 2020 at 12:30pm
Image:
 http://www.meteociel.fr/

Windy, mostly mild – Thursday 9th January 2020 – Sunday 12th January 2020

Hi all,

December was another wet month but it did end on a slightly drier and milder note. The questions on everyone’s lips are, ‘When will winter start?’ and ‘Where’s our snow?’. The wait continues…..

Thursday: Windy with a band of rain followed by the odd shower. Remaining mostly cloudy. Winds easing later. Max 9°C

Friday: A cold start with some patchy frost likely. A dry day with sunny spells. The breeze picking up later and cloud thickening. Cooler. Max 7°C

Weekend: Topsy-turvy temperatures and windy.

Saturday: A cloudy dry start then rain arriving from the west later. Very mild with strong southwesterly winds which will be gusting to 40mph. Warning in place for the wind. Max 11°C

Sunday: Early morning rain clears to fresher and cooler air from the west or northwest. Sunny spells and showers possible, perhaps wintry on the hills, but generally drying up during the day. Feeling colder. Windy but easing later. Max 7°C

Outlook: Temperatures still above average with some spells of rain and windy conditions from the Atlantic. Winter’s snow and bitter cold remains locked away.

December 2019 Stats

Max 11.6°C (19th)
Min -2.9°C (2nd)
Av. 5.4°C
Av. Dew Pt 3.8°C
Wettest 27.6mm (13th)
Av. Humidity 89%
Av. Barometer 1007.2 hPa
Max Gust 38mph (14th)
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 115.8mm
Rain Registered Days 21
Dry Days 10
Air Frosts 2
Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 8th of January 2020 at 3:50pm

Settled – Thursday 2nd January 2020 – Sunday 5th January 2020

Hi all,

HAPPY NEW YEAR – hope you all have a fantastic 2020! That’s one-third of winter over with and there’s been a lack of significant cold and snow and looking ahead, even frosts will be hard to come by, let alone a good dump of snow! At least the year ended on a dry note with only 3.8mm of rain in the final 7 days.

Thursday: After a cold New Year’s Day it will now be milder with strengthening southwesterly winds. Dry with some bright spells but patchy rain arriving into the evening. Max 11°C

Friday: Back to cooler air again. Sunny spells with a risk of a rogue shower. Most areas dry. Cold in the breeze.  Max 7°C

Weekend: Quiet

Saturday: A lot of cloud about and breezy but dry with some bright spells later. Max 8°C

Sunday: Dry with bright spells. Max 10°C

Outlook: Looking unsettled on Monday/Tuesday with periods of rain and wind. Drier and settled again from midweek as high pressure returns to the south of the UK. No sign of any wintry conditions at this stage.

Monday

A spell of wet and windy weather to start the next working week

December 2019 Stats

Max 11.6°C (19th)
Min -2.9°C (2nd)
Av. 5.4°C
Av. Dew Pt 3.8°C
Wettest 27.6mm (13th)
Av. Humidity 89%
Av. Barometer 1007.2 hPa
Max Gust 38mph (14th)
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 115.8mm
Rain Registered Days 21
Dry Days 10
Air Frosts 2

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 1st of January 2020 at 5:40pm
Image: http://wxcharts.eu/

Temperatures rising – 26th December 2019 – 29th December 2019

Hi all,

So no White Christmas, which isn’t a surprise, despite what some of the media promise. The chance of us seeing a White Christmas is about 15% and we’re actually more likely to see a White Easter than Christmas, especially when Easter comes early. We were last below zero on the 25th back in 2010, and the last White Christmas was 2009. If you’re a snow- and cold-lover then you’re going to have to be patient.

Thursday: Rain spreading east across the region during the morning. This will ease into the afternoon but it will stay cloudy with some localised drizzle. Breezy. Max 8°C

Friday: Another band of rain swings in and quickly goes through to be followed by a few bright spells and it will be turning milder. Breezy. Max 11°C

Weekend: Very mild but dry

Saturday: High pressure will influence our weather for a few days, dragging in warmer southwesterly winds. Dry with some bright spells. Max 12°C

very mild

Very mild on Sunday with temperatures 6-8°C above normal

Sunday: Bright spells, breezy, especially to the west, but notably very mild for the time of year. Max 14°C

Outlook: Staying mild and settled with temperatures above average for a few days before rain returns with some very windy spells to start the new year.

I would like to take this opportunity to wish you all a very merry Christmas and all the best for 2020. Thanks so much for all your tweets and kind words throughout the year.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 25th of December 2019 at 11:50am
Image:
http://wxcharts.eu/

Milder and Unsettled – Thursday 19th December 2019 – Sunday 22nd December 2019

Hi all,

After a few chilly nights, milder air is set to return and with it rain. Cold again in time for Christmas Day?

Thursday: Mild with mostly cloudy skies during the morning. There could be the odd shower too but the main rain is set to arrive later into the afternoon and evening. Max 10°C

Friday: Morning rain clears to mostly cloudy conditions and a few showers, these most frequent in the west. Max 9°C

Weekend: Not bad.

Saturday: Bright spells and a few showers which should ease away during the afternoon. Max 8°C

Sunday: As per the last few days, the heaviest and more prolonged rain will be across southern and eastern England. This means we should be in for a reasonable day with bright or sunny spells and dry, albeit a little cooler. Max 7°C

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with spells of low pressure bringing bands of rain followed by bright spells and showers. Generally a southwesterly airflow, so temperatures slightly above average, meaning a White Christmas is not on the cards, which comes as no surprise.

Christmas Week: Mild and unsettled with low pressure in charge

Christmas Day: Cloudy and mostly dry. Some drizzle developing later. Breezy. Max 8°C

Thanks for reading and I wish you all a very Merry Christmas.

Cheers,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of December 2019 at 12:35pm.