Hi all,

The Atlantic has been in charge of our weather over the last few weeks but not fully. Weather systems have been coming in from the west but due to high pressure in eastern and northeastern Europe, causing a block, the low pressure systems have drifted down to the southwest and then back up northeast across the country; stalling and producing flooding in the southwest of the UK and then weakening over the rest of the UK.

With this setup and low pressure drifting up from the south or southwest we have had, at times, a cold easterly feed which is why we’ve had a little bit of snow here and there on the highest hills.

Next week the block to the east will weaken and drift away slightly and this will allow the Atlantic to step up a gear and weather systems will move from west to east across the country with more of a west or southwesterly airflow. This means it will become less cold or even a few milder spells for the time of year. There is no cold weather on the way with snow and hardly any frosts in the outlook.

Here’s how we’re looking day-to-day for the next few days.

Thursday: After a less cold Wednesday, Thursday will be cloudier and feeling colder again with a raw northeasterly wind. Cloud will be thick enough for showery rain at times, some of which could be heavy and wintry on the hills. It’ll also be very windy and especially gusty. Max 5°C Min 2°C Max Gusts 40mph

Friday: Another cloudy day with patchy rain at times but it shouldn’t be as cold as Thursday. It’ll be windy still which will make it feel chilly but winds will not be as strong as Thursday. Max 7°C Min 4°C Max Gusts 30mph

Weekend: A little milder.

Saturday: Rinse and repeat. Cloudy with a few showers. Still a cool wind from the east but temperatures higher than recent days. Max 8°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: After a cloudy start bright spells will develop with a few showers. Max 9°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: Continuing unsettled with low pressure systems coming in from the west. So spells of rain and wind at times with a few drier interludes in between. Nothing significantly cold on the horizon and temperatures will be above average for the time of year. Anyone else agree? Roll on Spring.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest weather forecast and warnings. A huge thanks as always, for popping by to read.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 4th of February 2026 at 5:12pm.

Images: BBC Weather & http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

It’s been a glorious day today (Wednesday), a rarity at the moment to see sunshine and blue skies. Most of our weather is coming from decaying weather-fronts that come in from the Atlantic, meaning plenty of cloud and occasional drizzle or light rain.

Overall in January, although we’ve had many days of rainfall being measured, it has been a drier-than-average month with rainfall totals sitting below 60mm. Luckily for us we have escaped the majority of the heavy and persistent rain which has brought flooding to parts of the UK.

So what next? Any signs of high pressure anchoring itself across the UK and bringing some settled weather. No. Any significant cold coming in from the east, increasing the risk of snow and sub-zero temperatures. No.  More of the same that we have experienced over the last couple of weeks. Yes. That said the media and the tabloid headlines still predict that snowmageddon is coming next week. For now it’s not.

Thursday: After a much better day on Wednesday. It’s unfortunately back to the doom and gloom with plenty of cloud around. There could be a few breaks in western parts, but this is more likely along the coast. Feeling cold with a lack of sunshine, especially later as the wind increases. Most places should be dry, but the cloud will be thick enough at times for some light rain or localised drizzle. Chilly overnight with a patchy frost where any clear spells occur. It will also be misty, especially over the hills. Max 6°C Min 1°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: A cloudy and cool day once overnight rain, with some wet-snow on the hills, moves away to the northeast. Breezy at times and also rain at times into the afternoon, which should be mostly light with further low-cloud. Mist and drizzle on the hilltops. Turning less cold overnight. Max 7°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: Some rain around.

Saturday: We could see some local variations of weather across the region. Some areas will be cloudy and the cloud will be thick enough for patchy rain or drizzle to continue. There will be a few areas that are lucky enough to see breaks in the cloud which will lead to some bright spells and with temperatures still mild for the time of year it won’t actually be a bad day. Max 9°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: Unfortunately, another mostly cloudy day on Sunday with any brightness the further west you are. Inland and especially towards the hills in the east, there is likely to be some rain around which could be heavy at times. Winds should be lighter than recent days. Max 8°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 15mph

Outlook: We are stuck in a bit of a rut. Our weather is being driven by the Atlantic, with weather systems coming in from the west or southwest bringing rain or wind. However, due to high pressure in northeastern Europe, most of the heavy rain is falling in the southwest of the UK, as you will have seen on the news with all the flooding.

Once these weather systems move further across the UK, they are weakening and low pressures are decaying due to the higher pressure block out to the east. Unfortunately, what this means for us is we can wait days for a low pressure to fill and decay which means we get stuck under a lot of cloud, some rain, patchy drizzle and mist.

The outlook remains the same. Plenty of cloud, with occasional rain, heaviest in the west and southwest of the UK but very little difference in temperatures compared to recent times. So no significant cold. Any snow would be short-lived and more so sleet or wet-snow and on the highest hills.

Due to the lack of clear spells, frost will also be limited. Days like today (Wednesday) are days you need to make the most of, especially at this time of the year. I know people who want snow, for now, the wait for a proper cold spell continues.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecast and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 28th of January 2026 at 4:30pm.

Images: http://www.wcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

The wait for a “proper cold” spell from the east remains. It’s still lurking out there and teases on the long-range forecasts, but even though it could well be cold enough for some hill-snow next week as daytime temperatures drop, there is nothing noteworthy to mention at this stage.

Thursday: A disappointing day with rain at times spreading up from the south and a strong and gusty southeasterly wind. Despite temperatures being above the seasonal average, it will feel cold with the wind and rain. Turning drier overnight but remaining breezy. Max 9°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: A drier day in prospect after yesterday’s rain has now moved away to the north and a low pressure system named by the Portuguese Met affects the southwest of the UK. We are sandwiched in between but it will still be a mostly cloudy day. Just drizzle here and there and again it will be windy. Max 8°C Min 4°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: A lack of sunshine. Turning colder.

Saturday: We will now have developed more of an easterly or even northeasterly airflow. This means temperatures will start to drop slightly and we will drag in cloud from the North Sea, perhaps thick enough at times for some drizzle again. With the lack of sunshine and still the breezy conditions it will feel cold. Max 7°C Min 3°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: Even colder as we head into Sunday and conditions look to be very similar, plenty of cloud, occasional pockets of drizzle, mist on the hills, and a little breezy. Hopefully winds not as strong as previous days. Certainly a chill in the air now. If we do see some clear spells overnight, there will be a patchy frost. Max 5°C Min 1°C

Outlook: Conditions look very similar for the first couple of days of the new working week. Cold, cloudy and although the theme will tend to be dry, there will be the odd area of drizzle again where the cloud is thick enough.

As the week progresses, the forecast becomes uncertain. It all depends where low pressure sits and where high pressure sits in and around the UK and across into Europe. The current thinking is that temperatures remain similar to Sunday’s but feeling colder due to the wind and the lack of sunshine.

Much colder air to the east in Europe will not be too far away and depending on the setup of where the weather systems sit, we could well tap into this cold. If we do, the temperatures will drop two or three degrees further and it would be cold enough for any patchy rain or drizzle to turn to snow, especially on the hills.

So at this stage I can’t guarantee there is snow on the way next week. But what I can guarantee is, as the weekend progresses and we edge into next week colder air will arrive but at this stage it is not expected to get significantly colder and there’s even a chance milder southwesterlies return by the weekend.

As always, look out for my updates on social media. I appreciate you stopping by to read this.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 21st January 2026 at 5pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

Our cold spell has come to an end and we are back to the usual weather that we see in January, milder-than-average with rain at times and occasionally windy. A few people have already been asking me when is it going to turn colder again and when is it going to snow. This time with more widespread snow, as not everybody saw a decent amount of snow or any at all, during the last cold spell. Again, which is the norm for our winters these days, most of the snow is confined to the higher parts of the region.

There have been some signs, looking at the long-range forecasts, for colder air, some proper cold days, to drift in from the east but the timeframe is always over 10 days away and this is not a reliable timeframe. But support is growing, with the odd flip back to milder predictions. So all up-in-the-air, and so, for the foreseeable we will be mildish, with the occasional chilly day and more rain to come.

Thursday: Any early showers easing away, then bright spells before cloud thickens later in the day. Less cold. Max 7°C Min 2°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: Early showers, wintry on the tops again, move away quite quickly to be followed by sunny spells. Slight breeze. Max 7°C Min 3°C

Weekend: Quiet.

Saturday: A mostly cloudy day with perhaps the odd shower or localised drizzle. Limited brightness. A cool easterly breeze. Max 8°C Min 4°C

Sunday: Very little change. Mostly light winds, a lot of cloud, stubborn to break. Similar temperatures. Max 7°C Min 3°C

Outlook: Cloudy, some bright spells, and occasional showers or drizzle, especially on the hills. Any weather systems from the Atlantic will tend to become blocked, so drying up from midweek onwards and then all eyes on what develops over eastern Europe. If we can get a Scandinavian high and thus easterly winds then we could well be on for another cold spell.

How cold. How snowy. No-one knows at this stage. Keep your eyes peeled for social media updates and the Weekly Blog next week.

I still feel there will be a battle going on between westerly- and easterly-driven weather and we end up in no-mans’ land.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for localised forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 14th of January 2025 at 4:42pm
Images & Videos: http://www.wxcharts.com & Lisa Holroyd

Hi all,

Happy New Year!

I hope you all had a fantastic Christmas and I wish you all the best for 2026. The Weekly Blog is back after a well-earned rest over the festive period.

It’s been a cold start to January with temperatures well below-average and we have seen some snowfall. Which is always welcoming in my book, but I know a lot of people hate the stuff. That said, there could well be some more on the way later on Thursday and then perhaps again mid-month if cold can drift in from the continent.

That is a long way off and very tricky to forecast at this stage, it’s even tricky to track Thursday’s low pressure system which has been named as Storm Goretti by the French. This low pressure is going to bring a significant amount of snow to parts of England and Wales and also some very strong winds to the southwest of England and perhaps the southern coast of the UK.

There are many warnings in place. Notably two amber warnings. One for snow. One for damaging winds.

Of course, at the time of writing I can only predict what looks the most likely outcome, as well as adding my thoughts to how things will pan out. Look out for updates on social media as this storm system, which is a developing area of low pressure, could well change its track by a few miles, which can make all the difference.

Thursday: A cloudy and misty start with perhaps a few light wintry showers around. Winds will be light initially with the odd bright spell over lunchtime. Into the evening the wind will increase from the northeast and cloud will thicken from the south.

During the evening at this stage, it is expected that rain will push across the region. Whether it snows or not, depends on a few factors. Will it be cold enough? Will it be heavy?

The heavier the precipitation, means the temperature can drop and therefore there is more chance of the rain turning to snow, which is called evaporative cooling. At this stage, I’m leaning towards rain for western areas, especially towards the coast and in low-lying areas.

Inland and towards the hills there is more chance of seeing the rain turn to sleet or snow with the heavier snow and the highest chance of it falling being where the current yellow warning is i.e. The Peak District, the hills, and the Pennines. This forecast is subject to change so look out on social media for posts. This snow could be disruptive. Max 5°C Min 0°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: Winds will now switch to a northerly as the low pressure moves away into the North Sea. Any precipitation will ease away quickly, but if you have had some snowfall, do be aware that there could be some tricky driving conditions in the morning. Snow on the hills/Pennines/The Peak District will take the longest to ease away.

Most of the day will then be dry with just a few scattered wintry showers and still feeling cold. Clear skies overnight leading to a patchy frost and ice. Max 4°C Min -1°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: Remaining cold but no dramas.

Saturday: A decent day with bright or sunny spells after early mist or fog lifts. A cold one though and there could be the odd scattered wintry shower once more. A slight frost overnight. Max 4°C Min -2°C

Sunday: A bright morning but cloud will thicken later in the day. With the cold air in place, we could see some brief snowfall later in the day before this turns to rain overnight and temperatures lift a tad. Max 4°C Min 1°C

Outlook: Monday and Tuesday both look cloudy, less cold with patchy rain. The rest of the week doesn’t see much change but by next weekend we could see the risk of snow increase once more and temperatures start to drop, especially if we can import some much colder air from the east.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th of January 2026 at 1:30pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com, http://www.theweatheroutlook.com and The Met Office.

Hi all,

What a terrible month it’s been so far. We’re used to mild and wet Decembers and 2025 is no break from the norm. We’ve had a handful of dry days and just over 100mm of rain. Half the month so far has seen a maximum temperatures of 10°C or above and a few ground-frosts.

A plunge of cold air in the US has produced a stark temperature contrast which has helped the Jet Stream fire-up weather systems across the Atlantic to the UK. This has brought wind and rain via a conveyor-belt of low pressures. However, this west or southwesterly airflow looks set to be broken as we head towards Christmas with hints of colder air developing. Nothing too significant yet but with an easterly wind you never know what could follow. But, before we commence changing the weather pattern, we will see more rain and wind with mild temperatures.

Thursday: A dry start but cloud thickening and rain heavy at times will spread up from the southwest. Breezy but not that windy. Reasonably mild for the time of year. Max 10°C Min 4°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: A better day. Windy with bright or sunny spells and just the odd shower possible. Max 9°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 30mph

Weekend: A change to more of an easterly influence.

Saturday: Sunny or bright spells for the morning and then the wind increasing as rain tries its best to push in from the west decaying all of the time. A keen southeasterly wind developing. Max 9°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Any rain should begin to ease away but it will remain overcast with a steady but notably chillier breeze. Max 8°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: High pressure is going to build across Eastern Europe meaning temperatures will start to return to the December average. Plenty of cloud is expected at this stage which could be thick enough for pockets of drizzle. Not cold enough for snow and as we head towards Christmas Day the clouds should begin to break slightly. So the big day is set to be dry with a few bright spells but cold especially in the wind which will continue to be from the East. Variable amounts of cloud cover will mean some nights will be frost-free but the odd one could see pockets of frost developing.

Thanks as always for reading. Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 17th of December 2025 at 6:10pm

Images: BBC Weather, http://www.wxcharts.com.

Hi all,

Winter is here and December has started as November ended, with plenty of rainfall. We only had 8 days without measurable rain in November and 169mm of rain. This is the second wettest November I have recorded since records begin in 2012. The wettest being 2015.

There are a lot of clickbait, attention-seeking posts everywhere about copious amounts of snow coming and bitter-cold. Utter nonsense. It’s always around at this time of year but this year it is worse than ever as local media search for clicks and likes.

Thursday: Rain from overnight will continue early on with some heavy bursts. It will clear eastwards slowly but we should see it drier into the afternoon with perhaps some brightness before dark. Cool and windy at first. Clear skies overnight leading to some patchy ice and a local ground-frost. Max 8°C Min 1°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: A chilly start with some patchy frost and fog. Dry with sunny spells for most for the morning but cloudier into the afternoon with more rain arriving in time for the evening. Feeling cold, especially later on and into the evening as winds strengthen from the south-east, possibly gale-force at times. Max 8°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 45mph

Weekend: Low pressure in charge.

Saturday: Showery rain will be coming and going but winds do look lighter than late on Friday. Slightly milder too but it’s the overcast, dull and dank conditions that are so depressing. Max 11°C Min 7°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: A few showers around for the morning but these should ease away for a time with some brightness. Cloud thickening once again ahead of rain forecast for the afternoon and evening. Some uncertainty on the timing and position of this rain-band so look out for forecasts on social media. Max 11°C Min 4°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: It looks like an unsettled week I’m afraid. Plenty of low pressure systems, bringing wind and rain at times. Some drier spells in between. No sign of any high pressure yet, to settle things down and bring some frosty days back. No snow/significant cold expected. Lets hope we’re saving all the snow for Christmas Day.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 3rd of December 2025 at 5:34pm.

Images: The Met Office & http://www.wxcharts.com.

Hi all,

Our first early taste of winter this week. It’s autumn still of course but we’ve had some frost and hill-snow and further frosty nights await.

Will milder air return? Yes, less cold into the weekend and eventually rain will be back but will it last?

Thursday: A sharp frost to start and a sharp frost to end. But during the day it’ll be a cracker with plenty of sunshine and blue skies. It’ll be quite breezy for a few hours and this will really take the edge off the temperature making it feel sub-zero. Max 4°C Min -5°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: Another dry and decent day with plenty of sunny spells after a harsh frost. The frost is likely to persist in the shade all day. However, there is change on the way and cloud will arrive and thicken from the west later in the day. Overnight, milder air will slowly filter in and winds will pickup slightly and patchy rain will arrive which might fall initially as sleet and snow on the tops, but it will not last long. No frost overnight. Max 3°C Min 1°C

Weekend: Milder and some rain likely.

Saturday: Cloudy with patchy rain which should become heavier later in the day as winds increase and become quite gusty into the evening. Less cold but still feeling particularly chilly due to the conditions. Max 9°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: After the sunshine of Thursday and Friday, it’s a disappointing weekend overall, with Sunday being similar to Saturday, plenty of cloud about and some rain at times. Damp and chilly but winds should be slightly lighter. Max 8°C Min 5°C

Outlook: The outlook does not include much sunshine by the looks of it. Temperatures hovering around average with mostly cloudy conditions and rain at times. Due to the cloud cover frosts overnight look limited. As we head into December, there’s a lot of excitement about colder conditions, but this far out is impossible to say. This time next week I could well have more of an idea of when the next cold snap is coming.

Thanks for reading as always, much appreciated.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 19th of November 2025 at 4:30pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com, http://www.theweatheroutlook.com & The Met Office.

Hi all,

The first cold spell of the season is on the way with temperatures going below average for the time of year but it won’t be anything unusual. Winter is still a few weeks away but we could see some wintry showers around next week. Of course you will see the usual hype in the media, of walls of snow and temperatures, plummeting etc.

Thursday: A bright start and not a bad morning with a few sunny spells. Cloud will thicken from lunchtime and there could well be a few showers and then some patchy rain later in the day, and also, a keen and cooler northeasterly breeze will pick up. The wind will switch northeasterly into the afternoon and you’ll notice the change in the feel to the weather. Max 13°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: After a dry and possibly bright start in a few places, cloud and heavy rain will arrive and it will turn out to be a dismal day. Plenty of rain around and strong to gusty northeasterly wind making it feel cold. Max 9°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 35mph

Weekend: Colder air slowly arriving.

Saturday: Any lingering rain should begin to ease and then a mostly cloudy day but with a few bright spells later. Keen northeasterly winds still making it feel chilly but at least the persistent rain has gone. Max 9°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: A much better day in prospect with bright or sunny spells, a fresh northerly wind and just a low chance of a shower. Turning cold after dark with a patchy ground-frost. Max 9°C Min 2°C

Outlook: Cold with mostly dry and cloudy days to start the week. Odd wintry shower possible on higher ground. Midweek onwards is difficult to predict. We could well see an area of low pressure bring a mixture of rain with sleet or wet-snow on the hills. Any clear skies overnight will lead to a frost. The cold weather is expected to last most of the week but milder air should start to return from the 22nd.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts.

Thanks as always for stopping by to read.

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 12th of November 2025 at 3:09pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com