Hi all,

It’s fair to say that our weather has now changed and we have had some welcome rain. Parts of England and Wales further south from our region are still in desperate need of some rain but there will be rain arriving over the coming days. Although it will be the type of rain that we don’t need, torrential and falling in a short space of time which will cause flash-flooding, especially where surfaces are rock hard.

Currently we have two thunderstorm warnings in place for today (Wednesday) and Thursday. As is always the case with thunderstorms, a lot of people do moan when they don’t happen and say the warning was not needed. But it’s a bit different if you do end up being under a thunderstorm where you do see surface-water flooding.

Thursday: A cloudy start with perhaps the odd shower but as we head towards lunchtime and around lunchtime there will be an area of thundery rain spreading up from the south. This is expected to last into the evening before clearing away northwards. It will be a humid day despite all the rain. Occasionally breezy. Max 21°C Min 15°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: The low pressure system across the UK will pivot, meaning that heavy thundery showers will move in from the northwest during the morning easing away into the afternoon. Still a little humid and breezy. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

BH Weekend: Rain at some point on all days.

Saturday: After a dry start, cloud will thicken from the southwest and an area of rain will move across the region. There might be the odd heavy burst before it turns patchy and showery and drier towards evening. Max 19°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: At this stage it’s a little bit tricky to predict the weather on Sunday, but what I’m expecting is a few showers around which should then ease away but more persistent rain arriving as we head towards evening. A little cooler and breezy. Look out for updates on social media. Max 19°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Bank Holiday Monday: Much fresher and cooler. Sunny spells and showers and pretty windy at times, especially during any downpours. Max 17°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 30mph

Outlook: Looks unsettled with bright spells and heavy showers, sometimes merging together into longer spells of rain. Temperatures around average. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the weather settle down again as we head towards the second week of September and temperatures could well rise in this period. Confidence is low at this stage but I’ll keep my eye out for any developments.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always for following and reading.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 26th of August 2026 at 3:45pm

Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

At the time of writing we have a weather warning coming into force this evening and into Thursday for thunderstorms. This will bring much-needed rain but perhaps too much rain in a short space of time which could lead to some flash-flooding given how hard the ground is. It’s been a prolonged dry spell but we have now recorded rain on the last 4 out of 5 days with a total of 15mm recorded at HQ.

There is a bit more rain on the way but high pressure should start to nudge in towards the weekend and bring a settled spell of weather which should last until early next week. Here’s the forecast for the next 4 days and the outlook in detail.

Thursday: There will be some heavy rain around for the morning which could be thundery and there will be a cool north-to-northeasterly breeze developing. Into the afternoon the heavy rain will break up and become more showery. Breezy and a cold one overnight. Cool. Max 17°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: A chilly start with sunny spells for the morning but cloud will bubble up into the afternoon with a few showers. Still the odd heavy one but nothing like recent days. Clear spells overnight and again another cool one. Autumn is not far away. Max 18°C Min 7°C Max Gusts 15mph

Weekend: High pressure is back.

Saturday: Mostly dry with sunny spells and light winds. Feeling pleasant in the sunshine and don’t forget that UV levels are still high at around 6. I can’t rule out a shower though. Max 18°C Min 8°C

Sunday: Very similar to Saturday but hopefully all places will be dry with sunny spells and feeling pleasant but still temperatures on the cool side compared to recent weeks but warm in the sun. Max 19°C Min 9°C Max 15mph

Outlook: Warm and sunny on Monday but after that the weather slowly goes downhill with cloudy conditions and rain or showers developing, again possibly thundery. No heatwave on the horizon.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecast and warnings.

Thanks as always, for popping by to read.

Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 19th of August 2026 at 5:30pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

Thundery showers have been around recently and further showers around today, but some places stayed completely dry, others seeing some welcome downpours after a very dry July.

The Met Office’s charts below are staggering, showing how dry it has been over several months, mostly across England and Wales and it’s clear to see why areas are in drought.

Thursday: Bright spells and showers especially so for the morning and lunchtime. Tending to become drier for the afternoon with sunnier skies and winds easing eventually, feeling fresh out of any sunshine. Max 18°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 30mph

Friday: Warmer with sunny spells and just the chance of an isolated shower. Still a little breezy. Max 22°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Saturday’s best.

Saturday: Very warm with sunny spells to start but cloud will bubble up and cloudy at times later could bring a localised sharp shower. Windy later. Max 25°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Winds switching westerly so turning less warm again with bright spells and the possibility of showers too. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: High pressure returns into next week and it’s likely that parts of the UK will see another heatwave with 30°C+ down south. Here, plenty of dry weather again, hazy sunny spells and very warm, perhaps hot at times. It’s been some summer! Temperatures should peak on Wednesday then perhaps turning unsettled from the west later bringing thundery showers.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 5th of August 2026 at 5:22pm.

Images: Met Office & http://www.wxcharts.com, http://www.theweatheroutlook.com and @Met4CastUK.

Hi all,

We are currently “enjoying” another hot and humid spell of weather but unfortunately it’s brought with it a lot of cloud as we are in between low pressure to our northwest and high pressure to our southeast.

I’ve just been away to Stratford-upon-Avon and staying in a lodge in the heat isn’t pleasant when it comes to sleeping. Just left today as it’s set to reach 30°C. Parts of the southeast could see 35°C today.

It’s been declared today that officially half of England are in a drought. July has been exceptionally dry and in some places completely dry. We’re not in a drought but we are in need of some rain. Apart from a few showers, it looks like Monday and Tuesday offer the chance of rain but even this far out that forecast can still change.

Thursday: A cold-front will be moving through during the morning, perhaps will some rain left on it and then we will eventually lose the heat and humidity with fresher air arriving. Once early cloud clears and perhaps a shower then a decent day with sunny spells and breezy conditions. Max 20°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: Little change. Sunny spells, breezy and the chance of a few showers, especially early on and also later in the day. Max 19°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Winds easing and feeling warmer once again.

Saturday: Sunny spells and the chance of a shower, mostly in the north. Elsewhere dry and pleasant. Breezy. Max 21°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: Lighter winds and warm sunny spells but these will turn hazy later as low pressure brings rain from the southwest overnight and into Monday. Feeling humid later and overall a warmer day. Max 23°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 10mph

Outlook: It looks wet on Monday and Tuesday but rain will peter out quickly and it’s likely that high pressure builds in again bringing sunny spells and drier weather.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 29th of July 2026 at 5:53pm

Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com & http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

July has been very dry. Our average rainfall for July is 89.1mm. So far we have only had 4mm with the last measurable rainfall being on the 2nd of July (3.8mm). There is plenty of dry weather in the next 10 days but we will see some rainfall this weekend. It certainly won’t be as much as the fire-fighters and local golf clubs will be hoping for.

Thursday: Similar to recent days. A cloudy start with very warm sunny spells eventually breaking through. Pleasant temperatures. Low risk of a shower towards the hills and turning breezy later in the day. Max 23°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: Little change. Sunny to start but cloud will bubble up but some sunny spells continuing. Dry but with a keen west-to-northwesterly wind picking up later, especially out west and ahead of change. Max 22°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: First unsettled spell for a while.

Saturday: A dry start but cloud thickening and any brightness fading as patchy rain, with some brief heavier bursts, moves southeast through the region from mid-afternoon onwards. The rain and drizzle will continue to come in pulses overnight. Temperatures down but quite muggy especially overnight. Max 20°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: Cloudy with still some patchy rain around for the morning. Bright spells for the afternoon but also with some showers at times. Another windy one at times. If temperatures don’t reach 20°C (rounded) this will be first time this has happened since July the 2nd. By our standards, that’s a decent run. Max 19°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: High pressure to the southwest and low pressure close by to the northwest. This means we will continue to see temperatures around normal with a westerly airflow. Mostly dry with sunny spells but a risk of some rain and windy conditions later in the week. After that it looks like, at this stage, that high pressure will build and the second week of August could be very warm and sunny with an increased chance of seeing heatwave no. 4 but this far out it’s impossible to say.

That’s all for this week. Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 22nd of July 2026 at 6:18pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

A quick blog today. Better than none I suppose :).

The heatwave continues (although some places didn’t reach the heatwave threshold today after a cloudy start) but there have been a few changes over the last few days where we have seen more of an easterly breeze develop, and be gusty. This obviously has not helped the wildfires with smoke spreading widely from east to west.

That breeze is still here but has dropped slightly and has certainly been noticeable in the morning and in the evenings making it feel cooler and less humid. Temperatures however, during the day have still been getting into the mid-20s, for most, and this is set to continue before cooler air arrives for the weekend.

Remember for our area, away from the extreme south, we need three consecutive days of 25°C for it to be a heatwave. If you’re happy to round figures up then we have now had heatwave temperatures for 7 days. There was a cloudier start on Wednesday away from the west and some places in the east will not reach that 25°C, possibly including myself.

A lot of weather chat is about, when will rain return. Some places down south have not had rain for 28 days, up here at my weather station it hasn’t rained since the 2nd of July. At this stage it looks like there will be no rain in the next 7 days.

Thursday: There could well be some cloud in the east to start but it is not expected to be as widespread as Wednesday. Very little change to the weather we’ve been seeing recently, apart from maybe the wind will be a little bit lighter. Hot sunny spells, hazy at times and dry. Hottest in the west. Max 24-27°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 15mph

Friday: Yep, you’ve guessed it, it’s another dry day with plenty of hazy sunny spells, some fair-weather cloud bubbling up and perhaps, as the winds turn around to a more northerly or northeasterly direction, temperatures down slightly, especially noticeable overnight. Max 23-26°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Heatwave ends.

Saturday: Winds will eventually turn northerly and this will introduce less hot air. A dry day with sunny spells and just some cloud bubbling up. Max 21-22°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 15mph

Sunday: Rinse and repeat. Sunny spells, cloud bubbling up, and just a very low chance of a shower on the Pennines. Not as fresh overnight as recently. Max 22°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: No rain expected next week until the weekend at the earliest and that is not certain either. So dry, with very warm to hot sunny spells and temperatures back up again into the mid-20s. High pressure still in charge.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always, for popping by to read.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of July 2026 at 5:46pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

Another month and another heatwave on the way. Temperatures this time will just be a notch down on the previous heatwave and so will the humidity and dew points. However, dew points look set to be around the mid-teens so do expect it to be quite humid especially in the mornings and in the evenings.

At this stage it looks like Friday will be the hottest day with temperatures getting into the 30s. During this lengthy spell of very warm to hot weather, there is going to be little to no rain. However, there is a chance of an isolated thunderstorm on Friday.

During this hot spell, there will be a change in wind direction which is likely to bring some cloud in from the North Sea overnight which will need to burn off during the morning.

Don’t forget that UV levels are high.

Thursday: A cracking day with plenty of sunny skies after early cloud in the west from the Irish Sea burns off. Feeling hot and a little humid with light winds and remaining warm overnight. Max 29°C Min 17°C

Friday: Likely to be the hottest day of the week, but some fair-weather cloud could bubble up at times with the low risk of a late-afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm. Feeling pretty humid but there will be an afternoon breeze which will have now switched easterly. Max 31°C Min 17°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Temperatures down a touch due to wind direction.

Saturday: There could well be a little cloud (low risk of a shower) from the east to clear in the morning then another very warm to hot day with sunny spells but a more noticeable breeze from the east. Not as hot as Friday. Max 29°C Min 16°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Some eastern parts could start cloudy but this will soon burn off and then another glorious day with sunny spells and an easterly breeze and very warm. Temperatures will be highest in the west. A little cooler overnight. Max 23-26°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: High pressure staying in control. So the dry weather continues with plenty of very warm or possibly hot conditions.  There could well be a change later in the week as we approach Thursday and the days that follow with a breakdown of the high and some thundery showers creeping up from the south/southwest.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always for popping by to read.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 8th of July 2026 at 5:35pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

So be honest how many of you actually enjoyed the heatwave last week? With record dew points and an oppressive feel it was not for me. Money was spent on new fans but all they did was blow around hot air and I really struggled to sleep for at least 4 or 5 days. Purchasing an air-con unit may not be far away.

Below are the maximums and minimums that were recorded during the heatwave and as you might have seen, the old dew point record (20.7°C) was smashed. Also, I recorded my 3rd hottest day since records began (August 2012). In this country, it’s rare to see a dew point over 20°C. It’s humid enough when dew points start to get into the mid-teens, but last week this was one of the main reasons why it felt so awful.

Min | Max | Av. | Rain | Av. Humidity| Av. Pressure

Not long soon after that heatwave ended, there were already long-range weather charts showing another heatwave on the way and some charts did show temperatures close to 40°C or above. Of course, looking at a chart this far out should always be taken with a pinch of salt and since then those high temperatures have downgraded.  Also, the heatwave that is coming to parts of the UK is not expected to be as widespread as it was looking to be. That said, places in the south will still see temperatures close to or above 30°C for possibly 7 days. Also, looking ahead there will be occasional cloudy spells and patchy rain from the north or west but there is not much in the way of total rainfall for the foreseeable.

UV levels remain high.

Thursday: Perhaps a few showers to start then sunny spells developing. Quite windy at times but feeling warm in the sunshine. Max 20°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 30mph

Friday: A decent day with sunny spells hopefully becoming more widespread later in the day. Feeling warm and breezy at times. Cloud increasing overnight. Max 22°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Variable cloud, thickest in the morning.

Saturday: Cloudy to start, risk of drizzle especially on high ground followed by brighter spells. Windy.  Max 22°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: A very similar day, cloudy to start, a bit stubborn to break up, but eventually sunny spells will break through and feeling warm. A risk of some patchy drizzle or rain early on. Otherwise a dry day ahead. Max 23°C Min 14°C Max 25mph

Outlook: High pressure to our south, which will be bringing a heatwave to southern parts of the UK, should start to drift eastwards. This will allow for the warmer air to drift northwards so I’m expecting a few days next week of temperatures close to the mid-20s. Depending on these values, would decide whether we meet the threshold for a heatwave. It looks like we will probably have 2 or 3 days of sunny hot weather, but then the weather will break down from the west later in the week with cloud and rain eventually returning.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 1st of July 2026 at 6:15pm

Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com & http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

We are currently in a heatwave with 4 days over 25°C (rounded) and above.

Sunday: 24.7°C
Monday: 27.1°C
Tuesday: 29.9°C
Wednesday: 29.4°C

It has felt especially hot due to the high dew points making it feel awfully humid and that humid feel won’t really be gone until Sunday.

In fact on Tuesday I broke my all-time (records since August 2012) Highest Dew Point record.

Previous: 20.7°C on the 1st of August 2013 at 2:51pm.

New Record: 21.8°C on the 23rd of June 2026 at 4:44pm.

Remember UV levels are HIGH, 7-8, which is expected at this time of the year, regardless of temperature.

So when will the heatwave end? Originally it looked like Friday but now it will be Sunday when max temperatures return to the early-20s and fresher air arrives. Before then, there is the potential for some strong or severe thunderstorms breaking out. These could start as early as Thursday evening and Friday across the UK and continue to brew into Saturday. As you know, pin-pointing the exact location of these storms is hard and near-impossible as this stage but they could well be significant. It’s not really been mentioned on the TV forecasts yet. So be prepared for some severe weather and look out for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thursday: A hot and sunny day with some fair-weather cloud bubbling up. Becoming windy into the afternoon with a hair-dryer southeasterly. Very humid. Variations in temperatures across the region. A tropical night and uncomfortable for sleeping with temperatures expected to still be 23-24°C at midnight. Risk of some big thunderstorms later in the night (maybe more so up the western side of the region). Max 28-33°C Min 21°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: The heat remains, and the humid feel will again be through the roof. There is a chance of a few thundery showers in the morning but these will move away to allow for some hazy sunny spells to develop. As the afternoon wears on there could be a thunderstorm or two that pop up as clouds develop and the air gets unstable. Lower night temperatures than recently. Max 31-33°C Min 16°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Relief will arrive eventually.

Saturday: Potential for some thundery downpours, so look out for updated forecasts/warnings on social media nearer the time. Otherwise another hot day with sunny spells and maximum temperatures will keep some areas in the heatwave threshold. Windy. Max 24-27°C Min 16°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Finally – some relief as fresher air moves in and we have a day of sunny spells and showers, some heavy, perhaps thundery. Windy again but you will appreciate the wind to cool the house down. Max 21°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 30mph

Outlook: Temperatures will return to normal next week but pleasant enough for the first few days with sunny spells and a few showers. As we head into July it looks like it will turn more unsettled with spells of rain and temperatures dropping to below average for a time.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as ever for popping by to read.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 26th of June 2026 at 5:05pm
Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com and http://www.wxcharts.com.

Hi all,

The poor month of June continues but temperatures have cranked up a notch compared to recent weeks and with that so has the humidity, so it’s feeling rather muggy at times. This theme will continue over the coming days, with most of the rain to our northwest and heat to our southeast.

As you will have read, there is a heatwave coming to parts of Spain and France, where temperatures could exceed 40°C. Some of this heat will affect parts of England, mostly the southern and southeastern parts where temperatures could reach the mid-30s for a day or two. Luckily, if you’re like me and hate the heat, we’re not expecting to see any of those values up here in the northwest but we could see a couple of days close or in the mid-20s.

We’ve had a lot of rain during June, but it looks like the second half of June will not be as wet.

As always, don’t forget that UV levels are high at this time of year or even very high. So don’t forget to slap on that sun-cream if you’re out in the sun for any length of time.

Thursday: A very warm and humid day to come with plenty of sunny spells (cloudy the further west you are) and a wind picking up into the afternoon. Low chance of a shower later. A warm night follows. Max 25°C Min 16°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: Another very warm day, bright spells and increasingly windy. A cold-front will be moving through the region later in the day so it will cloud over towards evening with some rain or showers. Max 24°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: Decent and becoming warmer again.

Saturday: Because a cold-front has gone through, it will be fresher with a westerly wind but it’ll still feel very warm in the sunny spells. Again the chance of a shower, especially early on, otherwise dry. Max 21°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: Looks like a cracking day for Father’s Day. Light winds, very warm once again and plenty of hot sunshine. A humid one for sleeping. Max 24-26°C Min 15°C

Outlook: At this stage it looks like temperatures will remain close to the mid-20s for Monday and Tuesday, so if we do have 3 days of 25°C or more, then it will be classed as a heatwave. There will be a risk of some thunderstorms on Monday but after that high pressure should strengthen, and midweek onwards with the wind turning back to a westerly direction temperatures should return back to the early-20s but conditions should be settled with lots of dry weather and warm sunny spells.

Follow at @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always, for popping by to read.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 17th of June 2026 at 4:53pm.

Images: http://www.tropicaltadbits.com, http://www.meteociel.fr & @WxNB_ on X.