Temperatures recovering after winter bites back – Thursday 31st March 2022 – Sunday 3rd April 2022

Hi all,

It certainly feels like winter has returned out there today, as Arctic air plunges down across the region bringing cold-rain, sleet and some hill-snow. From 18°C a week ago to just 3.6°C at lunchtime today. Ouch.

3pm temperatures each day since last Wednesday – big change today

It’s not unusual to get a cold-snap at this time of the year, as late-March can be a fickle period of weather. The warmth and blue skies, albeit it hazy with pollution, were amazing but all good things have to end eventually, you just have to make the most of these pleasant spells, especially in the UK.

Thursday: A frosty and icy start with sunny spells developing. Wintry showers will feed in from the northeast during the day with fewer showers the further west you are. Showers will be of rain, sleet, hail and snow There will be a strong and gusty wind leading to a biting wind-chill. Max 7°C

Wintry showers could lead to a slight covering of snow in places, mostly the hills during Thursday.

Friday: Again a frosty start then not a bad day with sunny spells and fewer wintry showers. The sun is gaining strength now so out of the breeze in shelter it won’t feel too bad despite the temperature. Max 7°C

Weekend: Less in the way of sunshine

Saturday: Cloud will spread down from the northwest bringing a few showers. Feeling cool with all the cloud during the morning but hopefully some brighter spells into the afternoon. Max 8°C

Sunday: Bright spells and a few showers. Tending to be a little drier into the afternoon with sunny spells developing. Max 9°C

Outlook: A westerly airflow will return bringing low pressure to the northwest of the UK. We will see some showery rain at times, but not a lot of rainfall is expected over the week. Temperatures will return to normal and the night-frosts will end.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 30th of March 2022 at 5:07pm.
Image: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Enjoy the warmth before the temperature plummets – Thursday 24th March 2022 – Sunday 27th March 2022

Hi all,

What a superb spell of early-Spring weather we are experiencing and you need to fill your boots. Temperatures into the late-teens and plenty of sunny periods, but hazy due to the high pollution levels.

Everywhere is now beginning to dry out fast and after giving my garden its annual winter-is-over declutter, it was clear to see that it actually might need watering soon. With little rain on the horizon, it means after a soggy February, it will have been a very dry March.

Growers beware, temperatures are set to drop to below average values next week, a real shock for our gardens and plants after the warmth of this week.

UV levels are now creeping up and are around medium for a couple of hours at lunchtime. No sun-cream really needed yet, unless you’re out in it for several hours non-stop, late-morning to early-afternoon.

Thursday: Another cracking day. Warm to very warm for the time of year with widespread sunny spells. Some fair-weather cloud around. Light winds. Max 18°C

Friday: Continuing warm and sunny. Some cloud bubbling up into the day. Light winds. Max 18°C

Weekend: Grab that sunshine and make the most of it.

Saturday: Further sunny spells and warm with it too. Any morning-cloud burning off. Dry. Max 17°C

Sunday: Sunny spells but temperatures likely to be a notch or two lower. Max 15°C

Outlook: The high pressure that has dominated our weather will shift west and that move in location will allow more in the way of cloud to arrive. More importantly we will introduce a north-to-northeasterly airflow and at this time of the year that is still a very cold direction. Some of the air will be sourced from the Arctic. A lot of dry weather is still expected with the odd shower drifting in from the northeast. No snow expected, this will fall in the Scottish mountains though. By midweek we will see some ground-frosts return and daytime temperatures struggling to 7-9°C, a big change from this week.

Warmer than average this week to colder than average next week. Don’t put the big coats away just yet.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 23rd of March 2022 at 9:13pm
Image: (chart) http://www.wxcharts.com

Welcome Spring Sunshine albeit Breezy – Thursday 17th March 2022 – Sunday 20th March 2022

Hi all,

Spring is here and the weather is finally responding. After an awful February, March is much drier (only 16mm so far) and we can now look forward to a drier, warmer and sunnier spell of weather.

Not quite our first 20°C of the year but it will feel very pleasant indeed over the coming days. Nights will be chilly with local ground-frosts and patchy fog. UV levels are approaching medium meaning you will begin to catch the sun’s rays if you’re out in it for a few hours. It won’t be long before you’re digging out the sun-cream.

A frosty start to Thursday.

Thursday: A cold start with a frost and patchy mist. Sunny spells for the morning then cloud will arrive into the afternoon with some scattered showers into the evening. Max 12°C

Friday: High pressure continues to build across the UK so a lovely day in prospect with plenty of sunshine after a chilly/frosty and in places foggy start. Some of the fog might be stubborn to clear and lift into low-cloud for a time. It will begin to feel warm in the sunshine. Max 14°C

Weekend: I normally say more rain but this time more sun. The only downside is that the breeze will pick up during the daytime which could become a little gusty.

High pressure in control for the weekend bringing the warmest day of the year so far, plenty of sunshine but quite a breeze too.

Saturday: Lots of pleasant Spring sunshine as we see the warmest day of the year so far. Max 16°C

Pleasant Saturday afternoon temperatures. Of course these are measured in the shade so feeling much warmer in the sunshine.

Sunday: Feeling warm under sunny skies. Just the chance of some cloud in the east later. Max 15°C

Outlook: The settled weather looks set to continue with high pressure mostly in charge. Just one hiccup could be a few showers on Monday afternoon. Lots of warm sunny spells and dry conditions with temperatures into the mid-teens. An easterly or southeasterly breeze could pick up later in the week pegging the temperatures back a little and dragging in some cloud at times from the North Sea but this all depends on the location of the high pressure.

The final weekend of March also looks fine and settled.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks.
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 16th of March 2022 at 5:25pm
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Some rain, mild and windy – Thursday 10th March 2022 – Sunday 13th March 2022

Hi all,

Temperatures are beginning to creep up but it’s hard to notice the change as we’ve had low pressure to our west and high pressure to our east battling it out, leading to a strong and gusty wind. Media reports were at it again this week, forecasting snow but there’s certainly none of that on the way.

Thursday: Breezy and mild with some bright spells here and there, best in the west. Chance of the odd rogue shower especially towards evening. A very mild night. Max 12°C

Friday: A mostly dry morning then bands of showery rain moving in. Windy, gusting 30-35mph, especially so later during hefty showers, perhaps thundery with hail. Max 12°C

Weekend: Some rain but bright spells at times.

Saturday: Sunny spells and few showers. Again, like most of the week, it will be windy. Max 12°C

Sunday: A little bit cooler and still windy with bright spells and showers at times which could be beefy. Max 10°C

Outlook: High pressure looks set to cut off the weather-fronts so a lot of dry weather with sunny spells with rain-bearing fronts staying away to the far north-west and south. Very mild early on, perhaps close to the mid-teens midweek. Some cool nights where skies clear with some patchy ground-frosts and mist and fog; more so later in the week.

Any weather-fronts next week weaken as high pressure squeezes from the SW and E.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and weather warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 9th of March 2022 at 6:55pm
Image: http://www.wxcharts.com

Meteorological Spring is here – Thursday 3rd March 2022 – Sunday 6th March 2022

Hi all,

I promised better conditions and in truth we’ve had some gloriously sunny days (Sunday and Tuesday) but we’re back into a cloudy and damp pattern at the moment and it’s certainly not as nice as I expected it to be. It had to improve though, I mean we had 3 named-storms in a week and a soggy February delivered a well-above-average rainfall stat of 187mm.

Winter ends with no proper cold or a taste of The Beast from the East. For cold-lovers it’s been another let-down. The set-up going into next week is quite interesting as low pressure out west looks set to battle with an established area of high pressure across eastern Europe.

Thursday: A cloudy day with the clouds thickening during the morning as rain pushes in from the west gradually. The afternoon will see further pulses of rain, occasionally heavy at times. Mild but breezy. Max 9°C

Friday: Morning drizzle or light rain will tend to ease and the day will remain cloudy but drier as it progresses. Lighter winds. Max 8°C

Weekend: Weakening weather-front.

Saturday: High pressure begins to build across the UK. Mostly cloudy with a weakening weather-front close to our east, which might produce some light rain or drizzle at times. Any sunshine to the west or north-west. Max 7°C

Sunday: Settled with mostly cloudy skies to start but sunny spells are expected to develop here and there especially to the west. A freshening breeze. Max 8°C

A massive high across eastern Europe keeps very cold air away from our shores

Outlook: Generally bright and mostly dry (chance of a few wintry showers on Tuesday) with a huge area of high pressure to our east introducing a chilly and gusty south-southeasterly wind. This is expected to last for a few days before the risk of rain returns towards next weekend.

A low out West, a high out East = a strong and gusty SSE’ly wind next week

Now we have officially entered Spring, weather-wise, I’m starting to look forward to that first warm spell but of course we still can’t discount cold snaps.

Looks like Atlantic weather-fronts return by next weekend, so rain and wind on the agenda.

February 2022 Stats

Max 12.6°C (16th)
Min -0.1°C (11th)
Av. 6.0°C
Wettest 41.4mm (20th)
Av. Humidity 86%
Av. Barometer 1012.2 hPa
Max Gust 47.2mph
Av. Wind Direction WSW
Rain 187mm (well above average)
Rain Registered Days 26
Dry Days 2 (Ouch!)
Air Frosts 1
Snow Falling Days 2

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and weather warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 2nd of March 2022 at 8:45pm
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Some snow followed by welcome sunshine – Thursday 24th February 2022 – Sunday 27th February 2022

Hi all,

What a wet and wild week that was, with storms Dudley, Eunice and Franklin bringing disruptive winds and high rainfall totals, leading to localised flooding. You’ll be glad to know that we are in for a more settled few days once we get past a blast of cold snowy air from the northwest.

Thursday: Windy especially during showers which will be wintry in nature. Expect thunder & lightning, hail, sleet & some snow, even to lower-levels for a time. Biting wind & much colder.

Hail, sleet and snow showers on Thursday

Snow amounts: 1-3cms can’t be ruled out especially at 150-300M and even up to 5cm above 300M, especially in areas seeing frequent snow showers. Gusts of 35-40mph making it feel sub-zero. Max 5°C

This prediction seems over the top to me but certainly the potential for a few cms of snow in places by the end of Thursday

Friday: Well this has been long overdue. A decent day with plenty of sunny spells across the region. It will also be dry and with lighter winds, it will not feel as cold. Max 8°C

Weekend: The best one for a while.

Saturday: A dry day with sunny spells. A little bit on the breezy side but much improved on last weekend. Max 9°C

Sunday: Another dry day but with more cloud, we will see more in the way of bright spells rather than sunny spells. Max 9°C

Outlook: Cloudy with some rain expected on Monday, but after that, high pressure to our south looks to keep us settled for a few days and any bands of rain from the northwest will weaken. So good news, we will get a rest from the relentless rain and storms. Still no signs of any proper cold as we enter Spring.

High pressure will be around at times later next week, finally settling down the weather

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 23rd of February 2022 at 5:15pm.
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Deadly Storm Eunice to batter UK – Thursday 17th February 2022 – Sunday 20th February 2022

Hi all,

Remember in January, how I mentioned how uneventful the weather was and how February would be payback time. Looks like you have me to blame for the miserable conditions that we are experiencing.

In the first 16 days of February we have measured rainfall on every single day and we are standing at 84mm for the month, well above average. Also, we are experiencing milder-than-average temperatures. The winters now, certainly don’t feel like the winters of my youth, with a distinct lack of snow and cold spells.

At the time of writing this forecast, we are currently experiencing Storm Dudley, which to be fair is a typical lively winter storm system. But Friday will see a rarer event, with a rapidly deepening area of low pressure, that will be damaging and dangerous to parts of England and Wales.

Although it is set to be very windy and hazardous, it looks like we will miss out on the more damaging 80-90mph gusts which are modelled to arrive across the south-west and southern parts of England and Wales on Friday, but there looks to be a sting in the tail as winds change direction.

Thursday: A windy day, especially early on. Sunshine and blustery showers, some heavy with hail and thunder and lightning. Wintry on the tops too. Max 6°C

Friday: Storm Eunice is here. The latest data puts the storm slightly further south. This means lower wind gusts for the morning with the strongest gusts saved for the afternoon, with 70mph possible quite widely, as winds swing north-westerly. Another shift in its track is possible. An very unsettled day for us, which looks to start not too windy. Heavy rain followed by wintry showers and some more prolonged rain, sleet and snow later as winds veer north-westerly. Winds look to be at their strongest mid-afternoon. Max 7°C

Winds look to be at their strongest for us as they veer WNW/NW on the back edge of the low. Gusts to 75mph can not be ruled out.

Weekend: More wind and rain. Sorry.

Saturday: Further bouts of showers which could be wintry (hill-snow) and thundery at times. Remaining windy making it feel cold. Some of the showers falling as snow above 300M. Max 6°C

Sunday: Another very windy day, and don’t be surprised to see another named-storm, Storm Franklin, as we see more rain followed by showers across the region with strong and gusty winds; 50mph possible. Milder. Max 10°C

Outlook:  The unsettled weather will continue during the week after a respite on Monday, when it is looking drier with some bright spells thanks to a ridge of high pressure. Conditions look set to improve towards next weekend with high pressure trying to build in from the south-west of the UK. No sign of any below average temperatures. It’s starting to feel like Autumn lasts 6 months.

Follow me on Twitter at @ChadWeather for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks for reading.
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 16th of February 2022 at 9:10pm
Image: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Chilly with some sunshine before weekend rain – Thursday 10th February 2022 – Sunday 13th February 2022

Hi all,

More tabloid clickbait nonsense being printed this week. Decent snowfall to come in parts of Scotland over the next few days but we aren’t going to be ‘buried under 30cm’ of snow on my watch. If only.

I’m a snow-lover, and love frosty mornings and that crisp-feel to a winter’s day but we certainly had more snow when I was a lad, as well as colder nights. I know winter hasn’t finished with us yet but I’m actually starting to look forward to Spring now. Being able to get out in the garden, cutting the lawns and feeling some warmth from the sun can’t come quickly enough. Sunsets are now after 5pm. Springtime will soon be here.

Thursday: Colder air has now arrived from the northwest. Sunny spells with some wintry showers blown in on a brisk biting wind. These will fall as hail, sleet and snow above 250M. Harsh frost to come overnight. Max 5°C Min -4°C

Friday: A decent day with plenty of sunny spells after a very frosty and possibly foggy start. Lighter winds with the sun turning hazy later. Max 6°C Min 2°C

Weekend: High pressure slips away. Windy with periods of rain.

Saturday: A cold and bright start but cloud and wind increasing from the west quickly as rain moves in during the day and it becomes milder. Max 8°C Min 6°C

Sunday: Mild and staying unsettled with further rain or showers and windy. Max 10°C Min 5°C

Outlook: The westerly flow of wind and spells of rain or showers looks set to continue. At this stage no sign of any proper cold, a Beast from the East or sledge-able snowfall. I feel a chilly March could be on the cards.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 9th of February 2022 at 6:55pm.

Image: Rochdale canal (09/02/2022).

Short-lived Wintry Showers – Thursday 3rd February 2022 – Sunday 6th February 2022

Hi all,

The final winter month has arrived and still we wait for a proper cold spell which are becoming few and far between these days. January did have a few sunny days but equally overcast days with little eventful weather after a wet start.

We did manage to close out the month with a couple of named-storms but we missed the carnage which was mostly felt to our north and north-east where gusts of 80-90mph were recorded away from elevation.

As mentioned it was a wet start and also a wet final few days but overall we only saw 43% of the average rainfall last month. So as well as drier-than-average and it was milder with a lack of very cold spells and snowfall. What will February bring? Long-range models suggest drier-than-average again, although this is borderline with plenty of rain on the cards just to our northwest. Fine margins.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with some patchy rain during the morning. A few bright spells later and windy with 35mph gusts. Again, very mild for the time of year but change arrives overnight with a squally cold-front passing through the region during the early hours. Max 10°C

Friday: A weather-front earlier in the night will bring a much colder polar airflow with sunny spells and wintry showers with some sleet and snow. Expect hail and a chance of thunder and lightning. Feeling cold in a strong, gusty and biting wind. Max 5°C

Colder air arrives during the early hours of Friday.

Weekend: Milder once again.

Saturday: Slowly becoming milder and generally overcast with some patchy rain or drizzle. Max 8°C

Sunday: Heavy rain early followed by a few showers. Windy with 35-40mph gusts but remaining mild. Max 9°C

Outlook: High pressure close to the south of the UK, slipping a little further east, and rain-bearing fronts to the north-west means we will be sandwiched in the middle. Mostly cloudy days, staying mild for most with the threat of rain now and again. Chance it turns even milder later. The search for a decent cold spell continues. Snow at Easter no doubt.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and weather warnings.

January 2022 Stats

Max 13.6°C (1st)
Min -2.1°C (6th)
Av. 4.6°C
Wettest 11.2mm (8th)
Av. Humidity 88%
Av. Barometer 1024.8 hPa
Max Gust 41.4mph (31st)
Av. Wind Direction WSW
Rain 44.8mm (43% of average)
Rain Registered Days 18
Dry Days 13
Air Frosts 6
Snow Falling Days 5

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 2nd of February 2022 at 6:55pm.

Image: http://www.wxcharts.com

Finally some changes – Thursday 27th January 2022 – Sunday 30th January 2022

Hi all,

What a boring rut the weather has got itself into. We can deal with day after day of blue skies, which parts from the country have had; but for us it’s been overcast, dull and dank and even very cold for a couple of days. Finally, we have some changes on the way, by that I mean some sort of weather with a bit of mobility.

Thursday: After some overnight rain it will be a breezy day with some sunny spells and just an isolated shower or two. Milder than recently. Max 10°C

Some rain moves SE overnight Wednesday/Thursday

Friday: A bright start then cloud tending to increase from the west with a few spots of light rain into the evening. Windy. Max 10°C

Weekend: Very windy for a time.

Saturday: Cloudy with a band of rain moving south-east through the region, weakening as it does so. Very windy with local gale-force gusts. Mild but cooler later. Max 11°C

Gusty on Saturday with local gale-force winds

Sunday: Cool with some brightness but mostly cloudy. Rain looks set to arrive into the evening. Not as windy. Max 8°C

Outlook: More changeable going into February with some areas of rain from the west and occasionally windy. Looks chilly for a day or two otherwise temperatures around or just above average. No sign of significant cold or any snow event.

Follow me on Twitter @ChadWeather for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 26th of January 2022 at 9:15pm
Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com