Settled, warm at times, variable cloud and plenty of sunny spells. No heatwave expected for now.

Hi all,

No detailed weekly blog this week, just a quick summary, as I’m away relaxing on my holiday in sunny Corfu.

The overall picture for the next 7 days or so, is high pressure in charge but it looks likely that the position of the high will not favour a heatwave due to the airflow around it (i.e. we don’t drag up any heat from the South). That said, it will still be settled and warm at times with sunny spells on offer. Clear skies at night will allow for a few fresh mornings. Little to no rain expected. HIGH UV levels throughout.

A decent outlook.
Apart from the odd hill-shower it’s a very dry end to May & into early-June.
It looks like the lengthy settled and warm spell might break around the 4th/5th June.

Updates will continue as always on Twitter, @ChadWeather, so head over to there for your local daily forecasts.



Blog Issued: Wednesday the 24th of May 2023 at 7:56pm.

Images: & Weather&Radar app.

Thanks to @Andy666666 on Twitter for the featured image.

Slipping into a more settled and warmer spell – Thursday 18th May 2023 – Sunday 21st May 2023

Hi all,

I’ve played golf this week and it’s safe to say it’s drying up and quickly. May hasn’t been too bad so far and rainfall amounts are on 22.2mm (65% of the mid-month average) and with not much rain ahead, it’s going to be a dry month.

High pressure is set to mostly dominate our weather over the coming week. There will be a few weather-fronts moving south-east across the region but they will weaken as they come through the high and most of the rain-bearing clouds will stay to the north-west of the UK. This means we have a settled period of weather ahead and with the sun strong (UV 6) and very warm at this time of year; it’s going to make for some pleasant days indeed. But, no sign of a heatwave, despite what some of the media suggest. Not yet, anyway.

Thursday: Sunny spells for the morning but generally it will tend to cloud over for the afternoon. Most staying dry but the chance of a shower towards the Peak District. Max 16°C

Friday: Cloudy with some patchy rain moving south-east for the morning. Bright or sunny spells for the afternoon as the cold-front clears away with the odd shower. Max 16°C

Showery rain moves south-east on Friday morning.

Weekend: Warmer with some decent sunny spells. High UV levels.

Saturday: Dry with sunny spells developing. Some fair-weather cloud bubbling up during the day. Warmer. Max 19°C

Another 20°C on the cards this weekend?

Sunday: Hopefully more in the way of sunshine albeit perhaps hazy at times. Variable and light winds. Feeling very warm in the sunshine. Max 20°C

Outlook: Not much rain expected as high pressure stays close by. So apart from the odd shower we can expect plenty of warm sunny spells and some cool nights. Just the chance of it becoming even warmer towards next weekend. Not heatwave material just yet but keep your eye on the tweets.

Very little rain over the next 7 days.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.



Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 17th of May at 6:30pm.

Images: &

Briefly warmer but still no sign of an early taste of Summer – Thursday 11th May 2023 – Sunday 14th May 2023

Hi all,

What no Bank Holiday Monday. I was getting used to that! Also, no 20°C recorded yet this Spring. We got close on Sunday, with a high of 19.6°C at Chadderton HQ. Although Saturday has a squeak, the outlook suggests the wait goes on, but in previous years we’ve waited longer.

Date of first 20°C in the year…

2013: 6th May
2014: 17th May
2015: 4th June
2016: 8th May
2017: 22nd May
2018: 18th April
2019: 19th April
2020: 10th April
2021: 31st March
2022: 14th May
2023: ………

Don’t forget that the sun is now as strong as it is in late-July with UV levels approaching high. Don’t forget your sun-cream on not just sunny days but also bright days. You can always see the burntime on my hourly stats on Twitter @OldhamWxStats.

Thursday: A day of some bright spells and showers breaking out, some heavy and possibly thundery with hail. Max 16°C

Friday: High pressure starts to build. So it should be a mostly dry day with bright and sunny spells developing, after a cloudy start. Just the chance of the odd shower on the hills. A fresh north-easterly breeze picking up, becoming quite gusty, taking the edge off the temperature. Max 16°C

Weekend: Saturday looks best.

Saturday: Sunny spells developing and it should all-in-all be a nice day, especially the afternoon with lighter winds. Feeling warm and 20°C seems unlikely, but at this stage not out of the question. Max 18°C

Parts sheltered to the SW of Manchester have a chance of reaching 20°C on Saturday.

Sunday: High pressure will decline so we’re looking at a cloudier day in prospect, with winds now southerly, it will still feel reasonably warm. Rain likely overnight. Max 17°C

Outlook: Apart from a nice day on Tuesday, the week will be generally unsettled with showers, and temperatures below average, 13-16°C. A very warm summer-like spell is not likely for the foreseeable.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 10th of May 2023 at 6:35pm.

Beefy showers with a thundery mix and quite humid at times – Thursday 4th May 2023 – Bank Holiday Monday 8th May 2023

Hi all,

That’s two months of Spring done and it’s not exactly been a warm one. Disappointing to be fair and you would think by now we would have had, or due imminently, a spell of maximum temperatures into the 20s, but nope, nothing on the horizon. April did come out with below-average rainfall though.

The next 10 days look set to be dominated by mostly west or south-westerly winds, so moist air, a bit humid at times and spells of rain or showers. With the sun having some strength at this time of the year, unstable air means convection and showers brew which could be thundery with hail.

Thursday: Windy, gusting 30mph, with some pleasant sunny spells at times. UV levels medium. Cloud increasing into the evening with showery rain arriving from the south-west signalling a change to more unsettled weather. Max 16°C

Looking at quite a bit of rain, over the next 7 days. Total amounts will vary due to localised downpours.

Friday: An unsettled day with hefty showers breaking out just about anywhere. These will be thundery with a risk of hail and also slow-moving with less of a breeze. Low risk of localised flooding in any downpours. Max 15°C

Downpours on Friday. Chance of thunder & lightning with hail.

Weekend: Sunday likely to be the driest or should I say least wet.

Saturday: A dry start but mostly cloudy. Showers arriving late-morning, if not then into the afternoon, again possibly thundery and hanging around for most of the day. A little humid. Max 16°C

Sunday: Showers are expected for the morning but hopefully it will tend to become drier into the afternoon but stay mostly cloudy. Pleasant in any bright spells. Max 16°C

Bank Holiday Monday: A generally cloudy and dry morning with some brightness. Showery rain expected again as the day progresses. Max 17°C

Outlook: Little change. If anything it might stay on the cool side with temperatures struggling to the mid-teens. Still no sign of our first 20°C. It really has been a poor Spring on the thermometer.

Wet days ahead and disappointing temperatures.

April 2023 Stats

Max 17.3°C (29th)
Min 0.0°C (25th)
Av. 8.2°C
Wettest 9.2mm (10th)
Av. Humidity 77%
Av. Barometer 1017.1 hPa
Max Gust 38mph
Av. Wind Direction SE
Rain 56mm (89% of average)
Rain Registered Days 14
Dry Days 16

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 3rd of May 2023 at 5:50pm

Becoming milder but sunshine lacking – Thursday 27th April 2023 – Bank Holiday Monday 1st May 2023

Hi all,

It’s not been the best April when it comes to warmth with temperatures below-average. It’s the 4th coolest April looking back through the last 11 years of my data. We haven’t risen above 15°C yet.

At least the last week or so hasn’t been as wet as earlier in the month. Rainfall amounts are currently coming in at 86% of average.

The second half of April hasn’t been as wet as the first.

Thursday: A fresh start in places with sunny spells. Cloud thickening into the afternoon with rain eventually arriving into the evening, with some heavy bursts. Temperatures up a notch on recent days. Max 13°C

A wet Thursday evening is on the cards.

Friday: Early rain will fizzle away but it will remain cloudy. Hopefully some late-in-the-day sunshine to come. Milder. Max 15°C

Weekend: Feeling a little warmer but lacking in sunshine.

Saturday: A mostly cloudy day as we sit in a slack airflow in between weather systems. This means light winds hence the stubborn cloud. A few bright spells later will help to lift the temperatures but could spark isolated showers. Max 16°C

Sunday: Showers are expected to be more frequent in between mostly cloudy skies. Light winds mean any showers will be slow-moving. Max 15°C

Bank Holiday Monday: Occasional bright spells and showers. Bit more of a breeze. Max 14°C

Outlook: A tricky set up. A weak area of high pressure will be close by but not strong enough to bring dry and sunny conditions every day. More like variable cloud for most of the week, so brightness at a premium and some showers brewing up. Temperatures around average.

High pressure next week but it’s weak.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 26th of April 2023 at 5:30pm.

Rain to return then temperatures falling to below average – Thursday 20th April 2023 – Sunday 23rd April 2023

Hi all,

We’re halfway through Spring but some of the media outlets have started throwing clickbait articles out there for a mini-heatwave (they can’t happen, like a mini-tornado isn’t a thing) and 40°C temperatures this summer. Nothing but Jackanory for clicks. In truth, nobody knows what summer will bring, and temperatures reaching 40°C is about a 1% chance, so yes it’s possible but predicting what is coming in 4-5 days is hard enough let alone trying to say what summer will deliver, when we’re six weeks away from starting it, is just crazy. So you know the rule. Ignore and don’t click the link.

April can be a fickle month and we’ve certainly had some ups and downs already. Easter was nice, for most of it and we’ve had some decent sunny days but rain is never too far away. This current settled spell, albeit windy, had brought more welcome sunshine but again it’s not set to last, with rain returning before the weekend, then a cold northerly airflow drops the mercury into next week.

Thursday: A chilly start with a touch of ground-frost in the most sheltered of spots. Last of the sunny days with plenty on offer and remember it is now giving UV levels of 5, so don’t forget your suncream. It will again be windy, locally 30mph. Cloud will increase later into the evening. Pleasant where sheltered. Max 14°C

Friday: Cloud and a developing area of low pressure will bring rain. There will be the odd heavier burst and it will be showery at times. Feeling cooler with a fresh wind, again gusty. Max 10°C

A wet Friday on the cards as a low pressure begins to develop

Weekend: Not much to cheer about.

Saturday: With low pressure now in place it will be unsettled. Showers with some bright spells here and there. Not as windy as recent days if you’re looking for something to note as an improvement. Max 12°C

Sunday: Overall drier but it will still be cloudy with the odd area of patchy rain. Max 11°C

Outlook: Colder air will come down from the north during Sunday night leading to a chilly Monday with mostly cloudy skies. Tuesday sees some bright spells but cold with temperatures to stay in single-figures and the risk of a frost overnight is there. Similar on Wednesday before the temperature begins to recover during the latter stages of the week but it is looking to stay unsettled. The wait will be on for the next settled spell of warm sunshine and dry days.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.



Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 19th of April 2023 at 4:42pm.


Unsettled at first then much-improved and temperatures rise for a promising week – Thursday 13th April 2023 – Sunday 16th April 2023

Hi all,

As predicted we had a settled Easter and also much more sunshine than I thought. It wasn’t that warm on the thermometer but it was perfect during the day and the sun felt so warm. The sun is now as strong as late-August and suncream is needed if you don’t want to burn and are in the sun between 11am-3pm.

Our weather has now turned poor once again and it’s been a wet and windy week as well as being cooler as the Jet Stream drives weather systems across from the Atlantic.

But, good news, we have another settled spell on the way and with any luck temperatures could get close to 20°C. Only downside might be a nagging south-easterly or even easterly wind. Before this what do the next four days hold…..

Thursday: The low pressure of recent days, Storm Noa, is still affecting our weather. Feeling chilly with a brisk westerly wind and frequent showers. Windy with 30-35mph gusts especially in downpours. Chance of hail, and thunder and lightning. Max 9°C

The set-up on Thursday favours a very showery day.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a few showers. Not as cold and not as windy. Risk of some evening rain which will clear overnight. Max 11°C

Weekend: Getting milder and drier.

Saturday: Sunny spells to start then cloud building. It is likely to stay dry. Temperatures edging up. Max 13°C

Sunday: A mostly cloudy day with some bright spells later. A southerly wind lifting temperatures, a sign of things to come. Max 16°C

Outlook: High pressure to our north-east introducing a, gusty at times, breeze from the south-east. Sunny spells and a lot of dry weather for most of the week with temperatures lifting to 17-19°C, depending on the wind direction/position of the high pressure. If winds turn easterly then the west will be the warmest place to be. With clear spells at night it will be chilly at times.

I’m hopeful this decent weather will still be around for next weekend. First BBQ of the season?

Above average temperatures favourable next week.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday 12th April 2023 at 8:20pm.

A settled Easter but cloud to spoil the sunshine come the weekend and save those indoor chores for BHM – Thursday 6th April 2023 – Bank Holiday Monday 10th April 2023

Hi all,

What a lovely few days we had earlier this week. Frosty mornings then some welcome Spring sunshine. Perfect. The rain is back but not for long. The Easter Holiday is looking good enough but goes downhill into Bank Holiday Monday.

Thursday: Cloudy with patchy rain moving away early doors albeit slowly. Sunny spells then follow, with some showers in between, some heavy with a risk of thunder. Any showers should then ease leaving a drier afternoon with some bright spells before sunset. A cooler north-westerly breeze. Max 10°C

Good Friday: High pressure returns so a decent day is expected with plenty of pleasant sunshine and light winds after a misty start. Cloud increasing later in the day from the east. Max 12°C

Weekend: Cloud to spoil the sunshine.

Saturday: A misty start again with some low-cloud which is going to be stubborn to shift. This means a cloudier day with some bright or sunny spells eventually sneaking through into the afternoon. A little milder. Max 13°C

Sunday: Bright spells fading as cloud thickens. Feeling warmer where the sun pops out. It looks set to remain dry. Max 14°C

Bank Holiday Monday: Weather-fronts will slide in from the Atlantic and the high pressure will slip away. Cloudy with some rain expected followed by heavy showers. Max 12°C

Outlook: Little change into Tuesday/Wednesday but high pressure looks set to return slowly into the second half of the week but whether it’s full-on or just a ridge lasting a couple of days is yet to be decided.

March 2023 Stats

Max 14.1°C (30th)
Min -2.1°C (8th)
Av. 6.1°C
Wettest 16.6mm (13th)
Av. Humidity 83%
Av. Barometer 1007.3 hPa
Max Gust 34.5mph
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 120.6mm (145% of average)
Rain Registered Days 26
Dry Days 5

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.



Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 5th of April 2023 at 8:46pm.

More rain then a settled Easter? – Thursday 30th March 2023 – Sunday 2nd April 2023


Spring is here but temperatures have been struggling so far but at least it’s become less chilly this week and we made it into the mid-teens. But that said, the milder air comes with the added ingredient of wind and rain or even the odd thunderstorm.

Some media report 20°C for Easter but the latest suggests it’s more likely to be an average one with temperatures around normal but will high pressure make an appearance?

Meanwhile, how are the next four days looking?

Thursday: Mostly cloudy for the morning. Bright spells for the afternoon with showers developing, some heavy with a chance of hail and thunder. Showers less frequent to the west. Very mild and breezy. Max 15°C

A showery Thursday could produce a thunderstorm or two.

Friday: Cloudy with an area of low pressure affecting the south of the UK meaning it’s an unsettled day with patchy rain at times. Mild but temperatures down on recent days as winds swing north-easterly. Max 13°C

Weekend: Sunday looking the better day.

Saturday: Another cloudy day with rain or drizzle at times. Lighter winds with temperatures dropping away with a northerly airflow. Max 11°C

Sunday: Hopefully some breaks in the cloud allowing for a better day especially to the west. It should be mostly dry. Max 11°C

Outlook: Like last week Monday looks a good day with bright or sunny spells. It goes downhill once again Tuesday onwards with periods of showers or longer spells of rain. Staying mild. Easter weekend looking changeable for now but there are hints that high pressure will build in leading to a settled spell of weather but nothing notably warm.

High pressure to build over the UK for the Easter break? Fingers crossed.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 29th of March 2023 at 7:10pm.

Images: &

Showery with isolated thunderstorms then cooler – Thursday 23rd March 2023 – Sunday 26th March 2023

Hi all,

March is turning out to be a wet month and more rain, in the form of showers, to come over the coming days. After that, not much hope of a drier spell yet. It would be nice to slip in some Spring sunshine for a few days. UV levels are now rising and reached 3 today as the sun gains strength. Almost time for lunchtime sunbathing sessions, if and when, we enter a more settled period. For now, more water for the gardens and reservoirs.

Thursday: After a bright start heavy showers will brew and move up from the southwest. It will also be windy, 30mph gusts and some of the showers will be heavy with the chance of hail and thunder and lightning. Mild. Max 13°C

Isolated downpours on Thursday & Friday.

Friday: Similar day with scattered thundery showers developing and windy, especially gusty during downpours with localised 40-45mph possible. Max 12°C

Weekend: Colder airmass, eventually.

Saturday: A slack area of low pressure out west will bring a less windier day and a mostly cloudy picture. With winds more westerly or northwesterly at times it will be cooler. Scattered showers mean it’s unlikely to be a dry day. Max 10°C

Sunday: Breezy and some bright spells for the morning. Showers for the afternoon, the odd heavy one. Cooler again as winds turn northerly. As skies clear later it could be cold enough for a local air-frost but certainly a ground-frost. Max 9°C

It’ll turn colder on Sunday and it’ll last a couple of days before temperatures return to the mid-teens later next week.

Outlook: The unsettled theme continues into next week with plenty of cloud and showery rain at times. Cool at first but temperatures recovering into the mid-teens later in the week. It’s not a rise in temperature we want, it’s a few dry and brighter days but for now the wait continues.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.



Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 22nd of March 2023 at 8:30pm.

Images: &