Better weather on the horizon?  – Thursday 17th September 2026 – Sunday 20th of September 2026

Hi,

We are well and truly into autumn now and the rain keeps coming with a few drier slots in between. It has now rained every day in September bar three.

Rainfall is still needed further south in the UK to fill up the reservoirs and we are still below average here in the northwest but it would be nice for the rain to stop and we have a decent spell of weather before September ends. Looking ahead we could well see a short spell of warmer and drier weather with some welcome sunshine.

Thursday: Early rain will clear and then we should see some sunny spells for the rest of the morning and early afternoon. Later in the afternoon showers will feed in from the northwest. They should be reasonably scattered but catch one and it could be heavy. Max 16°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 35mph

Friday: It looks a windy day and there will be some sunny spells to start, but cloud will soon thicken and we can expect rain to arrive into the afternoon and especially so into the evening with some heavy bursts. Mild overnight. Max 16°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 30mph

More rain on Friday afternoon/evening

Weekend: Improvements and a little warmer.

Saturday: We should see the thermometer drop a couple of degrees and there will be some sunshine around, but I do expect it to be quite showery, especially during the morning with these showers slowly becoming less frequent into the afternoon. Windy. Max 19°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: I’m hopeful of there being more in the way of sunshine and any showers will be very well-scattered. Again it will be breezy and temperatures perhaps just back down a degree or so on Saturday. Max 17°C Min 13°C Max 20mph

Outlook: High pressure builds in and we can expect several days of warmer, drier and sunnier weather. How long this lasts is uncertain with the risk of showers returning by the end of the week. Temperatures are expected to be in the early twenties so it will feel very pleasant indeed.

High pressure and warmer air next week

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 16th of September 2026 at 6:35pm

A mixed bag with a brief warmer spell – Thursday 10th September 2026 – Sunday 13th September 2026

Hi all,

The spells of rain keep coming and it’s now rained every day so far in September and rained on the last 14 days out of 15. There is more rain to come but to be fair the outlook isn’t too bad and rainfall amounts won’t be as high as recently.

Rainfall amounts expected between now (Wednesday) and the start of Monday

There were signs of a few days of summer-like warmth returning but for now, any warmer air looks brief, very brief.

A bit warmer on Monday, perhaps lasting into Tuesday

Thursday: A cool start with some hazy bright spells in places. Clouds will soon thicken to bring some patchy rain later in the afternoon and then some heavier rain into the evening becoming breezy. Max 18°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

Rain later on Thursday

Friday: A cloudy start with a few showers to get out of the way first, but late-morning and into the afternoon will turn drier with sunny spells developing. Breezy at times. Clear spells overnight will lead to a chilly one. Max 19°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 20mph

A brief ridge of higher pressure for Friday

Weekend: Sunday looks best.

Saturday: A cloudy and windy day on Saturday but quite warm and muggy. It might start dry but patchy rain will arrive into the morning and pretty much last on and off during the day. Drier as we head towards evening. Max 18°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Mist and fog overnight Saturday, might be slow to clear in a few places as we head into Sunday but once it does, it should be a decent day with sunny spells developing and feeling warmer. Max 20°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: Reasonably warm on Monday but bright spells will fade with a few showers possible later. After that, it looks like we return to slightly unsettled conditions. Windy with spells of showers from the west and some chilly nights inland where skies clear and showers ease. No sign of any summer-like heat returning but maybe more in the way of sunshine as we head towards the weekend.

No heatwave on the way as we look at the max and min temperatures for Manchester over the next two weeks

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 9th of September 2026 at 6:50pm.

Images: http://www.weathermodels.com, http://www.theweatheroutlook.com and http://www.netweather.tv.

Autumn starts with more rain but will it settle down and we see some warmth return by mid-month? – Thursday 3rd September 2026 – Sunday 6th September 2026

Hi all,

Autumn has arrived and after a very dry summer August’s final week ended very wet and overall August saw 83mm of rain (44.2mm in the last 6 days). This was still just below average but it turned out to be the second wettest month of 2026. More rain on the way, and perhaps some unusually windy weather next week, but, surely there’s one more burst of warmth and a few days of sunshine before the nights draw in further and the talk turns to frosts.

2026 Stats
Summer 2026 Stata from the Met Office

Thursday: It’ll be a cloudy morning with some low-cloud and mist on the hilltops and also quite muggy. Any patchy rain should ease away and then it should be a drier day than recently with a few breaks in the cloud here and there. As we head towards evening clouds will thicken once again and rain will return. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: A wet start on Friday, but this cloud and rain should move away to the southeast and then it will be a decent day, especially during the afternoon, with sunny spells and drier conditions. It will be a little bit fresher and this will be most noticeable in the strong and gusty wind. Max 18°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 35mph

Weekend: Not a bad start then warmer with a risk of rain.

Saturday: Sunny spells and mostly dry with just the odd chance of a shower for most of the day and again quite breezy. Cloud will thicken into the afternoon and there is a chance of rain arriving late in the day. Max 18°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: It will be a warmer day and maybe quite muggy later but it will generally be a cloudy picture with some rain which is most likely to be out to the west and northwest. Breezy. Max 23°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 25mph

A brief ridge of higher pressure to start next week?

Outlook: A brief ridge of high pressure will bring a settled day on Monday and this hopefully will last into most of Tuesday. Later on Tuesday and into the midweek there is a lot of uncertainty but it looks like low pressure will come in from the west-southwest or northwest.

Different computer models have different areas of low pressure, with the one from the west-southwest being a deep low pressure which will bring some very windy conditions with gales and rain. As we head towards mid-month there were some signs of it settling down. At the moment this is too far away to confirm as the details are forever-changing, which is often the case when the weather is unsettled, so look out for updates on social media.

Potentially very windy (named storm?) next week but a lot of uncertainty surrounding this forecast
Storm Names for 2026-27 from the Met Office

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 2nd of September 2026 at 12pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & the Met Office.