Thursday 27th September 2018 – Sunday 30th September 2018

Hi all,

Official Autumn is now here and there were a few chilly days earlier this week. Monday morning started with a widespread ground-frost. Lows of 3°C were recorded and grass temperatures dropped to below freezing, -0.5°C. Still time for an Indian Summer but nothing in the immediate forecast.

Thursday: A cloudy morning but remaining dry. After a few warmer days, cooler air is on the way. Once this cloud clears later to a few sunny spells, that cooler airmass will arrive. Max 16°C

Friday: A fresh start and certainly a different feel to the weather with a northerly airflow. That said, a decent day ahead with plenty of sunshine and light winds. Max 13°C

Weekend: Mostly dry but cool.

Saturday and Sunday: Pretty much similar days. Plenty of cloud but some brightness at times, especially in eastern parts. Also, a little breezy and from a cool northwesterly direction. Remaining dry though, with high pressure close by. Max 12-13°C

Outlook: High pressure staying in charge and anchored to the west of the UK. This means north to northwesterly winds will flow across the region. Remaining cool with bright spells. Any thicker cloud could produce some drizzle, especially over the hills. Any clear spells overnight leading to localised ground-frost and misty mornings.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Forecast Issued at 4:25pm on Wednesday the 26th of September 2018.


Thursday 20th September 2018 – Sunday 23rd September 2018

Hi all,

So Autumn isn’t messing about. First the leftovers from ex-Hurricane Helene then Storm Ali. There is a chance we could see Storm Bronagh bring some stormy conditions to England and Wales this Sunday, assuming another storm isn’t named on Thursday night into Friday as then it would be Storm Callum. It’s all go at the moment.

Thursday: A cloudy start and briefly dry. Some patchy rain or drizzle will develop towards lunch. Into the afternoon the rain will really set in and become heavy and persistent lasting for the rest of the day. Localised flooding possible with some areas seeing up to two inches of rain. Yellow warning in place. Max 14°C

Yellow warning for heavy rain on Thursday

We could see another windy spell overnight into Friday. Another yellow warning is in place.

Warning for windy conditions overnight Thursday into Friday

Friday: Much cooler and fresher with strong west to northwesterly winds bringing frequent beefy showers. Possible hail and thunder. Max 13°C

Weekend: Saturday the calm before the storm?

Saturday: A brief ridge of high pressure with bring a calmer and drier day with bright spells. Thicker cloud during the evening bringing some light rain. Max 14°C

Sunday: Still uncertainty over this day. At the moment rain will spread in from the southwest and winds will freshen. Showers and brighter conditions later. If an area of low pressure develops, it could well be deep and with it bring very windy conditions. Yellow warning, at this moment, is in place. There is still chance that the low doesn’t develop and the rain stays away to our south. Watch this space. Max 14°C

Sunday’s warning has been issued early but remains uncertain

Outlook: Wind and rain clears early on Monday then the week should settle down with plenty of drier weather and sunny spells. Maximum temperatures in the early-teens so some chilly nights with a local ground frost in rural spots.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.



Forecast issued at 5:25pm on Wednesday the 19th of September.
Warnings: Met Office

Thursday 13th September 2018 – Sunday 16th September 2018

Hi all,

I’ve been working on some statistics for our Summers since 2013. Here are a few charts to compare 2018 to previous years. It shows how dry and warm Summer 2018 was.


Weather Analysis – Summers 2013-2018

I’ve been on a few walks recently to some of our local reservoirs/lakes. They are really low on water. Not surprising as Summer 2018 only had 43% of the average rainfall.

On to the forecast….

Thursday: A fresh westerly breeze. A bright start with some good spells of sunshine. Cloud increasing with just the chance of a shower or two later. Max 16°C

Friday: Mostly cloudy but dry to start. Rain pushing in from the west during the afternoon, turning showery later. Breezy. Max 15°C

Weekend: Some rain, mostly on Sunday morning.

Saturday: Bright spells for most of the day. Cloud thickening later with some rain likely overnight. Max 16°C

Sunday: Rain to start which will push away to the south-east into the afternoon. Brighter and hopefully sunnier skies to follow for the afternoon, leading to a nice end to the weekend. There is some uncertainty about the morning rain and how quickly it moves away so if you have anything planned, watch out for updates. Max 17°C 

Outlook: Becoming warmer into the early part of next week with some sunny spells and we might sneak back up to 20°C. From midweek a risk of rain returns from the west as the Jet Stream becomes lively again and temperatures will become cooler.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.


Forecast Issued at 7:55pm on Wednesday the 12th of September 2018

Thursday 6th September 2018 – Sunday 9th September 2018

Hi all,

Well that’s it, summer is over. And although August was a little disappointing sunshine-wise, it was a fantastic summer. The Met Office confirmed this week that England had its hottest summer ever! It was also very dry with all months bringing us below average rainfall. I will get round to producing some stats for Summer 2018 and compare it to previous years. My guess is September will be about average. Our reservoirs certainly need rain.

Thursday: It looks like low pressure will develop and take control of our weather for a few days. So, after early sunshine we can expect showers developing,  some heavy and cooler. Max 15°C

low pressure

Low pressure close by Thursday-Saturday

Friday: Cloudy with some sunny spells. Initially it looked like a very wet day but the thoughts are that we will escape the rain (it will be to our north-east) for most of the day. Showers arriving late-evening and overnight. Max 15°C

Weekend: Sunday looks best.

Saturday: Showery rain during the morning clearing leading to some bright spells later on. Max 16°C

Sunday: The low will start to fill allowing some drier weather to take hold. Still a risk of showers but mainly to our north-west and especially in the morning. Feeling a little warmer with sunny spells. Max 18°C

Outlook: Breezy with rain in north-western parts of the UK. Drier and sunnier to the south-east. We’re sandwiched in between so drifting in and out of both conditions. Temperatures about average.

August 2018 Stats

Max 25.6°C (5th)
Min 6.8°C (30th)
Av. 15.4°C
Wettest 9mm (26th)
Windiest 28mph
Rain 48.4mm (only 53% of average)
Rain Days 17
Dry Days 14

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for updates.


Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 5th of September at 10:15am.