Hi all,

The unsettled theme will continue over the coming days. Ex-hurricane Melissa will affect the Jet Stream next week (no doubt the media will pick up on this). No sign of any wintry weather, just mild at times and wet spells for the foreseeable.

Thursday: A chilly start with perhaps a few localised areas of mist and fog and ground-frost. It should be a decent day for most of it, but cloud will thicken into the afternoon and evening after a morning of sunny spells. Rain will arrive before the end of the day and also into the evening. It will become quite windy and also be turning milder. Max 11°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 30mph

Friday: Rain will have gone through the region overnight, always a bonus to have rain overnight rather than during the daytime. That said, there will be a few showers around as well as sunny spells. These showers more likely later in the day spreading up from the southwest with the odd heavy one and perhaps a rumble of thunder. Winds now coming from a warmer direction. Max 15°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: Cooler with rain or showers to dodge.

Saturday: There’s likely to be some rain around during the morning which will turn showery into the afternoon. It will tend to be drier during the evening if you’re heading to a local bonfire, but I cannot rule out showers continuing into the evening. Cooler.  Max 11°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: Sunday looks a better day, bright spells and a bit of a lull from recent days. So not as windy but still breezy and just a shower or two. Max 10°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: Unfortunately, it does look like the Jet Stream will remain active next week so we can expect a mixture of unsettled conditions with rain at times and a few areas of low pressure bringing this rain and wind. But also, a few calmer spells in between with bright spells and a few showers. So similar to what we’ve had over the last 2 weeks. The remnants of ex-hurricane Melissa will get picked up by the Jet Stream and this will develop into a low pressure system coming in from the west, but at this stage it looks likely to track towards Iceland and northwest Scotland early in the week. 

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 29th of October 2025 at 6:43pm

Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com, Met Office and the National Hurricane Center.

Hi all,

Another named-storm will affect the UK on Thursday, this time named by Meteo France. At the time of writing there is still a little bit of uncertainty on its track. What does this mean for us?

We will see some rain from the low pressure system, as its northwestern edge affects the region. As the low starts to pull away, we will also see an increase in wind speed, nothing unusual for the time of year with winds gusting to around 30 to 40mph. Most of the rain will soon turn showery and with the low pressure moving away into the North Sea, this means a colder northerly airflow will slowly set in during the days that follow.

Thursday: Heavy rain early on, clearing as Storm Benjamin moves east. Winds strengthen from the northwest with showers. Max 10°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 35mph

Friday: Breezy with sunshine and scattered showers, some heavy. Overnight may bring a ground-frost in sheltered parts. Max 10°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 20mph

Saturday: Strong northerly winds will make it feel cold despite sunny spells. A few showers possible but these decaying overnight where it will turn cold with a touch of frost in places. Max 9°C Min 2°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: Bright start, then cloud and showery rain from the northwest. Still breezy. Milder air returning. Max 10°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: High pressure will settle the weather down for a couple of days before it turns unsettled at times again and much milder. Temperatures could well make the mid-teens.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 22nd of October 2025 at 6:30pm

Images: ITV Weather, http://www.wxcharts.com & The Met Office.

Hi all,

Not much has been happening this week as we have been stuck under a large area of high pressure. Unfortunately it wasn’t a sunny high pressure as cloud has become trapped underneath the pressure pattern in what’s known as anticyclonic gloom.

At least there have been some inversions around leading to sunnier skies if you venture high up.

It’s been a “dry” 10 days now with rainfall limited to patchy drizzle. This break has been welcomed after a very wet September and start to October. That said, we are still well below average for the year and under drought conditions.

Thursday & Friday: Another dry day with plenty of cloud. Overcast conditions widespread once again, but there could well be some bright spells in western areas for a few lucky ones and also there could be a few bright spells peeking out of the cloud on the highest hilltops. Temperatures similar to the last few days. Max 13°C Min 6°C

Weekend: Changes slowly arriving.

Saturday: We will start to pick up a southeasterly breeze now and this will help to break up the doom and gloom. Another dry day with sunny spells developing. Max 14°C Min 8°C

Sunday: The wind will continue to increase but this won’t mean more sunshine. In fact weather-fronts and low pressure will be approaching from the west. Cloud will thicken and we can expect some patchy rain to start to move in. Timings are a little uncertain at this stage but rain most likely from early-afternoon. Feeling cool in the gusty wind. Max 14°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: More of an unsettled mobile weather pattern with the Jet Stream across the UK. Showers or spells of rain with drier and brighter skies in between. Temperatures hovering in the early-teens with no sign of anything significant cold (ignore the media) or warm. Looks like no Indian Summer spell this year.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks, as always for reading, and if you can, please repost it on X/Bluesky to help others plan their weekend.

Ta,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of October at 12:42pm
Images: BBC Weather (and the inversion below the hills is off X. Apologies but I can’t remember who I got it from).

Hi all,

After a very wet September and start to October, high pressure is returning from the west. Initially the high will have some weather-fronts coming over the top of it which will bring frustrating cloud amounts. 

Thursday: Any early brightness will fade and cloud will spread in leading to a dull day and feeling a little cool especially in the breeze. Max 16°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: Hopefully, more in the way of brightness as the dry weather, with a slight breeze, continues. Cloud will be hard to predict though. Any clear skies overnight leading to patchy mist and fog. Max 16°C Min 7°C

Weekend: Light winds and settled.

Saturday: It should be a nice day with sunny spells after the morning’s mist and fog clears. Light winds aiding mist and fog to form again overnight. Max 16°C Min 8°C

Sunday: Very similar but a notable change to an easterly wind, could drag in some cloud from the North Sea later in the day. Max 16°C Min 8°C

Outlook: High pressure firmly in charge but with a northeasterly or easterly setup, it could well be a disappointing few days with cloud dragged in from the east being trapped under the high pressure leading to cool-feeling days and some localised drizzle. We could well see some inversions in place, so heading up high to see the sunshine could well be the plan.

Temperatures remain similar. Later in the week a shift to a southeasterly airflow and drier air will hopefully bring more in the way of sunshine as the high pressure stays firm and the lack of significant rain continues.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 8th October 2025 at 1:58pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.weathermodels.com

Hi all,

September turned out to be a very wet month, surpassing January as the wettest month of the year. We are still below average in terms of rainfall for the duration of the year, but with further rain on the way and the autumn and winter months to come, it’ll be interesting to see how close we get to the yearly average after some very dry months.

Obviously you will see a lot of over-the-top media reporting on the weather that’s due this weekend. A deep area of low pressure will be tracking to the north west of the UK and it has been named by the Met Office as Storm Amy. The first named-storm of the season. We will miss the worst of the winds but there is a warning out for western parts of the region where we could see gusts to 60mph. This is nothing unusual for this time of year.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a few bright spells here and there and winds increasing. It’ll remain dry for most of the daylight hours with rain, eventually arriving late evening and becoming heavy from the west. Winds will also increase and becoming gusty overnight. Max 18°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 35mph

Friday: Any early rain will clear, then a day of bright spells and a few showers and then the clouds will increase again later in the day. Late evening and overnight the wind will increase and the rain will become heavy. Max 17°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 30mph

Weekend: Cooler, windy and wet at times.

Saturday: Storm Amy will firmly be in place now, so after early rain clears we can expect a day of sunshine and very blustery showers. The westerly wind will make it feel cool too and temperatures will be lower than recently. Max 14°C Min 7°C Max Gusts 50mph

Sunday: Still a windy day but not as windy or as wet as yesterday. Mostly cloudy skies with just a few showers. Max 15°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 30mph

Outlook: Still remaining a little unsettled on Monday and Tuesday with mostly cloudy skies and just a few showers or some patchy rain around. Not all weather models agree but there are signs of high pressure trying its best to build in from the west from midweek onwards. So fingers crossed for this happening, so the weather settles down with sunny spells and some chilly nights with fog.

Thanks as always, for stopping by to read, I hope you find these blogs useful.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 1st of October 2025 at 6:31pm

Images: BBC Weather & http://www.wxcharts.com