Hi all,

June, UK-wise, is set to be the warmest (hottest!) on record despite the month ending with temperatures down and fresher days around. I’ll post some statistics next week to see how it fairs locally to the previous Junes.

There are winners and losers when it’s hot and humid. Some of you love it but personally it’s too much, especially when trying to sleep. So I’m grateful of the recent fresher conditions, although some days have still been muggy despite the cloud and drizzle. I do miss the sun however and that’s making a return on Thursday.

There isn’t any sign over the next two weeks of a heatwave returning, but, long-term model runs suggest a warming mid-July; but of course we take that with a pinch of salt at this range. Meanwhile, next week will see the Jet Stream bringing weather systems in off the Atlantic so rain will be around at times.

Remember, when sunny, the UV levels are still HIGH or VERY HIGH.

Thursday: A fresh start but a sunny one. Fair-weather cloud will bubble up during the day with just the low risk of an isolated shower. Quite breezy and feeling fresher after a couple of days of muggy air. Max 18°C Min 10°C

Friday: Bright start then cloud will once again thicken and spread in from the west. Patchy drizzle is likely later in the afternoon with patchy rain arriving into the evening. Turning reasonably humid once again, therefore a warm night. Max 18°C Min 15°C

Weekend: Low pressure drives the weather.

Saturday: Low pressure will bring a day of bright spells and showers. It will be windy with 30mph gusts. Later in the day there could well be a more prolonged spell of rain. Fresher. Max 18°C Min 12°C

Sunday: Windy once more, locally gusting to 35mph. Mostly cloudy with the odd shower. Max 17°C Min 12°C

Outlook: Little change into the start of the week and that looks to be the norm for the first 10 days of July; windy, showery and temperatures about average or below. There is some support in the models for the latter part of the 2nd week of July to turn very warm or hot once again. This is certainly not set in stone and as always subject to change at this range but as you’ve seen it’s prompted the media to start posting about 40°C and days upon days of a heatwave. This for now, is nothing but clickbait.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 28th of June 2023 at 5:40pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

Despite the heatwave ending it’s stayed quite humid at times and temperatures have remained into the 20s with some very warm sunny spells; but importantly, we’ve had some welcome rainfall, with some areas seeing up to 2 inches from the torrential thundery downpours.

One particularly notable thunderstorm pushed through the region during the early hours of Sunday morning, which produced some superb thunderbolts.

Thursday: A cloudy start then some very warm sunny spells will break through. Clouds will bubble up and there will be a thundery shower or two, more so in eastern parts. Temperatures up a notch on Wednesday. Warm night ahead. Max 24°C Min 16°C

Friday: We introduce some moisture on Friday as a weather-front, albeit weakening, comes in from the west. So a mostly cloudy day after a bright start. Some light rain possible, but most look dry, a little breezy and we ramp up the humidity. A very muggy night to come despite the day being cooler on the thermometer. Max 22°C Min 17°C

Weekend: Very warm & humid. Thundery Sunday afternoon?

Saturday: A cloudy start is expected but cloud should break and sunny spells appear from the south. Temperatures will rocket and it will feel very warm to hot. There will be a refreshing and often gusty wind. Another uncomfortable night for sleeping. Max 25°C Min 17°C

Sunday: Breezy but a mostly sunny morning. Cloud is expected to increase into the afternoon with showers breaking out as another weather-front comes in from the west. A bit more of a kick to this one, so some lively showers/thunderstorms could be on the cards. A little cooler, eventually. Max 23°C Min 14°C

Outlook: High pressure to our south-west and low pressure to our north-west looks the likely set-up meaning we will pick up a westerly airflow, perhaps north-westerly at times, allowing maximum temperatures to slip away to around 20°C. Winds will be quite gusty. Bright or sunny spells expected as well as a few showers, which could be beefy.

More prolonged spells of rain are possible later in the week as the Jet Stream takes control of our weather. Thankfully it won’t be anywhere near as muggy, which will be especially noticeable at night.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 21st of June 2023 at 8:39pm.

Images: http://www.wetterzentrale.de

Hi all,

It’s now 20 days without measurable rainfall and any rainfall expected over the next ten days will come in the form of showers, which can be very localised, so that count will continue for some. Our weather is changing as we enter the weekend and you’ll certainly feel the difference, especially at night.

HIGH UV levels (7-8) through the forecast….

Thursday: Early cloud will again take time to clear away from west to east. Some sunny spells into the afternoon and still that steady north-easterly breeze. Max 19°C Min 8°C

Friday: Plenty of sunshine on offer again with a breeze but it will again start cloudy. Starting to feel a little more humid later. Becoming windier with 30mph gusts, as the isobars tighten, signalling change. Max 21°C Min 9°C

Weekend: Muggy with the risk of thunderstorms. Warmer nights noticeable.

Saturday: The recent high pressure will now have slipped away to the north-east and allow low pressure to push a little closer to the UK. This will also bring us a south-easterly/southerly airflow and introduce a much different feel to the weather, especially at night as the humidity rises. Sunny spells for the morning with cloud bubbling up into the late-afternoon and evening as thundery showers pose a risk from the south-west. Breezy. Max 25°C Min 14°C

Sunday: Bright spells and scattered thunderstorms. Muggy and not the best for sleeping . Max 24°C Min 15°C

Outlook: Staying warm, temperatures nicely into the 20s, with some sunny spells but with slightly instable air still in place, showers, thundery at times, are possible, but these will be hit-and-miss.

May 2023 Stats

Max 22.1°C (27th)
Min 6.2°C (4th)
Av. 13.0°C
Wettest 6.6mm (11th)
Av. Humidity 76%
Av. Barometer 1024.4 hPa
Max Gust 32.2mph
Av. Wind Direction NNE
Rain 23.6mm (39% of average)
Rain Registered Days 9
Dry Days 22

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th of June 2023 at 9:40pm
Images: Met Office | http://www.meteologix.com | wxcharts.com