Long overdue! Warm sunshine to finally return this weekend – Thursday 31st August 2023 – Sunday 3rd September 2023

Hi all,

That’s it. Summer turns to Autumn on Friday, meteorologically-speaking of course. We’ve had, at least 5 or 6 weekends in-a-row with rain or showers and low pressure nearby or on top of the UK. This weekend is looking different as finally, a high pressure builds in. No summer heatwave but pleasant enough.

Thursday: A misty and chilly start but a nice one with sunny skies. Cloud will soon thicken from the south-west with patchy rain and drizzle. A little breezy. Max 17°C Min 13°C

Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, some heavy. These ease later in the day as high pressure begins to build and the Jet Stream splits. A little warmer. Max 19°C Min 13°C

Weekend: Best weekend for a long while but cloud could well be stubborn in a few places early on.

Nice to see you: High pressure arrives this weekend

Saturday: Cloudy to start in a few spots after early mist lifts. Sunny spells developing. Feeling warm, UV levels are still medium, in the sunshine but cool if you hang onto cloud for part of the day. Max 21°C Min 10°C

Sunday: Little change. Enjoy the warmth and sunny spells whilst you can. We’ve been starving of a decent weekend for a good while. Max 22°C Min 10°C

Outlook: High pressure stays around as the kids return to school. No surprise! So plenty of dry weather with sunny spells. Temperatures close to 20°C so no early Autumn heatwave planned. Still, some settled weather at last. Later in the week, towards the weekend, showers could develop as the high pressure beginning to decline.

Goodbye: The high looks set to move away to the NE next weekend allowing showers to return.

Follow @ChadWeather on X for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always for popping by to read my weekly blog.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 30th August 2023 at 3:20pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Little Change – I guess we’ll all be hoping for an Indian Summer – Thursday 24th August 2023 – Bank Holiday Monday 28th August 2023

Hi all,

After two weeks off, COVID and a holiday to sunny Bognor Regis, the weekly blog is back. I wish I was the bearer of good news, a late summery burst of warmth and sunshine, but unfortunately not. The difference this week between the NW of England and the SE of England was again plain to see. Temperatures into the mid-20s down there, and although we did see temperatures into the early-20s we continued to see rainfall.

It’s been warmer than average across most of Europe and in SE England so far this week

Thursday: Low pressure to the north of the UK. Overall it will be cooler with sunny spells and a few showers once a band of cloud and some rain moves south-east. A little breezy. That said, it will still be pleasant in any sunshine later. Max 18°C Min 11°C

Low pressure bringing showers over the coming days

Friday: Sunny spells and showers. A breeze, notably from the north-west or north introducing fresher air. Temperatures not much different but dew point values will drop making it feel cooler at night. Max 17°C Min 8°C

Weekend: Plenty of brightness but showers still present.

Total rainfall (mm) expected over this forecast period. Most of the rain coming in the form of showers.

Saturday: The low pressure will drift away to the east, ever so slowly, and with high pressure to the west this will kill off some of the showers, especially later, but they will still be around with the odd heavy one. Sunny spells in between. Max 17°C Min 9°C

Sunday: More in the way of cloud with a few showers. Temperatures down a little. Max 16°C Min 10°C

Bank Holiday Monday: A dry morning and hopefully we hold onto this into the early-afternoon before cloud thickens and light rain/drizzle arrives on a milder airflow. Max 17°C Min 11°C

Showery rain on Bank Holiday Monday might hold off until later in the day

Outlook: Little change. No late summer heat, mostly cloudy with showers. Next weekend could see more in the way of sunshine with a brief area/ridge of high pressure but don’t hold your breath. Indian Summer anyone?

Follow @ChadWeather on X (formerly Twitter) for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 23rd of August 2023 at 12:58pm.
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Changeable and still generally unsettled after the wettest July ever but hope on the horizon – Thursday 3rd August 2023 – Sunday 6th August 2023

Hi all,

Good riddance to July. What a truly dreadful month. The stats say it all.

Preston managed 302% of the July average rainfall whereas for us it was 232%. It was more like Autumn with numerous areas of low pressure powered by the Jet Stream and this is clearly shown with the average pressure reading.

Stats from my weather station in Chadderton – only 4 dry days & a deluge
Stats from the Met Office – highlights NW England well as one of the soggy spots.
Sunshine stats from the Met Office.
Temperature stats from the Met Office.
Wind stats from the Met Office.
UK mean temperature (July) stats from the Met Office.
Met Office quote regarding NW England’s wettest July ever.

Thursday: The low that brought Wednesday’s rain will have moved away to the east allowing a cooler N-to-NW’ly airflow develop across the region. This will drag down some scattered showers, some heavy. Windy at times with sunny spells in between. Max 18°C Min 11°C

Friday: A similar day but with slightly less windy conditions and showers eventually fading and being confined to eastern parts. Max 17°C Min 10°C

Weekend: Details a little uncertain.

Saturday: It was looking like another wet weekend day with low pressure arriving, but, the latest suggests that this will now slip south of us. Therefore the current thinking is bright spells and thundery showers and particularly cool and windy. With details uncertain for Saturday, look out for updates on Twitter. Max 14°C Min 9°C

Saturday could be a washout. All depends where this low tracks.

Sunday: A strong and gusty westerly wind transporting in another scattering of showers, perhaps heavy with hail and thunder. Max 16°C Min 11°C

Outlook: The first few days sees little change but then signs are there for high pressure to build in the Atlantic then move across the UK. This will bring drier and sunnier conditions, something we haven’t seen for a long time. The issue is, this looks like it will only last 3-4 days at best before we return to an unsettled theme. That said, sometimes a high pressure can really build and lock itself upon us for a while, so fingers crossed we see something we can call summer again. Depending on how long the high can last and what direction the wind flows from, will determine how warm we’ll get. Watch this space.

High pressure on the way?

July 2023 Stats

Max 26.1°C (7th)
Min 8.8°C (25th)
Av. 15.6°C
Wettest 27.2mm (23rd)
Av. Barometer 1009.5 hPa
Max Gust 30mph
Av. Wind Direction WSW
Rain 205.2mm (232% of average)
Rain Registered Days 27
Dry Days 4

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 2nd of August 2023 at 10am.
Images: Met Office & http://www.wxcharts.com