Changeable for now but summery conditions to return as we move through the first week of August? – Thursday 31st July 2025 to Sunday 3rd August 2025

Hi all,

After a few days with patchy rain and some showers, the week ahead continues in a similar theme with no heatwave returning just yet. Best day of the weekend looks like Saturday.

There are signs of something more unsettled early next week then hopefully after that summer-like conditions return.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy to start, with a few showers in the south and west. These will move away quickly and then it will be a day of bright spells and a few scattered showers with more in the way of sunshine later in the day. Quite a keen northwesterly breeze. Max 20°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: Bright or sunny spells and the odd shower. A north to northwesterly airflow so not as muggy. Max 19°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Fresher air on Friday.

Weekend: Sunnier on Saturday.

Saturday: Mostly dry with plenty of sunny spells developing. Again, a fresh breeze and still the low chance of an isolated shower early on. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: Any bright spells soon fading as cloud thickens from the northwest bringing a spell of rain, some heavy which will turn patchy after midday. Feeling more humid once again. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 15mph

Muggy again with rain on Sunday.

Outlook: At this stage Monday and into Tuesday looks unsettled with details uncertain. After that high pressure should build in bringing warmer sunnier days but how long it lasts is the question.

For a few days now, there have been hints at quite an active low pressure system for Monday and Tuesday. Different computer models suggest different scenarios and this is still the case. So look out for updates on X and Bluesky.
High pressure to arrive in just under a week’s time?

Thanks for reading as always.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for updates and warnings.

Cheers, 
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 30th of July 2025 at 6:50pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Warm and humid at times with spells of showers or rain from time-to-time – Thursday 17th July 2025 – Sunday 20th July 2025

Hi all,

No sunny heatwave over the coming days but temperatures will be into the early-20s but as well as feeling muggy there will be some rain in the mix too.

After an unsettled spell, I’m hopeful (but it’s now looking increasingly unlikely) that an area of high pressure will be close by to keep our weather a bit more settled into next week with temperatures expected to return to normal.

Tuesday was a very wet day compared to recent times with 17.8mm falling at Chadderton HQ making it the wettest day since January the 5th. Just what the gardens needed after months of below-average rainfall.

Warm and muggy again with some parts of the region seeing temperatures close to 25°C over the next couple of days and with 30°C returning to the SE.

Thursday: Humid on Thursday and a cloudy morning as a weakening band of rain and drizzle moves through. Into the afternoon it will slowly become brighter and the sunshine could set off a few localised hefty showers. Warm overnight. Max 22°C Min 15°C

Friday: Very warm with sunny spells but also the chance of an isolated shower, especially during the morning. Another muggy one. Max 24°C Min 16°C

Weekend: Feeling close and wet at times.

Saturday: Some uncertainty for Saturday’s forecast. At this stage we could see an area of low pressure drift up from the south. It will be a warm day but after any brightness during the morning cloud will thicken and rain or thundery showers will spread up from the south. Max 23°C Min 15°C

Uncertainty for Saturday afternoon as some models suggest heavy thundery rain from an area of low pressure yet some suggest the rain to be more showery in nature.

Sunday: A day of bright spells and showers which could be thundery and increase in frequency later in the day. Still warm especially overnight. Max 23°C Min 15°C

Outlook: It did look like an area of high pressure will ridge in from the southwest as the week progresses, but now it looks like it could remain unsettled as the high can’t push in and the jet stream brings in occasional showery rain from the west. Hard to pin down any details at this stage.

Jet Stream in control next week?

Thanks for reading as always.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 16th of July 2025 at 6:30pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com & http://www.netweather.tv

Love it or loathe it. It’s time for a heatwave as temperatures are set to exceed 30°C – Thursday 10th July 2025 – Sunday 13th July 2025

Hi all,

Personally, I’m not a fan once temperatures start to get into the mid-20s or beyond. Obviously I’m talking about this country where heat is usually accompanied by high dew points leading to humid conditions and uncomfortable nights trying to get to sleep.

I’ll be keeping an eye on the dew points and the humidity over the course of the heatwave, as it’s likely that the first couple of days will not be as muggy as you would expect. As the temperature rises day-on-day and the nights become warmer and the heatwave starts to reach its latter stage, it is likely that the humidity and dew point values will rise which some people will find unpleasant.

If you love a heatwave and hot conditions with plenty of sunny spells, then this forecast is for you.

My poll on X suggests it’s a split of love it or loathe it

Thursday: A heatwave is not declared until we have three consecutive days of 25°C or above. So technically the heatwave will not be confirmed until Saturday, but because we are confident that temperatures will exceed the threshold then today is the first day of the heatwave which is expected to last 5 days. Mostly light winds. Very warm sunny spells and not too humid for now. Max 26°C Min 15°C

Friday: Hot and sunny with light and variable winds. Max 30°C Min 17°C

Weekend: A scorcher.

Parts of NW England look set to be one of the hottest parts of the UK during the peak of this heatwave. 31-33°C possible.

Saturday: Another hot or very hot and sunny day. Hopefully a little bit of a breeze into the afternoon. A very low chance of an isolated thunderstorm but it seems highly unlikely. A warm night for sleeping. Starting to become more humid. Max 32°C Min 18°C

Sunday: Rinse and repeat for Sunday. If any difference perhaps the breeze will have picked up a little bit which will bring a bit of relief from a very hot day. Again, a very low risk of a shower on the hills. Fans on full blast for bedtime. Max 31°C Min 19°C

High pressure means dry conditions over the next 4-5 days with little to no rainfall
Warm nights to come

Outlook: The heat could eventually trigger some localised thundery downpours on Monday but this could well be delayed until Tuesday such is the uncertainty at this stage. But what looks certain is that the heatwave threshold will end with cooler temperatures arriving on Tuesday but still humid. After that the week looks warm, early-20s, muggy and with bright spells and heavy thundery showers.

The heatwave could well break with some thundery downpours later on Monday or more likely into Tuesday/Wednesday.

Follow @ChadWeather on X for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always for reading.

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 9th of July 2025 at 5:30pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

A decent couple of days before low pressure arrives for the weekend – Thursday 3rd July 2025 – Sunday 6th July 2025

Hi all,

As mentioned last week we didn’t experience a heatwave across the majority of Northwest England this week. We actually only saw one day exceed 25°C as the majority of the heat plume was reserved for more southern and eastern parts of England.

That said, it’s been uncomfortably muggy and hard to get to sleep at night, even with fans on in the bedroom. Thankfully a cold-front has now brought fresher air from the west and the evenings, for now, will be a bit more pleasant when turning in for the night.

Make the most of the next couple of days as we’ll see plenty of sunshine on offer and more pleasant temperatures but unfortunately the weekend is looking unsettled with low pressure in charge. Also with a lot more moisture in the air, the dew point will increase and again it will become quite humid.

Thursday: Windy at times but plenty of sunny spells. Can’t rule out an isolated shower. Temperatures around average so feeling pleasant in the sunshine, especially without the humidity. Max 20°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: A similar day. Plenty of sunny spells, mainly dry, just the outside chance of a shower but the risk is low and another breezy one. Cloud will begin to thicken towards evening and patchy rain will arrive and a more humid airmass will set in overnight. Max 21°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Rain at times but some drier spells.

Saturday: The morning looks cloudy with patchy rain. In the afternoon we might see a few bright spells develop, as the wind increases breaking the cloud up, but we can still expect some showers. Max 19°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: The second half of the weekend looks like a day of bright spells and showers after a mostly cloudy start. Again, a breezy one and temperatures slightly below average. Max 18°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Low pressure to bring some unsettled weather this weekend

Outlook: Another showery day on Monday and then the following few days seem a bit of a mixed bag. There’ll be high pressure to the southwest of the UK and low pressure or bands of showers to the northwest. We will be sandwiched in between, so we can expect bright spells and equally some showers. Temperatures below average until later in the week when they should return to the early twenties with some welcome sunshine returning in time for the weekend. No sign of another heatwave across our region just yet.

Cooler-than-average early next week
Mixed bag next week

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 2nd of July 2025 at 2:40pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com.