Love it or loathe it. It’s time for a heatwave as temperatures are set to exceed 30°C – Thursday 10th July 2025 – Sunday 13th July 2025

Hi all,

Personally, I’m not a fan once temperatures start to get into the mid-20s or beyond. Obviously I’m talking about this country where heat is usually accompanied by high dew points leading to humid conditions and uncomfortable nights trying to get to sleep.

I’ll be keeping an eye on the dew points and the humidity over the course of the heatwave, as it’s likely that the first couple of days will not be as muggy as you would expect. As the temperature rises day-on-day and the nights become warmer and the heatwave starts to reach its latter stage, it is likely that the humidity and dew point values will rise which some people will find unpleasant.

If you love a heatwave and hot conditions with plenty of sunny spells, then this forecast is for you.

My poll on X suggests it’s a split of love it or loathe it

Thursday: A heatwave is not declared until we have three consecutive days of 25°C or above. So technically the heatwave will not be confirmed until Saturday, but because we are confident that temperatures will exceed the threshold then today is the first day of the heatwave which is expected to last 5 days. Mostly light winds. Very warm sunny spells and not too humid for now. Max 26°C Min 15°C

Friday: Hot and sunny with light and variable winds. Max 30°C Min 17°C

Weekend: A scorcher.

Parts of NW England look set to be one of the hottest parts of the UK during the peak of this heatwave. 31-33°C possible.

Saturday: Another hot or very hot and sunny day. Hopefully a little bit of a breeze into the afternoon. A very low chance of an isolated thunderstorm but it seems highly unlikely. A warm night for sleeping. Starting to become more humid. Max 32°C Min 18°C

Sunday: Rinse and repeat for Sunday. If any difference perhaps the breeze will have picked up a little bit which will bring a bit of relief from a very hot day. Again, a very low risk of a shower on the hills. Fans on full blast for bedtime. Max 31°C Min 19°C

High pressure means dry conditions over the next 4-5 days with little to no rainfall
Warm nights to come

Outlook: The heat could eventually trigger some localised thundery downpours on Monday but this could well be delayed until Tuesday such is the uncertainty at this stage. But what looks certain is that the heatwave threshold will end with cooler temperatures arriving on Tuesday but still humid. After that the week looks warm, early-20s, muggy and with bright spells and heavy thundery showers.

The heatwave could well break with some thundery downpours later on Monday or more likely into Tuesday/Wednesday.

Follow @ChadWeather on X for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always for reading.

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 9th of July 2025 at 5:30pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

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