Temperatures rising into the weekend – Thursday 19th February 2026 – Sunday 22nd February 2026

Hi all,

It’s been quite cold at times over the last week, with the risk of some wintry precipitation and we did see some snow on higher ground at times. For those of you who love snow, winter officially does not have long left, but as we all know March can bring a cold spell and a risk of snow. 

That said, as we head and go through this weekend, much milder air is on the way. Parts of the UK will have a taste of spring with temperatures well up into the mid-teens. Unfortunately, our milder weather is coming from the southwest and that usually means plenty of cloud and quite brisk winds. So even though the wind will take the edge off the temperature slightly, if we do manage to see some bright spells, it will start to feel pleasant.

But don’t forget, some of us will see snow Wednesday night into Thursday so cold weather before that change.

Thursday: It’ll still be a cold day on Thursday, especially during the morning with any rain, sleet and hill-snow, eventually easing away into the afternoon. As the afternoon wears on drier, but still cold conditions with winds becoming lighter and eventually switching to a southwesterly direction. Max 5°C Min 3°C Max Gusts 30mph

Friday: There will be a band of rain spreading across the region, but this should move through quite quickly to be followed on by sunshine and blustery showers. As previously mentioned, winds are now from a milder direction so we can expect temperatures lifting up into double figures. Max 11°C Min 7°C Max Gusts 30mph

Milder later this week. Image: BBC Weather

Weekend: Mostly cloudy with Sunday the better day. 

Saturday: Bright spells and showers. Much milder than recently so it will feel pleasant if you are sheltered from the gusty wind. There is a low risk that we could see some showers merge at times so keep an eye out on the forecast. Max 12°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 35mph

Sunday: With a rain-bearing weather-front mostly to our northwest, it should be a decent day. Bright spells and still windy but temperatures still into the mild bracket. Max 11°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 35mph

Outlook: The weather will continue to move from west to east as the Jet Stream stays in charge. Additionally, the setup will remain the same with most of the rain just out of our reach to the northwest to start the week. As the week wears on, it is expected that quite a large area of low pressure will come in across the country and then eventually move away to the east or southeast. This means introducing colder air later in the week after a couple of days’ worth of rain.

Low pressure firmly in charge as next week progresses

Thanks as always for stopping by to read. 

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings. 

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of February 2026 at 7:54pm. 

Images: BBC Weather & http://www.wxcharts.com

Brief colder spell with hill-snow and some welcome sunshine as the stuck-in-a-rut weather pattern ends – Thursday 12th February 2026 – Sunday 15th February 2026

Hi all,

It’s been a dismal few weeks of weather, but to be fair we have missed the worst of it compared to other places across the UK, especially the south and southwest. That said, I have recorded rainfall everyday so far in February, just not significant amounts.

There is a change on the way which will bring some welcome sunshine one day this weekend but rain will return next week as the Jet Stream kicks into gear. But at least the blocking high in eastern Europe has gone.

Colder air from the north arrives later on Thursday.

Thursday: By the time we get to Thursday morning, winds will have turned to more of a northeasterly direction. This will be filtering in colder air over the next 24 hours. A cloudy start with some rain around but this should tend to peter out and then it will be a mostly cloudy day with rain returning later. As temperatures drop later the rain will turn to snow over high ground for which there is a warning in place. A couple of centimetres of snow-cover cannot be ruled out on the highest routes. Some snow could fall to lower levels during the night, but accumulations are not expected, although I wouldn’t rule out a slushy deposit or two. Max 5°C Min 0°C Max Gusts 20mph

Rain sinks south Thursday night and with colder air following some rain will turn to snow.

Friday: There could well be some early rain, sleet and hill-snow around on Friday but it will soon push away to the south. Once cleared, we can expect a cold day with bright spells. Skies will tend to clear overnight, leading to a widespread frost and ice. Breezy to start the day but winds easing later. Max 4°C Min -3°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Sunny Saturday. Back to the norm Sunday.

Saturday: It looks set to be a lovely day after a frosty start. There will be plenty of sunny spells around and blue skies as our airmass is now coming from the north. Unfortunately this is not set to last. The sunshine is likely to turn hazier later as cloud spills in from the west into the evening. Overnight the winds will increase and rain will spread across the region, some will be heavy at times, and likely to be preceded by some snow which will be short-lived and mostly on the hills. Max 4°C Min 0°C Max Gusts 15mph

A break between weather systems on Saturday means sunnier skies and fresher air.

Sunday: A wet and windy start with any falling snow on the hills soon turning back to rain. In the afternoon the rain will turn more showery and some bright spells will develop as well. The strong winds from the morning will ease a touch and temperatures will become less cold as winds turn back to a southwesterly. Max 6°C Min 4°C Max Gusts 35mph

Different weather models have different takes on how much snow falls from an active weather front Saturday night into Sunday. There are no weather warnings issued at the moment, but I would not be surprised to see one issued for snow to fall on the hills, perhaps significant falls for a time, yet brief, on the Pennines before milder air arrives and it all turns back to rain and thaws.

Outlook: It would be nice to keep the winds from the north and the weather remain more seasonal but unfortunately the Jet Stream will be back in charge and low pressure systems will come in from the Atlantic throughout the week. The weather will not be stuck in a rut like it was last week where the low pressure systems will slow and anchor themselves across the UK due to high pressure blocking to the east. This time they will move from west to east across the UK. So once rain moves through, there should be some brighter spells in between the bands of rain. Temperatures will be around average but perhaps a little bit milder towards next weekend. Sunshine or brightness again will be limited, but this is what we can expect with a westerly or southwesterly airflow at this time of year.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 11th of February 2026 at 4:45pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

The Atlantic steps up a gear – Thursday 5th February 2026 – Sunday 8th February 2026

Hi all,

The Atlantic has been in charge of our weather over the last few weeks but not fully. Weather systems have been coming in from the west but due to high pressure in eastern and northeastern Europe, causing a block, the low pressure systems have drifted down to the southwest and then back up northeast across the country; stalling and producing flooding in the southwest of the UK and then weakening over the rest of the UK.

With this setup and low pressure drifting up from the south or southwest we have had, at times, a cold easterly feed which is why we’ve had a little bit of snow here and there on the highest hills.

Next week the block to the east will weaken and drift away slightly and this will allow the Atlantic to step up a gear and weather systems will move from west to east across the country with more of a west or southwesterly airflow. This means it will become less cold or even a few milder spells for the time of year. There is no cold weather on the way with snow and hardly any frosts in the outlook.

Here’s how we’re looking day-to-day for the next few days.

Thursday: After a less cold Wednesday, Thursday will be cloudier and feeling colder again with a raw northeasterly wind. Cloud will be thick enough for showery rain at times, some of which could be heavy and wintry on the hills. It’ll also be very windy and especially gusty. Max 5°C Min 2°C Max Gusts 40mph

A common theme: further low pressure from the southwest on Thursday and Friday.

Friday: Another cloudy day with patchy rain at times but it shouldn’t be as cold as Thursday. It’ll be windy still which will make it feel chilly but winds will not be as strong as Thursday. Max 7°C Min 4°C Max Gusts 30mph

Weekend: A little milder.

Saturday: Rinse and repeat. Cloudy with a few showers. Still a cool wind from the east but temperatures higher than recent days. Max 8°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: After a cloudy start bright spells will develop with a few showers. Max 9°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: Continuing unsettled with low pressure systems coming in from the west. So spells of rain and wind at times with a few drier interludes in between. Nothing significantly cold on the horizon and temperatures will be above average for the time of year. Anyone else agree? Roll on Spring.

Rain to come in the outlook and again the worst will be in southwesterly parts of the UK.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest weather forecast and warnings. A huge thanks as always, for popping by to read.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 4th of February 2026 at 5:12pm.

Images: BBC Weather & http://www.wxcharts.com