Hi all,

As forecasts go, this looks pretty much straightforward this week with high pressure in charge. It can be tricky sometimes to forecast the weather when high pressure is in charge, especially this time of the year with still relatively cool mornings and depending on the wind direction, cloud can get trapped under a high and be really stubborn to clear. But with the setup this week and also a breeze/strong wind to break any cloud up, plus humidity levels relatively low, it looks like this high pressure is going to deliver a lot of sunshine.

This sunshine is now quite strong, but still only bringing medium UV levels for a few hours around lunchtime, but the sun is now as strong as early-September.

Monday was disappointing this week but that wasn’t due to cloud getting stuck under a high pressure, that was due to a weather-front to our northwest being further southeast than expected, and the cloud was thick enough, so it didn’t slowly thin until later in the day.

Rain. When will it rain next? The answer to that is, it looks like it could well be close to a couple of weeks before we see the return to unsettled conditions and spells of wind and rain.

The high pressure that’s over us at the moment will slip away but only to be replaced by another one and that high is expected to hang around into next week and our weather will have an omega block, which means, as per diagram below, a very stubborn pattern to shift. Now if you have this block with a cloudy-high, you then end up with anticyclonic gloom which can lead to very dank and boring weather days. But this time the forecast suggests that it will be days of sunshine instead.

The high pressure also means settled weather which means dry weather. It’s pretty much getting to the time now, after a dry February, and the driest March for 60 years across parts of the UK, where we need to water the gardens. This dry start to spring is not unusual, but if we have a relatively dry remainder of spring then we only need a dry and hot at times, summer to lead to really dry conditions across the UK and possibly a drought. But it is the UK after all. So it’s more likely to become wetter-than-average once again. What late-spring and summer brings? Nobody knows.

Has the risk of frost passed? Not quite. With clear skies and, at times, winds easing overnight, there will be some pockets of frost, mostly a ground-frost with surface temperatures down to -1°C. So water the gardens in the morning if you can.

Thursday: One of the warmest days of the week, especially the further west you are. Plenty of sunshine after a cool start but it will be very windy at times, especially gusty on the western side of the Pennines. Max 19°C Min 3°C Max Gusts 35mph

Friday: More of the same. Sunny and warm but feeling it more so if you’re sheltered from the gusty wind. High diurnal values. Max 20°C Min 2°C Wind Gusts 30mph

Weekend: Cooler but still plenty of sunshine.

Saturday: Slightly cooler air from the northeast but still a great day with wall-to-wall sunshine expected. Feeling cool in the neverending breeze. Ground-frost for most overnight. Max 15°C Min 0°C Wind Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Sunny and pleasant if you can find some shelter. Hopefully the wind will begin to ease a little. Dry and warm at times. Cold overnight. Max 16°C Min 1°C Wind Gusts 20mph

Outlook: It looks like high pressure stays in charge and winds will not be as strong as this week so feeling warmer as temperatures recover to the late-teens again. Plenty of sunshine and dry conditions. Cool nights with still some ground-frosts. Perfect. UV levels up to 4.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 2nd of April 2025 at 5:11pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.netweather.tv

Hi all,

March is not far off coming to a close and the first month of Spring has been dry. Much drier-than-average. Even so, recent rain has been welcomed by the gardens.

Even with rain arriving into Friday, I’m expecting March 2025 to be the driest March I’ve ever recorded. Data started in 2013.

I have a feeling it’s going to be a warm and humid summer with reasonably-high thundery activity. We shall see.

Thursday: After a cloudy start and with high pressure still in charge we can expect some sunny spells. It’ll feel pleasant in any brightness but it will tend to cloud over later in the day and it will be a windy one later with gusts to 30mph. A band of rain will sink southeast overnight. Max 15°C Min 6°C Gusts 30mph

Friday: Any early rain will push away and introduce colder air as the winds swing to more of a northwesterly direction. It will then be a day of bright or sunny spells and some blustery showers which could well produce some hail and perhaps some thunder and lightning. Feeling cold especially in the wind and temperatures will just struggle to double figures. Risk of frost overnight. Max 11°C Min 1°C Gusts 30mph

Weekend: High pressure returns eventually.

Saturday: Still windy with a weak weather-front coming through the region bringing the odd shower or two. Temperatures up a little. Max 12°C Min 5°C Gusts 25mph

Sunday: It’s looking better for Mother’s Day albeit breezy. Dry, as high pressure builds back in and some pleasant sunny spells. Just the wind taking the edge off the temperature but it will be warmer. Max 16°C Min 5°C Gusts 20mph

Outlook: There have been some ups and downs regarding next week; but there now seems to be more of an agreement that it will be nice with high pressure in charge. So cool nights but pleasantly warm by day with sunny spells and fair-weather cloud. Some models predict a waft of warm air coming up from the south and if we keep a southerly or southeasterly airflow we could see temperatures approaching the 20°C mark. Look out for updates on social media.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 26th March 2025 at 6:41pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.wetterzentrale.de

Hi all,

The sunshine is back and eventually temperatures will rise day-by-day but it’s only set to last for a couple of days so make the most of it.

It’s been a drier-than-average few weeks now and March has only seen 3 days of recorded rainfall. We are only sitting on 9.4mm of rain which is very dry for the time of year.

We’ve had some cold nights so the frost and dew has dampened the ground but I’ve started to water my plants and grass seed which I don’t do often in March.

So is there any significant rain on the way? Good question. Yes this glorious weather is set to break into the weekend but rainfall amounts seem to vary and will come via showery rain, rather than bouts of heavy rain.

Thursday: Any early cloud will clear to leave a day of warm sunshine which could be hazy at times. With lighter winds it will feel really pleasant with temperatures getting into the late-teens. Dry. Cool overnight. Max 19°C Min 7°C

Friday: Low pressure will be drifting up from the southwest. This means the weather is set to break, but it looks like we will get through Friday with another warm and dry day with sunny spells. However, it will be much windier than recently with gusts to 30mph, which will take the edge off the temperature. After dark and overnight there is a risk of some showers breaking out and drifting up from the southwest. Max 18°C Min 9°C

Weekend: Low pressure close by but not a washout.

Saturday: Low pressure, albeit slack, will be in control of our weather now, so we can expect some showery rain at times on Saturday but also some bright spells. It will still be quite mild however with temperatures just above average. Still breezy but not as windy as Friday. Max 15°C Min 8°C

Sunday: Any showers or drizzle is expected to become confined to the south, so we can expect a drier day, but with plenty of cloud. The breeze will now be coming in from a cooler northeasterly direction. Temperatures back to normal. Max 12°C Min 4°C

Outlook: For the first half of the week, high pressure will build in. Although it will only be a ridge, this means we can expect a dry day on Monday and after a cloudy start, sunny spells should break through.

It’s a bit tricky to forecast the rest of the week because it’ll be a battle, between weak areas of high pressure and occasionally small areas of low pressure. To summarise this means bright spells, but with also the likelihood of showers breaking out. Temperatures to remain about average in the early teens, but with the hint of it cooling off a bit more later in the week.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always for reading.

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 19th March 2025 at 5:45pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & meteoblue.

Hi all,

What a beautiful weekend that was. I hope you made the most of it. I certainly did with a walk on the tops to the B-29 crash site on Saturday and then several hours gardening on the Sunday. Love days like that. But March is a fickle month and we’re back to the colder air now with a brisk northerly airflow.

Showers are going to affect the northeast coast and at times when the wind is strong enough, some of these showers will feed down into the region. These showers will be well-scattered so we can expect some sunny spells this week and quite a lot of dry weather and not much rainfall over the next 5 days.

High pressure is going to build this weekend but at the moment it looks like it could well be a cloudy-high especially on Sunday. Once the high moves away into Europe, it looks like we will return to a southwesterly airflow later next week and the temperatures will respond. Getting well back into double-figures.

There is certainly no sign of any 500-mile wall of snow or significantly cold temperatures :).

No strong winds in this forecast nor particularly cold nights but there will be some localised frosts especially early on.

Thursday: After a bright start with a patchy frost, cloudy will increase during the day again and there will be the odd shower around which could be wintry on the hills. A cold wind. Max 8°C Min 0°C

Friday: Pretty much a similar day; cold start with some patchy frost then sunny spells for a time before cloud bubbles up again and the odd shower is possible, but not as many showers are expected compared to previous days. Max 8°C Min 1°C

Weekend: High pressure building killing off the risk of any showers.

Saturday: A chilly start and perhaps some bright spells for the morning but cloud will tend to fill the skies as the day goes on but it should stay dry with high pressure built across the UK. Max 9°C Min 2°C

Sunday: Light winds with high pressure in charge, but if we do see a bright start, it will soon cloud over and this will hang around for the day. Dry with light winds. Max 10°C Min 3°C

Outlook: The high pressure that arrived for the weekend is expected to drift away to the east. This will allow southwesterly/southerly winds to return introducing milder weather and eventually the risk of some showery rain approaching from the Atlantic.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 12th of March 2025 at 5:13pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

It’s been a dry and decent enough start to Spring/March and this weather is set to continue, bar Friday, with temperatures climbing briefly.  One caveat is it will be windy at times.

The tabloids have been churning out the snow/Beast from the East headlines again this week and it couldn’t be further from the truth. No sign of significant cold but as we all know. Wintry conditions can return easily in the month of March.

Just a quick blog this week after playing golf today and also it’s the wife’s birthday, so limited time.

Thursday: Becoming windy with pleasant sunny spells. More in the way of cloud later in the day with some unstable air bringing the risk of showers, mostly into the evening. Much milder and even feeling warm if you can find shelter. Max 16°C Min 9°C

Friday: A blip. Cloudy with some showery rain. Not as windy and not as “warm”. Max 13°C Min 8°C

Weekend: Warm spells of brightness.

Saturday: Warmer again with sunny spells, the chance of a shower out west. Breezy. Max 16°C Min 6°C

Sunday: Not bad despite the wind. Plenty of warmish sunny spells. Turning colder overnight. Max 15°C Min 5°C

Outlook: Colder next week with brisk east or northeasterly winds. Early risk of a few showers,  otherwise mostly dry, with increasing sunny spells. Cold overnight with some frost.

Follow @ChadWeather on X or Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 5th of March 2025 at 6:13pm

Hi all,

Meteorologically-speaking winter comes to a close this week, but we all know that a cool start to Spring is nothing unusual. And the outlook suggests as such. There will be some welcome sunshine over the coming days with high pressure in charge and winds lighter than recently. There could well be some stubborn mist and fog which will keep areas cold, whereas areas with sunshine, will really start to feel some strengthen in that sun now.

Thursday: High pressure will start to build from the southwest. This means a better day in prospect with sunny spells and any early showers will decay. It will be quite breezy into the afternoon, but winds will fall light overnight. Cold overnight under clear skies which should be good for seeing the 7-planet alignment. It will also mean some areas of fog will develop and we will have a frost. Max 9°C Min -1°C

Friday: The high pressure will now establish itself across the region and with light winds the fog to start could be stubborn to clear in places but when it does clear or if you start the day without the fog, it should be a lovely day with plenty of sunny spells and just some fair-weather cloud bubbling up. Light winds and pleasant if you manage to get out and about in the sunshine. Another chilly night ahead with areas of mist and fog with a patchy frost. Max 9°C Min 0°C

Weekend: High pressure in control of the weather.

Saturday: The high pressure will drift a little bit further to the south which will allow a bit more in the way of cloud at times, but we should still see some sunny spells and it will be dry with slight frost to start. Light winds. Not as cold overnight. Max 9°C Min 2°C

Sunday: it should be another dry day but cloud amounts will start to increase as we see more of a westerly airflow across the region. So we can expect bright spells with some thicker cloud at times which just might be thick enough for a bit of drizzle on the hills later in the day. Breezy later and no frost expected overnight. Max 10°C Min 4°C

Outlook: The high pressure that will have brought us the recent settled spell, will now start to slip even further south into France. This means winds will come in off the Atlantic and with a squeeze in the isobars, it will turn quite windy into Monday and Tuesday. This will also bring more in the way of cloud with the odd shower possible but equally some bright spells in between.

At this stage, midweek does look quite promising with the cloud breaking up, allowing for some decent spells of sunshine, but this far out, as always, don’t hold your breath. Later in the week we could see a return to unsettled weather from the southwest. But one thing for sure, next week shows no sign of any significant cold to start Spring or any significant warmth with temperatures just hovering around average and no storms expected.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 26th of February 2025 at 6pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

After the events of this week, it’s just a short blog with some quick highlights of the coming week’s weather.

I’ll try and do a few more posts on X and Bluesky to keep you updated on the change to more unsettled weather but milder conditions.

I bet most are glad it’s turning less cold, and that the biting wind is going. Looks like Thursday and Friday will see temperatures reach values that we’ve not seen for two months. Who’s ready for Spring? I know I am.

Thursday: Much milder air has arrived and with it some strong and gusty winds at times. We will see some bands of showery rain move through, with the chance of some thunder & lightning. Later in the day brighter skies and a few showers will come in from the southwest. Very mild but the edge taken off the temperatures due to the strength of the wind. Max 14°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 35-40mph

Friday: Similar with rain at times, some heavy after a bright start. Very windy with a strong southerly. Mild once again but cooler overnight. Max 13°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 40-45mph

Weekend: Saturday looks best.

Saturday: A brief ridge of high pressure will give a better day. Sunny spells, odd shower and not as windy. Max 11°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: Another weather-front with strong winds and periods of rain. Max 11°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 40-45mph

Outlook: Cooler and still unsettled with bright spells and showers. Occasionally windy.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 19th February 2025 at 8:47pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

High pressure to our east has been stubborn and with its positioning, has fed in biting but not significantly cold, easterly and northeasterly winds. Not only has this brought extensive cloud, and hill-fog, but also bouts of mizzle and on the very highest routes, some wet-snow. All-in-all it’s been a miserable week or so.

So when will all this doom and gloom end? Good question. Over the next couple of days we should start to see more in the way of drier weather compared to seeing drizzle, but I’m still expecting a lot of cloud. With the wind changing direction to a southeasterly introducing slightly drier air, there’s a good chance that the cloud will thin and break in places, so some bright spells will sneak through. This means overnight where we do have some clear spells, especially in the west, there’s likely to be some frost. Daytime temperatures are going to remain chilly but should start to pick up next week.

When I say should, this is down to what happens with the weather pattern next week. Different computer models were suggesting different outcomes. For example, high pressure that’s been blocking to our east and northeast over the past week stays firm, meaning we stay in a similar pattern, whereas in other scenarios the high is shunted away to the east and the Atlantic weather systems start to make their way onto our shores once again. In this case we will be switching the wind to a more southwesterly direction and hence increasing the temperature close to double-figures. With the Atlantic back in the game we could well see some spells of wind and rain.

So, uncertainty next week but for now, slow changes.

Thursday: After a cloudy start I’m hopeful, especially the further west you are, that some sunny spells will break through. Dry but a cold wind, still from the east. Patchy frost where clear skies appear overnight. Max 5°C Min -1°C

Friday: Wind swinging a little southeasterly but still cold and brisk. Cloudy with some breaks but dry. We’ve not seen much rainfall this month despite the lack of sunshine. Max 5°C Min 1°C

Weekend: Little change.

Saturday: It’s likely to be a little cloudier with bright spells limited. The cloud could be thick enough at times in the east to produce some drizzle once again. Feeling cold. Max 4°C Min 1°C

Sunday: Very similar conditions expected. Max 5°C Min 1°C

Outlook: Uncertain. Slightly more favourable now that it will slowly turn milder with the cold staying away in eastern Europe and no big freeze expected. There’s a good chance that we will see temperatures back into double-digits.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 12th of February 2025 at 4:22pm.

Images: BBC Weather & http://www.wxcharts.com