Hi all,

Our cold spell has come to an end and we are back to the usual weather that we see in January, milder-than-average with rain at times and occasionally windy. A few people have already been asking me when is it going to turn colder again and when is it going to snow. This time with more widespread snow, as not everybody saw a decent amount of snow or any at all, during the last cold spell. Again, which is the norm for our winters these days, most of the snow is confined to the higher parts of the region.

There have been some signs, looking at the long-range forecasts, for colder air, some proper cold days, to drift in from the east but the timeframe is always over 10 days away and this is not a reliable timeframe. But support is growing, with the odd flip back to milder predictions. So all up-in-the-air, and so, for the foreseeable we will be mildish, with the occasional chilly day and more rain to come.

Thursday: Any early showers easing away, then bright spells before cloud thickens later in the day. Less cold. Max 7°C Min 2°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: Early showers, wintry on the tops again, move away quite quickly to be followed by sunny spells. Slight breeze. Max 7°C Min 3°C

Weekend: Quiet.

Saturday: A mostly cloudy day with perhaps the odd shower or localised drizzle. Limited brightness. A cool easterly breeze. Max 8°C Min 4°C

Sunday: Very little change. Mostly light winds, a lot of cloud, stubborn to break. Similar temperatures. Max 7°C Min 3°C

Outlook: Cloudy, some bright spells, and occasional showers or drizzle, especially on the hills. Any weather systems from the Atlantic will tend to become blocked, so drying up from midweek onwards and then all eyes on what develops over eastern Europe. If we can get a Scandinavian high and thus easterly winds then we could well be on for another cold spell.

How cold. How snowy. No-one knows at this stage. Keep your eyes peeled for social media updates and the Weekly Blog next week.

I still feel there will be a battle going on between westerly- and easterly-driven weather and we end up in no-mans’ land.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for localised forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 14th of January 2025 at 4:42pm
Images & Videos: http://www.wxcharts.com & Lisa Holroyd

Hi all,

Happy New Year!

I hope you all had a fantastic Christmas and I wish you all the best for 2026. The Weekly Blog is back after a well-earned rest over the festive period.

It’s been a cold start to January with temperatures well below-average and we have seen some snowfall. Which is always welcoming in my book, but I know a lot of people hate the stuff. That said, there could well be some more on the way later on Thursday and then perhaps again mid-month if cold can drift in from the continent.

That is a long way off and very tricky to forecast at this stage, it’s even tricky to track Thursday’s low pressure system which has been named as Storm Goretti by the French. This low pressure is going to bring a significant amount of snow to parts of England and Wales and also some very strong winds to the southwest of England and perhaps the southern coast of the UK.

There are many warnings in place. Notably two amber warnings. One for snow. One for damaging winds.

Of course, at the time of writing I can only predict what looks the most likely outcome, as well as adding my thoughts to how things will pan out. Look out for updates on social media as this storm system, which is a developing area of low pressure, could well change its track by a few miles, which can make all the difference.

Thursday: A cloudy and misty start with perhaps a few light wintry showers around. Winds will be light initially with the odd bright spell over lunchtime. Into the evening the wind will increase from the northeast and cloud will thicken from the south.

During the evening at this stage, it is expected that rain will push across the region. Whether it snows or not, depends on a few factors. Will it be cold enough? Will it be heavy?

The heavier the precipitation, means the temperature can drop and therefore there is more chance of the rain turning to snow, which is called evaporative cooling. At this stage, I’m leaning towards rain for western areas, especially towards the coast and in low-lying areas.

Inland and towards the hills there is more chance of seeing the rain turn to sleet or snow with the heavier snow and the highest chance of it falling being where the current yellow warning is i.e. The Peak District, the hills, and the Pennines. This forecast is subject to change so look out on social media for posts. This snow could be disruptive. Max 5°C Min 0°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: Winds will now switch to a northerly as the low pressure moves away into the North Sea. Any precipitation will ease away quickly, but if you have had some snowfall, do be aware that there could be some tricky driving conditions in the morning. Snow on the hills/Pennines/The Peak District will take the longest to ease away.

Most of the day will then be dry with just a few scattered wintry showers and still feeling cold. Clear skies overnight leading to a patchy frost and ice. Max 4°C Min -1°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: Remaining cold but no dramas.

Saturday: A decent day with bright or sunny spells after early mist or fog lifts. A cold one though and there could be the odd scattered wintry shower once more. A slight frost overnight. Max 4°C Min -2°C

Sunday: A bright morning but cloud will thicken later in the day. With the cold air in place, we could see some brief snowfall later in the day before this turns to rain overnight and temperatures lift a tad. Max 4°C Min 1°C

Outlook: Monday and Tuesday both look cloudy, less cold with patchy rain. The rest of the week doesn’t see much change but by next weekend we could see the risk of snow increase once more and temperatures start to drop, especially if we can import some much colder air from the east.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th of January 2026 at 1:30pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com, http://www.theweatheroutlook.com and The Met Office.

Hi all,

What a terrible month it’s been so far. We’re used to mild and wet Decembers and 2025 is no break from the norm. We’ve had a handful of dry days and just over 100mm of rain. Half the month so far has seen a maximum temperatures of 10°C or above and a few ground-frosts.

A plunge of cold air in the US has produced a stark temperature contrast which has helped the Jet Stream fire-up weather systems across the Atlantic to the UK. This has brought wind and rain via a conveyor-belt of low pressures. However, this west or southwesterly airflow looks set to be broken as we head towards Christmas with hints of colder air developing. Nothing too significant yet but with an easterly wind you never know what could follow. But, before we commence changing the weather pattern, we will see more rain and wind with mild temperatures.

Thursday: A dry start but cloud thickening and rain heavy at times will spread up from the southwest. Breezy but not that windy. Reasonably mild for the time of year. Max 10°C Min 4°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: A better day. Windy with bright or sunny spells and just the odd shower possible. Max 9°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 30mph

Weekend: A change to more of an easterly influence.

Saturday: Sunny or bright spells for the morning and then the wind increasing as rain tries its best to push in from the west decaying all of the time. A keen southeasterly wind developing. Max 9°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Any rain should begin to ease away but it will remain overcast with a steady but notably chillier breeze. Max 8°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: High pressure is going to build across Eastern Europe meaning temperatures will start to return to the December average. Plenty of cloud is expected at this stage which could be thick enough for pockets of drizzle. Not cold enough for snow and as we head towards Christmas Day the clouds should begin to break slightly. So the big day is set to be dry with a few bright spells but cold especially in the wind which will continue to be from the East. Variable amounts of cloud cover will mean some nights will be frost-free but the odd one could see pockets of frost developing.

Thanks as always for reading. Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 17th of December 2025 at 6:10pm

Images: BBC Weather, http://www.wxcharts.com.

Hi all,

Winter is here and December has started as November ended, with plenty of rainfall. We only had 8 days without measurable rain in November and 169mm of rain. This is the second wettest November I have recorded since records begin in 2012. The wettest being 2015.

There are a lot of clickbait, attention-seeking posts everywhere about copious amounts of snow coming and bitter-cold. Utter nonsense. It’s always around at this time of year but this year it is worse than ever as local media search for clicks and likes.

Thursday: Rain from overnight will continue early on with some heavy bursts. It will clear eastwards slowly but we should see it drier into the afternoon with perhaps some brightness before dark. Cool and windy at first. Clear skies overnight leading to some patchy ice and a local ground-frost. Max 8°C Min 1°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: A chilly start with some patchy frost and fog. Dry with sunny spells for most for the morning but cloudier into the afternoon with more rain arriving in time for the evening. Feeling cold, especially later on and into the evening as winds strengthen from the south-east, possibly gale-force at times. Max 8°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 45mph

Weekend: Low pressure in charge.

Saturday: Showery rain will be coming and going but winds do look lighter than late on Friday. Slightly milder too but it’s the overcast, dull and dank conditions that are so depressing. Max 11°C Min 7°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: A few showers around for the morning but these should ease away for a time with some brightness. Cloud thickening once again ahead of rain forecast for the afternoon and evening. Some uncertainty on the timing and position of this rain-band so look out for forecasts on social media. Max 11°C Min 4°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: It looks like an unsettled week I’m afraid. Plenty of low pressure systems, bringing wind and rain at times. Some drier spells in between. No sign of any high pressure yet, to settle things down and bring some frosty days back. No snow/significant cold expected. Lets hope we’re saving all the snow for Christmas Day.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 3rd of December 2025 at 5:34pm.

Images: The Met Office & http://www.wxcharts.com.

Hi all,

Our first early taste of winter this week. It’s autumn still of course but we’ve had some frost and hill-snow and further frosty nights await.

Will milder air return? Yes, less cold into the weekend and eventually rain will be back but will it last?

Thursday: A sharp frost to start and a sharp frost to end. But during the day it’ll be a cracker with plenty of sunshine and blue skies. It’ll be quite breezy for a few hours and this will really take the edge off the temperature making it feel sub-zero. Max 4°C Min -5°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: Another dry and decent day with plenty of sunny spells after a harsh frost. The frost is likely to persist in the shade all day. However, there is change on the way and cloud will arrive and thicken from the west later in the day. Overnight, milder air will slowly filter in and winds will pickup slightly and patchy rain will arrive which might fall initially as sleet and snow on the tops, but it will not last long. No frost overnight. Max 3°C Min 1°C

Weekend: Milder and some rain likely.

Saturday: Cloudy with patchy rain which should become heavier later in the day as winds increase and become quite gusty into the evening. Less cold but still feeling particularly chilly due to the conditions. Max 9°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: After the sunshine of Thursday and Friday, it’s a disappointing weekend overall, with Sunday being similar to Saturday, plenty of cloud about and some rain at times. Damp and chilly but winds should be slightly lighter. Max 8°C Min 5°C

Outlook: The outlook does not include much sunshine by the looks of it. Temperatures hovering around average with mostly cloudy conditions and rain at times. Due to the cloud cover frosts overnight look limited. As we head into December, there’s a lot of excitement about colder conditions, but this far out is impossible to say. This time next week I could well have more of an idea of when the next cold snap is coming.

Thanks for reading as always, much appreciated.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 19th of November 2025 at 4:30pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com, http://www.theweatheroutlook.com & The Met Office.

Hi all,

The first cold spell of the season is on the way with temperatures going below average for the time of year but it won’t be anything unusual. Winter is still a few weeks away but we could see some wintry showers around next week. Of course you will see the usual hype in the media, of walls of snow and temperatures, plummeting etc.

Thursday: A bright start and not a bad morning with a few sunny spells. Cloud will thicken from lunchtime and there could well be a few showers and then some patchy rain later in the day, and also, a keen and cooler northeasterly breeze will pick up. The wind will switch northeasterly into the afternoon and you’ll notice the change in the feel to the weather. Max 13°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: After a dry and possibly bright start in a few places, cloud and heavy rain will arrive and it will turn out to be a dismal day. Plenty of rain around and strong to gusty northeasterly wind making it feel cold. Max 9°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 35mph

Weekend: Colder air slowly arriving.

Saturday: Any lingering rain should begin to ease and then a mostly cloudy day but with a few bright spells later. Keen northeasterly winds still making it feel chilly but at least the persistent rain has gone. Max 9°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: A much better day in prospect with bright or sunny spells, a fresh northerly wind and just a low chance of a shower. Turning cold after dark with a patchy ground-frost. Max 9°C Min 2°C

Outlook: Cold with mostly dry and cloudy days to start the week. Odd wintry shower possible on higher ground. Midweek onwards is difficult to predict. We could well see an area of low pressure bring a mixture of rain with sleet or wet-snow on the hills. Any clear skies overnight will lead to a frost. The cold weather is expected to last most of the week but milder air should start to return from the 22nd.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts.

Thanks as always for stopping by to read.

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 12th of November 2025 at 3:09pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

A quick blog this week. Some better days coming up over the next few days and eventually the very mild weather will ease away.

There were some signs of high pressure building in later this weekend and into next week, but now this is looking like it could be delayed and certainly not in the more reliable timeframe. If high pressure does build out to the east and become quite strong, there’s a good chance that the second half of November is colder.

Meanwhile, we will continue to look to our southwest for the weather.

Thursday: Not a bad day with some bright spells during the morning, then it will tend to cloud over from the south, but it should stay dry for most, apart from the old shower and again another mild one. Max 16°C Min 12°C

Friday: Another mostly cloudy day and we are likely to see a few bands of showers drifting northeast. Still mild for the time of year but a little bit cooler. Max 14°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 20mph.

Weekend: Reasonable.

Saturday: Caught in between weather systems really with pressure higher over to our east, and low pressure systems queueing up out in the Atlantic. Bright spells, a slight breeze and just a chance of an afternoon shower. Max 13°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: Very little change but cloud will tend to thicken towards evening ahead of some light rain overnight. Max 13°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: At this stage the outlook is quite difficult to pin down. It all depends on where this high pressure to our east builds and how stubborn it becomes. With higher pressure to the east, this should encourage holding off weather-fronts from the Atlantic. But I do expect a few weakening weather-fronts to sneak across the country and bring some cloud and patchy rain. Temperatures look likely to sit around the teens with no sign of anything significantly colder. But, we could tap into some cooler air later in the week, if the high pressure builds and drifts slightly westwards.

Follow @Chadweather on X or Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always for stopping by to read.

Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 5th of November 2025 at 7:10pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

The unsettled theme will continue over the coming days. Ex-hurricane Melissa will affect the Jet Stream next week (no doubt the media will pick up on this). No sign of any wintry weather, just mild at times and wet spells for the foreseeable.

Thursday: A chilly start with perhaps a few localised areas of mist and fog and ground-frost. It should be a decent day for most of it, but cloud will thicken into the afternoon and evening after a morning of sunny spells. Rain will arrive before the end of the day and also into the evening. It will become quite windy and also be turning milder. Max 11°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 30mph

Friday: Rain will have gone through the region overnight, always a bonus to have rain overnight rather than during the daytime. That said, there will be a few showers around as well as sunny spells. These showers more likely later in the day spreading up from the southwest with the odd heavy one and perhaps a rumble of thunder. Winds now coming from a warmer direction. Max 15°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: Cooler with rain or showers to dodge.

Saturday: There’s likely to be some rain around during the morning which will turn showery into the afternoon. It will tend to be drier during the evening if you’re heading to a local bonfire, but I cannot rule out showers continuing into the evening. Cooler.  Max 11°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: Sunday looks a better day, bright spells and a bit of a lull from recent days. So not as windy but still breezy and just a shower or two. Max 10°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: Unfortunately, it does look like the Jet Stream will remain active next week so we can expect a mixture of unsettled conditions with rain at times and a few areas of low pressure bringing this rain and wind. But also, a few calmer spells in between with bright spells and a few showers. So similar to what we’ve had over the last 2 weeks. The remnants of ex-hurricane Melissa will get picked up by the Jet Stream and this will develop into a low pressure system coming in from the west, but at this stage it looks likely to track towards Iceland and northwest Scotland early in the week. 

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 29th of October 2025 at 6:43pm

Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com, Met Office and the National Hurricane Center.

Hi all,

Another named-storm will affect the UK on Thursday, this time named by Meteo France. At the time of writing there is still a little bit of uncertainty on its track. What does this mean for us?

We will see some rain from the low pressure system, as its northwestern edge affects the region. As the low starts to pull away, we will also see an increase in wind speed, nothing unusual for the time of year with winds gusting to around 30 to 40mph. Most of the rain will soon turn showery and with the low pressure moving away into the North Sea, this means a colder northerly airflow will slowly set in during the days that follow.

Thursday: Heavy rain early on, clearing as Storm Benjamin moves east. Winds strengthen from the northwest with showers. Max 10°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 35mph

Friday: Breezy with sunshine and scattered showers, some heavy. Overnight may bring a ground-frost in sheltered parts. Max 10°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 20mph

Saturday: Strong northerly winds will make it feel cold despite sunny spells. A few showers possible but these decaying overnight where it will turn cold with a touch of frost in places. Max 9°C Min 2°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: Bright start, then cloud and showery rain from the northwest. Still breezy. Milder air returning. Max 10°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: High pressure will settle the weather down for a couple of days before it turns unsettled at times again and much milder. Temperatures could well make the mid-teens.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 22nd of October 2025 at 6:30pm

Images: ITV Weather, http://www.wxcharts.com & The Met Office.