Tag Archives: Manchester.

Thursday 1st November 2018 – Sunday 4th November 2018

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Hi all,

Brrrrr! It’s been a chilly week, with local frosts, a cold northerly wind and even some snow flurries! More like Winter than Autumn. After our dry summer, water levels are still low and October was another dry month, with around 50% of the average rainfall.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with some rain to start, followed by brighter skies and a few showers. Max 9°C

Friday: A cold start with a ground-frost. A decent day ahead and if you’re at a Bonfire this evening then there will be good conditions. During the day, sunny spells and mostly dry with winds increasing later in the day with rain overnight. Max 10°C

Weekend: We throw the remnants of ex-Hurricane Oscar into the mix on Saturday

Oscar

Ex-Hurricane Oscar will pass to the NW of the UK on Saturday

Saturday: Windy with 35-40mph gusts, a little higher in exposed places. A band of rain quickly clearing to showers. Much milder with a southwesterly airflow. Max 13°C

Sunday: A bright day and it should stay dry during daylight hours. Another developing area of low pressure is likely to come in from the west, so windy with rain or showers into the evening or overnight. Max 12°C

Outlook: Temperatures around or above average. Not a bad week ahead. Bright spells and just a few showers. No sign of a winter-like spell returning.

October 2018 Stats (up to and inc. 30th)

Max 21.9°C (10th)
Min 0.6°C (27th)
Av. 10.0°C (colder than average)
Wettest 10mm (13th)
Windiest 37mph
Rain 47mm (47% of average)
Rain Days 19
Dry Days 11

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 31st of October 2018 at 1:25pm
Image: http://wxcharts.eu

 

Thursday 25th October 2018 – Sunday 28th October 2018

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Hi all,

Much colder weather is on the way with an airflow that originates from the Arctic. A lot of talk about snow this week, but as usual, all over-hyped. That said, it will be unusually cold for the time of year and some snow will fall in Scotland and on Northern hills.

Thursday: Cloudy with a cold westerly breeze, most places dry until a bit of evening drizzle or light rain. Max 12°C

Cold Air floods South

Cold air floods South across the UK over the next few days

Friday: Some showery rain in the morning followed by brighter skies and a few sharp showers which may contain hail and thunder, and, fall as sleet or snow on the tops of the Pennines. These will ease away into the evening and move back towards the coast. Feeling much colder in that brisk northwesterly wind. Some localised frost overnight. Max 8°C

Saturday: Bright and windy with sunny spells. Some cloud bubbling up during the day especially in eastern areas, where we may see the odd shower which could be wintry over the tops. All places dry by late afternoon and evening, and a frost is expected overnight. Again feeling bitter with a northerly air flow. Max 7°C

Sunday: Most places will see plenty of sunshine after a cold start. No showers are expected, so dry but still feeling very cold for the time of year. Max 9°C

Outlook: Bright to start and still cold. Turning cloudier midweek with some light rain at times and slowly turning milder as winds turn more westerly.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Have a great weekend everyone,
Jon

Issued: Wednesday the 24th of October 2018 at 7:05pm
Images: http://wxcharts.eu

Thursday 18th October 2018 – Sunday 21st October 2018

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Hi all,

Our weather is settling down with high pressure building and set to control things for at least the next 7 days.

Thursday:  A cold start with a touch of ground-frost in some parts. This is good news though as it means clear skies to start so plenty of sunshine on offer during the day. Temperatures will recover and it will feel pleasant in the sunshine. Max 14°C

Friday: A sunny start then cloud increasing during the day. It will remind dry for all. Max 13°C

Weekend: Dry with some sun.

Saturday:  A mostly dry day with bright spells after early stubborn cloud. Sunny spells developing during the day. Max 15°C

Sunday: Little change. Variable amounts of cloud with sunny spells breaking through. A southwesterly airflow keeping temperatures on the mild side. Max 15°C

HIGH PRESSURE

High pressure rules

Outlook: A switch to a west or northwesterly airflow will mean temperatures will be pegged back at little at first. High pressure continuing to dominate our weather though, so I expect it to remain dry and temperatures recovering to around average, in the early teens. A few chilly nights, with some localised mist or fog if skies clear for long enough. Daytimes will be filled with bright spells.

Remember you can keep up to date with the weather via Twitter by following @ChadWeather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: 17:40 on Wednesday the 17th of October 2018
Image: http://wxcharts.eu

Thursday 11th October 2018 – Sunday 14th October 2018

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Hi all,

It’s a warm one today. In fact it will be the warmest October day I have ever recorded, as southerly winds push up air all the way from Africa with plenty of sunshine on offer. It’s like we have turned the clock back to summer. UV levels are now low, so you won’t be getting a tan from today’s sunshine and of course it’s too good to last.

Thursday: Cloudy with any morning light rain clearing to sunny spells. Cloud thickening late-afternoon bringing showery rain and becoming breezy. Cooler. Max 18°C

Friday: Windy with 35mph gusts and showery rain for the morning. The afternoon and into the evening will see heavier and more prolonged rain arrive from the southwest and remaining windy. A much different feel to the weather compared to 48 hours ago. Max 16°C

Weekend: Improving on Sunday

Currently there are some weather warnings for the rain Friday/Saturday but they are not covering our region. Of course updates will be posted on Twitter if this changes.

Rain Friday and Saturday

Click to animate – Heavy rain will continue to fall in one zone on Friday/Saturday – its position could shift further southeast.

Saturday: Cloudy with some rain at times. Some uncertainty on how heavy and prolonged this rainfall will be as the position of the weather front is still not set in stone. It looks like it might sit to our north, therefore the worst of the weather could be across the Lake District and north Lancashire. Certainly one to watch. Feeling muggy despite the breeze and rain. Max 18°C

Sunday: Any leftover rain will clear to leave a much better day with plenty of sunny spells and drier conditions. Lighter winds too. Fresher though. Max 13°C

Outlook: Next week sees what’s left of Hurricane Michael get picked up in the Jet Stream, as a normal low pressure, which could bring us a spell of wet and windy weather, mainly to the northwest of the UK. The media will be all over it but I can not see any issues affecting us. Otherwise, bright spells and showers next week with temperatures around normal, 12-14°C.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 10th of October 2018 at 11:15am
GIF: http://wxcharts.eu

Thanks,
Jon

Thursday 4th October 2018 – Sunday 7th October 2018

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Hi all,

Autumn is well and truly here after some frosty mornings and a chill in the air. There is still a chance of an Indian Summer but time is running out and everything points towards October being slightly cooler than average.

Thursday – Bright spells and remaining dry. Breezy at times but coming from a warm direction. Max 16°C

Friday – Mostly cloudy but it should remain dry for the morning. Still quite mild but a little cooler as patchy rain arrives into the afternoon and late-evening. Max 14°C

Weekend – Sunday looks the best day.

Saturday – Rain lingering for most of the day and feeling cold. Some uncertainty on how heavy the rain gets. A fresh breeze from the north. Max 9°C

Sunday – A chilly start, perhaps a touch of ground-frost then a decent day with plenty of sunny spells and lighter winds. Less cold and dry. Max 13°C

Outlook – Changeable. Breezy with spells of rain at times but days of sunny spells in between. Most of the rain to the northwest. Temperatures around average.

September 2018 Stats

Max 23.1°C (2nd)
Min 3.2°C (24th)
Av. 12.5°C
Wettest 26mm (20th)
Windiest 40mph
Rain 85mm
Rain Days 18
Dry Days 12

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 10:45am on Wednesday the 3rd of October 2018.

 

Thursday 27th September 2018 – Sunday 30th September 2018

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Hi all,

Official Autumn is now here and there were a few chilly days earlier this week. Monday morning started with a widespread ground-frost. Lows of 3°C were recorded and grass temperatures dropped to below freezing, -0.5°C. Still time for an Indian Summer but nothing in the immediate forecast.

Thursday: A cloudy morning but remaining dry. After a few warmer days, cooler air is on the way. Once this cloud clears later to a few sunny spells, that cooler airmass will arrive. Max 16°C

Friday: A fresh start and certainly a different feel to the weather with a northerly airflow. That said, a decent day ahead with plenty of sunshine and light winds. Max 13°C

Weekend: Mostly dry but cool.

Saturday and Sunday: Pretty much similar days. Plenty of cloud but some brightness at times, especially in eastern parts. Also, a little breezy and from a cool northwesterly direction. Remaining dry though, with high pressure close by. Max 12-13°C

Outlook: High pressure staying in charge and anchored to the west of the UK. This means north to northwesterly winds will flow across the region. Remaining cool with bright spells. Any thicker cloud could produce some drizzle, especially over the hills. Any clear spells overnight leading to localised ground-frost and misty mornings.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Forecast Issued at 4:25pm on Wednesday the 26th of September 2018.

Thanks,
Jon

Thursday 20th September 2018 – Sunday 23rd September 2018

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Hi all,

So Autumn isn’t messing about. First the leftovers from ex-Hurricane Helene then Storm Ali. There is a chance we could see Storm Bronagh bring some stormy conditions to England and Wales this Sunday, assuming another storm isn’t named on Thursday night into Friday as then it would be Storm Callum. It’s all go at the moment.

Thursday: A cloudy start and briefly dry. Some patchy rain or drizzle will develop towards lunch. Into the afternoon the rain will really set in and become heavy and persistent lasting for the rest of the day. Localised flooding possible with some areas seeing up to two inches of rain. Yellow warning in place. Max 14°C

Yellow warning for heavy rain on Thursday

We could see another windy spell overnight into Friday. Another yellow warning is in place.

Warning for windy conditions overnight Thursday into Friday

Friday: Much cooler and fresher with strong west to northwesterly winds bringing frequent beefy showers. Possible hail and thunder. Max 13°C

Weekend: Saturday the calm before the storm?

Saturday: A brief ridge of high pressure with bring a calmer and drier day with bright spells. Thicker cloud during the evening bringing some light rain. Max 14°C

Sunday: Still uncertainty over this day. At the moment rain will spread in from the southwest and winds will freshen. Showers and brighter conditions later. If an area of low pressure develops, it could well be deep and with it bring very windy conditions. Yellow warning, at this moment, is in place. There is still chance that the low doesn’t develop and the rain stays away to our south. Watch this space. Max 14°C

Sunday’s warning has been issued early but remains uncertain

Outlook: Wind and rain clears early on Monday then the week should settle down with plenty of drier weather and sunny spells. Maximum temperatures in the early-teens so some chilly nights with a local ground frost in rural spots.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued at 5:25pm on Wednesday the 19th of September.
Warnings: Met Office

Thursday 13th September 2018 – Sunday 16th September 2018

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Hi all,

I’ve been working on some statistics for our Summers since 2013. Here are a few charts to compare 2018 to previous years. It shows how dry and warm Summer 2018 was.

Summers

Weather Analysis – Summers 2013-2018

I’ve been on a few walks recently to some of our local reservoirs/lakes. They are really low on water. Not surprising as Summer 2018 only had 43% of the average rainfall.

Dove Stone Reservoir

On to the forecast….

Thursday: A fresh westerly breeze. A bright start with some good spells of sunshine. Cloud increasing with just the chance of a shower or two later. Max 16°C

Friday: Mostly cloudy but dry to start. Rain pushing in from the west during the afternoon, turning showery later. Breezy. Max 15°C

Weekend: Some rain, mostly on Sunday morning.

Saturday: Bright spells for most of the day. Cloud thickening later with some rain likely overnight. Max 16°C

Sunday: Rain to start which will push away to the south-east into the afternoon. Brighter and hopefully sunnier skies to follow for the afternoon, leading to a nice end to the weekend. There is some uncertainty about the morning rain and how quickly it moves away so if you have anything planned, watch out for updates. Max 17°C 

Outlook: Becoming warmer into the early part of next week with some sunny spells and we might sneak back up to 20°C. From midweek a risk of rain returns from the west as the Jet Stream becomes lively again and temperatures will become cooler.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 7:55pm on Wednesday the 12th of September 2018

Thursday 6th September 2018 – Sunday 9th September 2018

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Hi all,

Well that’s it, summer is over. And although August was a little disappointing sunshine-wise, it was a fantastic summer. The Met Office confirmed this week that England had its hottest summer ever! It was also very dry with all months bringing us below average rainfall. I will get round to producing some stats for Summer 2018 and compare it to previous years. My guess is September will be about average. Our reservoirs certainly need rain.

Thursday: It looks like low pressure will develop and take control of our weather for a few days. So, after early sunshine we can expect showers developing,  some heavy and cooler. Max 15°C

low pressure

Low pressure close by Thursday-Saturday

Friday: Cloudy with some sunny spells. Initially it looked like a very wet day but the thoughts are that we will escape the rain (it will be to our north-east) for most of the day. Showers arriving late-evening and overnight. Max 15°C

Weekend: Sunday looks best.

Saturday: Showery rain during the morning clearing leading to some bright spells later on. Max 16°C

Sunday: The low will start to fill allowing some drier weather to take hold. Still a risk of showers but mainly to our north-west and especially in the morning. Feeling a little warmer with sunny spells. Max 18°C

Outlook: Breezy with rain in north-western parts of the UK. Drier and sunnier to the south-east. We’re sandwiched in between so drifting in and out of both conditions. Temperatures about average.

August 2018 Stats

Max 25.6°C (5th)
Min 6.8°C (30th)
Av. 15.4°C
Wettest 9mm (26th)
Windiest 28mph
Rain 48.4mm (only 53% of average)
Rain Days 17
Dry Days 14

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for updates.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 5th of September at 10:15am.
Image: http://wxcharts.eu

Thursday 30th August 2018 – Sunday 2nd September 2018

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Hi all,

August will be another month with below average rainfall (about 60% of normal). We have also lacked sunshine this month and temperatures have been pegged back for most of the time. Our average maximum temperature for August 2018, sits at 18.9°C, 0.6°C below the expected average. Will the first month of Autumn fair any better?

Thursday: Sunny spells to start then cloud bubbling up and becoming cloudy for most of the day. Dry. Max 18°C

Friday: Not much different to yesterday. Sunny spells with cloud developing. Dry again. Quite warm especially in any afternoon bright spells. Max 19°C

Weekend: Quite a lot of cloud but becoming warmer.

Saturday: Cloudy to start with some localised patchy rain. This will ease away leading to bright spells later. Warm. Max 20°C

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with some light rain or drizzle. Hopefully this will break up later leading to some very warm spells of sunshine or brightness. Max 22°C

high pressure

High pressure takes charge during the first few days of September

Outlook: High pressure will eventually build, it’s been trying to do this for a good while. So expect plenty of sunny spells and dry weather. Pleasant daytime temperatures to be had too.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 29th of August 2018 at 11:15am.
Image: https://www.netweather.tv/