Hi all,

June could well be our summer! July continues to be below-par. Let’s not be complaining though, as our summer is normally a week in May followed by another in September 😀.

June was decent but when will any of that summery weather return? I’m looking on the horizon and there’s no sign of it and we could be waiting a while. I can’t see anything happening in July now. August awaits.

Thursday: Bright spells but again there will be some scattered showers which should become confined to the south later in the day. Max 18°C Min 13°C

Friday: Take advantage of the dry morning which will dawn bright then cloud increases. Weather going downhill after lunch with rain arriving and becoming persistent and perhaps with a rumble of thunder thrown in. Winds picking up, especially into the evening and overnight. Quite a humid night. Max 16°C Min 13°C

Weekend: Low pressure in control bringing plenty of showers.

Saturday: Blustery with frequent hefty showers, risk of hail and thunder. Some brighter periods in between. Max 17°C Min 12°C

Sunday: Rinse and repeat and with more of a westerly we could see some showers merging at times. Windy and disappointingly cool. Max 16°C Min 11°C

Outlook: Look away now. Little change. Some drier and brighter interludes but generally the Jet Stream will bring spells of rain or showers and temperatures below average and struggling to get to 20°C. No sign of June’s glorious weather returning. What a poor month July has been.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 12th of July 2023 at 5:10pm.

Images: BBC Weather and http://www.wxcharts.com.

Hi all,

June, UK-wise, is set to be the warmest (hottest!) on record despite the month ending with temperatures down and fresher days around. I’ll post some statistics next week to see how it fairs locally to the previous Junes.

There are winners and losers when it’s hot and humid. Some of you love it but personally it’s too much, especially when trying to sleep. So I’m grateful of the recent fresher conditions, although some days have still been muggy despite the cloud and drizzle. I do miss the sun however and that’s making a return on Thursday.

There isn’t any sign over the next two weeks of a heatwave returning, but, long-term model runs suggest a warming mid-July; but of course we take that with a pinch of salt at this range. Meanwhile, next week will see the Jet Stream bringing weather systems in off the Atlantic so rain will be around at times.

Remember, when sunny, the UV levels are still HIGH or VERY HIGH.

Thursday: A fresh start but a sunny one. Fair-weather cloud will bubble up during the day with just the low risk of an isolated shower. Quite breezy and feeling fresher after a couple of days of muggy air. Max 18°C Min 10°C

Friday: Bright start then cloud will once again thicken and spread in from the west. Patchy drizzle is likely later in the afternoon with patchy rain arriving into the evening. Turning reasonably humid once again, therefore a warm night. Max 18°C Min 15°C

Weekend: Low pressure drives the weather.

Saturday: Low pressure will bring a day of bright spells and showers. It will be windy with 30mph gusts. Later in the day there could well be a more prolonged spell of rain. Fresher. Max 18°C Min 12°C

Sunday: Windy once more, locally gusting to 35mph. Mostly cloudy with the odd shower. Max 17°C Min 12°C

Outlook: Little change into the start of the week and that looks to be the norm for the first 10 days of July; windy, showery and temperatures about average or below. There is some support in the models for the latter part of the 2nd week of July to turn very warm or hot once again. This is certainly not set in stone and as always subject to change at this range but as you’ve seen it’s prompted the media to start posting about 40°C and days upon days of a heatwave. This for now, is nothing but clickbait.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 28th of June 2023 at 5:40pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

Despite the heatwave ending it’s stayed quite humid at times and temperatures have remained into the 20s with some very warm sunny spells; but importantly, we’ve had some welcome rainfall, with some areas seeing up to 2 inches from the torrential thundery downpours.

One particularly notable thunderstorm pushed through the region during the early hours of Sunday morning, which produced some superb thunderbolts.

Thursday: A cloudy start then some very warm sunny spells will break through. Clouds will bubble up and there will be a thundery shower or two, more so in eastern parts. Temperatures up a notch on Wednesday. Warm night ahead. Max 24°C Min 16°C

Friday: We introduce some moisture on Friday as a weather-front, albeit weakening, comes in from the west. So a mostly cloudy day after a bright start. Some light rain possible, but most look dry, a little breezy and we ramp up the humidity. A very muggy night to come despite the day being cooler on the thermometer. Max 22°C Min 17°C

Weekend: Very warm & humid. Thundery Sunday afternoon?

Saturday: A cloudy start is expected but cloud should break and sunny spells appear from the south. Temperatures will rocket and it will feel very warm to hot. There will be a refreshing and often gusty wind. Another uncomfortable night for sleeping. Max 25°C Min 17°C

Sunday: Breezy but a mostly sunny morning. Cloud is expected to increase into the afternoon with showers breaking out as another weather-front comes in from the west. A bit more of a kick to this one, so some lively showers/thunderstorms could be on the cards. A little cooler, eventually. Max 23°C Min 14°C

Outlook: High pressure to our south-west and low pressure to our north-west looks the likely set-up meaning we will pick up a westerly airflow, perhaps north-westerly at times, allowing maximum temperatures to slip away to around 20°C. Winds will be quite gusty. Bright or sunny spells expected as well as a few showers, which could be beefy.

More prolonged spells of rain are possible later in the week as the Jet Stream takes control of our weather. Thankfully it won’t be anywhere near as muggy, which will be especially noticeable at night.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 21st of June 2023 at 8:39pm.

Images: http://www.wetterzentrale.de

Hi all,

It’s now 20 days without measurable rainfall and any rainfall expected over the next ten days will come in the form of showers, which can be very localised, so that count will continue for some. Our weather is changing as we enter the weekend and you’ll certainly feel the difference, especially at night.

HIGH UV levels (7-8) through the forecast….

Thursday: Early cloud will again take time to clear away from west to east. Some sunny spells into the afternoon and still that steady north-easterly breeze. Max 19°C Min 8°C

Friday: Plenty of sunshine on offer again with a breeze but it will again start cloudy. Starting to feel a little more humid later. Becoming windier with 30mph gusts, as the isobars tighten, signalling change. Max 21°C Min 9°C

Weekend: Muggy with the risk of thunderstorms. Warmer nights noticeable.

Saturday: The recent high pressure will now have slipped away to the north-east and allow low pressure to push a little closer to the UK. This will also bring us a south-easterly/southerly airflow and introduce a much different feel to the weather, especially at night as the humidity rises. Sunny spells for the morning with cloud bubbling up into the late-afternoon and evening as thundery showers pose a risk from the south-west. Breezy. Max 25°C Min 14°C

Sunday: Bright spells and scattered thunderstorms. Muggy and not the best for sleeping . Max 24°C Min 15°C

Outlook: Staying warm, temperatures nicely into the 20s, with some sunny spells but with slightly instable air still in place, showers, thundery at times, are possible, but these will be hit-and-miss.

May 2023 Stats

Max 22.1°C (27th)
Min 6.2°C (4th)
Av. 13.0°C
Wettest 6.6mm (11th)
Av. Humidity 76%
Av. Barometer 1024.4 hPa
Max Gust 32.2mph
Av. Wind Direction NNE
Rain 23.6mm (39% of average)
Rain Registered Days 9
Dry Days 22

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th of June 2023 at 9:40pm
Images: Met Office | http://www.meteologix.com | wxcharts.com

Hi all,

No detailed weekly blog this week, just a quick summary, as I’m away relaxing on my holiday in sunny Corfu.

The overall picture for the next 7 days or so, is high pressure in charge but it looks likely that the position of the high will not favour a heatwave due to the airflow around it (i.e. we don’t drag up any heat from the South). That said, it will still be settled and warm at times with sunny spells on offer. Clear skies at night will allow for a few fresh mornings. Little to no rain expected. HIGH UV levels throughout.

Updates will continue as always on Twitter, @ChadWeather, so head over to there for your local daily forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Blog Issued: Wednesday the 24th of May 2023 at 7:56pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & Weather&Radar app.

Thanks to @Andy666666 on Twitter for the featured image.

Hi all,

I’ve played golf this week and it’s safe to say it’s drying up and quickly. May hasn’t been too bad so far and rainfall amounts are on 22.2mm (65% of the mid-month average) and with not much rain ahead, it’s going to be a dry month.

High pressure is set to mostly dominate our weather over the coming week. There will be a few weather-fronts moving south-east across the region but they will weaken as they come through the high and most of the rain-bearing clouds will stay to the north-west of the UK. This means we have a settled period of weather ahead and with the sun strong (UV 6) and very warm at this time of year; it’s going to make for some pleasant days indeed. But, no sign of a heatwave, despite what some of the media suggest. Not yet, anyway.

Thursday: Sunny spells for the morning but generally it will tend to cloud over for the afternoon. Most staying dry but the chance of a shower towards the Peak District. Max 16°C

Friday: Cloudy with some patchy rain moving south-east for the morning. Bright or sunny spells for the afternoon as the cold-front clears away with the odd shower. Max 16°C

Weekend: Warmer with some decent sunny spells. High UV levels.

Saturday: Dry with sunny spells developing. Some fair-weather cloud bubbling up during the day. Warmer. Max 19°C

Sunday: Hopefully more in the way of sunshine albeit perhaps hazy at times. Variable and light winds. Feeling very warm in the sunshine. Max 20°C

Outlook: Not much rain expected as high pressure stays close by. So apart from the odd shower we can expect plenty of warm sunny spells and some cool nights. Just the chance of it becoming even warmer towards next weekend. Not heatwave material just yet but keep your eye on the tweets.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 17th of May at 6:30pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com.

Hi all,

What no Bank Holiday Monday. I was getting used to that! Also, no 20°C recorded yet this Spring. We got close on Sunday, with a high of 19.6°C at Chadderton HQ. Although Saturday has a squeak, the outlook suggests the wait goes on, but in previous years we’ve waited longer.

Date of first 20°C in the year…

2013: 6th May
2014: 17th May
2015: 4th June
2016: 8th May
2017: 22nd May
2018: 18th April
2019: 19th April
2020: 10th April
2021: 31st March
2022: 14th May
2023: ………

Don’t forget that the sun is now as strong as it is in late-July with UV levels approaching high. Don’t forget your sun-cream on not just sunny days but also bright days. You can always see the burntime on my hourly stats on Twitter @OldhamWxStats.

Thursday: A day of some bright spells and showers breaking out, some heavy and possibly thundery with hail. Max 16°C

Friday: High pressure starts to build. So it should be a mostly dry day with bright and sunny spells developing, after a cloudy start. Just the chance of the odd shower on the hills. A fresh north-easterly breeze picking up, becoming quite gusty, taking the edge off the temperature. Max 16°C

Weekend: Saturday looks best.

Saturday: Sunny spells developing and it should all-in-all be a nice day, especially the afternoon with lighter winds. Feeling warm and 20°C seems unlikely, but at this stage not out of the question. Max 18°C

Sunday: High pressure will decline so we’re looking at a cloudier day in prospect, with winds now southerly, it will still feel reasonably warm. Rain likely overnight. Max 17°C

Outlook: Apart from a nice day on Tuesday, the week will be generally unsettled with showers, and temperatures below average, 13-16°C. A very warm summer-like spell is not likely for the foreseeable.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 10th of May 2023 at 6:35pm.

Hi all,

We’re halfway through Spring but some of the media outlets have started throwing clickbait articles out there for a mini-heatwave (they can’t happen, like a mini-tornado isn’t a thing) and 40°C temperatures this summer. Nothing but Jackanory for clicks. In truth, nobody knows what summer will bring, and temperatures reaching 40°C is about a 1% chance, so yes it’s possible but predicting what is coming in 4-5 days is hard enough let alone trying to say what summer will deliver, when we’re six weeks away from starting it, is just crazy. So you know the rule. Ignore and don’t click the link.

April can be a fickle month and we’ve certainly had some ups and downs already. Easter was nice, for most of it and we’ve had some decent sunny days but rain is never too far away. This current settled spell, albeit windy, had brought more welcome sunshine but again it’s not set to last, with rain returning before the weekend, then a cold northerly airflow drops the mercury into next week.

Thursday: A chilly start with a touch of ground-frost in the most sheltered of spots. Last of the sunny days with plenty on offer and remember it is now giving UV levels of 5, so don’t forget your suncream. It will again be windy, locally 30mph. Cloud will increase later into the evening. Pleasant where sheltered. Max 14°C

Friday: Cloud and a developing area of low pressure will bring rain. There will be the odd heavier burst and it will be showery at times. Feeling cooler with a fresh wind, again gusty. Max 10°C

Weekend: Not much to cheer about.

Saturday: With low pressure now in place it will be unsettled. Showers with some bright spells here and there. Not as windy as recent days if you’re looking for something to note as an improvement. Max 12°C

Sunday: Overall drier but it will still be cloudy with the odd area of patchy rain. Max 11°C

Outlook: Colder air will come down from the north during Sunday night leading to a chilly Monday with mostly cloudy skies. Tuesday sees some bright spells but cold with temperatures to stay in single-figures and the risk of a frost overnight is there. Similar on Wednesday before the temperature begins to recover during the latter stages of the week but it is looking to stay unsettled. The wait will be on for the next settled spell of warm sunshine and dry days.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 19th of April 2023 at 4:42pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

What a lovely few days we had earlier this week. Frosty mornings then some welcome Spring sunshine. Perfect. The rain is back but not for long. The Easter Holiday is looking good enough but goes downhill into Bank Holiday Monday.

Thursday: Cloudy with patchy rain moving away early doors albeit slowly. Sunny spells then follow, with some showers in between, some heavy with a risk of thunder. Any showers should then ease leaving a drier afternoon with some bright spells before sunset. A cooler north-westerly breeze. Max 10°C

Good Friday: High pressure returns so a decent day is expected with plenty of pleasant sunshine and light winds after a misty start. Cloud increasing later in the day from the east. Max 12°C

Weekend: Cloud to spoil the sunshine.

Saturday: A misty start again with some low-cloud which is going to be stubborn to shift. This means a cloudier day with some bright or sunny spells eventually sneaking through into the afternoon. A little milder. Max 13°C

Sunday: Bright spells fading as cloud thickens. Feeling warmer where the sun pops out. It looks set to remain dry. Max 14°C

Bank Holiday Monday: Weather-fronts will slide in from the Atlantic and the high pressure will slip away. Cloudy with some rain expected followed by heavy showers. Max 12°C

Outlook: Little change into Tuesday/Wednesday but high pressure looks set to return slowly into the second half of the week but whether it’s full-on or just a ridge lasting a couple of days is yet to be decided.

March 2023 Stats

Max 14.1°C (30th)
Min -2.1°C (8th)
Av. 6.1°C
Wettest 16.6mm (13th)
Av. Humidity 83%
Av. Barometer 1007.3 hPa
Max Gust 34.5mph
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 120.6mm (145% of average)
Rain Registered Days 26
Dry Days 5

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 5th of April 2023 at 8:46pm.

Hi,

Spring is here but temperatures have been struggling so far but at least it’s become less chilly this week and we made it into the mid-teens. But that said, the milder air comes with the added ingredient of wind and rain or even the odd thunderstorm.

Some media report 20°C for Easter but the latest suggests it’s more likely to be an average one with temperatures around normal but will high pressure make an appearance?

Meanwhile, how are the next four days looking?

Thursday: Mostly cloudy for the morning. Bright spells for the afternoon with showers developing, some heavy with a chance of hail and thunder. Showers less frequent to the west. Very mild and breezy. Max 15°C

Friday: Cloudy with an area of low pressure affecting the south of the UK meaning it’s an unsettled day with patchy rain at times. Mild but temperatures down on recent days as winds swing north-easterly. Max 13°C

Weekend: Sunday looking the better day.

Saturday: Another cloudy day with rain or drizzle at times. Lighter winds with temperatures dropping away with a northerly airflow. Max 11°C

Sunday: Hopefully some breaks in the cloud allowing for a better day especially to the west. It should be mostly dry. Max 11°C

Outlook: Like last week Monday looks a good day with bright or sunny spells. It goes downhill once again Tuesday onwards with periods of showers or longer spells of rain. Staying mild. Easter weekend looking changeable for now but there are hints that high pressure will build in leading to a settled spell of weather but nothing notably warm.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 29th of March 2023 at 7:10pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.wetterzentrale.de