Hi all,

The rain continues to fall at times as the drier-than-average months come to an end. Local reservoirs are still well below where they should be at this time of year. Levels should start to rise over the next 10 days as rain arrives courtesy of more low pressure systems. There is no sign of high pressure returning to bring settled conditions or any early-autumn warmth. We do need the rain but at least there will be some drier and brighter spells in between.

Thursday: Feeling cooler on Thursday, especially with a strong and gusty wind. After a sunny start convection will soon get going and heavy thundery showers will break out and move from west to east. Some of the downpours could be torrential. A chilly one overnight as winds ease slightly and showers decay. Max 16°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 30mph

Friday: A day of sunshine and showers, some still heavy. Windy and feeling cool at times. Max 16°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: Unsettled, low pressure nearby.

Saturday: Yep, you’ve guessed it. Bright spells and showers. Still relatively cool and windy. Max 16°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: Some prolonged rain possible for the morning.  This will turn showery later. A windy one, and how windy it becomes later depends on where a deep area of low pressure tracks. At this stage it’s likely to track to the northwest of the UK. More updates via X/Bluesky. Max 18°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 35mph

Outlook: The Jet Stream stays in charge so further bouts of wind and rain via low pressure systems with some brightness in between.

Thanks as always for reading.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecast and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 10th of September 2025 at 7:46pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & The Met Office

Hi all,

Rain is back with a vengeance. After 20 dry days in-a-row, by dry I mean no measurable rainfall, the trend has broken and I have recorded rainfall on the last 6 out of 7 days, with nearly an inch falling.

Now of course we all don’t want cloudy, miserable and wet weather, but we were in desperate need of rain. Apart from January, this year every month has seen below-average rainfall and I have a feeling that September is going to make up for this and who knows, possibly a wet autumn will follow our dry spring and summer.

First off, we have a weather warning in place for Thursday, but after this the weather will improve as high pressure nudges in for a few days before rain returns next week. Here are the details for the next 4 days.

Thursday: It’ll be a dry start apart from a chance of showers in the northwest, but cloud will soon thicken as a small feature drifts up from the southwest. This will be very lively and will introduce some rain at first and then some heavy slow-moving downpours and localised thunderstorms (especially to the southeast). As always, the thunderstorms will be hit-and-miss for some but catch one and it will be heavy and there is a potential for some flash-flooding hence the warning in place. We look most at risk between 11am and 4pm. Max 17°C Min 10°C

Friday: A few showers around during the morning but as high pressure ridges in these should ease away and sunny spells will develop as well as it turning drier. Max 19°C Min 11°C

Outlook: Not a bad weekend but changes waiting in the wings.

Saturday: It will be breezy but this will be from a warm direction so temperatures will be rising a couple of degrees. Dry with sunny spells and just the outside chance of a rogue shower. Warm night. Max 22°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: The weather will start to change once again. So a cloudier day with a few bright spells and then showers developing into the afternoon. Still breezy but unlikely to be as warm as Saturday. Max 20°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: It will turn unsettled into next week and a little bit cooler with showers or longer spells of rain on most days. Several low pressure systems will rule the roost. Temperatures returning to the mid-teens and certainly no sign of a heatwave like you are seeing being reported from some media outlets. Plenty of rain expected, especially in western parts.

Thanks as ever for reading and if you did read this post on social media please give the post a like or even a repost to spread awareness of my forecasts.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 3rd of September 2025 at 5:10pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com and BBC Weather.

Hi all,

That’s a wrap. Summer 2025 is coming to an end and it’s been a decent one at that, although gardeners and greenkeepers would certainly have wanted more in the way of rain.

Meteorologically-speaking autumn begins on Monday and the beginning of September looks set to continue the theme that we are going to end August with, and that is unsettled conditions and bands of showery rain at times. So welcome rain is coming.

We do tend to see a very warm spell in September but at the moment there is no sign of this happening, and remember this is not called an Indian Summer. This is saved for later in the year when temperatures rise to summer values.

Thursday: A day of bright spells and bands of showers driven along by a brisk southwesterly wind. As the day progresses, the showers are expected to become quite frequent and could be thundery at times. Max 18°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: A bright start with some sunny spells but again convection will get going and showers will break out, possibly heavy with hail and thunder. Max 18°C Min 11°C

Weekend: Unsettled and rain at times.

Saturday: It could well start dry but cloud will soon thicken as an area of low pressure brings heavy rain. This could well turn out to be a deep low, and depending on its track, we could well see a warning issued and perhaps a named-storm. This rain will turn showery later as the low pushes away. A disappointing afternoon looks likely. Max 17°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 40mph

Sunday: Bright spells and showers. Not as many showers as they become more confined to the west. Still windy. Max 17°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: The Jet Stream will remain in charge of our weather for the majority of next week. So we will see further unsettled conditions. Bands of showers or longer spells of rain with bright or sunny spells in between low pressure systems. Just a hint towards the end of the week of us returning to a more settled pattern with temperatures around or just above average.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 27th of August 2025 at 2:20pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.weatherzentral.de

Hi all,

Ex-hurricane Erin could well kick-start the Jet Stream next week but lots of uncertainty at this stage. Meanwhile, high pressure will influence the weather for the foreseeable but with the location of the high, this will mean that we will still drag in some cloud which can be frustrating and also hard to predict when we will have breaks in the cloud, to feel some warm sunshine, just like recent days.

We are still well below-average in terms of rainfall amounts. The months following January have all been short of the average and we certainly need rain and it looks like it favours to turn unsettled after midweek next week.

Thursday: A cooler start than recently with some clear spells but again cloud is expected to increase, if it hasn’t already, leading to a dry day with limited brightness. Max 18°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: Winds should be a little bit lighter and again another dry day with bright spells. Some areas seeing more sunshine than others but difficult to predict where the clouds will break. Max 19°C Min 13°C

Long Weekend: Warmer.

Saturday: Very little change compared to Friday, as in variable cloud amounts and with winds generally lighter. If you are stuck under some cloud it could take some while before blue skies appear. It will be slightly warmer though and if you do see some sunshine it will feel pleasant. Max 20°C Min 12°C

Sunday and Bank Holiday Monday: With summer coming to an end soon, meteorologically-speaking of course,  this long weekend does look like an ideal time to have a BBQ and I would suggest that Sunday or Monday, would be the day as it is expected to be quite warm with more in the way of sunny spells developing helped by the wind switching to a southeasterly. Max 21-23°C Min 14°C

Outlook: Initially it looked like unsettled weather was going to arrive to our shores early next week, but now it looks like it will be delayed until Wednesday or Thursday. Leading up to these days it is expected that we will not see any rainfall. After that, the Atlantic will have more of an influence on our weather. So at this stage Tuesday and Wednesday look dry with bright or sunny spells. But we looked to the west for our weather for the second half of the week and I wouldn’t be surprised to see bands of showery rain arriving.

Overall it’s been a decent summer, but as I said, some rain would be welcome and it is also long overdue for our weather to turn unsettled.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecast and warnings.

Thanks as always for reading.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 20th of August 2025 at 7:45pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

After a few days with patchy rain and some showers, the week ahead continues in a similar theme with no heatwave returning just yet. Best day of the weekend looks like Saturday.

There are signs of something more unsettled early next week then hopefully after that summer-like conditions return.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy to start, with a few showers in the south and west. These will move away quickly and then it will be a day of bright spells and a few scattered showers with more in the way of sunshine later in the day. Quite a keen northwesterly breeze. Max 20°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: Bright or sunny spells and the odd shower. A north to northwesterly airflow so not as muggy. Max 19°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: Sunnier on Saturday.

Saturday: Mostly dry with plenty of sunny spells developing. Again, a fresh breeze and still the low chance of an isolated shower early on. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: Any bright spells soon fading as cloud thickens from the northwest bringing a spell of rain, some heavy which will turn patchy after midday. Feeling more humid once again. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 15mph

Outlook: At this stage Monday and into Tuesday looks unsettled with details uncertain. After that high pressure should build in bringing warmer sunnier days but how long it lasts is the question.

Thanks for reading as always.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for updates and warnings.

Cheers, 
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 30th of July 2025 at 6:50pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

No sunny heatwave over the coming days but temperatures will be into the early-20s but as well as feeling muggy there will be some rain in the mix too.

After an unsettled spell, I’m hopeful (but it’s now looking increasingly unlikely) that an area of high pressure will be close by to keep our weather a bit more settled into next week with temperatures expected to return to normal.

Tuesday was a very wet day compared to recent times with 17.8mm falling at Chadderton HQ making it the wettest day since January the 5th. Just what the gardens needed after months of below-average rainfall.

Thursday: Humid on Thursday and a cloudy morning as a weakening band of rain and drizzle moves through. Into the afternoon it will slowly become brighter and the sunshine could set off a few localised hefty showers. Warm overnight. Max 22°C Min 15°C

Friday: Very warm with sunny spells but also the chance of an isolated shower, especially during the morning. Another muggy one. Max 24°C Min 16°C

Weekend: Feeling close and wet at times.

Saturday: Some uncertainty for Saturday’s forecast. At this stage we could see an area of low pressure drift up from the south. It will be a warm day but after any brightness during the morning cloud will thicken and rain or thundery showers will spread up from the south. Max 23°C Min 15°C

Sunday: A day of bright spells and showers which could be thundery and increase in frequency later in the day. Still warm especially overnight. Max 23°C Min 15°C

Outlook: It did look like an area of high pressure will ridge in from the southwest as the week progresses, but now it looks like it could remain unsettled as the high can’t push in and the jet stream brings in occasional showery rain from the west. Hard to pin down any details at this stage.

Thanks for reading as always.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 16th of July 2025 at 6:30pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com & http://www.netweather.tv

Hi all,

Personally, I’m not a fan once temperatures start to get into the mid-20s or beyond. Obviously I’m talking about this country where heat is usually accompanied by high dew points leading to humid conditions and uncomfortable nights trying to get to sleep.

I’ll be keeping an eye on the dew points and the humidity over the course of the heatwave, as it’s likely that the first couple of days will not be as muggy as you would expect. As the temperature rises day-on-day and the nights become warmer and the heatwave starts to reach its latter stage, it is likely that the humidity and dew point values will rise which some people will find unpleasant.

If you love a heatwave and hot conditions with plenty of sunny spells, then this forecast is for you.

Thursday: A heatwave is not declared until we have three consecutive days of 25°C or above. So technically the heatwave will not be confirmed until Saturday, but because we are confident that temperatures will exceed the threshold then today is the first day of the heatwave which is expected to last 5 days. Mostly light winds. Very warm sunny spells and not too humid for now. Max 26°C Min 15°C

Friday: Hot and sunny with light and variable winds. Max 30°C Min 17°C

Weekend: A scorcher.

Saturday: Another hot or very hot and sunny day. Hopefully a little bit of a breeze into the afternoon. A very low chance of an isolated thunderstorm but it seems highly unlikely. A warm night for sleeping. Starting to become more humid. Max 32°C Min 18°C

Sunday: Rinse and repeat for Sunday. If any difference perhaps the breeze will have picked up a little bit which will bring a bit of relief from a very hot day. Again, a very low risk of a shower on the hills. Fans on full blast for bedtime. Max 31°C Min 19°C

Outlook: The heat could eventually trigger some localised thundery downpours on Monday but this could well be delayed until Tuesday such is the uncertainty at this stage. But what looks certain is that the heatwave threshold will end with cooler temperatures arriving on Tuesday but still humid. After that the week looks warm, early-20s, muggy and with bright spells and heavy thundery showers.

Follow @ChadWeather on X for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always for reading.

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 9th of July 2025 at 5:30pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Hi all,

As mentioned last week we didn’t experience a heatwave across the majority of Northwest England this week. We actually only saw one day exceed 25°C as the majority of the heat plume was reserved for more southern and eastern parts of England.

That said, it’s been uncomfortably muggy and hard to get to sleep at night, even with fans on in the bedroom. Thankfully a cold-front has now brought fresher air from the west and the evenings, for now, will be a bit more pleasant when turning in for the night.

Make the most of the next couple of days as we’ll see plenty of sunshine on offer and more pleasant temperatures but unfortunately the weekend is looking unsettled with low pressure in charge. Also with a lot more moisture in the air, the dew point will increase and again it will become quite humid.

Thursday: Windy at times but plenty of sunny spells. Can’t rule out an isolated shower. Temperatures around average so feeling pleasant in the sunshine, especially without the humidity. Max 20°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: A similar day. Plenty of sunny spells, mainly dry, just the outside chance of a shower but the risk is low and another breezy one. Cloud will begin to thicken towards evening and patchy rain will arrive and a more humid airmass will set in overnight. Max 21°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 20mph

Weekend: Rain at times but some drier spells.

Saturday: The morning looks cloudy with patchy rain. In the afternoon we might see a few bright spells develop, as the wind increases breaking the cloud up, but we can still expect some showers. Max 19°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: The second half of the weekend looks like a day of bright spells and showers after a mostly cloudy start. Again, a breezy one and temperatures slightly below average. Max 18°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: Another showery day on Monday and then the following few days seem a bit of a mixed bag. There’ll be high pressure to the southwest of the UK and low pressure or bands of showers to the northwest. We will be sandwiched in between, so we can expect bright spells and equally some showers. Temperatures below average until later in the week when they should return to the early twenties with some welcome sunshine returning in time for the weekend. No sign of another heatwave across our region just yet.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 2nd of July 2025 at 2:40pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com.

Hi all,

Where is time going? Almost a third of summer done.

So far June has an average temperature of 15.6°C which makes it the joint-second warmest June I’ve recorded with records back to June 2013. June 2023 was the warmest at 17.3°C. This is mostly down to some warm and muggy nights, and we have some more of these to come this week.

Thursday: A band of rain to start which will turn showery towards lunchtime. Generally turning brighter and drier into the afternoon but also fresher and windier. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 30mph

Friday: There will be a new weather-front close by to our northwest on Friday. Parts of the region close to this front could well see some light rain with most places cloudy. Some bright spells in the southeast are possible. Starting to turn quite humid and windy again. Warm night. Max 22°C Min 17°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: The thermometer rises into Sunday.

Saturday: Some early rain should move on quite quickly and then a breezy day with sunny spells and mostly dry conditions. Becoming very warm. Max 24°C Min 16°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: Some stubborn cloud to clear and very warm to hot with sunny spells developing. Not as windy as recently. Max 25°C Min 16°C

Outlook: Monday will be another hot one with plenty of sunny spells. Fresher air will arrive on Tuesday with a few showers blown in on a northwesterly wind. After that becomes a little bit more uncertain, but a ridge of high pressure nudging up from the Azores is currently the favourable outcome. So we do see some hot weather as we enter next week but it will be short-lived and shouldn’t reach the heatwave threshold.

Thanks for stopping by to read. Follow @ChadWeather on X or Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 25th of June 2025 at 5pm

Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com & http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

Spring was a belter, very dry and with some really warm days, but summer hasn’t got off to the best of starts. That said, we are about to experience our first heatwave of the season.

There is a certain threshold for it to be classed as a heatwave and no matter how long it lasts, there is no such thing as a “mini-heatwave”.

So far this year the warmest temperature I’ve recorded, came in April (30th) with a high of 25.9°C. That will certainly get beaten over the next few days. There’s an outside chance that somewhere could see 30°C. As we head into the weekend there will be a bit of a welcome breeze picking up and eventually cooler air and also the risk of a thunderstorm or two.

Hot days and warm nights ahead but how long will the heatwave last?

Thursday: A southerly airflow and plenty of hazy sunshine, making it feel toasty from mid-morning onwards as temperatures rocket. With light winds the heat will build and it will be hot into the afternoon. Overnight, expect a warm one but a bit breezier. Max 29°C Min 17°C

Friday: Another hot day but at least a wind will have picked up, helping those who hate the heat. Plenty of sunny spells and there’s a chance that some cloud could bubble up and set off an isolated shower towards evening but the risk is low. An uncomfortable night for sleeping. Max 28°C Min 18°C

💡 Heatwave safety tip: Keep pets cool and drink plenty of fluids with your BBQ 😉.

Weekend: Change into Sunday. Thunderstorms possible.

Saturday: Starting to feel more humid and after a morning of sunny spells, cloud is expected to bubble up and there will be a few scattered thundery downpours into the afternoon/evening and also overnight. Again it will be breezy and a switch to a westerly wind later into the night. Max 29°C Min 16°C

Sunday: Winds are now expected from a westerly direction, so this will have an impact on the temperature knocking it back down several degrees. Another reasonable day ahead with sunny spells but it will be breezy and there is a slight chance of an afternoon or evening shower which could be thundery. Max 23°C Min 15°C

Outlook: A mixed bag into next week with bright spells and a few showers. Temperatures returning to 19-20°C for a few days and then becoming a little bit warmer towards the end of the week and hopefully high pressure will build again. But at this stage what pans out after midweek next week is uncertain. So stay tuned to my social media accounts for updates.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of June 2025 at 6:16pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & BBC Weather