Thursday 28th January 2016 – Sunday 31st January 2016

Hi all,

It’s wet and wild whilst I write this blog. Not dissimilar to yesterday when ex-storm Jonas, which brought parts of the U.S. 2-3 feet of snow, rattled across the UK. This is a sure sign that the Jet Stream is back in charge of our weather, depressing news for proper cold- and snow-lovers.

The next few days sees an up-and-down trend in temperatures across the region as we swing from one side of the Jet Stream to the other.

powerful jet

A powerful Jet Stream still controlling our weather

After a mostly wet, windy and mild Wednesday we sit on the cold side of the Jet Stream on Thursday. A cold start with a rural frost; so perhaps some deicing before work for some. Feeling much colder with sunny spells but cloud increases during the day with some rain or showers expected into the afternoon, some heavy. Winds will again increase; gale-force gusts overnight. Cold during daylight hours but temperatures rising again into the evening. Max 8°C.

Again it is milder into Friday but it will not feel so with very windy conditions. Gusts to 55mph in exposed places is likely, especially so during the morning. Showers at times on the westerly wind and more general rain overnight. Max 12°C.

I did say a few days ago that we won’t see any more snow in January. Saturday will be cold enough for some wintry showers so we could see some hail and possibly some sleet or snow showers in areas above 350M. Not exactly a major snow-event but a reminder that it’s winter and enough for the Met Office to issue a warning for further north. Max 5°C.

wintry showers on sat net

Wintry showers with some snow to higher ground is possible on Saturday

snow warning

Warning for snow and ice issued for Cumbria showing winter is still close by

Overnight into Sunday and it looks like rain will return from the south-west and with it milder temperatures once more. Certainly weather that can’t make its mind up. Max 11°C.

mild temps from the SW on Sun

After a colder Saturday; milder air returns from the south-west during Sunday

Looking ahead and next week could start with more gales on Monday. After that, sunshine and showers with tempertures back down into single-figures. I’m still going for a chance of some decent cold and bitter temperatures from mid-February. As always, no-one knows and this is just my hunch.

more gales on Monday

Next week starts with more gale-force gusts

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to catch all the latest weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Photos/Data: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk, http://www.metoffice.gov.uk and netweather.tv.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Forecast issued at 14:00 on Wednesday 27th January 2016

Thursday 24th December 2015 – Sunday 27th December 2015

Hi all,

Firstly, I’d like to wish you all a very happy Christmas and all the best for 2016. Have a good one folks.

Now unfortunately it isn’t going to be a White Christmas as December keeps up the wet and mild theme. However, there is the possibly of some stormy weather on the way before the year is out.

It will start wet and windy on Christmas Eve as rain sweeps through from the tail-end of Storm Eva. It will be followed on by sunshine and some showers. Cooler as the day progresses.  Max 9°C.

Christmas Day will start chilly across the region with the possibility of a local ground frost. Cloud will thicken and rain will arrive during the day to give a wet afternoon and turning much milder into the evening. Max 11°C.

All eyes on Boxing Day as a band of rain could become stagnant across the northwest. It will be mild and breezy but there is concern that the rain could be persistent and heavy and introduce localised flooding but there is a chance it could linger away further north than our location. One to watch. Max 11°C.

Boxing_Day_Rain

Boxing Day rain-risk

The rain should slowly ease away on Sunday leaving a cloudy day but drier with the mild conditions continuing under southerly winds. Max 12°C.

Looking ahead to next week and there is a chance of some stormy weather after a few more mild and breezy days. The GFS computer model has an intense storm for the 30th of December which would certainly cause issues. Looking further ahead and obviously open to change, there is another storm looming on the GFS for the first day of 2016 and it is a whopper! As you know predicting this far ahead is daft, as it changes so often, but I am getting this feeling that we are in for a notable storm within the next 10 days. Hang on to your hats!

30_storm

Possible storm on the 30th?


01_storm

Even stronger storm to welcome in 2016?

To keep up to date with all your local weather then follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Enjoy the festive break.

Jon

Thursday 3rd December 2015 – Sunday 6th December

Hi all,

Wet wet wet. The only way to describe the last week and the month of November which turned out to be the wettest month I’ve ever recorded with 231.8mm of rain falling. The previous record was 185.4mm in December 2012.

We are now in the meteorological winter and we start December mild with more rain on the way. 

Thursday will see rain across the region. Some heavy bursts, especially on the hills with a risk of localised flooding once again. It will clear later in the evening. Mild and breezy with cooler air following on overnight. Max 11°C.

Friday promises to be the best day we’ve had for a while. We are in between weather systems so bright spells and it should remain dry albeit windy. Cooler and winds increasing overnight with gale-force gusts. Max 9°C.

It all gets a bit complicated into the weekend. 

A band of heavy rain will move in on Saturday associated with some gusty winds. It will move from NW to SE and remain very windy throughout with 60mph gusts possible. A warning is already in place. Milder for a time. Max 10°C.

Still very windy early on Sunday but easing quickly. Still quite cloudy with some rain or showers at times. Possibly brighter & drier later. Mild temperatures for December. Max 12°C.

Next week looks cooler with temperatures dropping to more typical December values.

For updates on this weekend’s possible stormy weather follow @ChadWeather on Twitter. 

Thanks for reading. 

Jon