Hi all,

The unsettled theme will continue over the coming days. Ex-hurricane Melissa will affect the Jet Stream next week (no doubt the media will pick up on this). No sign of any wintry weather, just mild at times and wet spells for the foreseeable.

Thursday: A chilly start with perhaps a few localised areas of mist and fog and ground-frost. It should be a decent day for most of it, but cloud will thicken into the afternoon and evening after a morning of sunny spells. Rain will arrive before the end of the day and also into the evening. It will become quite windy and also be turning milder. Max 11°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 30mph

Friday: Rain will have gone through the region overnight, always a bonus to have rain overnight rather than during the daytime. That said, there will be a few showers around as well as sunny spells. These showers more likely later in the day spreading up from the southwest with the odd heavy one and perhaps a rumble of thunder. Winds now coming from a warmer direction. Max 15°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: Cooler with rain or showers to dodge.

Saturday: There’s likely to be some rain around during the morning which will turn showery into the afternoon. It will tend to be drier during the evening if you’re heading to a local bonfire, but I cannot rule out showers continuing into the evening. Cooler.  Max 11°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: Sunday looks a better day, bright spells and a bit of a lull from recent days. So not as windy but still breezy and just a shower or two. Max 10°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: Unfortunately, it does look like the Jet Stream will remain active next week so we can expect a mixture of unsettled conditions with rain at times and a few areas of low pressure bringing this rain and wind. But also, a few calmer spells in between with bright spells and a few showers. So similar to what we’ve had over the last 2 weeks. The remnants of ex-hurricane Melissa will get picked up by the Jet Stream and this will develop into a low pressure system coming in from the west, but at this stage it looks likely to track towards Iceland and northwest Scotland early in the week. 

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 29th of October 2025 at 6:43pm

Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com, Met Office and the National Hurricane Center.

Hi all,

Another named-storm will affect the UK on Thursday, this time named by Meteo France. At the time of writing there is still a little bit of uncertainty on its track. What does this mean for us?

We will see some rain from the low pressure system, as its northwestern edge affects the region. As the low starts to pull away, we will also see an increase in wind speed, nothing unusual for the time of year with winds gusting to around 30 to 40mph. Most of the rain will soon turn showery and with the low pressure moving away into the North Sea, this means a colder northerly airflow will slowly set in during the days that follow.

Thursday: Heavy rain early on, clearing as Storm Benjamin moves east. Winds strengthen from the northwest with showers. Max 10°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 35mph

Friday: Breezy with sunshine and scattered showers, some heavy. Overnight may bring a ground-frost in sheltered parts. Max 10°C Min 5°C Max Gusts 20mph

Saturday: Strong northerly winds will make it feel cold despite sunny spells. A few showers possible but these decaying overnight where it will turn cold with a touch of frost in places. Max 9°C Min 2°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: Bright start, then cloud and showery rain from the northwest. Still breezy. Milder air returning. Max 10°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: High pressure will settle the weather down for a couple of days before it turns unsettled at times again and much milder. Temperatures could well make the mid-teens.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 22nd of October 2025 at 6:30pm

Images: ITV Weather, http://www.wxcharts.com & The Met Office.

Hi all,

Not much has been happening this week as we have been stuck under a large area of high pressure. Unfortunately it wasn’t a sunny high pressure as cloud has become trapped underneath the pressure pattern in what’s known as anticyclonic gloom.

At least there have been some inversions around leading to sunnier skies if you venture high up.

It’s been a “dry” 10 days now with rainfall limited to patchy drizzle. This break has been welcomed after a very wet September and start to October. That said, we are still well below average for the year and under drought conditions.

Thursday & Friday: Another dry day with plenty of cloud. Overcast conditions widespread once again, but there could well be some bright spells in western areas for a few lucky ones and also there could be a few bright spells peeking out of the cloud on the highest hilltops. Temperatures similar to the last few days. Max 13°C Min 6°C

Weekend: Changes slowly arriving.

Saturday: We will start to pick up a southeasterly breeze now and this will help to break up the doom and gloom. Another dry day with sunny spells developing. Max 14°C Min 8°C

Sunday: The wind will continue to increase but this won’t mean more sunshine. In fact weather-fronts and low pressure will be approaching from the west. Cloud will thicken and we can expect some patchy rain to start to move in. Timings are a little uncertain at this stage but rain most likely from early-afternoon. Feeling cool in the gusty wind. Max 14°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: More of an unsettled mobile weather pattern with the Jet Stream across the UK. Showers or spells of rain with drier and brighter skies in between. Temperatures hovering in the early-teens with no sign of anything significant cold (ignore the media) or warm. Looks like no Indian Summer spell this year.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks, as always for reading, and if you can, please repost it on X/Bluesky to help others plan their weekend.

Ta,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of October at 12:42pm
Images: BBC Weather (and the inversion below the hills is off X. Apologies but I can’t remember who I got it from).

Hi all,

After a very wet September and start to October, high pressure is returning from the west. Initially the high will have some weather-fronts coming over the top of it which will bring frustrating cloud amounts. 

Thursday: Any early brightness will fade and cloud will spread in leading to a dull day and feeling a little cool especially in the breeze. Max 16°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 20mph

Friday: Hopefully, more in the way of brightness as the dry weather, with a slight breeze, continues. Cloud will be hard to predict though. Any clear skies overnight leading to patchy mist and fog. Max 16°C Min 7°C

Weekend: Light winds and settled.

Saturday: It should be a nice day with sunny spells after the morning’s mist and fog clears. Light winds aiding mist and fog to form again overnight. Max 16°C Min 8°C

Sunday: Very similar but a notable change to an easterly wind, could drag in some cloud from the North Sea later in the day. Max 16°C Min 8°C

Outlook: High pressure firmly in charge but with a northeasterly or easterly setup, it could well be a disappointing few days with cloud dragged in from the east being trapped under the high pressure leading to cool-feeling days and some localised drizzle. We could well see some inversions in place, so heading up high to see the sunshine could well be the plan.

Temperatures remain similar. Later in the week a shift to a southeasterly airflow and drier air will hopefully bring more in the way of sunshine as the high pressure stays firm and the lack of significant rain continues.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 8th October 2025 at 1:58pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.weathermodels.com

Hi all,

September turned out to be a very wet month, surpassing January as the wettest month of the year. We are still below average in terms of rainfall for the duration of the year, but with further rain on the way and the autumn and winter months to come, it’ll be interesting to see how close we get to the yearly average after some very dry months.

Obviously you will see a lot of over-the-top media reporting on the weather that’s due this weekend. A deep area of low pressure will be tracking to the north west of the UK and it has been named by the Met Office as Storm Amy. The first named-storm of the season. We will miss the worst of the winds but there is a warning out for western parts of the region where we could see gusts to 60mph. This is nothing unusual for this time of year.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a few bright spells here and there and winds increasing. It’ll remain dry for most of the daylight hours with rain, eventually arriving late evening and becoming heavy from the west. Winds will also increase and becoming gusty overnight. Max 18°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 35mph

Friday: Any early rain will clear, then a day of bright spells and a few showers and then the clouds will increase again later in the day. Late evening and overnight the wind will increase and the rain will become heavy. Max 17°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 30mph

Weekend: Cooler, windy and wet at times.

Saturday: Storm Amy will firmly be in place now, so after early rain clears we can expect a day of sunshine and very blustery showers. The westerly wind will make it feel cool too and temperatures will be lower than recently. Max 14°C Min 7°C Max Gusts 50mph

Sunday: Still a windy day but not as windy or as wet as yesterday. Mostly cloudy skies with just a few showers. Max 15°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 30mph

Outlook: Still remaining a little unsettled on Monday and Tuesday with mostly cloudy skies and just a few showers or some patchy rain around. Not all weather models agree but there are signs of high pressure trying its best to build in from the west from midweek onwards. So fingers crossed for this happening, so the weather settles down with sunny spells and some chilly nights with fog.

Thanks as always, for stopping by to read, I hope you find these blogs useful.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 1st of October 2025 at 6:31pm

Images: BBC Weather & http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

After Saturday’s horrendous rainfall (40-80mm) and chilly wind, our weather turned colder but thankfully drier with some decent sunny spells. We also saw our first ground-frost of the season (grass temp -1.3°C here) with a few localised pockets of air-frost, which is not unusual for the time of year.

High pressure is in charge of our weather, but there will be a bit of a hiccup this weekend before drier weather and high pressure returns into next week. No sign of any significant torrential rain like we saw to start last weekend and no sign of any significant cold or warmth.

Ex-hurricane Gabrielle (later this week) will influence the Jet Stream so our weather will be hard to predict as we go into next week.

Thursday: Any early mist and fog clearing to a decent day. Dry with sunny spells. A fresh easterly breeze. Pleasantly warm in the sunshine and UV levels are still medium. Max 19°C Min 6°C

Friday: Sunny spells and cloud increasing later in the day. Dry and still a little breezy. Max 17°C Min 8°C

Weekend: High pressure replaced by low pressure.

Saturday:  Feeling cooler than recently with cloudy skies and rain coming in from the west, turning patchy later. Max 15°C Min 8°C

Sunday: A better day with early rain fizzling out to a day of sunny spells and a few isolated showers. Chilly overnight.  Max 17°C Min 5°C

Outlook: High pressure to just stay in control, albeit situated across eastern Europe. Plenty of dry weather with sunny spells, fresh nights, and with temperatures into the mid-teens. Later in the week turning a little cooler but as mentioned earlier there will be a lot of uncertainty.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 24th of September 2025 at 5:20pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & Liam Dutton on X.

Hi all,

Are you all still wanting rain? September has been a very wet month and in fact is now the second wettest month of the year and will probably supersede January 2025 after the rain that’s coming this weekend.

We will end up with more rain in September than we did in March, April, May and August combined! Even though that’s taking into account the rest of September, we are likely to surpass the total for those 4 months this weekend. It’s been that wet.

It’s that time of year again where the tabloids start to write articles which are complete and utter nonsense. There’s been the mention of snow flurries and temperatures down to 0° C across England and Wales which is utter rubbish. Even though it is going to get colder on Sunday, the only snow that will be around will be for the tops of the highest Scottish mountains.

Ahead of low pressure this weekend, we will be dragging up some warm and muggy air and temperatures into the southeast of the UK will be into the mid-20s with a late burst of summer heat. We will be in this warm air on Thursday and Friday, but it will be slowly turning cooler during the weekend as well as being wet. Here are the daily details.

Thursday: A weather-front will move north through the region during the morning bringing a little bit of rain. The afternoon should tend to be cloudy but mostly dry bar the odd shower and becoming quite humid. It will also be windy. Max 20°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 30mph

Friday: We remain in the warm air and it will be breezy. There might be a few splashes of rain around, but it will tend to be mostly cloudy with a few bright spells until later in the day when rain starts slipping in from the west. Max 20°C Min 13°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: Turning colder and wet at times.

Saturday: Cloudy with light rain becoming heavier. There will be a weather-front straddled across the country and it is uncertain where this will be at this stage but it is likely to be across our region which means the rain will continue into the afternoon and the amount of rain we see could be worthy of a warning. As this band of rain slowly sinks southwards, now as a low pressure system, cooler air will be filtering down as winds switch to a more northerly direction. Max 16°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 25mph

Sunday: It is likely that there will be some rain around still during the morning. This will clear away to the south and colder air will filter down. Becoming quite chilly in the breeze but a drier end to the day. Max 13°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 20mph

Outlook: At the moment there’s quite a bit of uncertainty for next week, but it looks likely that high pressure will be around from Monday to Wednesday. This will settle the weather down with temperatures in the late-teens and with some sunny spells. Uncertainty towards the second half of the week with perhaps a few showers breaking out and low pressure drifting up from the south. No sign of any snow.

Thanks as always for reading and please follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky if you would like frequent weather forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 17th of September 2025 at 5:40pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

The rain continues to fall at times as the drier-than-average months come to an end. Local reservoirs are still well below where they should be at this time of year. Levels should start to rise over the next 10 days as rain arrives courtesy of more low pressure systems. There is no sign of high pressure returning to bring settled conditions or any early-autumn warmth. We do need the rain but at least there will be some drier and brighter spells in between.

Thursday: Feeling cooler on Thursday, especially with a strong and gusty wind. After a sunny start convection will soon get going and heavy thundery showers will break out and move from west to east. Some of the downpours could be torrential. A chilly one overnight as winds ease slightly and showers decay. Max 16°C Min 6°C Max Gusts 30mph

Friday: A day of sunshine and showers, some still heavy. Windy and feeling cool at times. Max 16°C Min 8°C Max Gusts 25mph

Weekend: Unsettled, low pressure nearby.

Saturday: Yep, you’ve guessed it. Bright spells and showers. Still relatively cool and windy. Max 16°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 30mph

Sunday: Some prolonged rain possible for the morning.  This will turn showery later. A windy one, and how windy it becomes later depends on where a deep area of low pressure tracks. At this stage it’s likely to track to the northwest of the UK. More updates via X/Bluesky. Max 18°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 35mph

Outlook: The Jet Stream stays in charge so further bouts of wind and rain via low pressure systems with some brightness in between.

Thanks as always for reading.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecast and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 10th of September 2025 at 7:46pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & The Met Office

Hi all,

Rain is back with a vengeance. After 20 dry days in-a-row, by dry I mean no measurable rainfall, the trend has broken and I have recorded rainfall on the last 6 out of 7 days, with nearly an inch falling.

Now of course we all don’t want cloudy, miserable and wet weather, but we were in desperate need of rain. Apart from January, this year every month has seen below-average rainfall and I have a feeling that September is going to make up for this and who knows, possibly a wet autumn will follow our dry spring and summer.

First off, we have a weather warning in place for Thursday, but after this the weather will improve as high pressure nudges in for a few days before rain returns next week. Here are the details for the next 4 days.

Thursday: It’ll be a dry start apart from a chance of showers in the northwest, but cloud will soon thicken as a small feature drifts up from the southwest. This will be very lively and will introduce some rain at first and then some heavy slow-moving downpours and localised thunderstorms (especially to the southeast). As always, the thunderstorms will be hit-and-miss for some but catch one and it will be heavy and there is a potential for some flash-flooding hence the warning in place. We look most at risk between 11am and 4pm. Max 17°C Min 10°C

Friday: A few showers around during the morning but as high pressure ridges in these should ease away and sunny spells will develop as well as it turning drier. Max 19°C Min 11°C

Outlook: Not a bad weekend but changes waiting in the wings.

Saturday: It will be breezy but this will be from a warm direction so temperatures will be rising a couple of degrees. Dry with sunny spells and just the outside chance of a rogue shower. Warm night. Max 22°C Min 14°C Max Gusts 20mph

Sunday: The weather will start to change once again. So a cloudier day with a few bright spells and then showers developing into the afternoon. Still breezy but unlikely to be as warm as Saturday. Max 20°C Min 12°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: It will turn unsettled into next week and a little bit cooler with showers or longer spells of rain on most days. Several low pressure systems will rule the roost. Temperatures returning to the mid-teens and certainly no sign of a heatwave like you are seeing being reported from some media outlets. Plenty of rain expected, especially in western parts.

Thanks as ever for reading and if you did read this post on social media please give the post a like or even a repost to spread awareness of my forecasts.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 3rd of September 2025 at 5:10pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com and BBC Weather.

Hi all,

That’s a wrap. Summer 2025 is coming to an end and it’s been a decent one at that, although gardeners and greenkeepers would certainly have wanted more in the way of rain.

Meteorologically-speaking autumn begins on Monday and the beginning of September looks set to continue the theme that we are going to end August with, and that is unsettled conditions and bands of showery rain at times. So welcome rain is coming.

We do tend to see a very warm spell in September but at the moment there is no sign of this happening, and remember this is not called an Indian Summer. This is saved for later in the year when temperatures rise to summer values.

Thursday: A day of bright spells and bands of showers driven along by a brisk southwesterly wind. As the day progresses, the showers are expected to become quite frequent and could be thundery at times. Max 18°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 25mph

Friday: A bright start with some sunny spells but again convection will get going and showers will break out, possibly heavy with hail and thunder. Max 18°C Min 11°C

Weekend: Unsettled and rain at times.

Saturday: It could well start dry but cloud will soon thicken as an area of low pressure brings heavy rain. This could well turn out to be a deep low, and depending on its track, we could well see a warning issued and perhaps a named-storm. This rain will turn showery later as the low pushes away. A disappointing afternoon looks likely. Max 17°C Min 11°C Max Gusts 40mph

Sunday: Bright spells and showers. Not as many showers as they become more confined to the west. Still windy. Max 17°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 25mph

Outlook: The Jet Stream will remain in charge of our weather for the majority of next week. So we will see further unsettled conditions. Bands of showers or longer spells of rain with bright or sunny spells in between low pressure systems. Just a hint towards the end of the week of us returning to a more settled pattern with temperatures around or just above average.

Follow @ChadWeather on X and Bluesky for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 27th of August 2025 at 2:20pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.weatherzentral.de