Colder spell on the way, risk of snow showers – Thursday 12th January 2023 – Sunday 15th January 2023

Hi all,

What a horrible spell of weather we are experiencing right now. Today marks day 27 in-a-row of measurable rainfall. During that time we’ve had 174mm of rain! This equates to around 158% of the average. The second half of December and the first third of January, have quite simply, been a disgrace!

Thursday: Early rain/showers will eventually fade away to bring a drier spell during the second half of the morning. Showers will return into the afternoon, some heavy. Milder again but windy once more, especially overnight with a risk of localised 50-60mph gusts for a short time. Get those bins secured! Max 10°C

Early hours of Friday morning could be lively

Friday: After a very windy night it will stay windy with showers being driven in on a strong westerly. Cooler once again. Max 7°C

Weekend: More rain before turning colder.

Saturday: There will be a spell of rain in the morning, that will turn showery. Showers will continue into the afternoon with the risk of hail and thunder. Again, it will be windy making it feel chilly. Max 7°C

Sunday: Sunday seems to be the day that we switch to colder air and with this the showers will start to turn wintry but will also ease later in the day. As what seems to be the norm recently it will be windy and with this wind-chill it will make it feel around 0°C. Any overnight showers could leave some snow on the hills. Locally frosty overnight too. Max 5°C

Outlook: Monday and Tuesday look particularly cold with temperatures struggling to 4°C. Weather-fronts/troughs slipping in from the west or northwest will bring spells of wintry showers which could lead to a covering of snow in places, especially on higher ground. The nights will be cold too with the return of some frosts. It looks like from the middle of the week onwards temperatures will recover a little bit, meaning the showers will not be as wintry and you never know we just might slip in a dry day along the way, which is massively overdue.

Wintry showers to bring some snow-cover early next week?

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest warnings and forecasts.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 11th of January 2023 at 7:30pm.
Images: &
Cover Image: @GazDean1 on Twitter

Yet more wind and rain – Thursday 5th January 2023 – Sunday 8th January 2023

Hi all,

Happy New Year to you all and all the best for 2023.

I’ve not had time to collate the statistics for 2022 yet and I’m still working on putting together all of my weather data since August 2012 which will be made available for anyone to view. Watch this space.

As for the here and now the new year has started off how 2022 ended. Mild, wet and occasionally windy. It’s been relentless this rain and today is day 20 in a row of measurable rainfall and that number will continue to rise.

Thursday: A bright start but cloudier as the day progresses with a few showers. Rain overnight. Breezy. Mild. Max 12°C

Friday: After overnight rain it will turn drier with a few bright spells, so a better day. A little cooler. Breezy. Cloudier towards evening. Max 9°C

Weekend: Little change.

Saturday: Cloudy with a band of heavy rain moving through during the morning, which could be squally. Bright spells and some showers follow. Windy at times and still mild. Max 10°C

Sunday: An area of low pressure will dominate so it’s a windy and very showery day, perhaps with hail and thunder and lightning. A little cooler. Max 8°C

Outlook: The Jet Stream will remain active and control our weather driving areas of low pressure across the Atlantic to our shores. So windy at times with spells of rain or showers and mild. Odd cooler slot in between weather systems. Hints of something more settled and cooler after that but certainly no sign of any wintry conditions.

Low pressure after low pressure bringing rain and wind over the next 7-10 days

December 2022 Stats

Max 13.3°C (19th)
Min -8.0°C (15th)
Av. 3.2°C
Wettest 18.2mm (31st)
Av. Humidity 90%
Av. Barometer 1011.3 hPa
Max Gust 29.9mph
Av. Wind Direction SSW
Rain 94mm (74% of average)
Rain Registered Days 20
Dry Days 11

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.



Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 4th of January 2023 at 5:05pm


Unsettled theme continues – Thursday 29th December 2022 – Bank Holiday Monday 2nd January 2023

Hi all,

Another year comes to an end. The older you get the quicker time goes and every winter doesn’t seem like it was years ago. At least this winter started with a very notable cold spell with some lovely blue skies and Arctic air. We’ve returned to a more typical December now, with wind, rain and milder temperatures. This pattern can clearly be seen on December’s charts below. Data from Chadderton HQ via a Davis Vantage Pro 2.

December 2022 – Max temperature per day
December 2022 – Min temperature per day
December 2022 – Total rainfall per day

Thursday: Windy and feeling cold with a strong wind. Bright spells here and there but equally some wintry showers, especially across the north. Max 7°C

Friday: Early rain clearing quickly to blustery showers, some could be thundery. Milder and windy. Max 10°C

The Jet Stream is right across the UK.

New Year’s Eve: A showery day in prospect with some hail and perhaps thunder and lightning mixed in. Another windy day and mild for the time of year. Max 9°C

New Year’s Day: Improvements. Bright spells and scattered showers. Breezy. Cooler. Max 7°C

After a cold start to December a lot of Europe enters 2023 with well-above average temperatures.

Bank Holiday Monday: Tricky forecast as a small area of low pressure might sit across us bringing showery rain which will ease during the day. The track and development of the low isn’t certain and if it doesn’t come off then a drier day is in order with sunny spells. Max 7°C

Outlook: Little change expected as the Jet Stream looks set to drive most of the weather into the second week of January. This means more spells of rain and wind at times; drier spells in between but nothing significantly cold and any snow confined to the highest peaks of the Pennines. Even frosts will be hard to come by.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Finally, I hope you all had a good Christmas and all the very best for the year 2023.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 28th of December 2022 at 8:10pm.
Images: &

A day too late for a White Christmas – Thursday 22nd December 2022 – Boxing Day 26th December 2022

Hi all,

We can’t predict what the rest of this winter will bring, but it will take something to beat the recent, lengthy cold spell that we encountered, even if for the majority of us, we didn’t see any significant snowfall. I’m sure we’ll see some decent snowfall at some point over the next couple of months or so, but it’ll be hard to beat those minimum temperatures.

I’ve been looking at the computer models today and they are swinging one way then the other and forecasting what the weather will bring over the festive period is tricky. I’ll give you a mostly likely scanerio as usual, but this time it really is subject to change, so keep an eye on Twitter for updates. There’s a bit of a battle going on with cold air to the north and milder air to the south. Apart from a chilly blast on Boxing Day, we’ll stay in the milder air.

Will we see a White Christmas? No seems certain. The only hope was some evening wintry showers but these showers within colder air looks set to arrive on Boxing Day instead.

A cracking photo of Dobcross in the recent cold spell. Image: @GazDean1 on Twitter.

Thursday: Any early bright skies fading as cloud thickens from the west. Patchy rain here and there with low-cloud or mist for the hills. Feeling chilly but generally light winds. Max 7°C Min 4°C

Friday: It really looks a poor day. Cloudy with rain, heavy and persistent, will spread up from the southwest. This will hang around all day until turning drizzly into the evening. Cold and windy. Some sleet or wet-snow on the highest peaks of the Pennines. Max 7°C Min 4°C

Christmas Eve (Saturday): Bright spells and showers. Some of these will be blustery with hail. Mild for the time of year. Max 9°C Min 5°C

Christmas Day (Sunday): Mostly cloudy with showers. These will ease as the day progresses and it will turn a little cooler later in the day/overnight. Max 8°C Min 2°C

Boxing Day (Monday): Fresh with sunny spells and a few wintry showers perhaps giving a covering of snow on the hills. Max 5°C Min 0°C

A brief colder airmass brings wintry showers on Boxing Day. A day too late for a White Christmas.

Outlook: The rest of the week looks quite unsettled with further spells of showers or rain and with the colder air just staying to our north, snow looks unlikely.

A deep low to start 2023?

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

I would like to take this opportunity to wish you all a very Merry Christmas and all the best for 2023. Thanks for reading my weekly blog and for all your interactions on Twitter this year.


Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 21st of December 2022 at 5:30pm.

Snow before milder air arrives? Then colder again, increasing the chance of a White Christmas – Thursday 15th December 2022 – Sunday 18th December 2022

Hi all,

WOW. What a cold week that was and although it’s not over yet, much milder weather is on the way, but will it last?

The Arctic weather has been stunning at times; crisp mornings with a severe frost, some snowfall, fog and beautiful blue skies by day, including inversions (I love them!). This has led to some gorgeous photos. Here’s a selection. Thanks to those who tweeted them in.

From @wilkinsonphoto on Twitter
From @AndreaE25329632 on Twitter
Ashton-under-Lyne under freezing fog
From @Sunset_Twilight on Twitter
From @GrainsBarHotel on Twitter

Temperatures touched as low as -20°C in Scotland, just outside Carrbridge and didn’t get above -12°C in some spots! Locally in NW England, we recorded a low of -10.5°C in Longridge, Preston, on one of the many unofficial but reliable weather stations on the network that we monitor.

Thursday: Another very cold start with temperatures, locally, down to -7°C once again. A stunning day, with blue skies. Make the most of it with change ahead. An ice-day in some spots. Sharp frost again overnight. Max 1°C Min -7°C

Friday: A frosty start with some clear skies but it is expected to become cloudier and even misty as the day goes on. Feeling very cold especially in the slight breeze later on. Chance of a sleet or snow shower. Not as cold overnight. Max 1°C Min -2°C

Weekend: The baltic spell ends. But not without some snow.

Saturday: Generally cloudy and feeling bitter with a strengthening southerly wind. A few wintry showers are possible especially to the west. Slightly less cold on the thermometer. Max 3°C Min 0°C

Sunday: An active weather system will swing in quickly from the south-west bringing much milder air and a spell of heavy rain. With this low pressure bumping into the cold air, we could see several hours of snow, especially on the hills before it turns to rain. As always it’s a marginal event. A few cms can’t be ruled out, but it will be a slushy mush by the evening as temperatures rise significantly. It will also be windy making it feel very chilly in the morning. Look out on Twitter for snow updates. Max 10°C Min 8°C

Rain preceded by snow on Sunday morning
Although I do think we’ll see some snow, briefly, on Sunday, I think the worst conditions will be saved for the North of England and Scotland.
Computer models vary with how “snowy” it will be before it turns to rain.

Outlook: Very mild on Monday with further rain or showers, locally 12°C, which will feel strange after the last two weeks. Low pressure will then move across the north of the UK and introduce a much-colder airflow once again (NW’ly) dropping maximums to 5-7°C leaving us with a week of wintry showers and bright spells. Remember we only need a wintry shower on Christmas Day for it to be officially a White Christmas. At this stage temperatures look favourable, 4°C. Watch this space. Overall December looks like it will be the only month in the year with below-average temperatures.

Thanks for reading as always. If you find this blog useful please tell others.

See you next week for the final blog before Christmas.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 14th of December 2022 at 7:50pm

Charts: &

Blog Image: @kreacher37 on Twitter

Very cold spell to continue with a risk of freezing fog – Thursday 8th December 2022 – Sunday 11th December 2022

Hi all,

Winters these days never seem as cold as they were when I was a kid and we’re getting used to mild Decembers too. Not this year though, as the month has certainly seen a trend to much colder weather and now we’re under an Arctic airflow with days of frosts, some severe, ahead. It will be cold enough to snow but we need precipitation for that and the general theme for the coming days is mostly dry with the chance of a few disturbances in the atmosphere as low pressure will be close by.

Snow flurries Thursday evening?

Thursday: After a bitter night the day will dawn with temperatures well-below freezing. Sunny spells during the day with some patchy cloud drifting down from the north later in the day which could produce a few light snow flurries/showers. Temperature struggling to get above freezing. Max 1°C Min -6°C

Friday: Another sharp frost to start and the day is likely to be an ice day for most. Some bright spells but more in the way of mist or fog is likely especially later with patches of freezing fog setting in overnight. Max 1°C (below freezing all day if you’re misty/foggy). Min -4°C

Chance of some sleet or snow showers on Friday – especially to the west. These likely to fall as hail or rain along the coast.

Weekend: Very cold, risk of freezing fog increases and perhaps a few light snow showers cropping up.

Saturday: A bitterly cold day with the odd bright spell but it is expected to be misty/foggy once again with a lot of cloud around. Can’t rule out the odd light snow shower. Not as cold overnight due to cloudier conditions and some of us with freezing fog. Max 0°C Min -3°C

Sunday: Frost and freezing fog to start which will be slow to clear in places. Areas staying in the fog all day will see sub-zero temperatures. Elsewhere some bright spells and again perhaps an isolated snow shower. Max 0°C Min -3°C

Outlook: The working week will start very cold and very similar to Sunday albeit windier and a biting wind too. Perhaps a bit more in the way of sunshine after early freezing mist/fog clears. Tuesday will see a cold easterly wind pick up as an area of low pressure tries to come up from the south-west.

What happens from here is still uncertain. The low pressure could push in bringing a spell of heavy snow before turning to rain and less cold air arrives. This was the favourable outcome from some computer models. Now some computer models are keeping the low pressure slightly further south, so flirting with the south-west of England and Wales, before pushing back towards the south-west as the cold air wins. This would keep the Jet Stream south of us and hence the colder-than-average spell will continue for the rest of the week with frosts and scattered wintry showers.

Will the cold spell end on Tuesday with a spell of snow before rain?

What the outcome is later next week, will be more certain as this weekend goes on, so look out for updates on Twitter. With current energy prices this is not the weather we needed but it does bring back nice memories of winters starting cold with Arctic air and frost lasting all day.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 7th of December 2022 at 7:52pm.

Winter is here – Cold for the foreseeable, but how cold later next week as the chance of seeing some snow increases? – Thursday 1st December 2022 – Sunday 4th December 2022

Hi all,

Winter, meteorologically-speaking is here. We ended Autumn as we start Winter, with below-average temperatures and with the weather set in a pattern. A huge high pressure across eastern Europe, originally building over Scandinavia is controlling our weather. When this happens, we can drag in cloud off the still relatively warm North Sea and hence have days on end of little change. The doom and gloom can come in the form of fog/low-cloud especially with little wind and with any brightness to the west or even as far west as the coast. We are currently in this predicament but slight changes are on the way.

Below average temperatures for the foreseeable.

Thursday: Similar to recent days. A lot of cloud, low-cloud on the hills, mostly overcast and cold. That said temperatures could be a degree of two up on recent days. Max 7°C

Friday: A slight easterly breeze in place with plenty of cloud being dragged in from the North Sea. The cloud could be thick enough at times for the odd patch of drizzle first-off. As the day progresses, little change but perhaps the odd bright spell to the west. Max 6°C

Weekend: Slowly colder with the breeze picking up leading to a windchill and showers possible.

Saturday: Generally cloudy with a raw easterly breeze. Mostly dry with any lucky spots seeing limited brightness, mainly to the west. Dry but the odd shower may occur. Max 5°C

Sunday: Overcast with a keen wind and cold with a feels-like temperature of 0°C. Can’t rule out an isolated shower which would be wintry on the tops of the Pennines. Max 5°C

Outlook: Very little change for the next couple of days but after that does look interesting as there’s the potential for high pressure to build towards Greenland and low pressure over Scandinavia which will allow for a cold northerly airflow to develop, straight from the Arctic. Nothing extremely cold but cold enough for a few snow showers, even to lower-levels. Temperatures look set to remain below-average with the risk of wintry showers increasing. The second week of December could see a battlefield developing. Will milder air push in from the south-west or could it turn much colder from the east; not exactly what we need with energy prices! Watch this space.

Cold air engulfs Europe, including the UK, over the next 10 days.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 30th of November 2022 at 7:50pm.

Little change but cold lurking in eastern Europe brings snow to the charts – Thursday 24th November 2022 – Sunday 27th November 2022

Hi all,

The typical autumnal weather continued over the past week with further rain taking the month total to 95mm. The recent pattern is set to continue then a few models are hinting at a drier, more settled start to December with a possible cold spell with frost and fog on the horizon.

Colder weather lurks to the east. If this potential hangs around don’t be surprised to hear the phrase Beast from the East in the media again 🤣.

Thursday: A bright start with some sunny spells. Winds will increase, locally 35mph later, as cloud thickens from the southwest. A band of rain, some heavy will move through the region during the afternoon. Showers follow later. Max 9°C

Friday: Not a bad day with sunny spells after morning-showers fade away. Windy though. Max 10°C

Weekend: Rain returns but milder.

Saturday: Any brightness fading as cloud thickens into the afternoon. Rain will arrive later and it will bring with it milder air from the south-west. Windy. Max 11°C

Sunday: Early rain clears to a mostly cloudy picture and the odd scattered shower. Breezy. Max 11°C

Outlook: Becoming cooler again with temperatures around or perhaps just below average. Some rain or showers at first but high pressure is favourable to build in and settle things down; so becoming drier and with some frost and fog where skies clear. Beyond that there are a few hints of a cold easterly or north-easterly airflow setting up which could deliver the first cold spell of winter. For now though, as always, it’s too far away to confirm.

A cold Europe and the pool of cold builds into next week but how far west will it get? First blast of Winter or will this idea disappear from the models soon?
Just for fun: With a cold easterly comes snow showing on the charts. Shame this is 16 days away and unlikely to verify.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 23rd of November 2022 at 6:30pm

Drier for a time and exceptionally mild – Thursday 10th November 2022 – Sunday 13th November 2022

Hi all,

After a wet October it’s been quite a wet start to November too. We’re in for some mainly dry days now but it will be very windy too, and, as mentioned, very mild. Signs of it turning a bit cooler next week and with it the possibility of severe gales in places and yet more rain.

Thursday: After a very mild night the day will continue on the warmer-than-average front with moist southwesterly winds. These winds will be gusty, 30-35mph and will bring plenty of cloud. Risk of some drizzle, especially on the hills. Max 16°C

Thursday night’s minimum temperatures could well be record-breaking for November across parts of the UK, especially sheltered from the wind and in favourable locations.

Temperatures still around the mid-teens during the early hours of Friday morning

Friday: Another very mild and cloudy day with gusty winds. It should be dry for most and hopefully some bright spells later in the day as cloud breaks from the south. Max 16°C

Weekend: Sunnier Saturday.

Saturday: A southeasterly wind will bring in slightly cooler air and also drier air leading to a dry day with plenty of sunny spells developing. Sounds like a day in the garden to get it ready for winter. Max 13°C

Sunday: Bright morning but cloud increasing as the day wears on. Fresh breeze. Max 13°C

Outlook: Becoming increasingly unsettled with low pressures coming in off the Atlantic. These will need monitoring as there is a risk of them becoming deep and bringing spells of heavy rain and gales or even severe gales. After a mild start it looks set to become cooler or even colder with max temperatures around 9-11°C.

The potential for some deep areas of low pressure later next week

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 9th of October 2022 at 5:35pm

Chilly with a better end to the working week before turning unsettled again – Thursday 3rd November 2022 – Sunday 6th November 2022

Hi all,

October turned into a wet month with rainfall totals above average. It was the wettest month since February with 115.6mm of rain. It was also notably very mild to warm at times. We didn’t reach the dizzy heights of temperatures into the 20s like they did down south but plenty of days saw the mid-teens and night temperatures also staying into double-figures.

November has started off on a windy and cooler note with temperatures more around normal. There isn’t any sign of significantly colder weather on the way despite media reports.

Thursday: A fresh start with plenty of sunny spells and perhaps a rogue shower. Clouds will increase and a scattering of showers will develop. Feeling chilly. Breezy but not as windy as yesterday. Max 11°C

Friday: A decent day with sunny spells. Cloudier at times later, with the chance of a few showers off the Irish Sea, but skies clearing again overnight and becoming cold with the risk of a ground-frost in rural and sheltered spots. Lighter winds. Max 11°C

Weekend: Turning more unsettled again.

Saturday: After a dry start, cloud will thicken from the west and the winds will increase. Rain will spread east as the day progresses, heavy at times then turning patchy towards evening. Apart from a few showers I’m hopeful that it could be mainly dry in time for the bonfires and fireworks. Max 12°C

Sunday: Windy with bright spells and showers developing. Max 12°C

Outlook: It’s looking wet with rain or showers on Monday and Tuesday but with the strong and gusty wind coming from the south or south-west it will become milder again, 14-15°C. Later in the week there’s a chance high pressure will build as the Jet Stream buckles. So fingers crossed for something drier and more settled but remaining milder-than-average for now.

High pressure building second half of next week?

October 2022 Stats

Max 16.7°C (29th)
Min 5.6°C (18th)
Av. 11.8°C
Wettest 24.8mm (5th)
Av. Humidity 86%
Av. Barometer 1012.7 hPa
Max Gust 31.1mph
Av. Wind Direction SSW
Rain 115.6mm (above average)
Rain Registered Days 26
Dry Days 5

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Until next week. Thanks for reading.

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 2nd of November 2022 at 8:30pm.