Thursday 7th January 2016 – Sunday 10th January 2016

Hi all,

Happy New Year and all the best for 2016! Hopefully an interesting weather year ahead. I’m only asking for heavy snow, storms and a heatwave; shouldn’t be a problem!

After recent flooding across different parts of the UK, the weather pattern is going to change. As mentioned in the last blog, the majority of the Jet Stream is shifting south. This will allow colder air to filter down from the north and northwest. This will be more noticable into next week.

Jet Stream

Wed 13th Jan – Predicted position of the Jet Stream

You probably heard heavy rain overnight on Wednesday and this will be slow to clear on Thursday. After a wet morning it will gradually turn drier and a much better afternoon lies ahead with sunny spells. Breezy with a chance of isolated showers later. Max 7°C.

Still unsettled into Friday. Any dry start will be replaced by a band of showery rain moving from west to east. Drier into the evening and with clear spells overnight, a slight frost and some ice to watch out for. A cold day. Max 6°C.

low pressure

Low pressure in charge of the weekend’s weather

Saturday starts chilly and mainly dry. Cloud will soon thicken from the southwest with rain expected to spread across all parts leading to a wet day. Becoming breezy and feeling cold. Max 6°C.

Turning a little colder as we go through Sunday. Some rain around which might be a bit sleety over the hills. Drier later. A cold night ahead with a touch of frost possible. Max 5°C.

Looking ahead into next week and it’s looking more like it, for the cold-lovers out there, especially from midweek. Overnight frosts widespread and although it will be much drier than recent weeks we could start to see some wintry showers, so hail, sleet and some snow could be on the cards.

frosts

Widespread frosts into next week

Northerly airflow brings cold air down across the UK.

December 2015 Stats

Av. Temp 8.9°C 
Max Temp 14.4°C (19th)
Min Temp 0.8°C (13th)
Wettest Day 43mm (26th)
Highest Gust 46mph (5th)
Rainfall 197.8mm
Rainy Days 29 

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to catch all the latest weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Thursday 31st December 2015 – Sunday 3rd January 2016

Hi,

I hope you all had a fantastic Christmas and I’d like to wish you all, the best of wishes for 2016!

What a week it’s has been. The Boxing Day floods, the continuation of crazy well-above-average mild temperatures and then a brief flirt with #StormFrank. Here’s what to expect as we see out 2015 and welcome in the New Year.

New Year’s Eve (Thursday) will have some early showers around. These move away to introduce some brief bright spells. More showers into the afternoon with some gusty winds. Feeling colder especially in the breeze and some thunder or hail in the showers can’t be ruled out. If you’re out later on celebrating, it should be drier and in fact quite cold with some ice or frost forming during the night. Max 7°C.

Cold Start to Jan 1st

A cold and possibly icy/frosty start to January the 1st

After a cold start it looks set fair on Friday as 2016 arrives. Plenty of dry weather around during the day with bright spells and feeling much more seasonal. Winds picking up later in the day and overnight. Cold. Max 5°C.

It will feel quite chilly on Saturday with a keen southeasterly wind. It should start dry but cloudy and bands of rain are expected into the afternoon. Max 8°C.

A similar story into Sunday. Cloudy with some rain around early on. This clears and we’ll hopefully see a drier slot before another low pressure to our southwest brings a risk of rain into the evening. Its track is still uncertain so we could escape with a dry afternoon/evening. Still a fresh breeze taking a little edge off the temperatures. Max 8°C.

Jet Stream Tracks South

Jet Stream slips just that bit further South next week

Looking ahead into next week and the Jet Stream tracks slightly further south so it shouldn’t be as wild or as mild but still some rain or showers around. Cool too, so all-in-all a more typical feel to our weather.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for all your weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Thursday 24th December 2015 – Sunday 27th December 2015

Hi all,

Firstly, I’d like to wish you all a very happy Christmas and all the best for 2016. Have a good one folks.

Now unfortunately it isn’t going to be a White Christmas as December keeps up the wet and mild theme. However, there is the possibly of some stormy weather on the way before the year is out.

It will start wet and windy on Christmas Eve as rain sweeps through from the tail-end of Storm Eva. It will be followed on by sunshine and some showers. Cooler as the day progresses.  Max 9°C.

Christmas Day will start chilly across the region with the possibility of a local ground frost. Cloud will thicken and rain will arrive during the day to give a wet afternoon and turning much milder into the evening. Max 11°C.

All eyes on Boxing Day as a band of rain could become stagnant across the northwest. It will be mild and breezy but there is concern that the rain could be persistent and heavy and introduce localised flooding but there is a chance it could linger away further north than our location. One to watch. Max 11°C.

Boxing_Day_Rain

Boxing Day rain-risk

The rain should slowly ease away on Sunday leaving a cloudy day but drier with the mild conditions continuing under southerly winds. Max 12°C.

Looking ahead to next week and there is a chance of some stormy weather after a few more mild and breezy days. The GFS computer model has an intense storm for the 30th of December which would certainly cause issues. Looking further ahead and obviously open to change, there is another storm looming on the GFS for the first day of 2016 and it is a whopper! As you know predicting this far ahead is daft, as it changes so often, but I am getting this feeling that we are in for a notable storm within the next 10 days. Hang on to your hats!

30_storm

Possible storm on the 30th?


01_storm

Even stronger storm to welcome in 2016?

To keep up to date with all your local weather then follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Enjoy the festive break.

Jon

Thursday 17th December 2015 – Sunday 20th December 2015

Hi all,

You’d be forgiven for thinking it was spring outside today as temperatures are very much on the mild side with 14°C in some spots. The mild theme looks set to continue before we do cool slightly towards Christmas. Cool yes, but not enough for a White Christmas.

Looking at the latest Christmas Day forecast all I’m seeing is mild with temperatures above average, max 11°C, rain possible, all blown in on a moist south to southwesterly wind. Grim reading for cold-lovers wishing for a snowy 25th of December. So the next 4 days…..

XmasDayTemp

Thursday will be generally cloudy with some rain spreading across the region during the day on a steady breeze. Slightly drier later on and another very mild day. Max 12°C.

We will have more weather fronts coming in from the west and southwest during Friday and Saturday. Both days will have plenty of cloud, mild with rain at times but unlikely to be as persitent or as heavy as we had last Saturday which caused localised flooding and the postponement of Oldham Athletic’s home game. Friday sees our best chance of some brightness until rain arrives. Saturday will be the mildest day, or should I say warmest, and temperatures [night-time] could be December record-breaking across some parts of the UK. Friday; Max 12°C but we could see 15°C in some favoured spots on Saturday.

Sunday sees early rain clearing to showers and even some bright spells later on. Turning fresher and cooler once the rain clears away. Max 11°C.

Next week sees the overall mild, wet, unsettled theme continue. No sign of significant cold or snow.

For all your weather updates local to Oldham, Rochdale, Tameside, Manchester and Lancashire follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

See you next week for a Christmas and New Year update.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

 

Thursday 10th December 2015 – Sunday 13th December 2015

Hi all,

I’m crying out for some colder weather and even some snow. In fact just cold, frosty, foggy mornings would do but nothing on the horizon. My guess would be, don’t get your hopes up on proper cold until we get to mid-January. 

After early rain and some showers on Thursday we’re left with a day of bright spells. Feeling fresh and a chance of some showers later on. Max 9°C.

Mainly cloudy during Friday afternoon with a chance of showers. Some bright spells are possible during the morning, especially to the east. Cooler. Max 8°C.

It’s a little complicated during the weekend. 

After a cloudy morning rain spreads up from the southwest on Saturday and with us under slightly colder air there is a chance we could see some sleet or snow on the higher ground and the Pennines. It shouldn’t last too long as slightly milder air arrives slowly within the rain. Max 6°C.

It’s favouring staying cloudy with further rain on Sunday and cool. It shouldn’t be as windy as recently on both days, good news but unfortunately we are struggling for dry weather these days. Max 8°C.

Next week sees little in the way of change. Some rain or showers at times with drier slots in between. No sign of significant cold.

November 2015 Stats: Warmest 16.1°C; Coldest -1.7°C; Wettest 29mm; Windiest 53mph; Total Rainfall 231.8mm (record).

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for local weather updates.

Thanks

Jon

Thursday 3rd December 2015 – Sunday 6th December

Hi all,

Wet wet wet. The only way to describe the last week and the month of November which turned out to be the wettest month I’ve ever recorded with 231.8mm of rain falling. The previous record was 185.4mm in December 2012.

We are now in the meteorological winter and we start December mild with more rain on the way. 

Thursday will see rain across the region. Some heavy bursts, especially on the hills with a risk of localised flooding once again. It will clear later in the evening. Mild and breezy with cooler air following on overnight. Max 11°C.

Friday promises to be the best day we’ve had for a while. We are in between weather systems so bright spells and it should remain dry albeit windy. Cooler and winds increasing overnight with gale-force gusts. Max 9°C.

It all gets a bit complicated into the weekend. 

A band of heavy rain will move in on Saturday associated with some gusty winds. It will move from NW to SE and remain very windy throughout with 60mph gusts possible. A warning is already in place. Milder for a time. Max 10°C.

Still very windy early on Sunday but easing quickly. Still quite cloudy with some rain or showers at times. Possibly brighter & drier later. Mild temperatures for December. Max 12°C.

Next week looks cooler with temperatures dropping to more typical December values.

For updates on this weekend’s possible stormy weather follow @ChadWeather on Twitter. 

Thanks for reading. 

Jon

Thursday 19th November 2015 – Sunday 22nd November 2015

Hi all,

It’s been a mild and very windy week with further rain and already two named-storms have crossed the UK. So what next? A blast from the north, that’s what. Snow? Maybe a little for some of us. 

Thursday will be a day of bright spells and the odd scattered shower. A much better day than recently. Still breezy and temperatures around average. Max 10°C.

A breezy day again on Friday and it will start to feel colder, especially later on. Some showery rain pushing south which could be a bit sleety over the hills. Max 8°C.

All change into the weekend as the air is dragged in from the Arctic. 

Colder still as we go into Saturday but with some sunny spells. There is a chance of some wintry showers of hail or snow later on and this could give a slight covering especially to the east and more likely on the higher ground. A cold day throughout with a biting subzero windchill. Clearing skies later overnight leads to a frostMax 4°C. 

Apart from a risk of a wintry shower on Sunday, the day looks generally dry with sunny spells after a frosty and maybe misty start. Cold again but less of a biting breeze than Saturday. Cloud amounts might increase later on. Max 5°C.

Looking into next week and it will become milder again with temperatures returning to 8-10°C with some showery rain at times. No sign of this weekend’s cold snap returning. 

To keep up to date with weather local to Oldham, Manchester and the surrounding areas follow @ChadWeather on Twitter. 

Thanks for reading. 

Jon

Thursday 12th November 2015 – Sunday 15th November 2015

Hi all,

It’s been a lively few days as our Autumn settled spell came to an end. We had over an inch of rainfall on Monday and then windy conditions followed. The far northwest of the UK is set to be hit by Abigail, the first named UK Storm [by the Met Office], as we approach the weekend but what impact will it have on us? Also, after the record-breaking warmest night ever in November on Monday night, is there any sign of colder weather?

A drier and quieter spell of weather on Thursday, albeit brief. Sunny spells and dry for daylight hours. Winds increasing later on as well as cloud amounts. A little fresher than recently. Rain into the evening with gusty winds. Max 13°C.

A colder day on Friday, a shock to the system after the recent mildness, with some squally showers. Hail is possible, maybe a crack of thunder and just maybe a bit of sleet over the highest hills. Feeling cold in a strong wind with local gales as Abigail brushes the top-left-hand corner of the UK. Cold-wise, it’s only a one-day cold spell. Max 9°C.

Saturday will have bright spells and showers to start the day but soon more rain pushes in from the west as ex-Hurricane Kate arrives. Gradually milder again, but as Friday, a very windy day. Max 12°C.

Saturday’s rain clears away Sunday morning with some brightness to follow but short-lived as rain is likely to come in from the south-west later in the day. Some uncertainty over Sunday’s weather with the unsettled theme so keep an eye out on Twitter. Max 14°C.

Looking ahead and next week remains unsettled. Temperatures cooler and more typical for November with bright spells in between spells of rain and wind. No sign of any snow or significant cold.

October 2015 Stats: Warmest 18.9°C; Coldest 3.4°C; Wettest 10mm; Windiest 30mph; Total Rainfall 45.4mm.

To keep up to date with your local weather and for any updates, follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks for reading.

Jon

Thursday 5th November 2015 – Sunday 8th November 2015

Hi all,

November? Already? WOW! Where has 2015 gone? One thing for certain, it doesn’t feel like November out there. It’s been very mild but is that trend set to continue?

Thursday will start cloudy and mild with some hill-fog. Mainly dry for most of the morning apart from localised showers then rain, heavy at times spreads up from the southwest as we approach midday. A very wet and breezy afternoon. For the evening bonfires the rain looks set to clear around 7pm but with some drizzle to follow. Mild. Max 15°C.

Another band of rain whizzes across the region on Friday with showers following on behind. Again very mild and windy at times. The evening is looking a little bit drier so a better night for a bonfire and fireworks. Max 15°C.

The weekend will start lively with no let up in the weather steaming in from the Atlantic.

Saturday gives another repeat performance. Heavy rain and windy weather spreads in from the southwest followed by blustery showers. There is some uncertainty about the timing and exact position of the strongest winds but it’s very possible that we could see gusts to 40-50mph so stay tuned to Twitter for updates. Hopefully the winds ease slightly into the evening. Another mild one but feeling cooler because of the wind. Max 15°C.

A better morning is expected on Sunday with lighter winds and a mainly dry picture. However it looks all change again into the afternoon with strong winds and rain racing in. A little cooler with bright spells. Max 13°C.

Looking ahead and next week remains unsettled with further spells of wind, possible gales especially on Monday, and further rain. The mild weather holds on before slowly becoming cooler.

For the very latest on your local weather follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks for reading.

Jon

Thursday 29th October 2015 – Sunday 1st November 2015

Hi all,

Guess what? We had some brief snow on one of the highest mountains in Scotland but what about the rest of us. Nothing of course. In fact some areas in Scotland and SE England saw 20°C this week. Not bad going that for late October.

Off Trick-or-treating or to a bonfire this weekend, then it’s not looking too bad.

Thursday will start wet with a band of heavy rain moving from west to east. The afternoon will be much better with sunny spells and drier conditions. Max 13°C.

We drag up very mild air again on Friday and after a few morning showers the afternoon should be drier but staying generally cloudy. Temperature above average. Max 16°C.

Similar to the last two days sees Saturday start cloudy with a little rain or drizzle about. This soon clears to a day of bright or sunny spells. Light winds as a ridge of high pressure builds from the south. Max 14°C.

Sunday is likely to start misty or foggy and a little chilly. Not a bad day in store with bright spells at times. Light winds and a little cooler. Max 13°C.

Next week doesn’t see much change with mostly dry weather around, some milder spells with light winds. Certainly no sign of an early winter chill.

Thanks for reading.

Jon

High pressure builds in later this weekend settling the weather down once more.

High pressure builds in later this weekend settling the weather down once more. Photo: BBC Weather.