Thursday 11th February 2016 – Sunday 14th February 2016

Posted on Feb 10, 2016 by Oldham Weather

Hello again,

Another week has gone by and more rain has fallen across the region. In fact, Monday (8th Feb) was the 4th wettest day since my records began here in August 2012, with 31.4mm of rain recorded. This all came from Storm Imogen which brought almost 100mph gusts to the south coast. Although we didn’t feel much impact from the winds [41mph recorded Monday night] it never stopped raining.

All this wet weather led BBC Radio Manchester to get in touch, as they had a feature on the show this morning (10th) regarding the non-stop wet weather we have been having. I was unable to attend as I was on the school run but it did give me the opportunity to dig out some statistics for them.

We are today (10th) likely to have our first dry day for 17 days!

Since November the 1st 2015 we have had 635mm (25 inches) of rain and in that time 90% of the days recorded rainfall. That’s 6mm a day on average.

We have only had 10 dry days since the end of October 2015.

The Jet stream is now slightly further south so we are experiencing some colder air and some welcome sunny spells. Not only does it look like today will be dry, Thursday and Friday could follow suit.

The Jet stream has dipped south into the back end of this week

A cold start to Thursday with local fog and frost, so you could be deicing before work. A mainly dry dry to follow with sunny spells and a low risk of a fleeting wintry shower. Max 6°C.

Similar on Friday, cold start, some localised frost but more cloud is expected later in the day. Beforehand, plenty of bright spells and again we should escape with a dry day. A cold easterly breeze arriving. Max 5°C.

Now into the weekend, Saturday, it gets a little tricky.

Saturday will be cold with a mainly cloudy picture across the region. There is a risk of rain coming in from the south-west, the track of this and how far north it gets is still uncertain. It could turn to snow in places as the milder air meets the cold air. My feeling is that it will stay further south but one to watch for updates via Twitter and I should know more by Thursday evening. Bitter easterly breeze. Max 4°C.

A risk of rain turing to snow on Saturday – where, is still uncertain

Snow could occur where the mild air meets the cold air

The low pressure and its mix of rain or snow moves away south into Sunday allowing the winds to switch from an easterly to an Arctic northerly bringing the risk of scattered hail, sleet or snow showers but sunny spells as well. A low windchill. Max 4°C.

Both nights over the weekend will be cold with a risk of ice and frost.

Sub-zero windchill of -5 by the end of Sunday

Settled, drier but frosty as we head into next week

Looking ahead and early next week sees some settled weather with sunny spells by day and cold frosty nights. Later in the week it looks likely that the winds will return to bring the Jet stream back over us and with it some wetter milder weather but there is some question mark over the timing of this. For now though, the good news is, no significant rainfall or another named-storm on the cards.

But when will that Jet stream and the wetter/milder weather return?

Remember to follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to catch all the latest weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Photos/Data: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk; http://www.netweather.tv and http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Forecast issued at 14:15 on Wednesday 10th of February 2016

Thursday 4th February 2016 – Sunday 7th February 2016

Posted on Feb 3, 2016 by Oldham Weather

Hi all,

Two named-storms in a short period of time and even some snow showers last weekend confirms our weather remains in an unsettled state. As we enter the final meteorological winter month, I am still hopeful of some prolonged cold during mid-February and we can also always rely on March to bring us some wintry weather; so don’t put your sledges away yet.

Rain and milder conditions arrive once again on Thursday after recent cooler conditions. With this comes rain, initially heavy, but easing later on. Hill-drizzle may remain into the evening. Max 11°C.

Max Temperatures for Thursday – back to double-figures

The flip-flop pattern continues into Friday as cooler air comes in from the north-west. This doesn’t look like arriving until later on into the late-evening, after a mainly cloudy day with some showery rain and hill-drizzle. Max 10°C.

A cold front will sink SE slowly on Friday bringing rain then cooler air

The weekend will be chilly and windy with showers at times and some cool nights. To be honest forecasting this weekend has been a bit of a headache with several what-if scenarios to deal with.

For Saturday, bright spells and some showers early on and it will feel colder than recently. Later on there is a good chance rain will spread in from the west and winds increase. Max 7°C.

Bright spells and showers on Sunday after early rain clears. If anything, maybe feeling a little cooler, especially in the fresh wind. Again, more general rain and wind later or overnight. Max 7°C.

Looking at early next week it seems to remain chilly with some showers, which could be wintry at times over the hills. The week looks breezy throughout and there is a good chance we will see some more windy weather later on; perhaps another named-storm?

Another named-storm later next week – Storm Imogen?

If the stormy weather comes off it could be followed by much colder Arctic air

January 2016 Stats

Av. Temp 5.3°C
Max Temp 13.2°C (24th)
Min Temp -2.7°C (16th)
Wettest Day 13mm (27th)
Highest Gust 45mph (27th)
Rainfall 129.8mm
Rainy Days 26

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to catch all the latest weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Photos/Data: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk

Forecast issued at 16:30 on Wednesday 3rd of February 2016

Thursday 28th January 2016 – Sunday 31st January 2016

Posted on Jan 27, 2016 by Oldham Weather

Hi all,

It’s wet and wild whilst I write this blog. Not dissimilar to yesterday when ex-storm Jonas, which brought parts of the U.S. 2-3 feet of snow, rattled across the UK. This is a sure sign that the Jet Stream is back in charge of our weather, depressing news for proper cold- and snow-lovers.

The next few days sees an up-and-down trend in temperatures across the region as we swing from one side of the Jet Stream to the other.

A powerful Jet Stream still controlling our weather

After a mostly wet, windy and mild Wednesday we sit on the cold side of the Jet Stream on Thursday. A cold start with a rural frost; so perhaps some deicing before work for some. Feeling much colder with sunny spells but cloud increases during the day with some rain or showers expected into the afternoon, some heavy. Winds will again increase; gale-force gusts overnight. Cold during daylight hours but temperatures rising again into the evening. Max 8°C.

Again it is milder into Friday but it will not feel so with very windy conditions. Gusts to 55mph in exposed places is likely, especially so during the morning. Showers at times on the westerly wind and more general rain overnight. Max 12°C.

I did say a few days ago that we won’t see any more snow in January. Saturday will be cold enough for some wintry showers so we could see some hail and possibly some sleet or snow showers in areas above 350M. Not exactly a major snow-event but a reminder that it’s winter and enough for the Met Office to issue a warning for further north. Max 5°C.

Wintry showers with some snow to higher ground is possible on Saturday

Warning for snow and ice issued for Cumbria showing winter is still close by

Overnight into Sunday and it looks like rain will return from the south-west and with it milder temperatures once more. Certainly weather that can’t make its mind up. Max 11°C.

After a colder Saturday; milder air returns from the south-west during Sunday

Looking ahead and next week could start with more gales on Monday. After that, sunshine and showers with tempertures back down into single-figures. I’m still going for a chance of some decent cold and bitter temperatures from mid-February. As always, no-one knows and this is just my hunch.

Next week starts with more gale-force gusts

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to catch all the latest weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Photos/Data: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk, http://www.metoffice.gov.uk and netweather.tv.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Forecast issued at 14:00 on Wednesday 27th January 2016

Thursday 14th January 2016 – Sunday 17th January 2016

Posted on Jan 12, 2016 by Oldham Weather

Hi all,

So at last, it feels like winter; well January at least. To me it’s not winter until we see some snow and hard frosts. So, snow, where is it, and can we expect some? A tough question to answer as we hover close to “cold-enough-to-snow-temperatures”. It has turned colder this week and some of the tops have seen a covering of snow, albeit slushy and temporary but most of our showers have continued as rain.

As promised the Jet Stream slipped south allowing colder air to feed in from the north. This will remain the case for another 5-7 days. It turns colder at the back end of this week, so the chances of seeing some snow increases and the areas it could fall in, may include lower areas, rather than just the locations above 300M.

Wednesday night sees showery rain come in from the west and as this bumps into the cold air we could see some snow especially above 300M. Therefore, Thursday will start with some rain, sleet and snow. As this moves away colder air digs in and any rain could turn to snow for a time before brighter skies and the odd wintry shower feed in. Risk of snow showers overnight, even to lower levels. Max 4°C.

Snow risk Wednesday night into Thursday

Friday will be a day of wintry showers and bright spells. Some of these showers will be of hail and snow. Again most of any snow will be for higher ground but not exclusively. Feeling raw in a bitter wind. In fact, Thursday and Friday will have a sub-zero wind-chill. Frosty and icy night ahead as showers fade. Max 4°C.

Bitter on Thursday and Friday with a sub-zero wind-chill

The weekend promises to be a largely dry affair as high pressure builds over the UK. This means plenty of sunshine but very cold nights with a risk of fog and widespread sharp frosts.

Saturday and Sunday look very similar. Cold frosty mornings and nights with sunny spells during the day. There could be some freezing fog slow to clear and where it lingers on, the daytime maximum temperature will not rise above zero. Staying cold throughout with night-time temperatures even as low as -8°C especially in rural spots. Daytime Maxes 3°C.

Sharp frosts this weekend

High pressure over the weekend

Looking ahead and it will remain cold to start next week but it then looks likely that milder air will return from the southwest bringing rain which might be preceded by snow for a time.

Milder air looks likely to return from midweek next week

Perhaps temperatures will return to double-figures?

It is tricky to pinpoint snowfalls, especially when temperatures are 50/50 for snow to occur. My advice would be to keep a watch on my tweets this week for the very latest on the snow-risk.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to catch all the latest weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Photos/Data: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk and http://www.netweather.tv

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Forecast issued at 14:00 on Tuesday 12th January 2016

Thursday 7th January 2016 – Sunday 10th January 2016

Posted on Jan 6, 2016 by Oldham Weather

Hi all,

Happy New Year and all the best for 2016! Hopefully an interesting weather year ahead. I’m only asking for heavy snow, storms and a heatwave; shouldn’t be a problem!

After recent flooding across different parts of the UK, the weather pattern is going to change. As mentioned in the last blog, the majority of the Jet Stream is shifting south. This will allow colder air to filter down from the north and northwest. This will be more noticable into next week.

Wed 13th Jan – Predicted position of the Jet Stream

You probably heard heavy rain overnight on Wednesday and this will be slow to clear on Thursday. After a wet morning it will gradually turn drier and a much better afternoon lies ahead with sunny spells. Breezy with a chance of isolated showers later. Max 7°C.

Still unsettled into Friday. Any dry start will be replaced by a band of showery rain moving from west to east. Drier into the evening and with clear spells overnight, a slight frost and some ice to watch out for. A cold day. Max 6°C.

Low pressure in charge of the weekend’s weather

Saturday starts chilly and mainly dry. Cloud will soon thicken from the southwest with rain expected to spread across all parts leading to a wet day. Becoming breezy and feeling cold. Max 6°C.

Turning a little colder as we go through Sunday. Some rain around which might be a bit sleety over the hills. Drier later. A cold night ahead with a touch of frost possible. Max 5°C.

Looking ahead into next week and it’s looking more like it, for the cold-lovers out there, especially from midweek. Overnight frosts widespread and although it will be much drier than recent weeks we could start to see some wintry showers, so hail, sleet and some snow could be on the cards.

Widespread frosts into next week

Northerly airflow brings cold air down across the UK.

December 2015 Stats

Av. Temp 8.9°C
Max Temp 14.4°C (19th)
Min Temp 0.8°C (13th)
Wettest Day 43mm (26th)
Highest Gust 46mph (5th)
Rainfall 197.8mm
Rainy Days 29

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to catch all the latest weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Thursday 29th October 2015 – Sunday 1st November 2015

Posted on Oct 28, 2015 by Oldham Weather

Hi all,

Guess what? We had some brief snow on one of the highest mountains in Scotland but what about the rest of us. Nothing of course. In fact some areas in Scotland and SE England saw 20°C this week. Not bad going that for late October.

Off Trick-or-treating or to a bonfire this weekend, then it’s not looking too bad.

Thursday will start wet with a band of heavy rain moving from west to east. The afternoon will be much better with sunny spells and drier conditions. Max 13°C.

We drag up very mild air again on Friday and after a few morning showers the afternoon should be drier but staying generally cloudy. Temperature above average. Max 16°C.

Similar to the last two days sees Saturday start cloudy with a little rain or drizzle about. This soon clears to a day of bright or sunny spells. Light winds as a ridge of high pressure builds from the south. Max 14°C.

Sunday is likely to start misty or foggy and a little chilly. Not a bad day in store with bright spells at times. Light winds and a little cooler. Max 13°C.

Next week doesn’t see much change with mostly dry weather around, some milder spells with light winds. Certainly no sign of an early winter chill.

Thanks for reading.

Jon

High pressure builds in later this weekend settling the weather down once more. Photo: BBC Weather.

Thursday 26th March – Sunday 29th March

Posted on Mar 25, 2015 by Oldham Weather

Hi all,

Thursday will see rain during the morning, heavy in some places. Windy into the afternoon but this introduces drier and brighter conditions with the odd shower. Feeling cold with a keen north-westerly wind. Chance of some overnight frost. Max 9°C.

It looks to be a chilly and bright start to the day on Friday but cloud will increase to bring rain by the afternoon but it is expected to be light and patchy and some places might stay dry. Max 9°C.

Possibly a brief dry start to Saturday then it looks like a low pressure will swing in from the west giving us a disappointing day with showery rain at times. Maybe a little brighter late in the day with some showers following on. A bit milder temperature-wise, but not feeling so due to the windy conditions. Max 12°C.

Sunday looks unsettled again with a windy picture and showers likely, maybe merging into longer spells of rain later in the day. Mild temperatures. Max 12°C.

Looking ahead it looks to remain unsettled with showers and quite windy at times. Easter weekend, at the moment and subject to change, looks cold and showery. No sign yet, of the sunny Spring warmth we’re all hoping for.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for your local weather updates.

And yes I will update my snowy cover photo to something more Spring-like. ☀️👍

Thanks,

Jon

Thursday 12th February – Sunday 15th February

Posted on Feb 11, 2015 by Oldham Weather

Hi all,

Most of the outlook does look frost-free as we have plenty of cloud-cover and temperatures pick up slightly. If you do sneak some longer clear spells overnight then a frost-risk is there. Some rumours were rife that snow is returning. I can confirm that it isn’t for the foreseeable future. Also, the dry February, apart from the snow, has come as a relief after January had 30 rainy days out of 31!

After a cloudy week Thursday continues in the same vain. An overcast day with most places dry but still a little chilly. Any chance of any brightness towards the east. Max 5°C.

As we go into Friday we see a change. Rain pushes in from the west and with breezy southerly winds it will be a touch milder. Quite windy for time and showery later. Max 8°C.

Saturday will be cloudy with some showers possible during the day but these look to be well-scattered and most places should be dry. Max 8°C.

As we go into Sunday it remains generally cloudy. Some brightness around and it starts to feel like we’re back to square one, settled with light winds. Max 8°C.

Looking ahead, no sign of anything cold or snowy as high pressure sits close to the UK. Temperatures remain about average and mainly settled with the high pressure to our south-west. We could see some showery rain at times. Has winter finished with us?

Follow, @ChadWeather, on Twitter for your local weather updates and you’ll be the first to know if any colder weather is returning.

January 2015 Stats: Warmest 12.9°C; Coldest -3.4°C (10 air frosts recorded); Wettest 14.4mm; Windiest 51mph; Total Rainfall 124.6mm.

Cheers
Jon

Thursday 29th January – Sunday 1st February

Posted on Jan 28, 2015 by Oldham Weather

Hi,

At least we are having a bit of a winter this time after last year’s poor attempt.

After sleet and snow showers Wednesday night, don’t be surprised to wake up to a snow-cover in some places. The theme continues on Thursday with frequent sleet or snow showers and a strong bitter north-westerly wind making it feel sub-zero. Further accumulations of snow likely in some localised areas, especially on higher ground but as is the case with showers, not everywhere sees enough to give a covering. Max 4’C.

Friday is another day of wintry showers. However it shouldn’t feel as cold with less of a wind and the showers should be more scattered. Still feeling cold though. Max 5’C.

An icy, frosty and maybe foggy start to Saturday. Sunny spells with some scattered sleet and snow showers. Cold breeze from the North Pole. Max 3’C.

Sunday in general looks a drier day with some bright spells. Odd snow shower may persist on the hills. Remaining very cold with a moderate frost early and late. Max 3’C.

Looking ahead high pressure should build in bringing settled conditions but we stay under the influence of cold air so frost and fog become the main concern.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for all your local weather forecasts.

Cheers
Jon

Thursday 4th September – Sunday 7th September

Posted on Sep 3, 2014 by Oldham Weather

Issued Wed 3rd September 11:30am

Hi all,

High pressure has now taken charge of our weather bringing plenty of settled conditions across the region but just not as much sun as we’d wish for.

Thursday will be bright and in spells of sunshine it will feel very pleasant for the time of year. Light winds and more general cloud later. Highs of 21°C.

Friday will be cloudy with some brightness. Dry and with winds shifting to a cooler northeasterly direction we can expect highs of 19°C.

As we enter the weekend with the gentle breeze from the northeast, we will see yet more cloud and at times thicker.

Saturday and Sunday look similar. A mainly cloudy affair with some brightness but in some places the cloud might be thick enough to see some light drizzle especially during Saturday morning. Highs around 18°C but if you do see some prolonged brightness then maybe a degree or two higher.

Looking ahead the settled theme continues but the risk of showers might not be too far away.

August 2014: Warmest 20.6°C; Coldest 6.7°C; Wettest 32.6mm; Windiest 36mph; Total Rainfall 136.2mm.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Cheers
Jon

Oldham Weather

Weather Forecasts for Oldham, Lancashire, Tameside, Manchester and surrounding areas. Follow on Twitter @ChadWeather.

Tag Archives: Salford

Thursday 11th February 2016 – Sunday 14th February 2016

Thursday 4th February 2016 – Sunday 7th February 2016

Thursday 28th January 2016 – Sunday 31st January 2016

Thursday 14th January 2016 – Sunday 17th January 2016

Thursday 7th January 2016 – Sunday 10th January 2016

Thursday 29th October 2015 – Sunday 1st November 2015

Thursday 26th March – Sunday 29th March

Thursday 12th February – Sunday 15th February

Thursday 29th January – Sunday 1st February

Thursday 4th September – Sunday 7th September