Becoming warmer with thundery potential – Thursday 12th May 2022 – Sunday 15th May 2022

Hi all,

Temperatures are set to rise and so will the humidity. Those mixed together does not always mean dry conditions. After a few warmer and dry days, next week is looking a bit of a mixed bag.

Thursday: Variable cloud with some sunny spells at times. Windy but pleasant in any sunshine. Rogue shower possible but unlikely so most will stay dry. Max 14°C

Friday: More in the way of warm sunny spells as the day wears on but still windy with 30-35mph gusts taking the edge off the temperature. Max 18°C

Weekend: High pressure builds in but the shower risk increases into Sunday.

Saturday: Sunny spells and overall a bit warmer and noticeable with winds easing. High UV levels. Promises to be a decent day. Max 20°C

Thundery shower potential overnight Saturday into Sunday

Sunday: A warm day with sunny spells. Cloud will bubble around lunchtime/early-afternoon and the breeze will pick up. Chance of an isolated thundery downpour later, especially towards the Peak District. A little humid. Max 19°C

Outlook: The week was looking promising with sunny spells and dry pleasant conditions but that has now changed. It will remain warm, and a little muggy with temperatures into the late-teens but the air will be unstable at times so expect some lively, possibly thundery showers thrown in with the sunny spells. This set-up will certainly see the garden spring into life even more!

Periods of hefty, possibly thundery rain next week as temperatures stay warm with humid unstable air

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 11th of May 2022 at 8:15pm.
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Waiting for Petrichor – Thursday 28th April 2022 – Bank Holiday Monday 2nd May 2022

Hi all,

The wait for significant rain continues and with everywhere drying up rapidly, after a drier-than-average 6 weeks, there will be petrichor in the air once the rain returns.

At this stage, it looks like high pressure will mostly dominate our weather pattern for the foreseeable. High pressure can mean warm and sunny but like recent weeks, we will see cloud amounts variable and with a cooling trend into the new month.

Thursday: A chilly start with some ground-frost and localised mist. Sunny spells for the morning but cloud will tend to increase during the day. Dry with generally light winds. Max 13°C

Friday: Little change although it’s not expected to be as cold of a start. Sunny spells followed by cloudier spells. Max 14°C

High pressure mostly dominating the weather; now, next week and beyond.

Weekend: A little warmer on Saturday.

Saturday: Sunny spells here and there and temperatures lifting a little. Max 16°C

Sunday: Cloudy to start, with perhaps a very localised shower early on. Sunny spells breaking through. Dry with light winds. Max 14°C

Bank Holiday Monday: Mostly cloudy with some bright spells. Temperatures still a little disappointing but plenty of dry conditions. Max 14°C

Outlook: A new area of high pressure will slip down from the north bringing slightly cooler air, even with a risk of overnight ground-frosts. Lots of dry weather but again not guaranteed sunshine as cloud spills in from the north or northeast. No sign of the Atlantic-driven weather pattern returning, so wind and any significant rain still being held at bay.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 27th of April 2022 at 5:55pm.
Image: http://www.wxcharts.com

Windy but plenty of dry weather – Thursday 21st April 2022 – Sunday 24th April 2022

Hi all,

I hope you enjoyed the Easter weather which remained mostly dry and quite warm with pleasant sunny spells. The sun is gaining strength day-by-day and even when temperatures are below average it can still feel warm in any sunshine. UV levels are now over 4 and at the high-end of medium, so don’t forget your sun-cream when out and about for a couple of hours. Don’t forget, getting sunburnt is nothing to do with the temperature on the thermometer.

We’ve only had 32mm of rain so far this April and with the way it’s looking, there’s not much rainfall to come over the remainder of the month. So it looks like it’s going to be another very dry month, after March’s 21mm. January (45mm) was also dry with the soggy February (187mm) sandwiched in between.

Thursday: A decent sunny day with some cloud bubbling up in southern parts into the afternoon. A keen easterly wind developing and becoming strong but temperatures remaining pleasant enough. Max 16°C

Friday: We have high pressure to our north and northeast in charge of the weather, meaning a lot of dry weather with bright spells developing after a cloudy start (localised shower). Isobars will be closely-packed together meaning it will be a very windy and gusty day. Values of 40mph can’t be ruled out. Max 13°C

High pressure to the N/NE and low pressure to the S. Tightly-packed isobars in between means a gusty, easterly wind coming down off the hills; 35-40mph gusts likely.

Weekend: Gusty conditions.

Saturday: A mostly cloudy day with a few bright spells around especially in the west. Again it will be windy, 35-40mph gusts, making it feel chilly. Chance of an isolated shower early on. Max 12°C

Sunday: Remaining windy but hopefully not as annoying as the last few days and more in the way of sunny spells developing meaning it will feel a little warmer. Dry. Max 14°C

Outlook: At this stage it looks to remain similar to what we currently have although winds will ease by Tuesday. Plenty of dry weather but often cloudy and cooler-than-average. If the Jet Stream kicks back into its Atlantic-driven mode then rain and wind would return but this looks unlikely. Keep watering those gardens!

This graphic shows the total rainfall expected between now and the 1st of May. Unless we see a turnaround in the forecast, we will see very little rainfall during the rest of April.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 20th of April 2022 at 5pm
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Temperatures recovering after winter bites back – Thursday 31st March 2022 – Sunday 3rd April 2022

Hi all,

It certainly feels like winter has returned out there today, as Arctic air plunges down across the region bringing cold-rain, sleet and some hill-snow. From 18°C a week ago to just 3.6°C at lunchtime today. Ouch.

3pm temperatures each day since last Wednesday – big change today

It’s not unusual to get a cold-snap at this time of the year, as late-March can be a fickle period of weather. The warmth and blue skies, albeit it hazy with pollution, were amazing but all good things have to end eventually, you just have to make the most of these pleasant spells, especially in the UK.

Thursday: A frosty and icy start with sunny spells developing. Wintry showers will feed in from the northeast during the day with fewer showers the further west you are. Showers will be of rain, sleet, hail and snow There will be a strong and gusty wind leading to a biting wind-chill. Max 7°C

Wintry showers could lead to a slight covering of snow in places, mostly the hills during Thursday.

Friday: Again a frosty start then not a bad day with sunny spells and fewer wintry showers. The sun is gaining strength now so out of the breeze in shelter it won’t feel too bad despite the temperature. Max 7°C

Weekend: Less in the way of sunshine

Saturday: Cloud will spread down from the northwest bringing a few showers. Feeling cool with all the cloud during the morning but hopefully some brighter spells into the afternoon. Max 8°C

Sunday: Bright spells and a few showers. Tending to be a little drier into the afternoon with sunny spells developing. Max 9°C

Outlook: A westerly airflow will return bringing low pressure to the northwest of the UK. We will see some showery rain at times, but not a lot of rainfall is expected over the week. Temperatures will return to normal and the night-frosts will end.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 30th of March 2022 at 5:07pm.
Image: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Welcome Spring Sunshine albeit Breezy – Thursday 17th March 2022 – Sunday 20th March 2022

Hi all,

Spring is here and the weather is finally responding. After an awful February, March is much drier (only 16mm so far) and we can now look forward to a drier, warmer and sunnier spell of weather.

Not quite our first 20°C of the year but it will feel very pleasant indeed over the coming days. Nights will be chilly with local ground-frosts and patchy fog. UV levels are approaching medium meaning you will begin to catch the sun’s rays if you’re out in it for a few hours. It won’t be long before you’re digging out the sun-cream.

A frosty start to Thursday.

Thursday: A cold start with a frost and patchy mist. Sunny spells for the morning then cloud will arrive into the afternoon with some scattered showers into the evening. Max 12°C

Friday: High pressure continues to build across the UK so a lovely day in prospect with plenty of sunshine after a chilly/frosty and in places foggy start. Some of the fog might be stubborn to clear and lift into low-cloud for a time. It will begin to feel warm in the sunshine. Max 14°C

Weekend: I normally say more rain but this time more sun. The only downside is that the breeze will pick up during the daytime which could become a little gusty.

High pressure in control for the weekend bringing the warmest day of the year so far, plenty of sunshine but quite a breeze too.

Saturday: Lots of pleasant Spring sunshine as we see the warmest day of the year so far. Max 16°C

Pleasant Saturday afternoon temperatures. Of course these are measured in the shade so feeling much warmer in the sunshine.

Sunday: Feeling warm under sunny skies. Just the chance of some cloud in the east later. Max 15°C

Outlook: The settled weather looks set to continue with high pressure mostly in charge. Just one hiccup could be a few showers on Monday afternoon. Lots of warm sunny spells and dry conditions with temperatures into the mid-teens. An easterly or southeasterly breeze could pick up later in the week pegging the temperatures back a little and dragging in some cloud at times from the North Sea but this all depends on the location of the high pressure.

The final weekend of March also looks fine and settled.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks.
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 16th of March 2022 at 5:25pm
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Some rain, mild and windy – Thursday 10th March 2022 – Sunday 13th March 2022

Hi all,

Temperatures are beginning to creep up but it’s hard to notice the change as we’ve had low pressure to our west and high pressure to our east battling it out, leading to a strong and gusty wind. Media reports were at it again this week, forecasting snow but there’s certainly none of that on the way.

Thursday: Breezy and mild with some bright spells here and there, best in the west. Chance of the odd rogue shower especially towards evening. A very mild night. Max 12°C

Friday: A mostly dry morning then bands of showery rain moving in. Windy, gusting 30-35mph, especially so later during hefty showers, perhaps thundery with hail. Max 12°C

Weekend: Some rain but bright spells at times.

Saturday: Sunny spells and few showers. Again, like most of the week, it will be windy. Max 12°C

Sunday: A little bit cooler and still windy with bright spells and showers at times which could be beefy. Max 10°C

Outlook: High pressure looks set to cut off the weather-fronts so a lot of dry weather with sunny spells with rain-bearing fronts staying away to the far north-west and south. Very mild early on, perhaps close to the mid-teens midweek. Some cool nights where skies clear with some patchy ground-frosts and mist and fog; more so later in the week.

Any weather-fronts next week weaken as high pressure squeezes from the SW and E.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and weather warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 9th of March 2022 at 6:55pm
Image: http://www.wxcharts.com

Meteorological Spring is here – Thursday 3rd March 2022 – Sunday 6th March 2022

Hi all,

I promised better conditions and in truth we’ve had some gloriously sunny days (Sunday and Tuesday) but we’re back into a cloudy and damp pattern at the moment and it’s certainly not as nice as I expected it to be. It had to improve though, I mean we had 3 named-storms in a week and a soggy February delivered a well-above-average rainfall stat of 187mm.

Winter ends with no proper cold or a taste of The Beast from the East. For cold-lovers it’s been another let-down. The set-up going into next week is quite interesting as low pressure out west looks set to battle with an established area of high pressure across eastern Europe.

Thursday: A cloudy day with the clouds thickening during the morning as rain pushes in from the west gradually. The afternoon will see further pulses of rain, occasionally heavy at times. Mild but breezy. Max 9°C

Friday: Morning drizzle or light rain will tend to ease and the day will remain cloudy but drier as it progresses. Lighter winds. Max 8°C

Weekend: Weakening weather-front.

Saturday: High pressure begins to build across the UK. Mostly cloudy with a weakening weather-front close to our east, which might produce some light rain or drizzle at times. Any sunshine to the west or north-west. Max 7°C

Sunday: Settled with mostly cloudy skies to start but sunny spells are expected to develop here and there especially to the west. A freshening breeze. Max 8°C

A massive high across eastern Europe keeps very cold air away from our shores

Outlook: Generally bright and mostly dry (chance of a few wintry showers on Tuesday) with a huge area of high pressure to our east introducing a chilly and gusty south-southeasterly wind. This is expected to last for a few days before the risk of rain returns towards next weekend.

A low out West, a high out East = a strong and gusty SSE’ly wind next week

Now we have officially entered Spring, weather-wise, I’m starting to look forward to that first warm spell but of course we still can’t discount cold snaps.

Looks like Atlantic weather-fronts return by next weekend, so rain and wind on the agenda.

February 2022 Stats

Max 12.6°C (16th)
Min -0.1°C (11th)
Av. 6.0°C
Wettest 41.4mm (20th)
Av. Humidity 86%
Av. Barometer 1012.2 hPa
Max Gust 47.2mph
Av. Wind Direction WSW
Rain 187mm (well above average)
Rain Registered Days 26
Dry Days 2 (Ouch!)
Air Frosts 1
Snow Falling Days 2

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and weather warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 2nd of March 2022 at 8:45pm
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Foggy & Very Limited Rainfall for the Foreseeable – Thursday 13th January 2022 – Sunday 16th January 2022

Hi all,

What we need now is dry weather and a good spell of it, after recent bouts of rain, sleet and snow. It’s time to give our gardens and sport pitches a breather! And I have welcome news!

High pressure is set to dominate the weather for the foreseeable, so although to a weatherman the outlook is quite uneventful, we will need to look out for a few hazards. Some areas saw sunshine this week but now it seems the cloud and dense fog will take over.

Thursday: A misty or foggy start and where any clear skies have developed it will also be a frosty start. Sunny spells developing in places, but not for all, as some unlucky few stay stuck under fog or low-cloud all day. Max 5°C but more like 1°C where it stays foggy.

Friday: Very little change, if anything the fog could well be more widespread, therefore sunshine limited and feeling chilly. But importantly, dry with light winds. Max 4°C

Weekend: Dry and misty.

Very little to no rainfall to come over the next 7 days

Saturday: Cold but perhaps a bit more of a breeze as this high pressure slips away. Still the risk of fog and a dry and mostly cloudy day. If we can increase the breeze a bit then hopefully the cloud breaks and some brightness sneaks through, but this doesn’t seem likely. Max 4°C

Sunday: It looks like another high pressure will build in from the west to replace the one slipping away. With it, more of a westerly flow, so not as cold and hopefully less in the way of fog. More dry weather though so we can’t grumble although a nearby weakening weather-front could pop-up a shower. Max 7°C

Outlook: Very boring with a lot of settled weather. High pressure looks set to be around for the whole week, so the dry conditions continue, mostly cloudy skies with a bit of brightness. Any breaks overnight allowing for some frost/fog. Very little fluctuation in daytime (6°C) and night-time temperatures (2°C). Hints of something a little colder from the North later in the week.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 12th of January 2022 at 8:50pm

A cold and windy Christmas Day – Thursday 23rd December 2021 – Boxing Day 26th December 2021

Hi all,

Finally the Christmas week blog. If you follow weather on social media, you will have seen the debates, and flip-flop model outputs, of a mild Christmas vs. a cold potentially snowy Christmas for days and days now. For snow-lovers; close but no cigar.

If you were hoping for a sledge or snowball fight on Christmas Day then look away now. Save those thoughts for the New Year! A standard UK winter lies ahead over the festive period.

Thursday: Cloudy and a milder day across the region after two quite cold days. Bands of patchy rain and drizzle moving north-east during the day. Max 10°C

Christmas Eve: Remaining mild for the time of year and again generally cloudy. Some rain arriving later in the day and overnight. Winds increasing. Max 8°C

Weekend: Colder but not the snowy Christmas we (some) wanted.

Christmas Day: A cold easterly wind which will be quite strong and gusty. Overcast with rain, patchy at times, easing. Another band of rain later. Winds gusting to 30mph and making it feel close to 0°C. High up, on the Pennines for example, there could well be the odd flake of wet-snow mixed in. Remember, only one flake makes it a White Christmas. Max 5°C

850 hPa temps (1.5km above sea-level) – Not quite in the cold air for Christmas Day

Boxing Day: Little change expected; cloudy with some light rain. The battle of cold air to the north-east and milder air to the south-west remains locked. It will feel chilly but we’re not exactly in the colder airmass. Max 6°C

Outlook: It looks like the milder air will eventually win out and it will become unsettled with spells of rain and wind. Temperatures slipping into double-figures to end 2021.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts and warnings.

I would like to wish you all a very Merry Christmas and all the best for 2022!

Thanks for all your tweets, photos and kind words this year.

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 22nd of December 2021 at 4:20pm.
Image: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com

Finally, a dry spell, but sunshine a rarity, as it slowly becomes colder – Thursday 16th December 2021 – Sunday 19th December 2021

Hi all,

What a poor start to December with 77.4mm of rain already fallen here at HQ (higher in the hills) – that’s 127% of the average for the first 15 days of the month. We desperately need dry weather and that is certainly what the outlook brings.

High pressure is now going to take charge of our weather and hold off our normal Atlantic-influenced weather that brings rain and wind-storms. The high pressure is set to become strong and very stubborn to shift and looks set to hang around for a good while, even up to Christmas Day. High pressure can bring plenty of dry weather as we know, but also a lot of sunny skies in summer, when the sun is strong enough to burn through any persistent cloud. Unfortunately we’re at that time of the year when the sun’s strength is at its lowest. Coupled with this, is the position of the expanding high pressure, meaning that we will start to import a lot of cloud from the North Sea on a easterly, occasionally veering north-easterly or south-easterly wind. A ‘cloud-high’ awaits, also known as anticyclonic gloom, or as I call it boring weather!

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with any brightness favouring the east. Mild for the time of year. 11°C

Friday: Cloudy with a misty start in places. Dry but a little cooler than recently with any brightness in the west. Max 8°C

Weekend: Widespread cloud-cover with misty conditions.

High pressure taking charge of the weather

Saturday: Remaining cloudy and dull with more mist or fog expected, which could linger in a few spots all day. Max 7°C

Sunday: Temperatures beginning to fall away with yet more overcast skies and misty conditions. Max 6°C

Monday: Starting to feel quite cold now with an easterly airflow. Little change is expected in the conditions, overcast and misty. Max 5°C

Outlook: The stagnant pattern is set to continue. Depending on the location of the high, we could see it become colder with temperatures only a few degrees above freezing. Any breaks in the cloud would allow for daytime brightness and frosts overnight. The general theme is dry but cloud could be thick enough for localised drizzle or snow flurries.

Christmas Day: Currently looking dry, mostly overcast and cold. Any breaks in the cloud will allow for a frosty start. Temperatures close to 4°C as a maximum; whether it is cloudy and cold enough for those snow flurries is still debatable but this would be enough for a White Christmas. No sign of a ‘snow bomb’ just yet 😉 but even colder air is lurking to our E/NE which we could eventually tap into. All to play for if you’re a proper-cold lover.

The days between Christmas and New Year look interesting as the Atlantic tries to comeback into play, bringing areas of low pressure and the normal pattern we are used to. But, with cold air in place, and perhaps the stubborn high still around, a battleground could commence with snow possible on any weather-fronts making inroads, even if it’s temporary, before the rain and wind return. Certainly one to watch, which us weather folk are already talking about.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather warnings and forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of December 2021 at 5:25pm
Image: http://www.netweather.tv