Tag Archives: Weather

Thursday 16th November 2017 – Sunday 19th November 2017

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Hi all,

The chilly feel has continued in November and although we’ve had a few days here and there with milder, damp weather, there’s not been a continous deluge of rain. Currently we’ve only had 29mm (102mm is the monthly average). Is the colder weather a sign of things to come? With La Nina underway there is an increased chance of a colder start to winter. See Liam Dutton’s video for more, La Nina.

Not only is Liam’s video informative, it is also keeping it real.

The latest Daily Express headline is more of their clickbait tactics, with over-the-top headlines and untrue statements.

BS

Moving on……

November Stats so far:

Nov 2017

Thursday: A band of patchy rain will move southeastwards during the morning and early afternoon to be replaced by sunny skies and drier conditions but with it, colder air. Max 10°C

Friday: High pressure out west so a settled day with sunny spells and a cold northwesterly breeze. Just the odd shower possible. Max 9°C

Saturday: A breezy day with perhaps a spell of cloud and light rain for a time in the morning. Bright spells developing later with a few showers and still cold. Max 8°C

Sunday: A bright, cold start, perhaps frosty, then cloud increasing with some milder air coming in from the west bringing with it rain as we get into the late-afternoon and evening. Max 8°C

Outlook: Dull and damp on Monday but hopefully drier and brighter thereafter, as high pressure builds. This increases the risk of fog and frost. No snow on the horizon but it will remain cold with temperatures struggling to double-figures.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up to date with the forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 15th November 2017 at 12:30pm

Thursday 2nd November 2017 – Sunday 5th November 2017

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Hi all,

Winter is still on the horizon but after a frost this week and a chilly outlook, it will be here sooner, rather than later. A lot of media stories this week; “Coldest Winter in 11 years” etc. etc. Just ignore them. It’s complete guesswork. No-one knows what this winter will bring. Got to love their annual BS.

Thursday: A mostly cloudy start with a risk of some patchy rain moving through but it will soon clear to leave a decent day with plenty of sunny spells and dry. Good news for those off to the Big Bang at Oldham Edge in the evening. Max 12°C

Friday: Cloudy with some light rain or drizzle dotted about especially so into the evening. Some bright spells can’t be ruled out in the odd sheltered location during the morning. Rain overnight. Max 11°C

Colder than average this weekend

Colder than average this weekend

Saturday: Any early morning rain clearing then colder with bright spells and showers which could fall as hail. Feeling cold in a gusty northwesterly wind. Max 9°C

Sunday: Bright spells after a chilly start. Risk of some showers on the keen breeze but these should ease as the day progresses. Remaining cold with temperatures just below average and a frost likely overnight. Max 9°C

Outlook for the rest of next week: High pressure builds from the west, so plenty of dry, settled weather. Not bad during daylight hours with light winds and sunny spells. Some patchy frost and fog overnight. Just one exception is Tuesday where we could have a narrowing band of rain and wind sweep through quickly.

October 2017

Max 19.4°C (16th)
Min 0.9°C (30th)
Av. 11.6°C
Wettest 21.4mm
Windiest 44mph
Rain 105.6mm
Rainy Days 20
Dry Days 11

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecast for your area.

Cheers
Jon

Images: www.wxcharts.eu
Forecast Issued at 8pm on Wednesday the 1st of November 2017

Thursday 12th October 2017 – Sunday 15th October 2017

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Hi all,

I’m back from a superb golfing holiday in Spain. If you missed the photos, the weather was amazing. Four days of 27-30°C and plenty of sunshine. Remind me again why I live in the UK. 😦 At least we will see some warmer air in time for the weekend.

Thursday: After a poor Wednesday, a much better day with plenty of sunny spells after a chilly start. Cloud will bubble up during the day but it will remain dry with lighter winds. Fresher. Max 15°C

Friday: That warmer air mass starts to arrive but with it rain at times on a keen southwesterly wind. There will be some drier slots. Muggy. Max 18°C

Weekend: Warm and not too much rain about.

Saturday: Generally cloudy with a risk of drizzle or light rain on coasts and hills to start. Hilltops could be misty or covered in low-cloud. As the day progresses it should dry up with some localised brightness and feeling warm for the time of year. Max 19°C

Sunday: Drier with bright spells at times. Still feeling warm with southerly winds especially in any sunshine. I have lots of BBQ food left…… hmmmmm. Max 19°C

Warmer 2

Ex-Hurricance Ophelia located to our southwest

Warmer 1

Above average temps: Warmer air ahead of ex-Hurricane Ophelia, cooler air behind it

Outlook: The remnants of Hurricane Ophelia, located to the southwest of the UK, may bring further warm air up from the south on Monday. With sunny spells on offer, temperatures could be close to 21°C. The rest of the coming days will be cooler and mostly cloudy before rain and wind returns.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 6pm on Wednesday the 11th of October 2017

Thursday 28th September 2017 – Sunday 1st October 2017

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Hi all,

After a mostly wet September the last third hasn’t be too bad with mild temperatures and drier conditions. It looks like the Jet Stream returns into October bringing more rain and also some windier conditions which could lead to Storm Brian.

Thursday: Early rain will clear to leave a reasonable day with sunny spells and it should remain dry. Max 17°C

Friday: Cloudy with another band of rain spreading west to east. It will clear into the afternoon with the odd shower to follow. Cooler. Max 16°C

Weekend: Saturday the better day of the two.

Saturday: Sunny spells and perhaps the odd shower. Feeling fresh. Max 15°C

Sunday: Rain, heavy at times arriving from the west and lasting most of the day. Looks like my golf competition could be a washout. Meh. Max 14°C

Outlook: Ex-hurricanes Maria and Lee, will influence our weather. It’s uncertain yet, after a spell of wind and rain (perhaps a named-storm), whether it settles down or remains wet. Time will tell as currently it could go either way.

One thing to note: the media and tabloids will have a field day but the predicted wet and windy weather for early October is nothing unusual as we tend to have our fair share of Autumnal storms.

Follow @ChadWeather for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued on Wednesday the 27th of September 2017 at 6:15pm.

Thursday 14th September 2017 – Sunday 17th September 2017

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Hi all,

Storm Aileen, our first named-storm of the season, certainly had the potential to deliver some strong gusts in excess of 60mph during the early hours of Wednesday, but failed to deliver. The track of the low was crucial and the path taken meant the stronger winds were located further south and southeast. I only recorded 33mph at 2:53am. The lowest pressure recorded was at 2:21am with a value of 984.19mb. Nothing unusual at all for Autumn.

Here’s the A-Z of named-storms from the Met Office.

Thursday: A day of sunshine and occasional showers which will arrive on a fresh, cool north-westerly wind. The showers should ease towards evening. Max 15°C

Friday: Little change with bright spells and showers. The breeze will be from the north so a chilly feel. Clear spells will lead to temperatures dipping into single figures. Max 14°C

Weekend: Improving slowly. Cool nights. 

Saturday: Plenty of cloud around with some bright spells. Some showers still likely, especially so in eastern areas. Max 15°C

Sunday: A cold start with perhaps a rural ground frost. Sunny spells developing and we should have killed off the showers so remaining dry. Max 15°C

Outlook: Not a bad start to next week. Dry with bright spells but showers are expected to return from midweek.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts across Manchester and its surrounding areas.

Thanks,
Jon 

Image: Met Office

Forecast Issued at 13:40 on Wednesday the 13th of September 2017

Thursday 7th September 2017 – Sunday 10th September 2017

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Hi all,

Summer has been and gone (meteorologically speaking of course). Did anyone see it arrive? I remember June being quite settled late on and quite warm which ran on a little into July. August was very disappointing and the coolest summer month.

Av. Max. Temps

June 18.2°C
July 19.0°C
August 17.8°C

Av. Temps

June 15.0°C
July 15.4°C
August 14.5°C

Thursday: Bright spells, but with the general theme of cloud thickening during the day and the breeze will pick up. Rain arriving during the afternoon. Max 17°C

Friday: A lively day with plenty of showers, maybe thundery, and windy. Feeling cooler. Max 14°C

Weekend: Cool, showery and feeling autumnal.

Saturday: A breezy day with showers feeding in on a northwesterly wind. Cool. Max 14°C

Sunday: Showers will continue but with it some bright spells. Little change in the feel to the weather. Becoming windy into Monday. Max 15°C

Late Sunday

An unsettled weekend ending with the wind picking up & another low pressure

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with low pressure in charge bringing spells of rain or showers. Just a glimpse of something drier towards the end of next week.

Aug 2017 Stats

Max 22.8°C (shocker)
Min 7.7°C
Wettest 10.4mm
Windiest 32mph
Rain 58.2mm (drier than average)
Rainy Days 20 (grim)
Dry Days 11

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecast for your area.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 4:20pm on Wednesday the 6th of September 2017

Thursday 24th August 2017 – Bank Holiday Monday 28th August 2017

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Hi all,

I’m off to Cornwall on Thursday and the weather is looking ‘good enough’, as I’ll be closer to high pressure, than most of the rest of the UK. No sign of blistering heat and unbroken sunshine for me or any of us as we come to the end of August. Now when did that BBQ last come out?

Thursday: Some showers during the morning moving west to east. These will ease from mid-afternoon with some pleasant sunny spells. Max 19°C

Friday: A lot of dry weather with some warm bright spells and light winds. Max 19°C

Weekend: A lot of dry weather with some bright spells. Quite warm.

Saturday: Bright spells with the risk of an isolated shower. A lot of cloud about but pleasant in any sunshine which will creep the temperatures up. Max 20°C

Sunday: Another reasonable day with some breaks in the cloud allowing for some warm sunshine. Max 19°C

Bank Holiday Monday: Initially it was looking bleak and I tweeted earlier this week that it would be wet and windy. Well it shouldn’t be too bad for the first half of the day with similar conditions to recently. The wind will pick up though and rain is likely to spread in from the northwest into the afternoon. Let’s hope it holds off until evening. Max 19°C

Beyond Monday and the signs are that we will be sandwiched between low pressure (NW) and high pressure (SW), so it will be breezy with quite a lot of cloud. Expect some brightness but also occasional showers. No real change in temperatures as official Summer comes to a close.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest local forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 10:30pm on Wednesday the 23rd of August 2017

Thursday 17th August 2017 – Sunday 20th August 2017

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Hi all,

I still have high hopes for it being a reasonable, or even decent last week of August. Fingers crossed.

Thursday: Any early morning cloud and rain clears quickly, to give a warmer day than recently, with sunshine and some showers. Catch one and it will be heavy but they will be well-scattered. Max 21°C

Friday: We swing back to unsettled conditions. Much cooler with frequent showers and quite windy. Max 16°C

Weekend: Sunshine and showers to start.

Saturday: Fresh northwesterly winds with sunshine and showers. These more likely during the morning with the afternoon and evening likely to be drier. Max 16°C

Sunday: A tricky forecast, as ex-Hurricane Gert, now a low pressure, will be sitting to the northwest of the UK. With it comes wind and rain, nothing major, although the rain will be heavy. Some uncertainty on how far southeast the rain will track, so this forecast could change. At the moment, bright spells to start but becoming windy with rain arriving from the west during the day. A little humid. Max 18°C

Outlook: The arrival of Gert will disturb the Jet Stream and hopefully this will lead to high pressure building into next week bringing settled conditions with more in the way of warm sunshine.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest local forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 1:30pm on Wednesday the 16th of August 2017

Thursday 10th August 2017 – Sunday 13th August 2017

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Hi all,

July ended disappointingly and August isn’t behaving itself either. Fingers crossed on summer returning for the last week of August. I have high hopes……

Thursday: Not a bad day at all. Dry with warm sunny spells, light winds and fair-weather cloud bubbling up. Max 19°C

Friday: The ridge of high pressure that was around for the last 36 hours, drifts away and showery rain will push down from the northwest as the day progresses. Max 17°C

Weekend: Decent enough

Saturday: Yesterday’s rain clearing to a day of sunshine and just the chance of a shower. Again, temperatures nothing to cheer about on paper, but pleasant in any lengthy spells of brightness. Max 17°C

Sunday: Not much change. A few showers possible but most places dry with bright or sunny spells. Max 17°C

Outlook: Unfortunately no good news. The Jet Stream pretty much stays where it is, across the UK, so expect spells of showers or bands of rain with drier, brighter slots in between. With this set-up, little change in temperature. Roll on the last week of August….

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest local forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 12:30pm on the 9th of August 2017

Thursday 3rd August 2017 – Sunday 6th August 2017

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Hi all,

First off, still no sign of anything summery and worth a BBQ in the next 5 days. After that, there is a chance high pressure builds in from the southwest.

Today is the 8th day in a row with rain, the 17th day in the last 21; not the summer we hoped for after it had started well.

Short-term; little change.

Showery

Low pressure continues to bring unsettled conditions with showers

Thursday: A windy day with frequent blustery showers which could be thundery. The widespread showers should become a bit more scattered later in the day. Feeling quite warm and humid despite the rainfall. Max 19°C

Friday: Low pressure still in charge. Breezy with bright spells and showers, and some heavy. With more of a westerly airflow it will be cooler. Max 17°C

Weekend: Not too bad overall

Saturday: A cool breeze but it should not be as windy as previous days. Sunny spells and just a scattering of showers. Max 16°C

Sunday: Bright spells and any showers should fade by the afternoon as cloud increases with a risk of some light rain from the west overnight or into Monday. A little milder. Max 18°C

Outlook: Rain early next week then hopefully high pressure squeezes in from the southwest and settles things down, so becoming drier, sunnier and a little warmer. BUT, latest forecasts suggest, it will be short-lived.

July 2017 Stats

Max 24.9°C (disappointing)
Min 9.9°C
Wettest 17.4mm
Windiest 36mph
Rain 75.2mm (average)
Rainy Days 23 (ouch!)
Dry Days 8

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecast for your area.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 12:45pm on Wednesday the 2nd of August 2017