Hi all,

Autumn is drawing to a close and with winter approaching everyone’s daily weather chat turns to when will it snow; especially after the annual media articles begin to circulate about snowfall and plummeting temperatures. Truth be had, it is very hard to predict snowfall accurately in the UK, more than 5 days ahead, even 3 days in some cases. Our complex weather set-up can see the potential for snow and cold in the coming days, but, like the butterfly effect, a minor shift in the weather systems can mean a cold plunge from the Arctic, gets shifted into mainland Europe. You will be surprised how often this happens in winter and our hopes of some snowy scenes are dashed as milder Atlantic air takes hold. With winter a couple of weeks away, it is looking like the end of November will see it turn much colder and perhaps wintry, but this is subject to change for the very reasons mentioned above.

Thursday: Cloudy, very mild and breezy. The cloud might be thick enough for some local drizzle/light rain during the morning and low-cloud on the hills. Max 14°C

Friday: Still very mild with a south-westerly airflow feeding in around a high pressure. This high means it will be mostly dry but cloudy with some bright spells. Max 14°C

Weekend: Eventually colder and sunnier.

Saturday: Another mostly cloudy day with some brightness. Light rain is expected late-evening and overnight as a weather-front moves in. Max 12°C

Sunday: A cold-front will have moved through the region introducing colder air from the north-northwest but plenty of sunny spells after a ground-frost to start. Odd shower can’t be ruled out, which could be wintry on the highest hills. Max 7°C

Monday: A dry day with plenty of sunny or bright spells on offer. The day is likely to have started with a touch of frost and some isolated mist or fog patches. Max 8°C

Outlook: A lot of dry weather with high pressure close by to our west. Cloudy spells at times but equally some sunny spells. Cold nights with some frost where clear spells last the longest. Towards the end of the week it looks like low pressure will arrive disrupting the settled conditions. The position of the low, i.e. what wind direction we encounter, is uncertain. Just favourable is a cold air-mass, so we would be likely to see bright spells and wintry showers. So, just as we near winter, some sleet or snow showers, especially on the higher ground, becomes a possibility. No sign of the -11°C and widespread snowfall that those media articles promote though – just a standard late-Autumn/early-Winter cold-snap.

For daily weather forecasts and updates follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks for reading.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 17th of November 2021 at 5:25pm

Hi all,

Not long left of October now and has been milder than average with mostly cloudy conditions. As we enter November, there are signs that occasionally, high pressure will be out to our west, and low pressure to the east, meaning a chilly northerly to north-westerly airflow will affect the UK at times.

Thursday: A cloudy morning with some patchy rain. The band of heavy and persistent rain that has brought flooding to parts of Cumbria and the Lake District will eventually move southeast across the region so expect some heavy rain into the evening and overnight. Mild and windy. Max 16°C

Friday: Morning rain eventually becoming showery. Cooler with winds easing. Max 14°C

Weekend: Further rain or showers to come.

Saturday: Low pressure close by. A day of bright spells and showers, some heavy. Cooler. Max 12°C

Sunday: There is a chance that low pressure could form to our southwest and bring a spell of prolonged rain either side of showers during the morning and evening. So an unsettled day, breezy and cool. Max 11°C

Outlook: Looking colder but nothing drastic with maximum temperatures around 9-11°C. Some chilly nights with ground-frosts where skies remain clear. As for the weather pattern, bright spells and showers.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 27th of October 2021 at 2:45pm.
Images: http://www.netweather.tv

Hi all,

It’s been a quiet week but frustratingly cloudy and damp at times, although rainfall amounts remain low and temperatures nothing notably cold or warm.

High pressure has been in charge of our weather, but cloud has been dragged around the top edge and down across the region on a northwesterly breeze hence the lack of sunny skies. With high pressure in control we have cut off the Jet Stream, which normally brings spells of wet and windy weather, and it will continue like that for a little longer but change is on the way next week.

The final third of October is likely to see increasing amounts of rainfall and some windy spells.

Thursday: Another mostly cloudy day with pockets of spit-spot rain or drizzle. Breezy. Max 15°C

Friday: Cloudy with patchy rain moving south initially, followed by colder air but lovely blue skies and sunny spells. A fresh feel with a northerly breeze. Cold for the first part of the night with a ground-frost forming before cloud increases from the southwest again. Max 12°C

Weekend: Cloudy conditions return.

Saturday: Cloud thickening from the southwest with some rain later in the day. Doesn’t look particularly heavy. Becoming milder again. Max 14°C

Sunday: A cloudy and quite warm day for the time of year with some bright spells. Max 16°C

Outlook: The Jet Stream looks set to return to influence our week with periods of rain or showers. Some brighter and drier slots in between and quite breezy at times. Temperatures mild to very mild at first but signs of cooler or colder conditions later in the week.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 13th of October 2021 at 5:50pm.
Images: http://www.netweather.tv

September ended on a very wet note but overall it was another drier-than-average month which contained some hot days early on; in fact hotter than anything we experienced in August. 

Ex-hurricane Sam will disturb the Jet Stream and head between Iceland and the UK this week, allowing for some very warm air to come across the region for a couple of days. After that it’s looking settled, as we keep most of the weather fronts away to the west but I am expecting a lot of cloud and a few misty or foggy mornings.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with some patchy rain or drizzle in a few sports prone to the south-westerly airflow. On the plus side, it will be warm for the time of year, with temperatures around 5 degrees above average. Max 20°C

Friday: Early cloud, perhaps some patchy rain again, especially the further west you are. Brighter spells for the afternoon and feeling warm despite the breeze. Max 19°C

Weekend: We lose the warmth eventually.

Saturday: Patchy rain moving slowly southeast displacing the warm air late-in-the-day. Some areas staying dry. Max 18°C

Sunday: Drier with plenty of cloud. Some brightness but notably cooler with a north-westerly airflow. Max 15°C

Outlook: Originally it looked like it would be turning warmer again as next week progressed but it’s looking pretty cool at times with a risk of a ground-frost midweek depending on cloud-cover. A lot of dry weather as high pressure builds, which could well turn out to be a ‘cloudy high’ or anticyclonic gloom. Pockets of drizzle where low-cloud sits.

September 2021 Stats

Max 27.9°C (7th)
Min 6.7°C (30th)
Av. 15.2°C
Wettest 32mm (30th)
Av. Humidity 82%
Av. Barometer 1018.3 hPa
Max Gust 26.5mph (30th)
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 65.4mm (71% of average)
Rain Registered Days 13
Dry Days 17

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for your latest weather forecast. 

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 6th of October 2021 at 5:05pm
Image: https://wxcharts.com & https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/

Hi all,

The weekly blog returns, after I spent last week on the annual 4-day golfing holiday, this time to Cumbria and north Lancashire. Apart from the odd spit-spot in the wind we managed the whole trip without rain. I’m just glad we went last week and not this. At least next year, fingers crossed, I’ll be back in the Spanish warmth.

So, last week’s warm and mostly settled spell has come to an abrupt end this week, as rain and showers have piled in since Monday.

Thursday: Heavy rain for the morning and windy too. The afternoon sees the rain turn more showery and the winds will eventually ease. Cool. Max 14°C Min 11°C

Friday: Another band of rain for the early hours and this will clear during the morning. Plenty of sunny spells expected after this but still some isolated showers. Windy and feeling fresh. Max 13°C Min 7°C

Weekend: More rain and wind on the way. How windy it gets is uncertain at this stage but the potential is there for our first named-storm of the season.

Saturday: A bright start with a few showers then wind and rain will spread ENE for the afternoon and evening. Potential for gales (gusts 35-45mph). Max 15°C Min 8°C

Sunday: Sunshine and showers. Some of these heavy and possibly thundery with hail. Windy with a risk of gales, 40-45mph gusts, during the morning. Max 13°C Min 7°C

*** How windy it is depends on how deep the low pressure becomes and its track. So keep an eye on Twitter for updates and possible warnings. ***

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with further rain or showers. With hurricane Sam affecting the Jet Stream there is a chance of high pressure building later in the week, bringing sunshine and a respite from the rain, but don’t hold your breath, as this could be short-lived and restricted to southern parts of the UK.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 29th September 2021 at 8:10pm
Image: http://www.wxcharts.eu

Hi all,

Finally August is delivering some settled weather. OK it’s a bit cloudy at times, as some cloud feeds in from the North Sea, but the warm sunny spells are welcome after the first two-thirds of the month were so poor.

The sun might only be as strong as mid-April but the UV is still high enough for sun-cream to be needed, mostly between 11am-3pm, on sunny days.

Thursday & Friday: Some sunny spells, especially in the west, with some troublesome cloud at times further east. Feeling warm in any sunshine. Max 18-20°C

Weekend: Hopefully more in the way of sunshine.

Saturday: Any morning cloud burning off to a warm day with plenty of sunny spells. Max 20°C

Sunday: More of the same. Warm with sunny spells and dry. Some areas of frustrating cloud at times. Max 20°C

Bank Holiday Monday: It will be dry with bright or sunny spells. Cloud amounts hard to predict but likely to be a cloudy start again. Max 19°C

Outlook: It looks like high pressure will continue to dominate the weather for a few more days, perhaps most of next week. So, more of the same, pleasant temperatures, variable cloud and sunny spells at times.

Thanks for reading.
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 25th of August 2021 at 8:50pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & http://www.meteociel.fr/

Hi all,

What a dreadful month August is turning out to be. The average maximum temperature for August is 19.5°C. Currently we are sitting at 18.2°C, so much cooler than normal and with limited sunshine. Rainfall is above average so far too but with a drier end to the month looking likely, this figure could well level itself out. Before that, yet more rain to come.

Thursday – A cloudy start with some drizzle/rain. A spell of drier, and hopefully a little brighter for a time, weather either side of lunchtime before showery rain returns into the afternoon. Poor temperatures again. Max 18°C

Friday: A few showers possible early on then a mostly cloudy day once more, with a few bright spells. Temperatures still disappointing for August but signs of it warming up a touch. Max 21°C

Weekend: Becoming unsettled and wet.

Saturday: We should get away with a mostly dry morning with some warm bright spells as temperatures begin to lift under the influence of a southerly/southeasterly airflow. However, the afternoon looks set to go downhill as showers arrive, some heavy followed by more persistent rain later. Warm and humid. Max 22°C

Sunday: An unsettled day is likely with low pressure in charge. Showers, perhaps thundery with some hail or even longer spells of rain. Slightly cooler but a muggy feel overall. Max 19°C

Outlook: Some rain at first, then, this has been trying to happen for a few days/weeks now, high pressure builds in from the northwest and settles our weather down. However, with the air coming in from the northeast/east, temperatures are expected to remain around average with quite a lot of cloud at times. We only need the high to position itself favourably and introduce a south-to-southeasterly airflow to lift temperatures. That would be the only chance of a heatwave, which for now, is just wishful thinking.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks for reading,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of August 2021 at 5:30pm
Images: https://www.meteociel.fr/ & https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/

Hi all,

The final month of Summer is here and to be fair it’s been a mixed bag so far with some warm sunshine and isolated downpours or thunderstorms. If you’ve been lucky enough to miss the showers then your time has come.

Thursday: Low pressure comes in from the Atlantic. After a dry start it will become breezy and bands of showers or slightly longer spells of rain will move north-eastwards from late-morning. Some of this could be heavy and thundery. More showers follow later in the day with bright spells in between. Max 19°C

Friday: Very unsettled for the time of year. Frequent showers, merging at times, with perhaps hail and thunder and lightning (warning in place). Max 18°C

Weekend: Slowly improving

Saturday: I’m golfing early; so hopeful of a dry start but it isn’t expected to last as further bands of showers come in on a fresh breeze. Again, some heavy and thundery. Max 18°C

Sunday: Sunny spells and showers still around, but fewer are expected, so a bit of an improvement. Max 18°C

Outlook: Little change early on with sunny spells and showers. Midweek looks improved with a couple of better days before low pressure returns with its showers or periods of rain in time for the weekend. Meh.

July 2021 Stats

Max 30.0°C (22nd)
Min 10.8°C (28th)
Av. 17.2°C
Av. Dew Pt 13.2°C
Wettest 32.4mm (4th)
Av. Humidity 79%
Av. Barometer 1015.1 hPa
Max Gust 20.7mph (29th)
Av. Wind Direction WNW
Rain 89.4mm
Rain Registered Days 12
Dry Days 19

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks for reading,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 4th of August 2021 at 9pm
Images: https://wxcharts.com/

Hi all,

After the heatwave came the thunderstorms and now much cooler and unsettled conditions are in charge; all thanks to low pressure. Some media report the heat to return soon, but we all know that is guesswork. Nothing on the horizon at this stage to suggest sunnier, summery and hot weather returns.

Thursday: Any morning showers easing to some bright spells and a drier slot. Showers or patchy rain developing into the afternoon, especially to the north but not as lively as Wednesday with thunderstorms unlikely. Feeling cool & windy with 30mph gusts. Max 17°C

Friday: Some unusual weather for the time of year, strong to gale-force winds and heavy rain, will affect southern parts of the UK but we escape that. Otherwise it’s a day of scattered showers, some heavy and perhaps thundery. Some bright spells in between and a little less cool. Max 19°C

Weekend: Showers slowly decreasing in numbers but not disappearing.

Saturday: Cloudy with a few bright spells. Showers are on the decline but I’m sure we will still catch a few today. Breezy but reasonably warm in any sunshine. Max 20°C

Sunday: A little cooler but a similar day. Plenty of cloud, some brightness at times and still the chance of a shower, especially towards the hills. Max 18°C

Outlook: A slight ridge of high pressure will mean Monday should be dry with pleasant sunny spells. Tuesday mostly cloudy but rain later and then the remainder of the week doesn’t look very summer-like at all, with the weather turning unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain. Temperatures remaining cool at times and the potential for a wet and windy weekend.

As always, look out for updates on Twitter, @ChadWeather.

Thanks for reading,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 28th of July 2021 at 8:45pm
Images: http://www.weatheronline.co.uk; https://www.netweather.tv/

Hi all,

Yep, I know it’s too hot. 27-28°C wouldn’t be too bad if it wasn’t so humid and muggy and with dew points up around 17-18°C it’s been too much for me. So I’m happy to know it’s coming to an end but as always, with the British Weather, I’ll be moaning about how poor it is within days. Standard.

HEATWAVE: Here are the maximum temperatures I have recorded so far during this hot spell with the overnight lows too.

17th July 27.2°C : 15.0°C
18th July 26.7°C : 15.4°C
19th July 26.7°C : 15.7°C
20th July 27.0°C : 16.7°C
21st July 27.6°C : 16.4°C

Thursday: Hot with plenty of sunshine, perhaps a little hazy at times. Light winds and muggy. Low risk of an isolated thunderstorm. Looks set to be the hottest day of the heatwave. Max 30°C

Friday: Very warm to hot with sunny spells, but temperatures will be lower. There will also be a noticeable, and welcome breeze from the east. Max 26°C

Weekend: Turning unsettled & less hot.

Saturday: Cloudy with showery rain slowly pushing up from the south. Some of these showers could be thundery later in the day. Still quite humid but much lower temperatures. Max 20°C

Sunday: Quite muggy with bright spells and beefy showers developing, with some strong thunderstorms possible (look out for warnings). Welcome rain after the baking of last week. Max 21°C

Outlook: Our weather will return to what we are used to in a British Summer. Unsettled with showers at times and temperatures back to average, hovering around the 20°C mark. Odd thundery downpour possible too.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts. If you like reading my weekly blog then give the tweet a RT and hopefully this 4-day outlook can help others plan their day.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 21st of July 2021 at 7:05pm.
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com and http://www.theweatheroutlook.com