Risk of snow and strong winds as an early taste of winter bites – Thursday 25th November 2021 – Sunday 28th November 2021

Hi all,

All eyes on the weather this weekend as it turns colder, windier and in places wintry. Although we will escape the worst of the elements, it’s still a taster of the change of seasons. Will we see some snow? I’m expecting some to fall but more so on the hills where it could settle for a short period. With the ground still ‘warm’ at this time of year, settling snow doesn’t normal hang around long in areas away from elevation.

Thursday: A lovely day with plenty of sunshine after a frosty start. Feeling cold in the breeze. Cloud, wind and rain arriving later (overnight). Max 6°C

Friday: A deep area of low pressure will be swinging down from the NW which will bring the early rain. Colder air will dig in and the rain will turn showery. These showers will turn increasingly wintry especially over the hills (>300M), falling as sleet and snow. Hail is also expected with perhaps a rumble of thunder. Windy especially during the showers. A spell of rain and hill-snow possible overnight. Max 7°C

Weekend: Cold with a biting wind.

Saturday: During the early hours rain with some hill-snow (watch Twitter for updates) will move in, quickly clearing to plenty of sunny spells during the morning. A scattering of wintry showers for the afternoon. Most notable will be the bitter, sub-zero wind-chill. There is a weather warning in place for strong and gusty winds; 40mph widely but 55mph can’t be ruled out in exposed places. Raw day. Max 5°C

Sunday: Despite the breeze the day will start frosty with some icy patches. A mostly dry day with plenty of sunshine but very cold. Max 4°C

Outlook: Turning milder into Monday with rain, preceded by hill-snow. Tuesday should see us back up to double-figure temperatures with further rain. Colder later in the week with wintry showers returning.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 24 of November 2021 at 8:15pm.

Colder next week? – Thursday 11th November 2021 – Sunday 14th November 2021

Hi all,

November is turning out to be a mild month despite a couple of frosty mornings and a chilly start. This mild theme will continue but there were some hints at something colder, perhaps from the Arctic, into the latter part of the month but latest computer models suggest the Atlantic pattern will win out and we stick to relatively mild southwesterly winds.

Thursday: A brief ridge of high pressure so dry with bright spells for the morning. Cloud thickening later in the day with a few showers out west. Max 12°C

Friday: Low pressure out to the west will move in, so becoming breezy with patchy rain here and there. A little milder. Max 13°C

Weekend: Generally settled.

Saturday: Cloudy with limited brightness but it should remain dry. A light northerly breeze. Max 12°C

Sunday: Little change. Mostly overcast with some brightness, especially west-facing areas as the wind turns easterly but remains light. Max 12°C

Outlook: Generally a lot of cloud but mostly dry as high pressure centres over mainland Europe. As the week progresses the weather will become wetter and windier as the Atlantic influence returns. Temperatures around average. No sign of the snowfall some of the media keep ‘predicting’ and even frosts will be lacking.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 10th of November 2021 at 10:05pm

Turning milder and cloudier after a frosty start – Thursday 4th November 2021 – Sunday 7th November 2021

Hi all,

A new month and a change to conditions more accustomed to the time of year as we saw temperatures fall away after what was a mild October. The month started very wet on Monday with most places seeing over an inch of rain leading to some localised flooding.

Since the deluge we’ve seen drier and calmer conditions with just a few isolated showers around. The settled theme will continue but after some recent sunny spells we will be slipping back into a cloudier and milder weather pattern.

I took advantage of the sunny morning on Wednesday with a walk around Greenbooth and its reservoirs.

There is certainly no sign of any snow yet and definitely no exact date of when it will arrive 😂. That is just more media clickbait.

Thursday: First frost of the season to start your day with a coating of white and some lovely blue skies. Sunny spells the order of the day and remaining dry. A slight northerly breeze. Turning cold quickly after dark with a frost again for the first part of the night before it turns cloudier from the northwest. Max 9°C Min 1°C

Friday: High pressure will be slipping into our southwest but with it a lot of cloud toppling in from the west to northwest with some localised light rain or drizzle. Winds picking up and milder air will arrive. Max 12°C Min 8°C

Weekend: Some patchy rain later on Saturday.

Saturday: Cloudy with a fresh breeze. Cloud thick enough later for some sporadic rain towards evening. Max 12°C Min 8°C

Sunday: Looking at another cloudy day but there might be a bit of brightness here and there. Mostly dry and similar temperatures. Max 11°C Min 7°C

Outlook: Little change with plenty of cloud. Rain or drizzle towards midweek then showery. Temperatures 10-12°C with no frosts on the cards.

📊 October 2021 Stats

Max 18.7°C (8th)
Min 3.3°C (21st)
Av. 11.2°C
Wettest 10.8mm (20th)
Av. Humidity 86%
Av. Barometer 1012.8 hPa
Max Gust 34.5mph (31st)
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 102.4mm (86% of average)
Rain Registered Days 23
Dry Days 8

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 3rd of November 2021 at 6:40pm.

First Autumn Chill – Thursday 21st October 2021 – Sunday 24th October 2021

Hi all,

October can be a funny month, delivering Autumn chills or in fact Indian Summers late in the month. This week we have experienced some warm days despite the rain but it’s the colder air that arrives to start off the forecast.

Thursday: Much colder air moves in across the region. Plenty of sunny skies with just the chance of a shower but isolated. Windy making it feel even colder. Max 11°C

Much colder air arrives for Thursday but it won’t last long as westerly winds return

Friday: A ridge of high pressure cuts off the northerly airflow so not as cold. Some showers feeding in off the Irish Sea. Breezy with some sunny spells mixed in. Still feeling fresh. Max 11°C

Weekend: Becoming less settled and milder.

Saturday: A dry and bright morning but cloud increasing and rain arriving later in the day; most likely towards evening or overnight. Max 13°C

We should escape with a dry Saturday during daylight hours with rain not arriving until late-evening

Sunday: Early rain replaced by bright spells and a few showers. Breezy but milder. Max 14°C

Outlook: The Jet Stream will control our weather so unsettled with spells of rain/showers coming in off the Atlantic and temperatures around normal for the time of year. No sign of any early snow or frosts; just a typical autumnal week.

Our British weather is ever-changing so follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 20th of October 2021 at 6pm
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Some rain but quite warm – Thursday 16th September 2021 – Sunday 19th September 2021

Hi all,

There’s a bit of a battle-ground continuing across the UK. Low pressure is trying to get in from the Atlantic over the next few days but high pressure to the northeast continues to weaken the weather fronts as they arrive.

Thursday: Any early mist or fog will lift into low-cloud which will break to allow some sunny spells to develop. Feeling pleasantly warm. Max 19°C

Friday: A weather front will be moving in from the west but weakening as the day progresses. So after a dry start there will be some sunny spells. Cloud will thicken towards late-afternoon and some patchy rain is possible overnight. Breeze picking up. Warm. Max 20°C

Weekend: Some rain.

Saturday: Early cloud and a few showers will move away and hopefully the cloud will break to allow for some bright spells, but then more showers are likely to develop. Max 19°C

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a few showers. Max 19°C

Outlook: Low pressure to the northwest of the UK will try to send bands of rain or showers southeast across the region. With high pressure to the northeast and southwest of the UK, this will act as a barrier, attempting to keep the fronts at bay and if any fronts do make it southeast across the region, the high will help to weaken them and turn any rain light and patchy. In between all of this, sunny spells and maximum temperatures remaining around average, 17-18°C. No sign of the first Autumn frost just yet or an Indian Summer.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and weather warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of September 2021 at 10pm.

Thundery breakdown – Thursday 9th September 2021 – Sunday 12th September 2021

Hi all,

August, these days, turns out to be a poor month and 2021 was no exception with below average temperatures and a real lack of sunshine. That said, the rainfall amounts were below normal as the month ended with 10 dry days. But how did our Summer compare to recent Summers. I have data, for complete Summers, since 2013; so I’ll try and do some stats on this for next week’s blog.

Thursday: After two hot and humid days the weather breaks with low pressure drifting in bringing thundery showers with some localised downpours (warning in place). Early morning showers clear to a drier spell with some bright spells. Heavy thundery showers form during the afternoon. Cooler temperatures but still feeling muggy. Max 21°C

Thundery showers developing on Thursday afternoon

Friday: Mostly cloudy with some bright spells but showers developing as the day progresses, again heavy with the chance of hail and thunder and lightning. Max 19°C

Low pressure remains in control on Friday leading to further downpours

Weekend: A quieter weekend ahead.

Saturday: Light winds and although there will be plenty of cloud there will be some bright spells. Chance of a rogue shower in the hills. Max 19°C

Sunday: Little change albeit cooler. Mostly dry with some brightness. Max 17°C

Outlook: Ex-hurricane Larry will be mixing in with the Jet Stream so throws some uncertainty into our forecast. Latest model outputs suggests the low pressure swings to our NW allowing pressure to build. So a few days of settled weather with sunny spells, before a return to showery conditions with temperatures around normal. 

August 2021 Stats

Max 21.4°C (2nd)
Min 0.0°C (22nd)
Av. 15.0°C
Wettest 22.6mm (8th)
Av. Humidity 82%
Av. Barometer 1017.4 hPa
Max Gust 27.6mph (8th)
Av. Wind Direction W
Rain 70.6mm
Rain Registered Days 16
Dry Days 15

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings. 

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 8th of September 2021 at 9:05pm.
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

No Heatwave on the cards – Thursday 12th August 2021 – Sunday 15th August 2021

Hi all,

August. The final summer month and so far so… poor, with only a couple of days in the 20s and half-a-month’s worth of rain falling in just 3 days. It can only get better, right?

August so far

Thursday: Sunny spells for the morning. Cloud arriving from the southwest during the day but it is expected to remain dry but a breezy with 20-25mph gusts. Max 21°C

Friday: Windy with some bright spells. Most places dry but the odd shower can’t be ruled out. Cooler. Max 19°C

Weekend: Wet Saturday.

Saturday: An area of rain was set to move across Southern England but latest models suggest it comes right across NW England, so a cloudy day with rain at times. Max 18°C

Rain predicted further north that originally thought for Saturday

Sunday: Sunny spells and a fresh northwesterly breeze which will blow in some showers for the afternoon. Max 18°C

Outlook: Breezy on Monday with bright spells and the odd shower, especially in the East. As the week goes on high pressure will try and build and move in from the southwest/west but this isn’t certain. The week looks mostly bright and dry but amounts of warm sunshine will increase if the high builds.

High pressure out West next week trying to move in
No heatwave on the cards – Max temps at midday on Thursday the 19th of August

Thanks for reading and you can follow me for forecasts on Twitter, @ChadWeather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 11th of August 2021 at 8:25pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com; http://www.weatheronline.co.uk

Summer on the horizon? – Thursday 8th July 2021 – Sunday 11th July 2021

Hi all,

It’s been a wet and muggy start to July after a very dry June. Plenty of rain this week was welcome for the gardens and golf courses but what we really want is some summer-warmth and sunshine to return – I need my BBQ fix.

Moody skies from my walk above Hanging Lees Reservoir on Wednesday morning

****Don’t forget UV levels are still high when the sun is shining.****

Thursday: A ridge of high pressure will begin to build from the southwest improving the weather. Dry with sunny spells. Chance of a shower in southern parts. Max 20°C

Friday: Similar day. Plenty of dry weather, bright or sunny spells during the morning with cloud bubbling as the day progresses. Low risk of a shower, more so the further east you are. Max 21°C

Weekend: Showers to return.

Saturday: A dry morning is expected with sunny spells and the odd rogue shower. Further showers brewing from lunchtime, locally heavy but these should be well-scattered and tend to ease towards evening. Not everyone catching one. Still warm with light winds. Max 21°C

Showers return this weekend after a drier couple of days

Sunday: Sunny spells for the morning. Any sunshine becoming hazy as the afternoon turns mostly cloudy with patchy, showery rain coming in from the west. Quite humid with light winds. Max 21°C

Outlook: After an unsettled few days, with showers continuing, it looks like high pressure will attempt to move in from midweek; well at least build in from the southwest with the ideal of taking hold. Sunny spells increasing and temperatures rising quickly, perhaps the mid-20s by the second half of next week. Fingers crossed. As always, with long-range forecasts they are not set in stone, so keep up-to-date on Twitter.

Temperatures set to rise later next week
High pressure tries to build in later next week but it could take its time

June 2021 Stats:

Max 24.1°C (2nd)
Min 6.8°C (22nd)
Av. 15.2°C
Av. Dew Pt 10.2°C
Wettest 3.8mm (25th)
Av. Humidity 73%
Av. Barometer 1019.8 hPa
Max Gust 27.6mph (3rd)
Av. Wind Direction NNW
Rain 9.8mm
Rain Registered Days 5
Dry Days 25

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th of July 2021 at 16:35
Images: http://www.netweather.tv and http://www.meteociel.fr

Warm but rain returns – Thursday 1st July 2021 – Sunday 4th July 2021

Hi all,

June is coming to an end. It’s been a very dry month and overall we can be satisfied with the first month of summer, especially after a poor May. So, a new month, does that mean a change in our weather? Certainly looks that way come the weekend.

Thursday: A decent day with sunny spells and feeling very warm. Cloud will develop in some parts during the day but it will stay dry. Max 22°C

Friday: Cloud will increase from the northeast with the chance of a shower or two. Most of us staying dry. Some sunny spells returning later. Warm. Max 21°C

Weekend: Becoming showery.

Saturday: Sunny spells for the morning but clouds will bubble up and isolated showers are expected to break out into the afternoon and evening, some locally heavy. Max 21°C

Sunday: Bright spells and hefty, slow-moving showers developing. Chance of the odd thunderstorm breaking out too. Some welcome rain for the gardens. Max 20°C

Rainfall totals Wed PM to Sun PM – most delivered via showers over the weekend

Outlook: The week looks generally cloudy with showers at times. No sign of a summer heatwave yet. Temperatures remaining on the warm side (around 18-20°C) and at times it will be muggy.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks for reading,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 30th of June 2021 at 7:40pm
Image: http://www.wxcharts.com

Cold with some snow – Thursday 3rd December 2020 – Sunday 6th December 2020

Hi all,

Winter’s only just arrived and we have our first chance of some snowfall, albeit on the Pennines and surrounding hills but it’s a start. No repeat of December 2010 at this point!

Thursday: A cloudy and cold day with bits and pieces of rain or showers. Some of this falling as sleet or wet-snow above 350M and on the Pennines but it’s not expected to amount to much. Max 5°C

Friday: A day to keep an eye on if you’re travelling on the tops. Rain looks set to come in from the east during the day and with cold air in place this is likely to turn to snow. The snow will be mostly confined to above 250M but don’t be surprised to see some sleet and wet-snow to lower-levels at times. Slightly less cold air towards evening will mean the snow-level will rise. Max 4°C

Weekend: Remaining mostly cloudy and slowly drier. Below average temperatures.

Saturday: Any early rain, sleet and Pennine-snow soon fading away. Staying generally cloudy with limited brightness. Cold and a patchy frost likely overnight. Raw breeze. Max 5°C

Sunday: Drier with bright or sunny spells developing. Odd shower. Lighter winds. Max 5°C

Outlook: Slowly it will become less cold with temperatures returning to a maximum of 8°C. A lot of cloud about with some patchy rain/showers. No sign of conditions cold enough to bring a snow-risk.

November 2020 Stats

Max 16.2°C (1st)
Min 1.6°C (23rd)
Av. 8.3°C
Av. Dew Pt 6.3°C
Wettest 13.4mm (15th)
Av. Humidity 88%
Av. Barometer 1016.9 hPa
Max Gust 33.4 mph (1st)
Av. Wind Direction SW
Rain 82.2mm
Rain Registered Days 23
Dry Days 7

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 2nd of December 2020 at 8:40pm