Remember in January, how I mentioned how uneventful the weather was and how February would be payback time. Looks like you have me to blame for the miserable conditions that we are experiencing.
In the first 16 days of February we have measured rainfall on every single day and we are standing at 84mm for the month, well above average. Also, we are experiencing milder-than-average temperatures. The winters now, certainly don’t feel like the winters of my youth, with a distinct lack of snow and cold spells.
At the time of writing this forecast, we are currently experiencing Storm Dudley, which to be fair is a typical lively winter storm system. But Friday will see a rarer event, with a rapidly deepening area of low pressure, that will be damaging and dangerous to parts of England and Wales.
Although it is set to be very windy and hazardous, it looks like we will miss out on the more damaging 80-90mph gusts which are modelled to arrive across the south-west and southern parts of England and Wales on Friday, but there looks to be a sting in the tail as winds change direction.
Thursday: A windy day, especially early on. Sunshine and blustery showers, some heavy with hail and thunder and lightning. Wintry on the tops too. Max 6°C
Friday: Storm Eunice is here. The latest data puts the storm slightly further south. This means lower wind gusts for the morning with the strongest gusts saved for the afternoon, with 70mph possible quite widely, as winds swing north-westerly. Another shift in its track is possible. An very unsettled day for us, which looks to start not too windy. Heavy rain followed by wintry showers and some more prolonged rain, sleet and snow later as winds veer north-westerly. Winds look to be at their strongest mid-afternoon. Max 7°C
Weekend: More wind and rain. Sorry.
Saturday: Further bouts of showers which could be wintry (hill-snow) and thundery at times. Remaining windy making it feel cold. Some of the showers falling as snow above 300M. Max 6°C
Sunday: Another very windy day, and don’t be surprised to see another named-storm, Storm Franklin, as we see more rain followed by showers across the region with strong and gusty winds; 50mph possible. Milder. Max 10°C
Outlook: The unsettled weather will continue during the week after a respite on Monday, when it is looking drier with some bright spells thanks to a ridge of high pressure. Conditions look set to improve towards next weekend with high pressure trying to build in from the south-west of the UK. No sign of any below average temperatures. It’s starting to feel like Autumn lasts 6 months.
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Thanks for reading.
Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 16th of February 2022 at 9:10pm