Tag Archives: Autumn

Thursday 13th September 2018 – Sunday 16th September 2018

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Hi all,

I’ve been working on some statistics for our Summers since 2013. Here are a few charts to compare 2018 to previous years. It shows how dry and warm Summer 2018 was.

Summers

Weather Analysis – Summers 2013-2018

I’ve been on a few walks recently to some of our local reservoirs/lakes. They are really low on water. Not surprising as Summer 2018 only had 43% of the average rainfall.

Dove Stone Reservoir

On to the forecast….

Thursday: A fresh westerly breeze. A bright start with some good spells of sunshine. Cloud increasing with just the chance of a shower or two later. Max 16°C

Friday: Mostly cloudy but dry to start. Rain pushing in from the west during the afternoon, turning showery later. Breezy. Max 15°C

Weekend: Some rain, mostly on Sunday morning.

Saturday: Bright spells for most of the day. Cloud thickening later with some rain likely overnight. Max 16°C

Sunday: Rain to start which will push away to the south-east into the afternoon. Brighter and hopefully sunnier skies to follow for the afternoon, leading to a nice end to the weekend. There is some uncertainty about the morning rain and how quickly it moves away so if you have anything planned, watch out for updates. Max 17°C 

Outlook: Becoming warmer into the early part of next week with some sunny spells and we might sneak back up to 20°C. From midweek a risk of rain returns from the west as the Jet Stream becomes lively again and temperatures will become cooler.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 7:55pm on Wednesday the 12th of September 2018

Thursday 6th September 2018 – Sunday 9th September 2018

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Hi all,

Well that’s it, summer is over. And although August was a little disappointing sunshine-wise, it was a fantastic summer. The Met Office confirmed this week that England had its hottest summer ever! It was also very dry with all months bringing us below average rainfall. I will get round to producing some stats for Summer 2018 and compare it to previous years. My guess is September will be about average. Our reservoirs certainly need rain.

Thursday: It looks like low pressure will develop and take control of our weather for a few days. So, after early sunshine we can expect showers developing,  some heavy and cooler. Max 15°C

low pressure

Low pressure close by Thursday-Saturday

Friday: Cloudy with some sunny spells. Initially it looked like a very wet day but the thoughts are that we will escape the rain (it will be to our north-east) for most of the day. Showers arriving late-evening and overnight. Max 15°C

Weekend: Sunday looks best.

Saturday: Showery rain during the morning clearing leading to some bright spells later on. Max 16°C

Sunday: The low will start to fill allowing some drier weather to take hold. Still a risk of showers but mainly to our north-west and especially in the morning. Feeling a little warmer with sunny spells. Max 18°C

Outlook: Breezy with rain in north-western parts of the UK. Drier and sunnier to the south-east. We’re sandwiched in between so drifting in and out of both conditions. Temperatures about average.

August 2018 Stats

Max 25.6°C (5th)
Min 6.8°C (30th)
Av. 15.4°C
Wettest 9mm (26th)
Windiest 28mph
Rain 48.4mm (only 53% of average)
Rain Days 17
Dry Days 14

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for updates.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 5th of September at 10:15am.
Image: http://wxcharts.eu

Thursday 30th August 2018 – Sunday 2nd September 2018

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Hi all,

August will be another month with below average rainfall (about 60% of normal). We have also lacked sunshine this month and temperatures have been pegged back for most of the time. Our average maximum temperature for August 2018, sits at 18.9°C, 0.6°C below the expected average. Will the first month of Autumn fair any better?

Thursday: Sunny spells to start then cloud bubbling up and becoming cloudy for most of the day. Dry. Max 18°C

Friday: Not much different to yesterday. Sunny spells with cloud developing. Dry again. Quite warm especially in any afternoon bright spells. Max 19°C

Weekend: Quite a lot of cloud but becoming warmer.

Saturday: Cloudy to start with some localised patchy rain. This will ease away leading to bright spells later. Warm. Max 20°C

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with some light rain or drizzle. Hopefully this will break up later leading to some very warm spells of sunshine or brightness. Max 22°C

high pressure

High pressure takes charge during the first few days of September

Outlook: High pressure will eventually build, it’s been trying to do this for a good while. So expect plenty of sunny spells and dry weather. Pleasant daytime temperatures to be had too.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 29th of August 2018 at 11:15am.
Image: https://www.netweather.tv/

Thursday 23rd August 2018 – Bank Holiday Monday 27th August 2018

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Hi all,

The coats are coming back out and there are only 9 days left of meteorological summer! Autumn is just around the corner! But, will we see another hot spell? I’m sure we will, but perhaps not until late-September or even an Indian Summer will lead to our last BBQ of 2018!

Thursday:  A cooler airmass has replaced the muggy and humid air that was in place earlier in the week. Bright spells and some blustery showers, especially later. Feeling much cooler. Max 17°C

Friday:  A northwesterly breeze feeding in some heavy showers, with a risk of hail or thunder and lightning. These most frequent into the afternoon and evening. Windy and feeling cold. Max 14°C

Chilly Nights

Some chilly nights this weekend as temperatures take a dip

Weekend: Not too bad but temperatures below average.

Saturday: Any early morning showery rain clears, skies will brighten and a lot of sunny spells will develop and remaining dry. A fresh feel and breezy. A cold night to follow as skies clear. Max 17°C

Sunday: Looks dry with variable amounts of cloud with bright or sunny spells. Rain overnight. Max 17°C

Bank Holiday Monday: Patchy rain or showers moving from west to east. Brighter later. Max 18°C

Outlook: High pressure building from the southwest. Dry with sunny spells and warmer with temperatures eventually back into the 20s (just).

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 22nd of August 2018 at 1pm.
Image: https://www.netweather.tv/

Thursday 30th November 2017 – Sunday 3rd December 2017

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Hi all,

We saw our first snowfall of the winter last week…. well actually no, it was our first snow-cover of autumn. Yes, it is still autumn, despite the cold and it’s been a wet (only 4 dry days) end to November but winter will finally be here, meteorologically-speaking, on Friday!

On Saturday, it’s time for the annual Saddleworth Santa Dash and Switch On! But will the weather be kind?

Thursday:  Dry with plenty of sunshine but still very cold after a severe-frost to start where rurally temperatures will have been close to -7°C. During the day the breeze will bring a sub-zero windchill. A frost will return overnight. Max 3°C

Friday:  Some sunny spells at times, especially early on. A frosty start again but with more cloud-cover not as cold as Thursday morning. Less in the way of clear skies overnight means any frost will be patchy. Slightly milder. Max 4°C

Weekend: Slightly milder with cloudy skies and some patchy rain. No frosts.

Saturday:  Cloudy with some patchy rain, not everywhere seeing some, turning less cold. Max 6°C

Sunday:  A similar picture with limited brightness and plenty of cloud. Not wet everywhere just some patches of drizzle especially on higher ground. Temperatures around average.  Max 9°C

Outlook: Mild and cloudy on Monday and early Tuesday, then colder air with some brighter skies will return. For now, no snow on the horizon which will disappoint all those Daily Express believers.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued on Wednesday the 29th of November 2017 at 3:40pm.

Thursday 23rd of November 2017 – Sunday 26th November 2017

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Hi all,

Well hello weather, we welcomed back our typical Autumn this week, with an inch of rain falling in the first few days. We’ve also had a bit more snow-talk on the grapevine and this time there is some truth in the rumours. No no, don’t get your sledges out just yet, just be ready for a cold weekend with a risk of wintry showers.

Thursday: A mild start with some bright spells but showers will start to appear as the day progresses. Remaining windy and slowly becoming colder. Max 9°C

Friday: A better day and hopefully we will escape with a dry one with sunny spells. It will feel colder again with temperatures really struggling, leading to a slight frost overnight. Max 6°C

Weekend: Cold and breezy with wintry showers and some night-time frosts.

Wintry Showers

Wintry showers, some falling as snow especially on Saturday

Saturday: A bitter day with some bright spells and wintry showers which will could fall as hail or sleet. Some snow showers are possible, in any heavier bursts and certainly more likely on higher ground. Max 5°C

Sunday: More in the way of sunshine with a few wintry showers left over, but there shouldn’t be as many as Saturday. Still cold, especially with the freshening breeze ahead of rain due late-evening and overnight. Max 6°C

Outlook: A touch milder with some rain but then it seems the colder air returns and with it the risk of wintry showers and overnight frosts.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday 22nd of November 2017 at 11:35am.
Image: http://wxcharts.eu/

Thursday 16th November 2017 – Sunday 19th November 2017

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Hi all,

The chilly feel has continued in November and although we’ve had a few days here and there with milder, damp weather, there’s not been a continous deluge of rain. Currently we’ve only had 29mm (102mm is the monthly average). Is the colder weather a sign of things to come? With La Nina underway there is an increased chance of a colder start to winter. See Liam Dutton’s video for more, La Nina.

Not only is Liam’s video informative, it is also keeping it real.

The latest Daily Express headline is more of their clickbait tactics, with over-the-top headlines and untrue statements.

BS

Moving on……

November Stats so far:

Nov 2017

Thursday: A band of patchy rain will move southeastwards during the morning and early afternoon to be replaced by sunny skies and drier conditions but with it, colder air. Max 10°C

Friday: High pressure out west so a settled day with sunny spells and a cold northwesterly breeze. Just the odd shower possible. Max 9°C

Saturday: A breezy day with perhaps a spell of cloud and light rain for a time in the morning. Bright spells developing later with a few showers and still cold. Max 8°C

Sunday: A bright, cold start, perhaps frosty, then cloud increasing with some milder air coming in from the west bringing with it rain as we get into the late-afternoon and evening. Max 8°C

Outlook: Dull and damp on Monday but hopefully drier and brighter thereafter, as high pressure builds. This increases the risk of fog and frost. No snow on the horizon but it will remain cold with temperatures struggling to double-figures.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up to date with the forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 15th November 2017 at 12:30pm

Thursday 9th of November 2017 – Sunday 12th of November 2017

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Hi all,

Yep the media are still at it. Anyone got their sledges out? Nope. The weather does have a chill about it, already, but it is anyone’s guess what winter will bring.

Thursday: A cloudy start with milder air back again across the region. Some rain likely in the morning but patchy in nature. This will ease away and some bright spells will break out and lead to a drier afternoon. Max 11°C

Friday: A cloudy and breezy day with bright spells and some showers especially so in the morning. A band of rain moving through overnight. Max 10°C

Weekend: Cold, especially in the wind.

Saturday: A northwesterly airflow will take hold over the UK this weekend and it will feel cold. We’ll see some brightness on Saturday, but also some showers blown in on that keen breeze. Max 9°C

Sunday: A drier day is expected with sunny spells and a few lingering showers. Remaining cold with a frost likely overnight as skies clear. Max 9°C

Outlook: Slowly becoming less cold and cloudier after a decent Monday. Temperatures close or just below average. No sign of any snowfall or any named-storm on the horizon. We could become stuck under a cloudy-high, which means little sunshine but very settled conditions.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest localised forecasts.

You can also view hourly weather stats tweets at @OldhamWxStats and 1-minute data updates from my personal weather station on Wunderground.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 4:30pm on Wednesday the 8th of November
Image: wxcharts

Thursday 2nd November 2017 – Sunday 5th November 2017

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Hi all,

Winter is still on the horizon but after a frost this week and a chilly outlook, it will be here sooner, rather than later. A lot of media stories this week; “Coldest Winter in 11 years” etc. etc. Just ignore them. It’s complete guesswork. No-one knows what this winter will bring. Got to love their annual BS.

Thursday: A mostly cloudy start with a risk of some patchy rain moving through but it will soon clear to leave a decent day with plenty of sunny spells and dry. Good news for those off to the Big Bang at Oldham Edge in the evening. Max 12°C

Friday: Cloudy with some light rain or drizzle dotted about especially so into the evening. Some bright spells can’t be ruled out in the odd sheltered location during the morning. Rain overnight. Max 11°C

Colder than average this weekend

Colder than average this weekend

Saturday: Any early morning rain clearing then colder with bright spells and showers which could fall as hail. Feeling cold in a gusty northwesterly wind. Max 9°C

Sunday: Bright spells after a chilly start. Risk of some showers on the keen breeze but these should ease as the day progresses. Remaining cold with temperatures just below average and a frost likely overnight. Max 9°C

Outlook for the rest of next week: High pressure builds from the west, so plenty of dry, settled weather. Not bad during daylight hours with light winds and sunny spells. Some patchy frost and fog overnight. Just one exception is Tuesday where we could have a narrowing band of rain and wind sweep through quickly.

October 2017

Max 19.4°C (16th)
Min 0.9°C (30th)
Av. 11.6°C
Wettest 21.4mm
Windiest 44mph
Rain 105.6mm
Rainy Days 20
Dry Days 11

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecast for your area.

Cheers
Jon

Images: www.wxcharts.eu
Forecast Issued at 8pm on Wednesday the 1st of November 2017

Thursday 19th October 2017 – Sunday 22nd October 2017

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Hi all,

Autumn continues to live up to its name as we experienced some wild weather earlier this week. Ex-Hurricane Ophelia (Bizarre Storm) arrived as forecast but we escaped the worst. Chadderton recorded a 44mph gust but generally across the region it was 50-55mph with 70mph along the coast. What was unusual was it wasn’t hammering down with rain. Once morning-showers moved away, some lightning was recorded near Bury, then the day turned very strange indeed. I had noticed a weird ‘light’ on the way to work and soon the sky was filled with rolling cloud that looked very smoke-like and a glowing red sun. Ex-Ophelia’s southerly winds had pushed smoke particles from the Portuguese/Spanish wildfires and Saharan Sand northwards (Red Sun Phenomenon).

As you know we have named-storms and we are currently on ‘B’ as we had Aileen in September. The reason Ophelia wasn’t Brian was because she was already named and since she kept her strength, she remained named the same, even though an ex-Hurricane, as she arrived on our shores.

Storm Brian could well be here quicker than you think……

Thursday: A lot of cloud around but with some bright spells during the day after a misty start. With light winds it will feel pleasant and mild. However, the breeze will pick up later in the day with a risk of some showery rain developing especially to the south and east. Max 16°C

Friday: Fronts will arrive from the west, so a spell of rain which will be followed by brighter conditions and some showers. Breezy and fresher. Max 13°C

Weekend: Poor. Wet and very windy.

Brian

Storm Brian this weekend?

 

Saturday: A deep area of low pressure will have been forming out west on the Jet Stream and this system could well be named as Storm Brian. At the moment the strongest winds (70mph gusts) look to be heading to Southern Britain, but the track is still uncertain so watch tweets for updates. Currently, it will be a wet day with rain, heavy at times and windy with 40mph gusts. Feeling cold. Max 13°C

Sunday: The ‘storm’ will move into the North Sea but will introduce cold north-easterly winds and with it frequent showers which could be thundery. Remaining windy with gusts possible to 45mph during showers. Max 12°C

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with some spells of wind and rain broken up by some drier slots. Temperatures around or just above average.

Follow @Chadweather on Twitter to keep up to date with the local weather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of October 2017 at 1pm
Images: WXCHARTS – Follow them on Twitter.