Tag Archives: Weather

Thursday 21st January 2016 – Sunday 24th January 2016

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Hi all,

Last week’s blog stated that last weekend would be dry and sunny with severe frosts as high pressure took hold. High pressure did arrive but only briefly and the forecast was shaken up, because from Friday, a system developed to our north-west. This came south-eastwards on Saturday and brought a spell of snow for most with 4-6cms of lying snow reported. Now don’t get me wrong, I like to get a forecast bob-on but it’s very welcome to spoil my plans if it delivers some snow.

A cold and frosty start to Thursday, with some isolated freezing fog patches. Cloud soon spreads in from the west with a freshening breeze later in the day. Some rain will develop into the afternoon or evening. Slowly milder. Max 5°C.

Milder air pushing out the colder air

Milder air pushing out the cold air that we have been experiencing recently

Overnight on Thursday the winds increase with heavy rain spreading from the west. So I’m expecting Friday to be a wet and breezy during the morning with the afternoon turning a little drier with the odd shower. The big change will be the temperature. With the rain comes milder south-westerly winds and by the end of the day some areas will be close to double-figures. Max 10°C.

friday rain

Heavy rain expected during Friday morning

Saturday looks the better day of the weekend with a dry day expected with some pleasant sunny spells. Mild. Max 10°C.

More cloud is likely into Sunday with bright spells limited. Some rain possible and temperatures remain on the mild to very mild side just like we were in December. Not winter-like at all. Max 12°C.

Sunday's temps

The UK under the influence of a very mild airmass by Sunday

Looking ahead and it remains mild with temperatures above average with no sign of snow returning.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to catch all the latest weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Photos/Data: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Forecast issued at 14:00 on Wednesday 20th January 2016

Thursday 14th January 2016 – Sunday 17th January 2016

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Hi all,

So at last, it feels like winter; well January at least. To me it’s not winter until we see some snow and hard frosts. So, snow, where is it, and can we expect some? A tough question to answer as we hover close to “cold-enough-to-snow-temperatures”. It has turned colder this week and some of the tops have seen a covering of snow, albeit slushy and temporary but most of our showers have continued as rain.

As promised the Jet Stream slipped south allowing colder air to feed in from the north. This will remain the case for another 5-7 days. It turns colder at the back end of this week, so the chances of seeing some snow increases and the areas it could fall in, may include lower areas, rather than just the locations above 300M.

Wednesday night sees showery rain come in from the west and as this bumps into the cold air we could see some snow especially above 300M. Therefore, Thursday will start with some rain, sleet and snow. As this moves away colder air digs in and any rain could turn to snow for a time before brighter skies and the odd wintry shower feed in. Risk of snow showers overnight, even to lower levels. Max 4°C.

Thu am snow risk

Snow risk Wednesday night into Thursday

Friday will be a day of wintry showers and bright spells. Some of these showers will be of hail and snow. Again most of any snow will be for higher ground but not exclusively. Feeling raw in a bitter wind. In fact, Thursday and Friday will have a sub-zero wind-chill. Frosty and icy night ahead as showers fade. Max 4°C.

thu and fri windchill

Bitter on Thursday and Friday with a sub-zero wind-chill

The weekend promises to be a largely dry affair as high pressure builds over the UK. This means plenty of sunshine but very cold nights with a risk of fog and widespread sharp frosts.

Saturday and Sunday look very similar. Cold frosty mornings and nights with sunny spells during the day. There could be some freezing fog slow to clear and where it lingers on, the daytime maximum temperature will not rise above zero. Staying cold throughout with night-time temperatures even as low as -8°C especially in rural spots. Daytime Maxes 3°C.

frosts

Sharp frosts this weekend

 

high pressure weekend

High pressure over the weekend

Looking ahead and it will remain cold to start next week but it then looks likely that milder air will return from the southwest bringing rain which might be preceded by snow for a time.

milder airflow to return

Milder air looks likely to return from midweek next week

 

milder temps

Perhaps temperatures will return to double-figures?

 

It is tricky to pinpoint snowfalls, especially when temperatures are 50/50 for snow to occur. My advice would be to keep a watch on my tweets this week for the very latest on the snow-risk.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to catch all the latest weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Photos/Data: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk and http://www.netweather.tv

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Forecast issued at 14:00 on Tuesday 12th January 2016

Thursday 7th January 2016 – Sunday 10th January 2016

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Hi all,

Happy New Year and all the best for 2016! Hopefully an interesting weather year ahead. I’m only asking for heavy snow, storms and a heatwave; shouldn’t be a problem!

After recent flooding across different parts of the UK, the weather pattern is going to change. As mentioned in the last blog, the majority of the Jet Stream is shifting south. This will allow colder air to filter down from the north and northwest. This will be more noticable into next week.

Jet Stream

Wed 13th Jan – Predicted position of the Jet Stream

You probably heard heavy rain overnight on Wednesday and this will be slow to clear on Thursday. After a wet morning it will gradually turn drier and a much better afternoon lies ahead with sunny spells. Breezy with a chance of isolated showers later. Max 7°C.

Still unsettled into Friday. Any dry start will be replaced by a band of showery rain moving from west to east. Drier into the evening and with clear spells overnight, a slight frost and some ice to watch out for. A cold day. Max 6°C.

low pressure

Low pressure in charge of the weekend’s weather

Saturday starts chilly and mainly dry. Cloud will soon thicken from the southwest with rain expected to spread across all parts leading to a wet day. Becoming breezy and feeling cold. Max 6°C.

Turning a little colder as we go through Sunday. Some rain around which might be a bit sleety over the hills. Drier later. A cold night ahead with a touch of frost possible. Max 5°C.

Looking ahead into next week and it’s looking more like it, for the cold-lovers out there, especially from midweek. Overnight frosts widespread and although it will be much drier than recent weeks we could start to see some wintry showers, so hail, sleet and some snow could be on the cards.

frosts

Widespread frosts into next week

Northerly airflow brings cold air down across the UK.

December 2015 Stats

Av. Temp 8.9°C 
Max Temp 14.4°C (19th)
Min Temp 0.8°C (13th)
Wettest Day 43mm (26th)
Highest Gust 46mph (5th)
Rainfall 197.8mm
Rainy Days 29 

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to catch all the latest weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Thursday 31st December 2015 – Sunday 3rd January 2016

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Hi,

I hope you all had a fantastic Christmas and I’d like to wish you all, the best of wishes for 2016!

What a week it’s has been. The Boxing Day floods, the continuation of crazy well-above-average mild temperatures and then a brief flirt with #StormFrank. Here’s what to expect as we see out 2015 and welcome in the New Year.

New Year’s Eve (Thursday) will have some early showers around. These move away to introduce some brief bright spells. More showers into the afternoon with some gusty winds. Feeling colder especially in the breeze and some thunder or hail in the showers can’t be ruled out. If you’re out later on celebrating, it should be drier and in fact quite cold with some ice or frost forming during the night. Max 7°C.

Cold Start to Jan 1st

A cold and possibly icy/frosty start to January the 1st

After a cold start it looks set fair on Friday as 2016 arrives. Plenty of dry weather around during the day with bright spells and feeling much more seasonal. Winds picking up later in the day and overnight. Cold. Max 5°C.

It will feel quite chilly on Saturday with a keen southeasterly wind. It should start dry but cloudy and bands of rain are expected into the afternoon. Max 8°C.

A similar story into Sunday. Cloudy with some rain around early on. This clears and we’ll hopefully see a drier slot before another low pressure to our southwest brings a risk of rain into the evening. Its track is still uncertain so we could escape with a dry afternoon/evening. Still a fresh breeze taking a little edge off the temperatures. Max 8°C.

Jet Stream Tracks South

Jet Stream slips just that bit further South next week

Looking ahead into next week and the Jet Stream tracks slightly further south so it shouldn’t be as wild or as mild but still some rain or showers around. Cool too, so all-in-all a more typical feel to our weather.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for all your weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Thursday 17th December 2015 – Sunday 20th December 2015

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Hi all,

You’d be forgiven for thinking it was spring outside today as temperatures are very much on the mild side with 14°C in some spots. The mild theme looks set to continue before we do cool slightly towards Christmas. Cool yes, but not enough for a White Christmas.

Looking at the latest Christmas Day forecast all I’m seeing is mild with temperatures above average, max 11°C, rain possible, all blown in on a moist south to southwesterly wind. Grim reading for cold-lovers wishing for a snowy 25th of December. So the next 4 days…..

XmasDayTemp

Thursday will be generally cloudy with some rain spreading across the region during the day on a steady breeze. Slightly drier later on and another very mild day. Max 12°C.

We will have more weather fronts coming in from the west and southwest during Friday and Saturday. Both days will have plenty of cloud, mild with rain at times but unlikely to be as persitent or as heavy as we had last Saturday which caused localised flooding and the postponement of Oldham Athletic’s home game. Friday sees our best chance of some brightness until rain arrives. Saturday will be the mildest day, or should I say warmest, and temperatures [night-time] could be December record-breaking across some parts of the UK. Friday; Max 12°C but we could see 15°C in some favoured spots on Saturday.

Sunday sees early rain clearing to showers and even some bright spells later on. Turning fresher and cooler once the rain clears away. Max 11°C.

Next week sees the overall mild, wet, unsettled theme continue. No sign of significant cold or snow.

For all your weather updates local to Oldham, Rochdale, Tameside, Manchester and Lancashire follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

See you next week for a Christmas and New Year update.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

 

Thursday 10th December 2015 – Sunday 13th December 2015

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Hi all,

I’m crying out for some colder weather and even some snow. In fact just cold, frosty, foggy mornings would do but nothing on the horizon. My guess would be, don’t get your hopes up on proper cold until we get to mid-January. 

After early rain and some showers on Thursday we’re left with a day of bright spells. Feeling fresh and a chance of some showers later on. Max 9°C.

Mainly cloudy during Friday afternoon with a chance of showers. Some bright spells are possible during the morning, especially to the east. Cooler. Max 8°C.

It’s a little complicated during the weekend. 

After a cloudy morning rain spreads up from the southwest on Saturday and with us under slightly colder air there is a chance we could see some sleet or snow on the higher ground and the Pennines. It shouldn’t last too long as slightly milder air arrives slowly within the rain. Max 6°C.

It’s favouring staying cloudy with further rain on Sunday and cool. It shouldn’t be as windy as recently on both days, good news but unfortunately we are struggling for dry weather these days. Max 8°C.

Next week sees little in the way of change. Some rain or showers at times with drier slots in between. No sign of significant cold.

November 2015 Stats: Warmest 16.1°C; Coldest -1.7°C; Wettest 29mm; Windiest 53mph; Total Rainfall 231.8mm (record).

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for local weather updates.

Thanks

Jon

Thursday 3rd December 2015 – Sunday 6th December

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Hi all,

Wet wet wet. The only way to describe the last week and the month of November which turned out to be the wettest month I’ve ever recorded with 231.8mm of rain falling. The previous record was 185.4mm in December 2012.

We are now in the meteorological winter and we start December mild with more rain on the way. 

Thursday will see rain across the region. Some heavy bursts, especially on the hills with a risk of localised flooding once again. It will clear later in the evening. Mild and breezy with cooler air following on overnight. Max 11°C.

Friday promises to be the best day we’ve had for a while. We are in between weather systems so bright spells and it should remain dry albeit windy. Cooler and winds increasing overnight with gale-force gusts. Max 9°C.

It all gets a bit complicated into the weekend. 

A band of heavy rain will move in on Saturday associated with some gusty winds. It will move from NW to SE and remain very windy throughout with 60mph gusts possible. A warning is already in place. Milder for a time. Max 10°C.

Still very windy early on Sunday but easing quickly. Still quite cloudy with some rain or showers at times. Possibly brighter & drier later. Mild temperatures for December. Max 12°C.

Next week looks cooler with temperatures dropping to more typical December values.

For updates on this weekend’s possible stormy weather follow @ChadWeather on Twitter. 

Thanks for reading. 

Jon

Thursday 26th November 2015 – Sunday 29th November 2015

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Hi all,

It’s still not quite winter but you wouldn’t have thought after some frost and snow during last weekend’s cold snap. So, as we approach December what can we expect?

Thursday will start fine with bright spells but some low cloud and drizzle possible in places especially towards the hills. Cloud increasing into the afternoon with some light and patchy rain expected later on. Max 9°C.

A very similar pattern on Friday. Not a bad morning but winds increasing and this time heavier rain and gusty winds arriving into the afternoon and evening. Milder for a time then colder overnight. Max 11°C.

It’s certainly déjà vu on Saturday as again the morning isn’t too bad but soon heavy rain (possible wet hill-snow for a time) and windy conditions spread across the region to give a disappointing day. Notably colder especially so with the wind. Max 7°C.

Sunday will remain cloudy with light rain likely at times but hopefully a bit drier later in the day with the odd bright spell. Milder again. Max 9°C.

Looking ahead and it’s likely to stay unsettled and mild as we go into December and the meteorological winter. No sign of anything particularly colder.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for all your local weather updates. 

Thanks for reading.

Jon

Thursday 19th November 2015 – Sunday 22nd November 2015

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Hi all,

It’s been a mild and very windy week with further rain and already two named-storms have crossed the UK. So what next? A blast from the north, that’s what. Snow? Maybe a little for some of us. 

Thursday will be a day of bright spells and the odd scattered shower. A much better day than recently. Still breezy and temperatures around average. Max 10°C.

A breezy day again on Friday and it will start to feel colder, especially later on. Some showery rain pushing south which could be a bit sleety over the hills. Max 8°C.

All change into the weekend as the air is dragged in from the Arctic. 

Colder still as we go into Saturday but with some sunny spells. There is a chance of some wintry showers of hail or snow later on and this could give a slight covering especially to the east and more likely on the higher ground. A cold day throughout with a biting subzero windchill. Clearing skies later overnight leads to a frost. Max 4°C. 

Apart from a risk of a wintry shower on Sunday, the day looks generally dry with sunny spells after a frosty and maybe misty start. Cold again but less of a biting breeze than Saturday. Cloud amounts might increase later on. Max 5°C.

Looking into next week and it will become milder again with temperatures returning to 8-10°C with some showery rain at times. No sign of this weekend’s cold snap returning. 

To keep up to date with weather local to Oldham, Manchester and the surrounding areas follow @ChadWeather on Twitter. 

Thanks for reading. 

Jon

Thursday 12th November 2015 – Sunday 15th November 2015

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Hi all,

It’s been a lively few days as our Autumn settled spell came to an end. We had over an inch of rainfall on Monday and then windy conditions followed. The far northwest of the UK is set to be hit by Abigail, the first named UK Storm [by the Met Office], as we approach the weekend but what impact will it have on us? Also, after the record-breaking warmest night ever in November on Monday night, is there any sign of colder weather?

A drier and quieter spell of weather on Thursday, albeit brief. Sunny spells and dry for daylight hours. Winds increasing later on as well as cloud amounts. A little fresher than recently. Rain into the evening with gusty winds. Max 13°C.

A colder day on Friday, a shock to the system after the recent mildness, with some squally showers. Hail is possible, maybe a crack of thunder and just maybe a bit of sleet over the highest hills. Feeling cold in a strong wind with local gales as Abigail brushes the top-left-hand corner of the UK. Cold-wise, it’s only a one-day cold spell. Max 9°C.

Saturday will have bright spells and showers to start the day but soon more rain pushes in from the west as ex-Hurricane Kate arrives. Gradually milder again, but as Friday, a very windy day. Max 12°C.

Saturday’s rain clears away Sunday morning with some brightness to follow but short-lived as rain is likely to come in from the south-west later in the day. Some uncertainty over Sunday’s weather with the unsettled theme so keep an eye out on Twitter. Max 14°C.

Looking ahead and next week remains unsettled. Temperatures cooler and more typical for November with bright spells in between spells of rain and wind. No sign of any snow or significant cold.

October 2015 Stats: Warmest 18.9°C; Coldest 3.4°C; Wettest 10mm; Windiest 30mph; Total Rainfall 45.4mm.

To keep up to date with your local weather and for any updates, follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks for reading.

Jon