Hi all,

It’s certainly been a wintry week with Thursday and into Friday morning seeing some large snowfall totals, and drifts, especially so to the north-east of Manchester. We also saw some sleet & snow showers in days that followed and then a lovely hailstorm (graupel) with snow and thundersnow on its back edge on Tuesday morning. But, with milder air now in place and rain and more rain to come, have we seen the last of the snow?

Thursday: Cloudy with heavy rain continuing for the morning at least. It should eventually ease during the late-afternoon to leave some patchy drizzle. Windy and mild with a south-westerly airflow. Max 11°C

Friday: A fresh southerly breeze will bring up some showers into the afternoon after a mostly dry and cloudy morning. Very mild for the time of year with some favourable spots seeing the mid-teens. Max 14°C

Weekend: More rain to come.

Saturday: Low pressure and with winds eventually swinging more westerly it won’t be quite as mild. Generally cloudy with scattered showers. Max 12°C

Sunday: The lack of sunshine continues with mostly cloudy skies. Although the morning seems dry for some, the cloud will tend to thicken quickly and bring a spell of rain, heavy at times from the southwest which could warrant a warning. Cooler but not by much. Max 10°C

Outlook: Staying generally unsettled and rainfall amounts totting up. Temperatures remaining just above normal or even mild at times. Further spells of showers or rain with snow very unlikely. Could well be the last of it, but you know, we always get the odd wintry shower even in early-April so never say never.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks for reading as always and for everyone’s input over the past week with their snowy photos, videos and reports on local conditions on the roads.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of March 2023 at 4:52pm.

Images: BBC Weather, Weather and Radar UK, http://www.wxcharts.com & off Twitter @RhodesRuth and @Hoggy80.

Hi all,

It’s been an up-and-down few days of forecasts, with disruptive snow due on Thursday one minute, then not the next, now it’s on the cards again, but as it goes with snow events; there can be a massive difference between locations depending on the height above sea level. Don’t be surprised to see sleet/wet-snow in Manchester city centre with not much on the ground compared to snow ankle-deep just a few miles away towards, and on the Pennine routes.

This is a great website for working out your height above sea level which could make all the difference between rain or snow tomorrow.

https://en-gb.topographic-map.com/map-kb57/England/

So, what does the next 4 days and beyond have in store?

This forecast is subject to change as is the current set-up of the weather with cold and mild air battling it out across our shores. You can always see the very latest on Twitter.

Thursday: AM: Cloudy with rain, sleet and snow. A graphic from BBC Weather highlights this well. Rain Snow (E – hillier). Pulses of precipitation patchy at times especially so in the west. PM: Snow is expected to continue & perhaps become more extensive (late-evening) to lower-levels that saw rain/sleet earlier. It will also be windy with gusts on the western side of the Pennines exceeding 40mph later in the day leading to blizzard-conditions. Windchill of -6°C.

Yellow & Amber warnings in place.

The snow is likely to cause travel disruption.

Max 2°C Min 0°C

Friday: Early sleet and snow fading during the morning after leaving a good dumping in places. Sunny spells arriving into the afternoon. Clear skies overnight leading to widespread ice and a hard frost. Max 4°C Min -4°C

Weekend: Risk of hill-snow then milder.

Saturday: After a dry, icy and frosty start with some sunny spells, cloud amounts will increase as another weather-front swings in from the west, albeit slowly and will bump into the cold air. Hazy bright spells into the afternoon but it should stay dry until overnight when patchy rain, and some hill-snow moves in. Max 5°C Min 1°C

Sunday: Finally much milder air returns from the south-west with windy conditions and showers at times, especially later. A thaw of any snow left on the hills. Max 10°C Min 6°C

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with spells of rain/showers at times and breezy. Incursions of colder air means snow on the hills can’t be ruled out. I’ve been putting off cutting the lawns and planting seeds etc., holding out for warmer weather but there’s certainly no sign of that yet! It’s not unusual to have a chilly March and this one, so far, is no exception.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks as always for reading.
Jon

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com, BBC Weather, Met Office and @Met4CastUK on Twitter.
Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 8th of March 2023 at 9pm.

Hi all,

Welcome to Spring. In weather terms, this is the new season but it never means warm weather overnight. It’s not unusual to get a cold spell in March and this year looks like being no different as computer models are now coming to an agreement for colder weather, yes cold enough for frost and snow, next week. Tuesday/Wednesday seem to be the days when the cold spell will peak.

Forecasting the exact areas of where snow will fall is very tricky and it’s hard to predict even at 48 hours out. So look out on Twitter for updates as we have one final wintry spell before I can plant my seeds and cut the lawns.

Thursday: After a cloudy start it looks a better day than recently with some sunny spells. Also, it shouldn’t be as windy as it’s been recently. Still feeling chilly. Max 7°C

Friday: Back to the overcast days by the looks of it with limited brightness and just the chance of drizzle here and there. Max 8°C

Weekend: Starting to get cooler.

Saturday: More of a northerly flow now but still a lot of cloud. Some bright spells sheltered from the breeze. Max 7°C

Sunday: Mostly cloudy and cold with the wind picking up again. Chance of a few wintry showers, especially in the east, falling as snow above 300M. The beginning of the cold snap. Max 6°C

Outlook: Now this is where it gets interesting. High pressure that’s been around for a good while (check out my av. pressure value for February below) will push away to sit to our NW and allow colder air to feed down from the Arctic (so not a Beast from the East set up). So, temperatures dropping and with low pressure close by to our east, we could see some wintry showers move in with a biting wind-chill. Too early to say who will see snow and how much but it will favour higher ground intitially.

Later in the week, with the cold air in place, milder air will try to bring bands of rain in from the south-west, which could lead to some significant snowfall as it bumps into the colder air. Again, details far too uncertain at this stage but we could well see a snowfall event before the new season springs into action.

February 2023 Stats – Chadderton

Max 11.6°C (17th)
Min -0.7°C (6th)
Av. 6.2°C
Wettest 5.4mm (10th)
Av. Humidity 84%
Av. Barometer 1028.4 hPa
Max Gust 28mph
Av. Wind Direction W
Rain 16.6mm (only 18% of average)
Rain Registered Days 13
Dry Days 15

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 1st of March 2023 at 7:15pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & The Met Office.

Hi all,

February is turning out to be a very dry month. Currently 15mm have fallen and not much in the forecast for the remainder of the month. The month’s average is about 90mm. After recent events, i.e. the SSW, Met Office – SSW, all the talk has been about a Beast from the East (BFTE), snow storms and blizzards to bring chaos to the UK. This is all media (BS!) speculation but there are signs, and these signs are growing, of the weather turning colder as we progress through the first week of March; which of course is the first month of Spring meteorologically-speaking.

Will there be a BFTE? No-one knows but don’t be surprised to see some frosts and snow back on the weather charts. One thing I like to do, is keep it real. No over-the-top, clickbait nonsense. Weather is very unpredictable looking ahead more than 5 days, even fewer days than that for snow, so look out for updates on Twitter.

Thursday: A frosty start in places. We’re due some sunshine and after any early hazy-cloud clears it should be a decent day with plenty of sunny spells. UV levels might even sneak to 2! Spring is coming. Feeling pleasant in direct sunlight and shelter but maximum temperatures in single-digits. Max 8°C

Friday: Looks more of a cloudier day with areas of cloud drifting in on a steady north-easterly wind which will be gusty at times. Max 9°C

Weekend: High pressure to take control but more cloud than sunshine.

Saturday: Light winds and a misty/foggy start is possible which will lift into low-cloud and lead to another mostly cloudy day. Bright spells breaking out in the odd lucky spot. Feeling cold with a raw wind (wind-chill around 2°C). Max 7°C

Sunday: Little change. Patchy frost to start under any clear spells. Dry and chilly but not as windy as Saturday. Max 8°C

Outlook: Generally dry and cool with little much on the agenda until towards next weekend where it looks to turn a little colder, more unsettled and perhaps with some wintry showers, falling as snow on high ground. No BFTE or a need to stock-up on food just yet! Although grab those tomatoes when you can!

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks for reading.
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 22nd of February 2023 at 6:20pm.
Images: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

It’s been a very dry February so far after all those days of rain in January. At this stage of February we should have had around 45mm of rain. Currently we’ve only had 3.4mm! Yes there will be some rain in the coming days but there’s no sign of any persistent rain on the horizon, so February will end with well-below average statistics. With some welcome sunshine towards the end of the month, it might be time for that first cut of the lawn.

Thursday: A mostly cloudy day with patchy rain or drizzle in the morning easing away into the afternoon. Low-cloud and misty conditions on the tops. Mild for the time of year. Max 10°C

Friday: Any bright spells fading as a weakening band of patchy rain moves southeast. Brighter spells later in the day with the odd shower but well-scattered. Windy with 35-40mph, especially so on the eastern side of the hills. Mild. Max 12°C

Weekend: Weather-fronts close by.

Saturday: Early rain moves away introducing some fresher air. Remaining mostly cloudy with the odd bright spell here and there. Evening shower can’t be ruled out. Max 9°C

Sunday: The morning is expected to be overcast with some bright spells developing during the day but these are likely to be limited. Max 10°C

Outlook: No sign of anything snowy or significantly cold (despite what the media spout) although some chilly nights are expected later in the week. Monday and Tuesday seem to bring more of the cloudy conditions that we have been used to. A weak weather-front will move down from the north-west on Wednesday. This will introduce some wintry showers and cooler air afterwards. From Thursday onwards high pressure is expected to build from the west and then become anchored across the UK to end the final 5-6 days of February with dry, bright and settled conditions with some frosty nights.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks for reading.

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of February 2023 at 9:35pm.

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com & Wetter&Radar.

Hi all,

Little change in the set up of the weather over the next week. High pressure to our south-east, and it’s a big strong one and it will continue to keep the unsettled weather away to our northwest. Any weather-fronts that do make it down through the region, like the one coming tonight, will weaken quickly and produce little rain.

Talks of SSW in the weather community at the moment. It’s now looking likely. This doesn’t guarantee a Beast from the East later this month/early-March but it can mean colder-than-average weather. Read more below from the Met Office’s blog. More about the possibility of colder weather from me next week.

https://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2023/02/07/are-we-expecting-a-sudden-stratospheric-warming/

Thursday: After a weak band of patchy rain overnight, Thursday looks a reasonable day with some sunny spells and high-cloud at times. Perhaps cloudier towards evening. Breezy and temperatures just above average. Max 8°C

Friday: A mostly cloudy day with a steady breeze from the south-west. A warm-front will introduce slightly milder air. The cloud could be thick enough for some hill-drizzle. Max 9°C

Weekend: Milder but little in the way of sunshine and mostly dry.

Saturday: Again we can expect cloudy skies with hill-drizzle in a few spots. Some eastern parts might see the odd brighter spell which will help to lift temperatures. Max 11°C

Sunday: Little change. A south or south-easterly airflow, with a lot of dry and cloudy weather. Still mild but temperatures could be a little lower than yesterday. Max 10°C

Outlook: Little change and no sign of anything significantly cold or snowy and the week looks mostly dry. Some signs of more unsettled weather sneaking down from the northwest towards the end of the week.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks for reading.

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 8th of February 2023 at 8:35pm

Images: http://www.wxcharts.com and Windy.com.

Hi all,

We’re in a quieter weather pattern now with little rainfall, although Wednesday did deliver a couple of millimetres. Temperatures are not too cold nor too mild and a cut-off Jet Stream means there aren’t any low pressure systems racing directly across the country bringing wind and rain. There’s a lot of press stories about snow incoming, as is the norm at this time of the year, but there’s no sign of that in this forecast.

Weather Stats – Winter Rainfall

Thursday: After a gloomy day for most of Wednesday, today will be much better with plenty of sunny spells after a patchy frost to start. Some cloud at times drifting in from the east. Max 7°C Min 0°C

Friday: Another chilly start with patchy frost and also some mist or fog patches. Some bright spells for the morning but it’s expected to become more cloudier into the afternoon. Cool. Patchy frost overnight where cloud-breaks appear. Max 6°C Min 1°C

Weekend: A lot of cloud expected.

Saturday: A chilly day with little in the way of brightness with a mostly overcast sky. Light winds. No frost likely. Max 5°C Min 3°C

Sunday: Cloudy with the breeze picking up later in the day with 25-30mph gusts. Cloud could be thick enough for some local drizzle. Not much brightness expected. Milder later. Max 8°C Min 6°C

Outlook: Not much happening. High pressure anchored to the west will keep low pressures at bay. Some weather-fronts will slip around the high and topple into the UK but they will weaken. Temperatures around normal throughout the week with frosts unlikely due to cloud-cover. Signs of unsettled weather returning into the second week of February but no sign of any major snowfall or significant cold despite what the tabloids print.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 25th of January 2023 at 5:05pm.

Image: http://www.wxcharts.com

Hi all,

What a horrible spell of weather we are experiencing right now. Today marks day 27 in-a-row of measurable rainfall. During that time we’ve had 174mm of rain! This equates to around 158% of the average. The second half of December and the first third of January, have quite simply, been a disgrace!

Thursday: Early rain/showers will eventually fade away to bring a drier spell during the second half of the morning. Showers will return into the afternoon, some heavy. Milder again but windy once more, especially overnight with a risk of localised 50-60mph gusts for a short time. Get those bins secured! Max 10°C

Friday: After a very windy night it will stay windy with showers being driven in on a strong westerly. Cooler once again. Max 7°C

Weekend: More rain before turning colder.

Saturday: There will be a spell of rain in the morning, that will turn showery. Showers will continue into the afternoon with the risk of hail and thunder. Again, it will be windy making it feel chilly. Max 7°C

Sunday: Sunday seems to be the day that we switch to colder air and with this the showers will start to turn wintry but will also ease later in the day. As what seems to be the norm recently it will be windy and with this wind-chill it will make it feel around 0°C. Any overnight showers could leave some snow on the hills. Locally frosty overnight too. Max 5°C

Outlook: Monday and Tuesday look particularly cold with temperatures struggling to 4°C. Weather-fronts/troughs slipping in from the west or northwest will bring spells of wintry showers which could lead to a covering of snow in places, especially on higher ground. The nights will be cold too with the return of some frosts. It looks like from the middle of the week onwards temperatures will recover a little bit, meaning the showers will not be as wintry and you never know we just might slip in a dry day along the way, which is massively overdue.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest warnings and forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 11th of January 2023 at 7:30pm.
Images: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com & http://www.wxcharts.com
Cover Image: @GazDean1 on Twitter