Tag Archives: Autumn

Thursday 4th October 2018 – Sunday 7th October 2018

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Hi all,

Autumn is well and truly here after some frosty mornings and a chill in the air. There is still a chance of an Indian Summer but time is running out and everything points towards October being slightly cooler than average.

Thursday – Bright spells and remaining dry. Breezy at times but coming from a warm direction. Max 16°C

Friday – Mostly cloudy but it should remain dry for the morning. Still quite mild but a little cooler as patchy rain arrives into the afternoon and late-evening. Max 14°C

Weekend – Sunday looks the best day.

Saturday – Rain lingering for most of the day and feeling cold. Some uncertainty on how heavy the rain gets. A fresh breeze from the north. Max 9°C

Sunday – A chilly start, perhaps a touch of ground-frost then a decent day with plenty of sunny spells and lighter winds. Less cold and dry. Max 13°C

Outlook – Changeable. Breezy with spells of rain at times but days of sunny spells in between. Most of the rain to the northwest. Temperatures around average.

September 2018 Stats

Max 23.1°C (2nd)
Min 3.2°C (24th)
Av. 12.5°C
Wettest 26mm (20th)
Windiest 40mph
Rain 85mm
Rain Days 18
Dry Days 12

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 10:45am on Wednesday the 3rd of October 2018.

 

Thursday 27th September 2018 – Sunday 30th September 2018

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Hi all,

Official Autumn is now here and there were a few chilly days earlier this week. Monday morning started with a widespread ground-frost. Lows of 3°C were recorded and grass temperatures dropped to below freezing, -0.5°C. Still time for an Indian Summer but nothing in the immediate forecast.

Thursday: A cloudy morning but remaining dry. After a few warmer days, cooler air is on the way. Once this cloud clears later to a few sunny spells, that cooler airmass will arrive. Max 16°C

Friday: A fresh start and certainly a different feel to the weather with a northerly airflow. That said, a decent day ahead with plenty of sunshine and light winds. Max 13°C

Weekend: Mostly dry but cool.

Saturday and Sunday: Pretty much similar days. Plenty of cloud but some brightness at times, especially in eastern parts. Also, a little breezy and from a cool northwesterly direction. Remaining dry though, with high pressure close by. Max 12-13°C

Outlook: High pressure staying in charge and anchored to the west of the UK. This means north to northwesterly winds will flow across the region. Remaining cool with bright spells. Any thicker cloud could produce some drizzle, especially over the hills. Any clear spells overnight leading to localised ground-frost and misty mornings.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Forecast Issued at 4:25pm on Wednesday the 26th of September 2018.

Thanks,
Jon

Thursday 20th September 2018 – Sunday 23rd September 2018

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Hi all,

So Autumn isn’t messing about. First the leftovers from ex-Hurricane Helene then Storm Ali. There is a chance we could see Storm Bronagh bring some stormy conditions to England and Wales this Sunday, assuming another storm isn’t named on Thursday night into Friday as then it would be Storm Callum. It’s all go at the moment.

Thursday: A cloudy start and briefly dry. Some patchy rain or drizzle will develop towards lunch. Into the afternoon the rain will really set in and become heavy and persistent lasting for the rest of the day. Localised flooding possible with some areas seeing up to two inches of rain. Yellow warning in place. Max 14°C

Yellow warning for heavy rain on Thursday

We could see another windy spell overnight into Friday. Another yellow warning is in place.

Warning for windy conditions overnight Thursday into Friday

Friday: Much cooler and fresher with strong west to northwesterly winds bringing frequent beefy showers. Possible hail and thunder. Max 13°C

Weekend: Saturday the calm before the storm?

Saturday: A brief ridge of high pressure with bring a calmer and drier day with bright spells. Thicker cloud during the evening bringing some light rain. Max 14°C

Sunday: Still uncertainty over this day. At the moment rain will spread in from the southwest and winds will freshen. Showers and brighter conditions later. If an area of low pressure develops, it could well be deep and with it bring very windy conditions. Yellow warning, at this moment, is in place. There is still chance that the low doesn’t develop and the rain stays away to our south. Watch this space. Max 14°C

Sunday’s warning has been issued early but remains uncertain

Outlook: Wind and rain clears early on Monday then the week should settle down with plenty of drier weather and sunny spells. Maximum temperatures in the early-teens so some chilly nights with a local ground frost in rural spots.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued at 5:25pm on Wednesday the 19th of September.
Warnings: Met Office

Thursday 13th September 2018 – Sunday 16th September 2018

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Hi all,

I’ve been working on some statistics for our Summers since 2013. Here are a few charts to compare 2018 to previous years. It shows how dry and warm Summer 2018 was.

Summers

Weather Analysis – Summers 2013-2018

I’ve been on a few walks recently to some of our local reservoirs/lakes. They are really low on water. Not surprising as Summer 2018 only had 43% of the average rainfall.

Dove Stone Reservoir

On to the forecast….

Thursday: A fresh westerly breeze. A bright start with some good spells of sunshine. Cloud increasing with just the chance of a shower or two later. Max 16°C

Friday: Mostly cloudy but dry to start. Rain pushing in from the west during the afternoon, turning showery later. Breezy. Max 15°C

Weekend: Some rain, mostly on Sunday morning.

Saturday: Bright spells for most of the day. Cloud thickening later with some rain likely overnight. Max 16°C

Sunday: Rain to start which will push away to the south-east into the afternoon. Brighter and hopefully sunnier skies to follow for the afternoon, leading to a nice end to the weekend. There is some uncertainty about the morning rain and how quickly it moves away so if you have anything planned, watch out for updates. Max 17°C 

Outlook: Becoming warmer into the early part of next week with some sunny spells and we might sneak back up to 20°C. From midweek a risk of rain returns from the west as the Jet Stream becomes lively again and temperatures will become cooler.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 7:55pm on Wednesday the 12th of September 2018

Thursday 6th September 2018 – Sunday 9th September 2018

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Hi all,

Well that’s it, summer is over. And although August was a little disappointing sunshine-wise, it was a fantastic summer. The Met Office confirmed this week that England had its hottest summer ever! It was also very dry with all months bringing us below average rainfall. I will get round to producing some stats for Summer 2018 and compare it to previous years. My guess is September will be about average. Our reservoirs certainly need rain.

Thursday: It looks like low pressure will develop and take control of our weather for a few days. So, after early sunshine we can expect showers developing,  some heavy and cooler. Max 15°C

low pressure

Low pressure close by Thursday-Saturday

Friday: Cloudy with some sunny spells. Initially it looked like a very wet day but the thoughts are that we will escape the rain (it will be to our north-east) for most of the day. Showers arriving late-evening and overnight. Max 15°C

Weekend: Sunday looks best.

Saturday: Showery rain during the morning clearing leading to some bright spells later on. Max 16°C

Sunday: The low will start to fill allowing some drier weather to take hold. Still a risk of showers but mainly to our north-west and especially in the morning. Feeling a little warmer with sunny spells. Max 18°C

Outlook: Breezy with rain in north-western parts of the UK. Drier and sunnier to the south-east. We’re sandwiched in between so drifting in and out of both conditions. Temperatures about average.

August 2018 Stats

Max 25.6°C (5th)
Min 6.8°C (30th)
Av. 15.4°C
Wettest 9mm (26th)
Windiest 28mph
Rain 48.4mm (only 53% of average)
Rain Days 17
Dry Days 14

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for updates.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 5th of September at 10:15am.
Image: http://wxcharts.eu

Thursday 30th August 2018 – Sunday 2nd September 2018

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Hi all,

August will be another month with below average rainfall (about 60% of normal). We have also lacked sunshine this month and temperatures have been pegged back for most of the time. Our average maximum temperature for August 2018, sits at 18.9°C, 0.6°C below the expected average. Will the first month of Autumn fair any better?

Thursday: Sunny spells to start then cloud bubbling up and becoming cloudy for most of the day. Dry. Max 18°C

Friday: Not much different to yesterday. Sunny spells with cloud developing. Dry again. Quite warm especially in any afternoon bright spells. Max 19°C

Weekend: Quite a lot of cloud but becoming warmer.

Saturday: Cloudy to start with some localised patchy rain. This will ease away leading to bright spells later. Warm. Max 20°C

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with some light rain or drizzle. Hopefully this will break up later leading to some very warm spells of sunshine or brightness. Max 22°C

high pressure

High pressure takes charge during the first few days of September

Outlook: High pressure will eventually build, it’s been trying to do this for a good while. So expect plenty of sunny spells and dry weather. Pleasant daytime temperatures to be had too.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 29th of August 2018 at 11:15am.
Image: https://www.netweather.tv/

Thursday 23rd August 2018 – Bank Holiday Monday 27th August 2018

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Hi all,

The coats are coming back out and there are only 9 days left of meteorological summer! Autumn is just around the corner! But, will we see another hot spell? I’m sure we will, but perhaps not until late-September or even an Indian Summer will lead to our last BBQ of 2018!

Thursday:  A cooler airmass has replaced the muggy and humid air that was in place earlier in the week. Bright spells and some blustery showers, especially later. Feeling much cooler. Max 17°C

Friday:  A northwesterly breeze feeding in some heavy showers, with a risk of hail or thunder and lightning. These most frequent into the afternoon and evening. Windy and feeling cold. Max 14°C

Chilly Nights

Some chilly nights this weekend as temperatures take a dip

Weekend: Not too bad but temperatures below average.

Saturday: Any early morning showery rain clears, skies will brighten and a lot of sunny spells will develop and remaining dry. A fresh feel and breezy. A cold night to follow as skies clear. Max 17°C

Sunday: Looks dry with variable amounts of cloud with bright or sunny spells. Rain overnight. Max 17°C

Bank Holiday Monday: Patchy rain or showers moving from west to east. Brighter later. Max 18°C

Outlook: High pressure building from the southwest. Dry with sunny spells and warmer with temperatures eventually back into the 20s (just).

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 22nd of August 2018 at 1pm.
Image: https://www.netweather.tv/

Thursday 30th November 2017 – Sunday 3rd December 2017

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Hi all,

We saw our first snowfall of the winter last week…. well actually no, it was our first snow-cover of autumn. Yes, it is still autumn, despite the cold and it’s been a wet (only 4 dry days) end to November but winter will finally be here, meteorologically-speaking, on Friday!

On Saturday, it’s time for the annual Saddleworth Santa Dash and Switch On! But will the weather be kind?

Thursday:  Dry with plenty of sunshine but still very cold after a severe-frost to start where rurally temperatures will have been close to -7°C. During the day the breeze will bring a sub-zero windchill. A frost will return overnight. Max 3°C

Friday:  Some sunny spells at times, especially early on. A frosty start again but with more cloud-cover not as cold as Thursday morning. Less in the way of clear skies overnight means any frost will be patchy. Slightly milder. Max 4°C

Weekend: Slightly milder with cloudy skies and some patchy rain. No frosts.

Saturday:  Cloudy with some patchy rain, not everywhere seeing some, turning less cold. Max 6°C

Sunday:  A similar picture with limited brightness and plenty of cloud. Not wet everywhere just some patches of drizzle especially on higher ground. Temperatures around average.  Max 9°C

Outlook: Mild and cloudy on Monday and early Tuesday, then colder air with some brighter skies will return. For now, no snow on the horizon which will disappoint all those Daily Express believers.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued on Wednesday the 29th of November 2017 at 3:40pm.

Thursday 23rd of November 2017 – Sunday 26th November 2017

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Hi all,

Well hello weather, we welcomed back our typical Autumn this week, with an inch of rain falling in the first few days. We’ve also had a bit more snow-talk on the grapevine and this time there is some truth in the rumours. No no, don’t get your sledges out just yet, just be ready for a cold weekend with a risk of wintry showers.

Thursday: A mild start with some bright spells but showers will start to appear as the day progresses. Remaining windy and slowly becoming colder. Max 9°C

Friday: A better day and hopefully we will escape with a dry one with sunny spells. It will feel colder again with temperatures really struggling, leading to a slight frost overnight. Max 6°C

Weekend: Cold and breezy with wintry showers and some night-time frosts.

Wintry Showers

Wintry showers, some falling as snow especially on Saturday

Saturday: A bitter day with some bright spells and wintry showers which will could fall as hail or sleet. Some snow showers are possible, in any heavier bursts and certainly more likely on higher ground. Max 5°C

Sunday: More in the way of sunshine with a few wintry showers left over, but there shouldn’t be as many as Saturday. Still cold, especially with the freshening breeze ahead of rain due late-evening and overnight. Max 6°C

Outlook: A touch milder with some rain but then it seems the colder air returns and with it the risk of wintry showers and overnight frosts.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday 22nd of November 2017 at 11:35am.
Image: http://wxcharts.eu/

Thursday 16th November 2017 – Sunday 19th November 2017

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Hi all,

The chilly feel has continued in November and although we’ve had a few days here and there with milder, damp weather, there’s not been a continous deluge of rain. Currently we’ve only had 29mm (102mm is the monthly average). Is the colder weather a sign of things to come? With La Nina underway there is an increased chance of a colder start to winter. See Liam Dutton’s video for more, La Nina.

Not only is Liam’s video informative, it is also keeping it real.

The latest Daily Express headline is more of their clickbait tactics, with over-the-top headlines and untrue statements.

BS

Moving on……

November Stats so far:

Nov 2017

Thursday: A band of patchy rain will move southeastwards during the morning and early afternoon to be replaced by sunny skies and drier conditions but with it, colder air. Max 10°C

Friday: High pressure out west so a settled day with sunny spells and a cold northwesterly breeze. Just the odd shower possible. Max 9°C

Saturday: A breezy day with perhaps a spell of cloud and light rain for a time in the morning. Bright spells developing later with a few showers and still cold. Max 8°C

Sunday: A bright, cold start, perhaps frosty, then cloud increasing with some milder air coming in from the west bringing with it rain as we get into the late-afternoon and evening. Max 8°C

Outlook: Dull and damp on Monday but hopefully drier and brighter thereafter, as high pressure builds. This increases the risk of fog and frost. No snow on the horizon but it will remain cold with temperatures struggling to double-figures.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up to date with the forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 15th November 2017 at 12:30pm