Tag Archives: Cold

Thursday 14th December 2017 – Sunday 17th December 2017

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Hi all,

Sorry it’s a day late. Well what a busy few days that was, and nice to see some snowfall in the early stages of winter. It was a shame (a lot were relieved) that Sunday’s snowfall, which would have been 6 inches or more, ended up further south. Maybe next time…..

Thursday afternoon:  Some bright spells but also some wintry showers. Feeling bitter in the fresh westerly wind. During the evening and overnight a band of rain will move south which could be wintry on higher ground. Max 5°C

Friday: Breezy with Arctic air returning so feeling very cold after a frosty and icy start. Some sunny spells and wintry showers possible, especially to the northeast, so a chance of some hail or snow falling again. Max 4°C

Weekend: Saturday’s the better day.

Saturday:  Still cold with a sunny start but clouding over later in the day. I’m hopeful it does remain dry for most. Max 4°C

Sunday: A change on the way, rain arrives from the southwest and with it much milder air so temperatures lifting. Max 8°C

Outlook: Staying milder than recently with temperatures close to double-figures and with it plenty of cloud which brings a chance of hill-fog and some drizzle or light rain. Look out on Twitter for forecasts for Christmas Day. Early thoughts are, no chance of a White Christmas.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued at 12:50pm on Thursday the 14th of December 2017

Thursday 7th December 2017 – Sunday 10th December 2017

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Hi all,

Apologies for the delay today I’ve been exploring the Manchester Christmas Markets and of course the food and beer. So then, a lot of hype this week about colder weather coming and whether it will snow or not and if yes, then how much and where, etc. etc. Interesting times ahead, tricky forecasting times ahead and one thing for sure, cold times ahead. Brrrrr.

Thursday: Storm Caroline brings early heavy, perhaps squally rain, which clears quickly. It will be windy and after a very mild start it will become colder and colder. Sunny spells will arrive with the Arctic air then showers will get going later into the afternoon which will start to turn wintry. Later in the evening and overnight sleet and snow showers will push down from the northwest on a stiff, bitterly cold wind. Don’t be surprised to see a covering of snow on Friday morning. Max 11°C occurring in the morning falling to 6°C by mid-afternoon.

Tit

Snow showers pushing down on a bitter NW’ly wind on Thursday night into Friday

Friday: Sleet and snow showers will become confined to western parts and most of us will enjoy some sunshine. It will feel very cold with a significant wind-chill. Max 2°C but feeling more like -3°C. Frost settling in overnight.

Weekend: Plenty of sunshine then a chance of snow.

Saturday: Frosty early and late with sunny spells during the day. Just a chance of a wintry shower to the west where it could be cloudier. Max 4°C

A chance of snow arriving from the southwest on Sunday but details far from certain

Sunday: A forecasters’ nightmare at the moment and be aware things could change. The current model output suggests a dry start but very cold with temperatures close to freezing. Rain coming in from the west or southwest towards midday will engage with the cold air and turn to snow. Some heavy snow looks possible but details at this stage are not certain, i.e. the band of rain/snow could stay away further south, so look out for further updates this week on Twitter. Low-lying areas (under 100M) more prone to sleet but travel disruption could occur in locations above this height. Max 2°C

Outlook: It will remain cold or very cold for the foreseeable with night frosts. There is another chance of snow on Thursday but again details can only be firmed up nearer the time. The cold spell is here to stay.

So to summarise we have a good chance of some snow Thursday into early Friday and also on Sunday.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for up to date forecasts and the latest on the possible snow.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued at 9:50pm on Wednesday the 6th of December 2017

Images: http://wxcharts.eu

Thursday 30th November 2017 – Sunday 3rd December 2017

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Hi all,

We saw our first snowfall of the winter last week…. well actually no, it was our first snow-cover of autumn. Yes, it is still autumn, despite the cold and it’s been a wet (only 4 dry days) end to November but winter will finally be here, meteorologically-speaking, on Friday!

On Saturday, it’s time for the annual Saddleworth Santa Dash and Switch On! But will the weather be kind?

Thursday:  Dry with plenty of sunshine but still very cold after a severe-frost to start where rurally temperatures will have been close to -7°C. During the day the breeze will bring a sub-zero windchill. A frost will return overnight. Max 3°C

Friday:  Some sunny spells at times, especially early on. A frosty start again but with more cloud-cover not as cold as Thursday morning. Less in the way of clear skies overnight means any frost will be patchy. Slightly milder. Max 4°C

Weekend: Slightly milder with cloudy skies and some patchy rain. No frosts.

Saturday:  Cloudy with some patchy rain, not everywhere seeing some, turning less cold. Max 6°C

Sunday:  A similar picture with limited brightness and plenty of cloud. Not wet everywhere just some patches of drizzle especially on higher ground. Temperatures around average.  Max 9°C

Outlook: Mild and cloudy on Monday and early Tuesday, then colder air with some brighter skies will return. For now, no snow on the horizon which will disappoint all those Daily Express believers.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued on Wednesday the 29th of November 2017 at 3:40pm.

Thursday 23rd of November 2017 – Sunday 26th November 2017

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Hi all,

Well hello weather, we welcomed back our typical Autumn this week, with an inch of rain falling in the first few days. We’ve also had a bit more snow-talk on the grapevine and this time there is some truth in the rumours. No no, don’t get your sledges out just yet, just be ready for a cold weekend with a risk of wintry showers.

Thursday: A mild start with some bright spells but showers will start to appear as the day progresses. Remaining windy and slowly becoming colder. Max 9°C

Friday: A better day and hopefully we will escape with a dry one with sunny spells. It will feel colder again with temperatures really struggling, leading to a slight frost overnight. Max 6°C

Weekend: Cold and breezy with wintry showers and some night-time frosts.

Wintry Showers

Wintry showers, some falling as snow especially on Saturday

Saturday: A bitter day with some bright spells and wintry showers which will could fall as hail or sleet. Some snow showers are possible, in any heavier bursts and certainly more likely on higher ground. Max 5°C

Sunday: More in the way of sunshine with a few wintry showers left over, but there shouldn’t be as many as Saturday. Still cold, especially with the freshening breeze ahead of rain due late-evening and overnight. Max 6°C

Outlook: A touch milder with some rain but then it seems the colder air returns and with it the risk of wintry showers and overnight frosts.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday 22nd of November 2017 at 11:35am.
Image: http://wxcharts.eu/

Thursday 16th November 2017 – Sunday 19th November 2017

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Hi all,

The chilly feel has continued in November and although we’ve had a few days here and there with milder, damp weather, there’s not been a continous deluge of rain. Currently we’ve only had 29mm (102mm is the monthly average). Is the colder weather a sign of things to come? With La Nina underway there is an increased chance of a colder start to winter. See Liam Dutton’s video for more, La Nina.

Not only is Liam’s video informative, it is also keeping it real.

The latest Daily Express headline is more of their clickbait tactics, with over-the-top headlines and untrue statements.

BS

Moving on……

November Stats so far:

Nov 2017

Thursday: A band of patchy rain will move southeastwards during the morning and early afternoon to be replaced by sunny skies and drier conditions but with it, colder air. Max 10°C

Friday: High pressure out west so a settled day with sunny spells and a cold northwesterly breeze. Just the odd shower possible. Max 9°C

Saturday: A breezy day with perhaps a spell of cloud and light rain for a time in the morning. Bright spells developing later with a few showers and still cold. Max 8°C

Sunday: A bright, cold start, perhaps frosty, then cloud increasing with some milder air coming in from the west bringing with it rain as we get into the late-afternoon and evening. Max 8°C

Outlook: Dull and damp on Monday but hopefully drier and brighter thereafter, as high pressure builds. This increases the risk of fog and frost. No snow on the horizon but it will remain cold with temperatures struggling to double-figures.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up to date with the forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 15th November 2017 at 12:30pm

Thursday 9th of November 2017 – Sunday 12th of November 2017

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Hi all,

Yep the media are still at it. Anyone got their sledges out? Nope. The weather does have a chill about it, already, but it is anyone’s guess what winter will bring.

Thursday: A cloudy start with milder air back again across the region. Some rain likely in the morning but patchy in nature. This will ease away and some bright spells will break out and lead to a drier afternoon. Max 11°C

Friday: A cloudy and breezy day with bright spells and some showers especially so in the morning. A band of rain moving through overnight. Max 10°C

Weekend: Cold, especially in the wind.

Saturday: A northwesterly airflow will take hold over the UK this weekend and it will feel cold. We’ll see some brightness on Saturday, but also some showers blown in on that keen breeze. Max 9°C

Sunday: A drier day is expected with sunny spells and a few lingering showers. Remaining cold with a frost likely overnight as skies clear. Max 9°C

Outlook: Slowly becoming less cold and cloudier after a decent Monday. Temperatures close or just below average. No sign of any snowfall or any named-storm on the horizon. We could become stuck under a cloudy-high, which means little sunshine but very settled conditions.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest localised forecasts.

You can also view hourly weather stats tweets at @OldhamWxStats and 1-minute data updates from my personal weather station on Wunderground.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 4:30pm on Wednesday the 8th of November
Image: wxcharts

Thursday 9th February 2017 – Sunday 12th February 2017

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Hi all,

As predicted in the last blog, colder weather with winds from the East is on its way.

As for snow, read on.

Thursday: The colder weather is now upon us with a frosty start. Variable cloud and dry with any bright spells to the west. Feeling very cold with a nagging breeze which might bring some snow flurries. Frosty later and some icy stretches where wintry showers have fallen. Max 3°C

windchill

A subzero windchill over the coming days – several layers needed


Friday: Feeling raw with a bitter, easterly wind and some snow flurries or snow grains in the air. Some bright spells, if any, favoured further west. Frost overnight. Max 2°C but some places in the hills not getting above freezing.

A cold weekend ahead as the easterly flow persists and this could bring snow.

snow-overnight-saturday

Sleet & snow spreading in from the East Saturday evening into Sunday morning


Saturday: Another mostly cloudy day and cold. Later into the evening and overnight a weather system will come in from the North Sea and move westward bringing some snow inland. Some low-lying areas might see rain or sleet. Certainly one to watch. Max 4°C

Sunday: Don’t be surprised to wake up to see a covering of snow especially in areas above 200M. Any rain, sleet or snow should ease away leaving a drier day with bright spells. Becoming less cold later in the day. Max 5°C

milder

Milder from the S or SE early next week, especially on Tuesday


Looking ahead: We lose the freezing, easterly feed so it will become milder and any lying snow will melt quickly. Mostly dry with bright spells and overnight frosts.

I’ve compared this winter so far, to last winter. It just shows how very wet last winter was.

1st Dec-7th Feb

2016

Av. Temp 7.1°C
Rain 371.6mm
Wet Days 62
Dry Days 7

2017

Av. Temp 5.5°C
Rain 145.4mm
Wet Days 49
Dry Days 20

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 8th of February 2017 at 12:05
Images: http://www.netweather.tv/ and http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/

Thursday 2nd February 2017 – Sunday 5th February 2017

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Hi all,

As we enter February our weather looks to turn wet and windy with a chance of the next named-storm; Storm Doris affecting some parts of the UK.

windy-on-thursday-and-friday

Low pressure in charge Thursday & Friday

Thursday: Low pressure arrives from the southwest so expect it to turn wet and windy with pulses of rain. Some drier slots. Gusts to 40mph likely especially later. Mild throughout. Max 11°C

Friday: A brighter start with some sunshine. Now there is some uncertainty about this but another low pressure could track in from the southwest with the potential for some strong winds with gusts up to 50mph. A warning was issued but now has been cancelled as the low is likely to track futher south. So the thinking is, bright spells and drier during the day, winds increasing later with some rain into the evening. Max 9°C

Cooler over the weekend but any frost limited.

Saturday: Cooler with some showers. Not as windy as recently. Max 6°C

Sunday:  A chilly day with a few scattered showers but in between weather systems means we should have a reasonable day with some bright spells as well. Max 6°C

wintry-showers

Colder with wintry showers midweek next week?

Looking ahead: Rain arriving later on Monday then midweek a chance of wintry showers and colder air from the East to finish the week. Finally some proper cold and snowfall?

cold-air-from-the-east-gif

Proper winter cold from the East arriving later next week?

January 2017 Stats

Max 9.9°C (11th)
Min -2.7°C (5th)
Wettest 12.8mm (15th)
Windiest 41mph (11th)
Rain 82mm
Rainy Days 23
Dry Days 8
Air Frosts Days 7
Snow Falling Days 3
Snow Lying Days 2

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up to date with your local weather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 1st of February 2017 at 12:15
Images: http://wxcharts.eu/

Thursday 12th January 2017 – Sunday 15th January 2017

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Hi all,

Headline: Colder with snow for some of us.

Thursday: A very cold northwesterly wind in place which will bring some rain, hail, sleet & snow showers. Some of the snow will settle leading to tricky driving conditions with some ice later but this is expected to be in areas that are above 225M. You can reference the local elevation map or use the link to see what height you are above sea level. Max 3°C but feeling sub-zero in the wind.

wintry-showers-on-thursday

A bitter Thursday with rain, hail, sleet and snow showers in the mix. Snow settled above 200-250M

Use this link to see exactly how many metres you are above sea level, http://www.altitude.nu/ or for local locations see the image below.

heights-above-sea-level

Local locations with their height above sea level

Friday: Windy again with a brisk northerly airflow. Some more wintry showers around but they should be less frequent than what we saw on Thursday. Sunny spells in between the showers. Feeling very cold. Sharp frost overnight. Max 3°C

Saturday: Apart from the odd wintry shower, it looks mostly dry with sunny spells and a cold northerly or northwesterly breeze after a frosty start. It will turn frosty again later in the evening but it is likely to cloud over by morning.  Max 3°C

milder-from-the-nw

Milder air comes in from the NW during Sunday recovering temperatures

Sunday: There is still uncertainty about today but it seems that rain will topple in from the northwest which might, initially, fall as sleet or wet-snow on the higher routes. This weather front will also bring milder temperatures.  Max 6°C

Looking ahead: Mild initially but turning slowly colder from midweek with a chance of a cold easterly feed being established.

Keep up to date via my Twitter account, @ChadWeather.

Thanks,
Jon

Images: http://www.chorleyweather.com/, http://ukweatherforecast.co.uk and Oldham Council.

Forecast issued at 16:30 on the 11th of January 2017.

 

Thursday 27th October 2016 – Sunday 30th October 2016

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Hi,

October is still on course to be an exceptionally dry month as it comes to an end with little rain to speak of.

With winter on the horizon, the talk (if you can call it that) has already started of “120 days of snow.” etc., etc. There are signs that this winter has a much better chance of being colder-than-average and hence increase the chance of snow, but as always, things can change.

If you would like more detail and not an over-the-top complex view of what our winter set-up could be like, then read my friend’s article, http://www.chorleyweather.com/weak-polar-vortex-could-bring-an-early-uk-winter/.

Currently, we have low pressure to our northwest and high pressure to our south, with us sandwiched in between. We now have a westerly flow so we are milder than recently.

Thursday: Quite cloudy with limited bright spells. Some passing drizzle or light rain possible at times especially on high ground. Breezy but mild. Max 14°C

Friday: Little change. Plenty of cloud and mild. Less of a breeze hopefully. Some localised drizzle but most places staying dry. Max 14°C

Saturday: A dry day with mostly cloudy conditions. Any early mist will lift. Light winds with high pressure close by. Max 13°C

Sunday: Rain could be pushing into western parts of the U.K. but we look to remain dry once again with mostly cloudy skies. Some brightness possible in eastern parts. Max 13°C

Slowly a change to a north or northwesterly airflow next week

Next Week: Not guaranteed but it’s looking more and more likely that winds will turn to come from a colder northerly or northwesterly direction as the week progresses. This will bring sunny spells, the odd shower and daytime temperatures in single-figures as well as possible frosty nights.

Our weather is always changing so keep up to date by following @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

Image: http://www.netweather.tv
Forecast issued at 12:15pm on Wednesday 26th of October 2016