Tag Archives: Weekend

Thursday 9th February 2017 – Sunday 12th February 2017

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Hi all,

As predicted in the last blog, colder weather with winds from the East is on its way.

As for snow, read on.

Thursday: The colder weather is now upon us with a frosty start. Variable cloud and dry with any bright spells to the west. Feeling very cold with a nagging breeze which might bring some snow flurries. Frosty later and some icy stretches where wintry showers have fallen. Max 3°C

windchill

A subzero windchill over the coming days – several layers needed


Friday: Feeling raw with a bitter, easterly wind and some snow flurries or snow grains in the air. Some bright spells, if any, favoured further west. Frost overnight. Max 2°C but some places in the hills not getting above freezing.

A cold weekend ahead as the easterly flow persists and this could bring snow.

snow-overnight-saturday

Sleet & snow spreading in from the East Saturday evening into Sunday morning


Saturday: Another mostly cloudy day and cold. Later into the evening and overnight a weather system will come in from the North Sea and move westward bringing some snow inland. Some low-lying areas might see rain or sleet. Certainly one to watch. Max 4°C

Sunday: Don’t be surprised to wake up to see a covering of snow especially in areas above 200M. Any rain, sleet or snow should ease away leaving a drier day with bright spells. Becoming less cold later in the day. Max 5°C

milder

Milder from the S or SE early next week, especially on Tuesday


Looking ahead: We lose the freezing, easterly feed so it will become milder and any lying snow will melt quickly. Mostly dry with bright spells and overnight frosts.

I’ve compared this winter so far, to last winter. It just shows how very wet last winter was.

1st Dec-7th Feb

2016

Av. Temp 7.1°C
Rain 371.6mm
Wet Days 62
Dry Days 7

2017

Av. Temp 5.5°C
Rain 145.4mm
Wet Days 49
Dry Days 20

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 8th of February 2017 at 12:05
Images: http://www.netweather.tv/ and http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/

Thursday 2nd February 2017 – Sunday 5th February 2017

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Hi all,

As we enter February our weather looks to turn wet and windy with a chance of the next named-storm; Storm Doris affecting some parts of the UK.

windy-on-thursday-and-friday

Low pressure in charge Thursday & Friday

Thursday: Low pressure arrives from the southwest so expect it to turn wet and windy with pulses of rain. Some drier slots. Gusts to 40mph likely especially later. Mild throughout. Max 11°C

Friday: A brighter start with some sunshine. Now there is some uncertainty about this but another low pressure could track in from the southwest with the potential for some strong winds with gusts up to 50mph. A warning was issued but now has been cancelled as the low is likely to track futher south. So the thinking is, bright spells and drier during the day, winds increasing later with some rain into the evening. Max 9°C

Cooler over the weekend but any frost limited.

Saturday: Cooler with some showers. Not as windy as recently. Max 6°C

Sunday:  A chilly day with a few scattered showers but in between weather systems means we should have a reasonable day with some bright spells as well. Max 6°C

wintry-showers

Colder with wintry showers midweek next week?

Looking ahead: Rain arriving later on Monday then midweek a chance of wintry showers and colder air from the East to finish the week. Finally some proper cold and snowfall?

cold-air-from-the-east-gif

Proper winter cold from the East arriving later next week?

January 2017 Stats

Max 9.9°C (11th)
Min -2.7°C (5th)
Wettest 12.8mm (15th)
Windiest 41mph (11th)
Rain 82mm
Rainy Days 23
Dry Days 8
Air Frosts Days 7
Snow Falling Days 3
Snow Lying Days 2

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up to date with your local weather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 1st of February 2017 at 12:15
Images: http://wxcharts.eu/

Thursday 26th January 2017 – Sunday 29th January 2017

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Hi all,

It is looking like January is going to finish overall, as a calm, cold and dry month. Perhaps February will offer something more ‘lively’ or even snowy? Looking ahead the first week of February does indeed look windier and wetter but no sign of snow. As always, time will tell.

overview

A wetter and windier theme as we enter February?

Thursday: We drag in some of the very cold air that has been stationed across Europe, so it will feel bitter. Mostly cloudy and we can’t rule out the odd snow flurry. Some brightness here and there especially later. A harsh southeasterly wind leading to a significant wind-chill. Plenty of layers needed. It could be the coldest day for up to 2 years. Max 1°C

windchill

A low wind-chill on Thursday making it feel like -5°C

Friday: A cold start but becoming slightly milder later and nowhere near as cold as yesterday. Remaining breezy so it will feel chilly in that wind. Mostly dry and cloudy with limited bright spells. Max 5°C

Saturday: Likely to see some rain in the form of showers at some point, especially into the afternoon . Winds a little lighter. Max 7°C

Sunday: The best day of the weekend. Sunny spells and with light winds it shouldn’t feel too bad. Dry. Max 7°C

wet-and-windy-1

Our next named-storm for early February? #StormDoris

Looking ahead: There is a reasonable chance that the Jet Stream will kick into gear into February so expect wind and rain. As always, keep up to date on Twitter by following @ChadWeather.

Thanks,
Jon

Images: http://wxcharts.eu/
Forecast Issued: Wednesday 25th of January 2017 at 13:15

 

Thursday 12th January 2017 – Sunday 15th January 2017

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Hi all,

Headline: Colder with snow for some of us.

Thursday: A very cold northwesterly wind in place which will bring some rain, hail, sleet & snow showers. Some of the snow will settle leading to tricky driving conditions with some ice later but this is expected to be in areas that are above 225M. You can reference the local elevation map or use the link to see what height you are above sea level. Max 3°C but feeling sub-zero in the wind.

wintry-showers-on-thursday

A bitter Thursday with rain, hail, sleet and snow showers in the mix. Snow settled above 200-250M

Use this link to see exactly how many metres you are above sea level, http://www.altitude.nu/ or for local locations see the image below.

heights-above-sea-level

Local locations with their height above sea level

Friday: Windy again with a brisk northerly airflow. Some more wintry showers around but they should be less frequent than what we saw on Thursday. Sunny spells in between the showers. Feeling very cold. Sharp frost overnight. Max 3°C

Saturday: Apart from the odd wintry shower, it looks mostly dry with sunny spells and a cold northerly or northwesterly breeze after a frosty start. It will turn frosty again later in the evening but it is likely to cloud over by morning.  Max 3°C

milder-from-the-nw

Milder air comes in from the NW during Sunday recovering temperatures

Sunday: There is still uncertainty about today but it seems that rain will topple in from the northwest which might, initially, fall as sleet or wet-snow on the higher routes. This weather front will also bring milder temperatures.  Max 6°C

Looking ahead: Mild initially but turning slowly colder from midweek with a chance of a cold easterly feed being established.

Keep up to date via my Twitter account, @ChadWeather.

Thanks,
Jon

Images: http://www.chorleyweather.com/, http://ukweatherforecast.co.uk and Oldham Council.

Forecast issued at 16:30 on the 11th of January 2017.

 

Thursday 22nd December 2016 – Boxing Day 2016

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Hi all,

First I would like to wish you all a very Merry Christmas and hope you all enjoy the festivities despite this forecast.

Deep snow? Nah, we have wind and rain to look forward to, and possibly two named storms. After the recent stagnant weather this is a noticeable change especially after a quiet December with rainfall only at 40% of the monthly average.

Thursday: A chilly start with some frost and localised icy patches. Sunny spells and breezy with a risk of a shower or two. These could fall as hail. Feeling cold. Max 7°C

Storm Barbara approaching the U.K.

Friday: A little milder but really not noticeable as Storm Barbara arrives bringing heavy rain after a dry start. It will be windy with gusts of 50mph likely. Weather warning in place. Exposed places could see 60mph. Watch my tweets for updates. Max 10°C

Christmas Eve: Remaining windy with some blustery showers and feeling cold. More rain and wind overnight. Max 8°C

A very mild Christmas Day but colder overnight into Boxing Day

Christmas Day: Early rain, mild and very strong winds. Weather warning in place. There is still some uncertainity about this ‘storm’ and its track. If it develops to be strong enough to be named it will be Storm Conor but at the moment it doesn’t look like it will develop into a system like the one on Friday. During the day we could see gusts to 50mph once again. Later on the rain clears to some scattered blustery showers. Some colder air feeds in overnight, so we could see hail and even some sleet or wet snow to the hills. Max 11°C

The weather calms down as high pressure builds after Boxing Day

Boxing Day and the following few days: Still windy initially then much improved as high pressure builds and the weather eventually ‘relaxes’. Plenty of drier conditions with a risk of some frosts overnight. Chilly at first but maybe becoming slowly milder. Max 7°C

Keep up to date with the latest weather forecast by following @Chadweather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

 

Forecast issued: 11:00am on Wednesday the 21st of December 2016

Images: http://www.wxcharts.eu; http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk; http://www.wetterzentrale.de

Thursday 15th December 2016 – Sunday 18th December 2016

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Hi all,

Not long until Christmas and with the big day in range of our long-term forecast models, we can start to get an idea of what the 25th will be like.

Latest suggestion goes for a mild start with temperatures of 8°C, with rain left over from Christmas Eve, clearing during the morning. More updates on Twitter as we approach the festitives.

xmas-day

A mild start to Christmas Day? Certainly no big freeze as per media stories

Thursday: Mostly cloudy and dull. Some rain at times with some drier spells now and again. Plenty of hill-fog and low-cloud. Something we have been used to lately. Max 10°C

Friday: Another cloudy day with low-cloud and some localised drizzle. Mostly dry in the evening as high pressure builds across the UK. Max 10°C

A mostly dry, cooler and settled weekend ahead but sunshine lacking.

Saturday & Sunday: Plenty of dry weather but also a lot of cloud after a cold misty start in places. Some brightness sneaking through, but with plenty of cloud trapped under the high pressure, don’t be banking on it. Cooler. Max 8°C

wind

Dry start to next week perhaps replaced by wind and rain towards midweek

Looking ahead: High pressure in charge for Monday and Tuesday with dry conditions. Wind and rain spreading from the west midweek. Around average temperatures. No sign of any snow.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for your local weather updates.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: 15:35 on Wednesday the 14th of December 2016
Images: http://www.netweather.tv

Thursday 8th December 2016 – Sunday 11th December 2016

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Hi all,

After a few weeks of relatively cold weather we are back to our more typical December set-up with mild southwesterly winds. I’m still expecting this winter to be colder-than-average but also not expecting any proper cold until we enter the new year. With a southwesterly airflow, rain will not be too far away over the next 48 hours, although the weekend isn’t looking too bad.

Thursday: Rain to start the day, some heavier bursts. It will tend to become drier as we approach lunchtime and the afternoon will remain mild and cloudy with some hill-fog and localised drizzle. Max 13°C

rain-for-thursday

A wet start to Thursday for all

Friday: Another cloudy day with some bright spells. The mild theme continues and some rain is expected as we head into the evening. Breezy. Max 13°C

A cooler but drier weekend ahead.

Saturday: A cloudy start with some rain knocking around from yesterday. The day should then become dry with bright spells but feeling a little fresher. Max 10°C

Sunday: Not a bad day at all. Sunny spells and feeling cool but with lighter winds it shouldn’t feel too bad. Max 8°C

 

lows-to-nw

Low pressures next week seem to affect the northwest of the UK the most

 

A mixed bag as we look ahead. Some cooler days and then some milder shots as we get some southwesterly winds again. Some spells of rain, mostly to the northwest of the UK, so more focus on drier and quieter for us. No sign yet of snow or proper cold. I’ll be tweeting some Christmas Day forecasts soon so watch out for those.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued 13:45 on Wednesday the 7th of December 2016
Image: http://www.chorleyweather.com/

 

 

Thursday 24th November 2016 – Sunday 27th November 2016

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Hi all,

Well that certainly was an active week of weather. Snow for many places above 250M on Friday morning, followed by 45-50mph gusts and 2-3 inches of rain on Monday, with almost an inch falling in an hour, with serious flash floods following.

Here in Chadderton, some records were broken.

  • 45mm of rain in 1 day beating Boxing Day 2015
  • 21.6mm of rain in any 1-hour period

Again, I would like to thank all those that tweeted me with photos, videos and information about local roads affected. These kind of instant ‘news flashes’ keeps everyone in the know quicker than anything else.

After all that, we have a much quieter week ahead as November eases toward an end.

high-pressure-set-to-hang-around-for-5-6-days

High pressure set to bring drier and settled conditions for the next 5 days


Thursday: A chilly start with a local patchy frost. A lovely day ahead with sunny spells and dry. A risk of an overnight frost. Max 8°C

Friday: Similar conditions with maybe more in the way of cloud as bright spells develop during the day. Max 8°C

cloud-cover

A lot of cloud expected this weekend – any breaks likely in western areas


Saturday: With an easterly feed now in place, we will drag in more cloud from the North sea. So although it should remain dry, it will feel colder with less sunshine on offer. The cloud however will mean a frost-free night. Max 7°C

Sunday: Little change from yesterday. Cloudy, feeling cold and in places, especially on the hills, the cloud might be thick enough for some drizzle. Max 8°C

Outlook: High pressure to start next week but it is replaced by some rain from the west. Remaining on the chilly side as we go through the week. Early signs point towards a colder start to December.

If you’re into weather charts then have a look at this website, http://wxcharts.eu/, some great charts, features and animations.

To keep up to date with the local weather around Manchester, Tameside and Lancashire then follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

Image/GIF: http://wxcharts.eu/

Forecast issued at 16:00 on Wednesday 23rd November 2016

 

Thursday 10th November 2016 – Sunday 13th November 2016

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Hi all,

So we’re about 10 days into November and some areas have already experienced a ‘winter’ feel with some snow falling on higher ground on Tuesday night and into Wednesday. This is much earlier in the year/season than we are normally accustomed to. As things stand, the ingredients are all there for this coming winter to be a colder-than-average one and possibly, in my opinion, the coldest since 2010/11. Time will tell.

Thursday: An improvement on recent days with bright spells and milder. Some showers expected which could be heavy. Drier into the evening. Max 8°C

Friday: A little cooler again so a fresh feel but better with bright spells and mostly dry conditions. Rain will be trying to push in from the west overnight. Max 7°C

Not a great start to the weekend.

Saturday: Rain heavy at times makes slow progress across the region and slightly milder, showery weather follows. Breezy. Max 10°C

Sunday: Any showers should ease away and an improvement during the day. Bright spells and hopefully most places dry into the afternoon. Max 9°C

A slice of milder air into next week but cooler air should return

Looking ahead and next week looks milder but possibly only for several days then the cooler air returns. Whilst mild, expect some showers or longer spells of rain.

Keep up to date with your local weather forecasts by following @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

Images: http://www.netweather.tv
Forecast Issued: Wednesday 9th November 2016 at 12:20

Thursday 27th October 2016 – Sunday 30th October 2016

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Hi,

October is still on course to be an exceptionally dry month as it comes to an end with little rain to speak of.

With winter on the horizon, the talk (if you can call it that) has already started of “120 days of snow.” etc., etc. There are signs that this winter has a much better chance of being colder-than-average and hence increase the chance of snow, but as always, things can change.

If you would like more detail and not an over-the-top complex view of what our winter set-up could be like, then read my friend’s article, http://www.chorleyweather.com/weak-polar-vortex-could-bring-an-early-uk-winter/.

Currently, we have low pressure to our northwest and high pressure to our south, with us sandwiched in between. We now have a westerly flow so we are milder than recently.

Thursday: Quite cloudy with limited bright spells. Some passing drizzle or light rain possible at times especially on high ground. Breezy but mild. Max 14°C

Friday: Little change. Plenty of cloud and mild. Less of a breeze hopefully. Some localised drizzle but most places staying dry. Max 14°C

Saturday: A dry day with mostly cloudy conditions. Any early mist will lift. Light winds with high pressure close by. Max 13°C

Sunday: Rain could be pushing into western parts of the U.K. but we look to remain dry once again with mostly cloudy skies. Some brightness possible in eastern parts. Max 13°C

Slowly a change to a north or northwesterly airflow next week

Next Week: Not guaranteed but it’s looking more and more likely that winds will turn to come from a colder northerly or northwesterly direction as the week progresses. This will bring sunny spells, the odd shower and daytime temperatures in single-figures as well as possible frosty nights.

Our weather is always changing so keep up to date by following @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

Image: http://www.netweather.tv
Forecast issued at 12:15pm on Wednesday 26th of October 2016