Thursday 23rd February 2017 – Sunday 26th February 2017

Hi all,

The final blog of winter 16/17 and what a disappointment it has been, when it comes to proper cold and snow. However, even though March is classed as Spring, I expect it will throw some cold spells at us with some snow before we feel the Spring warmth that we’ve all been waiting for.

Before all that, Storm Doris, and with her, an AMBER weather warning which is not that common, even during winter. The storm is yet to form. It will be developing quickly as it approaches and crosses the UK. At the time of publishing these are the warnings: Yellow and Amber Weather Warnings.

warning-areas

The warning areas – we just sit in the AMBER area


Thursday: Be aware that there could be disruptive weather with some structural damage. The day will dawn quite ‘calm’ with what’s to come, with some rain moving in from the west. The rain will become heavy and from mid-morning the winds will increase quickly. Widely we can expect gusts to 50mph. There will be a spell of windier conditions, where we could locally see 60mph gusts and perhaps up to 80mph in exposed places. These gusts are strong enough to damage property and uproot trees. The strongest gusts are expected to be between 11am-3pm but times may vary so watch out for updates on Twitter. As the storm moves through, the winds will turn northwesterly and introduce colder air, so don’t be surprised to see some sleet or snow from mid-afternoon onwards. This is more likely to fall on higher ground (above 300M) and on the Pennines where there will be a few inches. Although it will become less windy into the evening, we can still expect gusts to 40mph. Overnight, further wintry showers with possible hail and feeling colder. Max 9°C which will be during the morning.

 

snow

Storm Doris will bring a lot of snow to Southern Scotland and Northern England


Friday: A much quieter day. Once you have found your garden furniture, we can expect some showers early on but then drying up and remaining mostly cloudy with less wind. Further rain overnight. Max 6°C

Saturday: Early rain will move through but some blustery showers will follow on behind. Another spell of windy weather with gusts to 35-40mph. Milder. Max 10°C

Sunday: It should be a fine start with some bright spells. Cloud thickening later on as another low pressure comes in with some rain and breezy conditions. Max 9°C

Looking ahead: Next week will start cooler with some showers. The rest of the week will see it slowly turn milder as the weather settles down. Drier conditions favourable but a lot of cloud once more. Let’s hope March sees a decent snowfall before we close the door on Winter 16/17.

Cheers,
Jon

Images: http://wxcharts.eu; http://www.netweather.tv; http://www.metoffice.gov.uk.

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 22nd of February at 12:00pm

 

Thursday 2nd February 2017 – Sunday 5th February 2017

Hi all,

As we enter February our weather looks to turn wet and windy with a chance of the next named-storm; Storm Doris affecting some parts of the UK.

windy-on-thursday-and-friday

Low pressure in charge Thursday & Friday

Thursday: Low pressure arrives from the southwest so expect it to turn wet and windy with pulses of rain. Some drier slots. Gusts to 40mph likely especially later. Mild throughout. Max 11°C

Friday: A brighter start with some sunshine. Now there is some uncertainty about this but another low pressure could track in from the southwest with the potential for some strong winds with gusts up to 50mph. A warning was issued but now has been cancelled as the low is likely to track futher south. So the thinking is, bright spells and drier during the day, winds increasing later with some rain into the evening. Max 9°C

Cooler over the weekend but any frost limited.

Saturday: Cooler with some showers. Not as windy as recently. Max 6°C

Sunday:  A chilly day with a few scattered showers but in between weather systems means we should have a reasonable day with some bright spells as well. Max 6°C

wintry-showers

Colder with wintry showers midweek next week?

Looking ahead: Rain arriving later on Monday then midweek a chance of wintry showers and colder air from the East to finish the week. Finally some proper cold and snowfall?

cold-air-from-the-east-gif

Proper winter cold from the East arriving later next week?

January 2017 Stats

Max 9.9°C (11th)
Min -2.7°C (5th)
Wettest 12.8mm (15th)
Windiest 41mph (11th)
Rain 82mm
Rainy Days 23
Dry Days 8
Air Frosts Days 7
Snow Falling Days 3
Snow Lying Days 2

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up to date with your local weather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 1st of February 2017 at 12:15
Images: http://wxcharts.eu/

Thursday 26th January 2017 – Sunday 29th January 2017

Hi all,

It is looking like January is going to finish overall, as a calm, cold and dry month. Perhaps February will offer something more ‘lively’ or even snowy? Looking ahead the first week of February does indeed look windier and wetter but no sign of snow. As always, time will tell.

overview

A wetter and windier theme as we enter February?

Thursday: We drag in some of the very cold air that has been stationed across Europe, so it will feel bitter. Mostly cloudy and we can’t rule out the odd snow flurry. Some brightness here and there especially later. A harsh southeasterly wind leading to a significant wind-chill. Plenty of layers needed. It could be the coldest day for up to 2 years. Max 1°C

windchill

A low wind-chill on Thursday making it feel like -5°C

Friday: A cold start but becoming slightly milder later and nowhere near as cold as yesterday. Remaining breezy so it will feel chilly in that wind. Mostly dry and cloudy with limited bright spells. Max 5°C

Saturday: Likely to see some rain in the form of showers at some point, especially into the afternoon . Winds a little lighter. Max 7°C

Sunday: The best day of the weekend. Sunny spells and with light winds it shouldn’t feel too bad. Dry. Max 7°C

wet-and-windy-1

Our next named-storm for early February? #StormDoris

Looking ahead: There is a reasonable chance that the Jet Stream will kick into gear into February so expect wind and rain. As always, keep up to date on Twitter by following @ChadWeather.

Thanks,
Jon

Images: http://wxcharts.eu/
Forecast Issued: Wednesday 25th of January 2017 at 13:15

 

Thursday 12th January 2017 – Sunday 15th January 2017

Hi all,

Headline: Colder with snow for some of us.

Thursday: A very cold northwesterly wind in place which will bring some rain, hail, sleet & snow showers. Some of the snow will settle leading to tricky driving conditions with some ice later but this is expected to be in areas that are above 225M. You can reference the local elevation map or use the link to see what height you are above sea level. Max 3°C but feeling sub-zero in the wind.

wintry-showers-on-thursday

A bitter Thursday with rain, hail, sleet and snow showers in the mix. Snow settled above 200-250M

Use this link to see exactly how many metres you are above sea levelhttp://www.altitude.nu/ or for local locations see the image below.

heights-above-sea-level

Local locations with their height above sea level

Friday: Windy again with a brisk northerly airflow. Some more wintry showers around but they should be less frequent than what we saw on Thursday. Sunny spells in between the showers. Feeling very cold. Sharp frost overnight. Max 3°C

Saturday: Apart from the odd wintry shower, it looks mostly dry with sunny spells and a cold northerly or northwesterly breeze after a frosty start. It will turn frosty again later in the evening but it is likely to cloud over by morning.  Max 3°C

milder-from-the-nw

Milder air comes in from the NW during Sunday recovering temperatures

Sunday: There is still uncertainty about today but it seems that rain will topple in from the northwest which might, initially, fall as sleet or wet-snow on the higher routes. This weather front will also bring milder temperatures.  Max 6°C

Looking ahead: Mild initially but turning slowly colder from midweek with a chance of a cold easterly feed being established.

Keep up to date via my Twitter account, @ChadWeather.

Thanks,
Jon

Images: http://www.chorleyweather.com/, http://ukweatherforecast.co.uk and Oldham Council.

Forecast issued at 16:30 on the 11th of January 2017.

 

Thursday 22nd December 2016 – Boxing Day 2016

Hi all,

First I would like to wish you all a very Merry Christmas and hope you all enjoy the festivities despite this forecast.

Deep snow? Nah, we have wind and rain to look forward to, and possibly two named storms. After the recent stagnant weather this is a noticeable change especially after a quiet December with rainfall only at 40% of the monthly average.

Thursday: A chilly start with some frost and localised icy patches. Sunny spells and breezy with a risk of a shower or two. These could fall as hail. Feeling cold. Max 7°C

Storm Barbara approaching the U.K.

Friday: A little milder but really not noticeable as Storm Barbara arrives bringing heavy rain after a dry start. It will be windy with gusts of 50mph likely. Weather warning in place. Exposed places could see 60mph. Watch my tweets for updates. Max 10°C

Christmas Eve: Remaining windy with some blustery showers and feeling cold. More rain and wind overnight. Max 8°C

A very mild Christmas Day but colder overnight into Boxing Day

Christmas Day: Early rain, mild and very strong winds. Weather warning in place. There is still some uncertainity about this ‘storm’ and its track. If it develops to be strong enough to be named it will be Storm Conor but at the moment it doesn’t look like it will develop into a system like the one on Friday. During the day we could see gusts to 50mph once again. Later on the rain clears to some scattered blustery showers. Some colder air feeds in overnight, so we could see hail and even some sleet or wet snow to the hills. Max 11°C

The weather calms down as high pressure builds after Boxing Day

Boxing Day and the following few days: Still windy initially then much improved as high pressure builds and the weather eventually ‘relaxes’. Plenty of drier conditions with a risk of some frosts overnight. Chilly at first but maybe becoming slowly milder. Max 7°C

Keep up to date with the latest weather forecast by following @Chadweather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

 

Forecast issued: 11:00am on Wednesday the 21st of December 2016

Images: http://www.wxcharts.eu; http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk; http://www.wetterzentrale.de

Thursday 15th December 2016 – Sunday 18th December 2016

Hi all,

Not long until Christmas and with the big day in range of our long-term forecast models, we can start to get an idea of what the 25th will be like.

Latest suggestion goes for a mild start with temperatures of 8°C, with rain left over from Christmas Eve, clearing during the morning. More updates on Twitter as we approach the festitives.

xmas-day

A mild start to Christmas Day? Certainly no big freeze as per media stories

Thursday: Mostly cloudy and dull. Some rain at times with some drier spells now and again. Plenty of hill-fog and low-cloud. Something we have been used to lately. Max 10°C

Friday: Another cloudy day with low-cloud and some localised drizzle. Mostly dry in the evening as high pressure builds across the UK. Max 10°C

A mostly dry, cooler and settled weekend ahead but sunshine lacking.

Saturday & Sunday: Plenty of dry weather but also a lot of cloud after a cold misty start in places. Some brightness sneaking through, but with plenty of cloud trapped under the high pressure, don’t be banking on it. Cooler. Max 8°C

wind

Dry start to next week perhaps replaced by wind and rain towards midweek

Looking ahead: High pressure in charge for Monday and Tuesday with dry conditions. Wind and rain spreading from the west midweek. Around average temperatures. No sign of any snow.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for your local weather updates.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: 15:35 on Wednesday the 14th of December 2016
Images: http://www.netweather.tv

Thursday 17th November 2016 – Sunday 20th November 2016

Hi all,

A bit of a late posting today, but I’m finally here with the usual weekly outlook on what our weather’s going to throw at us. It’s certainly not going to disappoint this week.

Thursday: Cold and windy. Showers of rain and possibly hail and thunder. Some sleet for the hills. There is a chance of more prolonged rain during the morning. 6°C

**There is a possibility that wintry showers will merge together to bring a spell of sleet or snow overnight on Thursday, especially above 200M. One to keep an eye on via my tweets**

Possibilities of some localised sleet and snow overnight Thursday and into Friday morning. Above 200M most at risk.

Friday: Possibly a wintry start as mentioned, then feeling quite bitter with a stiff northwesterly wind and some wintry showers. Sunny spells during the day mixed in with those showers. Showers dying away overnight leading to a frost. 5°C

Heavy rain arrives on Sunday, preceded by Pennine-snow?

Saturday: Frosty start, then a typical pleasant, autumnal day. Sunny spells, just the odd wintry shower but with lighter winds it won’t feel as cold as previous days. 6°C

Sunday: Another cold start with a touch of frost. Cloud soon thickening and the wind increasing as heavy rain, possibly preceded by hill-snow for a time, moves in from the south-west. There is a good deal of uncertainty about how strong the winds could be and how heavy the rain will be so keep your eyes on my tweets. A cold raw feeling day. 7°C

Looking ahead and it’s set to stay cold with unsettled conditions close by. 

Keep up to date with your local weather by following @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Cheers,

Jon

Images: http://www.netweather.tv

Forecast issued Wednesday 16th November at 18:30. 


Thursday 10th November 2016 – Sunday 13th November 2016

Hi all,

So we’re about 10 days into November and some areas have already experienced a ‘winter’ feel with some snow falling on higher ground on Tuesday night and into Wednesday. This is much earlier in the year/season than we are normally accustomed to. As things stand, the ingredients are all there for this coming winter to be a colder-than-average one and possibly, in my opinion, the coldest since 2010/11. Time will tell.

Thursday: An improvement on recent days with bright spells and milder. Some showers expected which could be heavy. Drier into the evening. Max 8°C

Friday: A little cooler again so a fresh feel but better with bright spells and mostly dry conditions. Rain will be trying to push in from the west overnight. Max 7°C

Not a great start to the weekend.

Saturday: Rain heavy at times makes slow progress across the region and slightly milder, showery weather follows. Breezy. Max 10°C

Sunday: Any showers should ease away and an improvement during the day. Bright spells and hopefully most places dry into the afternoon. Max 9°C

A slice of milder air into next week but cooler air should return

Looking ahead and next week looks milder but possibly only for several days then the cooler air returns. Whilst mild, expect some showers or longer spells of rain.

Keep up to date with your local weather forecasts by following @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

Images: http://www.netweather.tv
Forecast Issued: Wednesday 9th November 2016 at 12:20

Thursday 13th October 2016 -Sunday 16th October 2016

Hi all,

We’ve been under the influence of a huge area of high pressure based over Scandinavia for a good while now but finally things are about to change. If only we had had this set-up in winter.

Thursday: A cool easterly wind across the region which will blow in showers, some will be heavy. Limited bright spells in between. Feeling cold. Max 11°C

Friday: The change begins as low pressure starts to edge in from the south and west. Another cool day with some showers and we still keep that nagging easterly breeze although not as strong as yesterday. Max 12°C

We can’t complain about our weather so far in October. It’s slowly become cooler but we’ve hardly had any rain; only 1mm in fact.

showery

After a dry October so far; rain is set to return


Saturday: Low pressure anchored to our south-west feeding up a less cold southerly wind but also some spells of rain. This should turn more showery later with some sunny spells. Max 14°C

Sunday: Bright spells and showers. Still winds remain from the south so temperatures not too bad regardless of the conditions. Max 15°C

Next Week: Low pressure in charge so spells of rain but some brighter, drier interludes too. Temperatures close to average. I would expect the remainder of October to be rain-fuelled after the exceptionally dry start, but as always, long-range is anyone’s guess.

As always, follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued at 1pm on Wednesday 12th October 2016
Images: http://www.netweather.tv

Thursday 18th August 2016 – Sunday 21st August 2016

Hi all,

I hope you’ve all been enjoying the lovely summery weather we’ve been experiencing this week. If you haven’t had chance to and you’re pinning your hopes on this weekend, you’re going to be disappointed.

For me this week has been perfect. Early 20s and no humidity to spoil it. We will sneak in another day before it’s all change.

Thursday: Sunny spells will develop after a cloudy start. It will remain dry and be warm again. Make the most of it. Max 22°C

Friday: Cloud will thicken with rain, some heavy spreading from the southwest during the day. The rain will come and go with drier interudes possible. Cooler throughout. Max 18°C

Not great for being outdoors this weekend. Not the best when you have a garden party (and BBQ) planned for Saturday. 😦

Saturday: Windy with frequent showers, and at times, longer spells of rain. Gusts in exposed parts could touch 35-40mph, unusual for August. Feeling cool. Max 17°C

Sat

A dreadful Saturday with wind and plenty of showers

Sunday: Windy but the winds should ease later in the day. Another showery affair but these should become more scattered into the evening. Temperatures still below average. Max 17°C

SAT WIND

A windy weekend, especially on Saturday. Strongest gusts around the Bristol Channel

Next week: Starting off a little more settled before showers return. A small chance of it warming up in the south but no heatwave in sight.

Next week warm

Some heat arrives next week but it doesn’t look to last long and likely to be confined to the south (no change there then)

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for all your local weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding areas.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued: 17:30 on Wednesday 17th August 2016