Thursday 23rd February 2017 – Sunday 26th February 2017

Hi all,

The final blog of winter 16/17 and what a disappointment it has been, when it comes to proper cold and snow. However, even though March is classed as Spring, I expect it will throw some cold spells at us with some snow before we feel the Spring warmth that we’ve all been waiting for.

Before all that, Storm Doris, and with her, an AMBER weather warning which is not that common, even during winter. The storm is yet to form. It will be developing quickly as it approaches and crosses the UK. At the time of publishing these are the warnings: Yellow and Amber Weather Warnings.

warning-areas

The warning areas – we just sit in the AMBER area


Thursday: Be aware that there could be disruptive weather with some structural damage. The day will dawn quite ‘calm’ with what’s to come, with some rain moving in from the west. The rain will become heavy and from mid-morning the winds will increase quickly. Widely we can expect gusts to 50mph. There will be a spell of windier conditions, where we could locally see 60mph gusts and perhaps up to 80mph in exposed places. These gusts are strong enough to damage property and uproot trees. The strongest gusts are expected to be between 11am-3pm but times may vary so watch out for updates on Twitter. As the storm moves through, the winds will turn northwesterly and introduce colder air, so don’t be surprised to see some sleet or snow from mid-afternoon onwards. This is more likely to fall on higher ground (above 300M) and on the Pennines where there will be a few inches. Although it will become less windy into the evening, we can still expect gusts to 40mph. Overnight, further wintry showers with possible hail and feeling colder. Max 9°C which will be during the morning.

 

snow

Storm Doris will bring a lot of snow to Southern Scotland and Northern England


Friday: A much quieter day. Once you have found your garden furniture, we can expect some showers early on but then drying up and remaining mostly cloudy with less wind. Further rain overnight. Max 6°C

Saturday: Early rain will move through but some blustery showers will follow on behind. Another spell of windy weather with gusts to 35-40mph. Milder. Max 10°C

Sunday: It should be a fine start with some bright spells. Cloud thickening later on as another low pressure comes in with some rain and breezy conditions. Max 9°C

Looking ahead: Next week will start cooler with some showers. The rest of the week will see it slowly turn milder as the weather settles down. Drier conditions favourable but a lot of cloud once more. Let’s hope March sees a decent snowfall before we close the door on Winter 16/17.

Cheers,
Jon

Images: http://wxcharts.eu; http://www.netweather.tv; http://www.metoffice.gov.uk.

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 22nd of February at 12:00pm

 

Thursday 16th February 2017 – Sunday 19th February 2017

Hi all,

How awful and baltic was that wind earlier this week? Thankfully the bitter air and howling gale have moved away and we’re back to a slightly milder theme with cloudier skies. The snow predicted last week, did arrive, but again, as seems to be the case these days, it’s saved for the higher ground where conditions were treacherous. 

Thursday: Bright spells here and there. A chance of a shower or two but isolated. Breezy and mild. Showery rain arrives into the evening and overnight. Max 10°C 

Friday: Early showers then slowly drying up, but staying mostly cloudy. Another double-digit day. Max 10°C

Saturday & Sunday: Generally cloudy. Some mist & fog likely in the morning and slow to clear in a few spots. During the day, some drizzle on the hills but other places dry. Any bright spells in sheltered spots away from the mild west to southwesterly flow. Max 9-11°C

Looking ahead: Remaining mild with temperatures around double-figures, possibly higher early in the week. Signs temperatures will drop away later in the month as colder air returns, this time possibly from the northwest.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for your local forecast. 

Cheers
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 15th of February at 20:00

Thursday 9th February 2017 – Sunday 12th February 2017

Hi all,

As predicted in the last blog, colder weather with winds from the East is on its way.

As for snow, read on.

Thursday: The colder weather is now upon us with a frosty start. Variable cloud and dry with any bright spells to the west. Feeling very cold with a nagging breeze which might bring some snow flurries. Frosty later and some icy stretches where wintry showers have fallen. Max 3°C

windchill

A subzero windchill over the coming days – several layers needed


Friday: Feeling raw with a bitter, easterly wind and some snow flurries or snow grains in the air. Some bright spells, if any, favoured further west. Frost overnight. Max 2°C but some places in the hills not getting above freezing.

A cold weekend ahead as the easterly flow persists and this could bring snow.

snow-overnight-saturday

Sleet & snow spreading in from the East Saturday evening into Sunday morning


Saturday: Another mostly cloudy day and cold. Later into the evening and overnight a weather system will come in from the North Sea and move westward bringing some snow inland. Some low-lying areas might see rain or sleet. Certainly one to watch. Max 4°C

Sunday: Don’t be surprised to wake up to see a covering of snow especially in areas above 200M. Any rain, sleet or snow should ease away leaving a drier day with bright spells. Becoming less cold later in the day. Max 5°C

milder

Milder from the S or SE early next week, especially on Tuesday


Looking ahead: We lose the freezing, easterly feed so it will become milder and any lying snow will melt quickly. Mostly dry with bright spells and overnight frosts.

I’ve compared this winter so far, to last winter. It just shows how very wet last winter was.

1st Dec-7th Feb

2016

Av. Temp 7.1°C
Rain 371.6mm
Wet Days 62
Dry Days 7

2017

Av. Temp 5.5°C
Rain 145.4mm
Wet Days 49
Dry Days 20

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 8th of February 2017 at 12:05
Images: http://www.netweather.tv/ and http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/

Thursday 2nd February 2017 – Sunday 5th February 2017

Hi all,

As we enter February our weather looks to turn wet and windy with a chance of the next named-storm; Storm Doris affecting some parts of the UK.

windy-on-thursday-and-friday

Low pressure in charge Thursday & Friday

Thursday: Low pressure arrives from the southwest so expect it to turn wet and windy with pulses of rain. Some drier slots. Gusts to 40mph likely especially later. Mild throughout. Max 11°C

Friday: A brighter start with some sunshine. Now there is some uncertainty about this but another low pressure could track in from the southwest with the potential for some strong winds with gusts up to 50mph. A warning was issued but now has been cancelled as the low is likely to track futher south. So the thinking is, bright spells and drier during the day, winds increasing later with some rain into the evening. Max 9°C

Cooler over the weekend but any frost limited.

Saturday: Cooler with some showers. Not as windy as recently. Max 6°C

Sunday:  A chilly day with a few scattered showers but in between weather systems means we should have a reasonable day with some bright spells as well. Max 6°C

wintry-showers

Colder with wintry showers midweek next week?

Looking ahead: Rain arriving later on Monday then midweek a chance of wintry showers and colder air from the East to finish the week. Finally some proper cold and snowfall?

cold-air-from-the-east-gif

Proper winter cold from the East arriving later next week?

January 2017 Stats

Max 9.9°C (11th)
Min -2.7°C (5th)
Wettest 12.8mm (15th)
Windiest 41mph (11th)
Rain 82mm
Rainy Days 23
Dry Days 8
Air Frosts Days 7
Snow Falling Days 3
Snow Lying Days 2

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up to date with your local weather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 1st of February 2017 at 12:15
Images: http://wxcharts.eu/

Thursday 12th January 2017 – Sunday 15th January 2017

Hi all,

Headline: Colder with snow for some of us.

Thursday: A very cold northwesterly wind in place which will bring some rain, hail, sleet & snow showers. Some of the snow will settle leading to tricky driving conditions with some ice later but this is expected to be in areas that are above 225M. You can reference the local elevation map or use the link to see what height you are above sea level. Max 3°C but feeling sub-zero in the wind.

wintry-showers-on-thursday

A bitter Thursday with rain, hail, sleet and snow showers in the mix. Snow settled above 200-250M

Use this link to see exactly how many metres you are above sea levelhttp://www.altitude.nu/ or for local locations see the image below.

heights-above-sea-level

Local locations with their height above sea level

Friday: Windy again with a brisk northerly airflow. Some more wintry showers around but they should be less frequent than what we saw on Thursday. Sunny spells in between the showers. Feeling very cold. Sharp frost overnight. Max 3°C

Saturday: Apart from the odd wintry shower, it looks mostly dry with sunny spells and a cold northerly or northwesterly breeze after a frosty start. It will turn frosty again later in the evening but it is likely to cloud over by morning.  Max 3°C

milder-from-the-nw

Milder air comes in from the NW during Sunday recovering temperatures

Sunday: There is still uncertainty about today but it seems that rain will topple in from the northwest which might, initially, fall as sleet or wet-snow on the higher routes. This weather front will also bring milder temperatures.  Max 6°C

Looking ahead: Mild initially but turning slowly colder from midweek with a chance of a cold easterly feed being established.

Keep up to date via my Twitter account, @ChadWeather.

Thanks,
Jon

Images: http://www.chorleyweather.com/, http://ukweatherforecast.co.uk and Oldham Council.

Forecast issued at 16:30 on the 11th of January 2017.

 

Thursday 5th January 2017 – Sunday 8th January 2017

Hi all,

Happy New Year and all the best for 2017.

The media have been at it again with their annual, or is it now weekly, lies about a Killer Freeze on the way with record low temperatures and more snow than we’ve ever seen before. 

Unfortunately some folk, especially the vulnerable still believe this tripe, so spread the word, never believe their headlines. I’ll be the first to let you know, if we are due any snow and plummeting temperatures. 

Thursday: A very cold and frosty start with temperatures of -4°C in some parts. A lovely, crisp winter’s day follows with plenty of sunshine. Make the most of it as all change ahead. Max 3°C

Fronts coming in from the west bring rain and milder air on Friday

Friday: Cloudy with rain coming in slowly from the west. Some of the rain will be heavy. A cold-feeling day but temperatures on the rise. Max 8°C

Not much sunshine at the weekend but not a washout. 

Saturday: A mild start with some fog and low-cloud over the hills. The latter could persist all day. Hopefully, most of us will get away with a cloudy and dry day but don’t be surprised to see some drizzle, especially on the hills. Max 8°C

Sunday: Little change. Cloudy, again there could be some low-cloud and drizzle towards hillier areas. No frost as temperatures on the milder side. Max 10°C

Wintry showers later next week?

Looking ahead and the following week does see slightly cooler or colder air return with showers, which might be wintry with snow on the hills. Now where’s that Killer Freeze? 🙂

December 2016 Stats

Max 13.3°C (7th)
Min -0.3°C (28th)
Wettest 16.4mm (8th)
Windiest 49mph (23rd)
Rain 46mm (40% of av.)
Rainy Days 19
Dry Days 12

Thanks for all your support on Twitter and with the blog in 2016. Here’s to an eventful weather year in 2017.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest up to date forecasts. 

Thanks
Jon

Issued: Wednesday 4th January 2017 at 14:30

Images: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk; http://www.netweather.tv

Thursday 8th December 2016 – Sunday 11th December 2016

Hi all,

After a few weeks of relatively cold weather we are back to our more typical December set-up with mild southwesterly winds. I’m still expecting this winter to be colder-than-average but also not expecting any proper cold until we enter the new year. With a southwesterly airflow, rain will not be too far away over the next 48 hours, although the weekend isn’t looking too bad.

Thursday: Rain to start the day, some heavier bursts. It will tend to become drier as we approach lunchtime and the afternoon will remain mild and cloudy with some hill-fog and localised drizzle. Max 13°C

rain-for-thursday

A wet start to Thursday for all

Friday: Another cloudy day with some bright spells. The mild theme continues and some rain is expected as we head into the evening. Breezy. Max 13°C

A cooler but drier weekend ahead.

Saturday: A cloudy start with some rain knocking around from yesterday. The day should then become dry with bright spells but feeling a little fresher. Max 10°C

Sunday: Not a bad day at all. Sunny spells and feeling cool but with lighter winds it shouldn’t feel too bad. Max 8°C

 

lows-to-nw

Low pressures next week seem to affect the northwest of the UK the most

 

A mixed bag as we look ahead. Some cooler days and then some milder shots as we get some southwesterly winds again. Some spells of rain, mostly to the northwest of the UK, so more focus on drier and quieter for us. No sign yet of snow or proper cold. I’ll be tweeting some Christmas Day forecasts soon so watch out for those.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued 13:45 on Wednesday the 7th of December 2016
Image: http://www.chorleyweather.com/

 

 

Thursday 24th November 2016 – Sunday 27th November 2016

Hi all,

Well that certainly was an active week of weather. Snow for many places above 250M on Friday morning, followed by 45-50mph gusts and 2-3 inches of rain on Monday, with almost an inch falling in an hour, with serious flash floods following.

Here in Chadderton, some records were broken.

  • 45mm of rain in 1 day beating Boxing Day 2015
  • 21.6mm of rain in any 1-hour period

Again, I would like to thank all those that tweeted me with photos, videos and information about local roads affected. These kind of instant ‘news flashes’ keeps everyone in the know quicker than anything else.

After all that, we have a much quieter week ahead as November eases toward an end.

high-pressure-set-to-hang-around-for-5-6-days

High pressure set to bring drier and settled conditions for the next 5 days


Thursday: 
A chilly start with a local patchy frost. A lovely day ahead with sunny spells and dry. A risk of an overnight frost. Max 8°C

Friday: Similar conditions with maybe more in the way of cloud as bright spells develop during the day. Max 8°C

cloud-cover

A lot of cloud expected this weekend – any breaks likely in western areas


Saturday: 
With an easterly feed now in place, we will drag in more cloud from the North sea. So although it should remain dry, it will feel colder with less sunshine on offer. The cloud however will mean a frost-free night. Max 7°C

Sunday: Little change from yesterday. Cloudy, feeling cold and in places, especially on the hills, the cloud might be thick enough for some drizzle. Max 8°C

Outlook: High pressure to start next week but it is replaced by some rain from the west. Remaining on the chilly side as we go through the week. Early signs point towards a colder start to December.

If you’re into weather charts then have a look at this website, http://wxcharts.eu/, some great charts, features and animations.

To keep up to date with the local weather around Manchester, Tameside and Lancashire then follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

Image/GIF: http://wxcharts.eu/

Forecast issued at 16:00 on Wednesday 23rd November 2016

 

Thursday 17th November 2016 – Sunday 20th November 2016

Hi all,

A bit of a late posting today, but I’m finally here with the usual weekly outlook on what our weather’s going to throw at us. It’s certainly not going to disappoint this week.

Thursday: Cold and windy. Showers of rain and possibly hail and thunder. Some sleet for the hills. There is a chance of more prolonged rain during the morning. 6°C

**There is a possibility that wintry showers will merge together to bring a spell of sleet or snow overnight on Thursday, especially above 200M. One to keep an eye on via my tweets**

Possibilities of some localised sleet and snow overnight Thursday and into Friday morning. Above 200M most at risk.

Friday: Possibly a wintry start as mentioned, then feeling quite bitter with a stiff northwesterly wind and some wintry showers. Sunny spells during the day mixed in with those showers. Showers dying away overnight leading to a frost. 5°C

Heavy rain arrives on Sunday, preceded by Pennine-snow?

Saturday: Frosty start, then a typical pleasant, autumnal day. Sunny spells, just the odd wintry shower but with lighter winds it won’t feel as cold as previous days. 6°C

Sunday: Another cold start with a touch of frost. Cloud soon thickening and the wind increasing as heavy rain, possibly preceded by hill-snow for a time, moves in from the south-west. There is a good deal of uncertainty about how strong the winds could be and how heavy the rain will be so keep your eyes on my tweets. A cold raw feeling day. 7°C

Looking ahead and it’s set to stay cold with unsettled conditions close by. 

Keep up to date with your local weather by following @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Cheers,

Jon

Images: http://www.netweather.tv

Forecast issued Wednesday 16th November at 18:30. 


Thursday 13th October 2016 -Sunday 16th October 2016

Hi all,

We’ve been under the influence of a huge area of high pressure based over Scandinavia for a good while now but finally things are about to change. If only we had had this set-up in winter.

Thursday: A cool easterly wind across the region which will blow in showers, some will be heavy. Limited bright spells in between. Feeling cold. Max 11°C

Friday: The change begins as low pressure starts to edge in from the south and west. Another cool day with some showers and we still keep that nagging easterly breeze although not as strong as yesterday. Max 12°C

We can’t complain about our weather so far in October. It’s slowly become cooler but we’ve hardly had any rain; only 1mm in fact.

showery

After a dry October so far; rain is set to return


Saturday: Low pressure anchored to our south-west feeding up a less cold southerly wind but also some spells of rain. This should turn more showery later with some sunny spells. Max 14°C

Sunday: Bright spells and showers. Still winds remain from the south so temperatures not too bad regardless of the conditions. Max 15°C

Next Week: Low pressure in charge so spells of rain but some brighter, drier interludes too. Temperatures close to average. I would expect the remainder of October to be rain-fuelled after the exceptionally dry start, but as always, long-range is anyone’s guess.

As always, follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued at 1pm on Wednesday 12th October 2016
Images: http://www.netweather.tv